{"schema_version":"1.0","type":"daily_commodity_report","available":true,"name":"Sharemaestro Oats Daily Commodity Report","edition":"2026-10-12","price_as_of":"2026-10-09","market":{"name":"Oats","slug":"oats","group":"Grains","unit":"US cents per bushel"},"current_read":{"state":{"label":"Constructive","headline":"Oats is trending upward, leading the broad commodity market and showing positive weekly Market Dynamics."},"headline":"Oats is trending upward, leading the broad commodity market and showing positive weekly Market Dynamics.","summary":"The latest completed close is 420.75 US cents per bushel. The Trend Signal is active, Relative Strength is +11.7. Weekly Market Dynamics is +1.578 for the week ending 09 Oct 2026. This week is +3.1% through 5 completed sessions; across 20 sessions, price changed +18.2%."},"price":{"completed_close":420.75,"recent_performance_pct":{"1_day":-2.9971181556195936,"5_days":3.0618493570116367,"20_days":18.188202247191022,"60_days":21.78002894356006,"252_days":46.47519582245432},"current_week":{"week_start":"2026-10-05","through":"2026-10-09","sessions":5,"return_pct":3.0618493570116367,"up_sessions":3,"down_sessions":2,"unchanged_sessions":0,"session_moves":[{"day":"2026-10-05","close":416.5,"return_pct":2.0208205756276687},{"day":"2026-10-06","close":430.75,"return_pct":3.421368547418968},{"day":"2026-10-07","close":428.75,"return_pct":-0.4643064422518828},{"day":"2026-10-08","close":433.75,"return_pct":1.1661807580174877},{"day":"2026-10-09","close":420.75,"return_pct":-2.9971181556195936}],"previous_week_start":"2026-09-28","previous_week_end":"2026-10-02","previous_sessions":5,"previous_return_pct":-2.8554431885782328,"change_vs_previous_week_pct_points":5.91729254558987,"headline":"The rise has picked up speed this week.","detail":"Price is +3.06% across 5 completed sessions this week. The previous completed week returned -2.86%. The market is +2.26 percentage points versus its group this week.","tone":"supportive","group_return_pct":0.7973970065013658,"relative_to_group_pct_points":2.264452350510271}},"readings":{"trend":{"state":"Active","value":392.283333},"fair_value":340.794872,"relative_strength":{"value":11.683189,"state":"Leading"},"market_dynamics":{"value":1.57806,"timeframe":"weekly","as_of":"2026-10-09","state":"Supportive"}},"current_setup":{"stance":"The upward trend has support","path":"Price, relative performance and underlying pressure point upward. The rise has support while all three stay positive.","trigger":"A completed close that holds above 392.28 US cents per bushel, with weekly Market Dynamics positive and relative strength above zero.","failure":"A completed loss of 392.28 US cents per bushel alongside weakening weekly Market Dynamics.","risk":"Volatility ranks at percentile 91 of its three-year history. Treat any setup as high-temperature and scale risk accordingly.","scenarios":[{"label":"Constructive path","condition":"A completed close that holds above 392.28 US cents per bushel, with weekly Market Dynamics positive and relative strength above zero.","meaning":"Confirmation would favour trend continuation or a completed repair rather than an anticipatory entry.","tone":"supportive"},{"label":"Holding pattern","condition":"Price remains near its current structure while confirming layers stay mixed.","meaning":"The market stays on watch; patience preserves the edge because there is no need to force a direction.","tone":"mixed"},{"label":"Failure path","condition":"A completed loss of 392.28 US cents per bushel alongside weakening weekly Market Dynamics.","meaning":"The setup weakens and the defensive interpretation takes priority until a new completed repair develops.","tone":"negative"}]},"positioning":{},"producer_positioning":{},"related_markets":{"title":"Wheat is the clearest current confirmation market","detail":"The 52-week return correlation is +0.52. A matching move adds context; a divergence may indicate a relative-value move rather than a broad group signal. The strongest retained macro link is Crude oil at +0.30, but it remains descriptive and can change.","action":"Use related markets to confirm or challenge the thesis; do not use correlation alone as the entry trigger."},"publication_boundary":"Observed market data and finished Sharemaestro readings only. Formulas, components, model features, thresholds, weights, source identifiers and calculation workings are not published.","source_coverage":{"commodity_intelligence":{"available":true,"as_of":"2026-10-09","cadence":"Completed daily sessions"},"weekly_exchange":{"available":true,"as_of":"2026-10-09","cadence":"Completed weekly evidence"}},"weekly_exchange":{"name":"Oats","group":"Grains","as_of":"2026-10-09","completed_close":420.75,"recent_performance_pct":{"1_weeks":3.0618,"4_weeks":18.1882,"12_weeks":22.9364,"52_weeks":41.5475},"readings":{"trend":{"state":"Active"},"fair_value":345.065705,"relative_strength":{"value":11.683189,"state":"Leading"},"market_dynamics":{"value":1.57806,"state":"Supportive"},"next_week_view":{"direction":"negative","probability_pct":43.8749}}},"canonical_url":"https://sharemaestro.com/commodities/assets/oats/report/","distributions":{"html":"https://sharemaestro.com/commodities/assets/oats/report/","pdf":"https://sharemaestro.com/commodities/assets/oats/report/download.pdf","json":"https://sharemaestro.com/commodities/assets/oats/report/data.json"},"citation":"Sharemaestro, Oats Daily Commodity Report, 2026-10-12, https://sharemaestro.com/commodities/assets/oats/report/","license":"https://sharemaestro.com/data-license/","disclaimer":"Observed market evidence for research and education only. Not financial, investment, trading, tax or legal advice.","content_hash":"22c03b57e424763c896636ea62eddda57972db3ebf221d3d1b0a38e5fea11172"}