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16.666666666666675, "surprisePct": 25.000000000000007, "immediateReturnPct": -10.687494667987396, "forward4WeekPct": -3.4383292117434405, "forward13WeekPct": -14.799597788372253, "toDateReturnPct": -2.038769136726448, "weeksSince": 111, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -16.833947789668912, "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "status": "Non-positive four-week response", "tone": "opportunity"}, {"date": "2024-09-06", "periodEnd": "2024-07-31", "earningsChangePct": -16.483516483516482, "surprisePct": 0.0, "immediateReturnPct": -12.82225490288873, "forward4WeekPct": -11.984007638284178, "forward13WeekPct": -25.614502683337747, "toDateReturnPct": 5.372472835346231, "weeksSince": 100, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -22.27324268340155, "key": "accepted_deterioration", "status": "Negative four-week response", "tone": "negative"}, {"date": "2024-12-06", "periodEnd": "2024-10-31", "earningsChangePct": -3.9473684210526327, "surprisePct": -35.294117647058826, "immediateReturnPct": -20.02946181312577, "forward4WeekPct": -25.04997418315216, "forward13WeekPct": -26.802538676579502, "toDateReturnPct": 13.284089865684813, "weeksSince": 87, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -10.332525085240505, "key": "accepted_deterioration", "status": "Negative four-week response", "tone": "negative"}, {"date": "2025-03-07", "periodEnd": "2025-01-31", "earningsChangePct": -23.287671232876704, "surprisePct": 0.0, "immediateReturnPct": -9.622466031758503, "forward4WeekPct": -14.68866023905987, "forward13WeekPct": -8.71500050305144, "toDateReturnPct": 39.8728384125169, "weeksSince": 74, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -20.965171260202695, "key": "accepted_deterioration", "status": "Negative four-week response", "tone": "negative"}, {"date": "2025-06-20", "periodEnd": "2025-04-30", "earningsChangePct": -44.64285714285715, "surprisePct": -13.043478260869565, "immediateReturnPct": -16.983819692451284, "forward4WeekPct": -22.43894512415495, "forward13WeekPct": -8.158313825203678, "toDateReturnPct": 42.583782230438615, "weeksSince": 59, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -39.59429690274422, "key": "accepted_deterioration", "status": "Negative four-week response", "tone": "negative"}, {"date": "2025-09-05", "periodEnd": "2025-07-31", "earningsChangePct": -19.354838709677413, "surprisePct": 33.33333333333333, "immediateReturnPct": 6.976751852772756, "forward4WeekPct": 22.959039993061726, "forward13WeekPct": 35.98699733842814, "toDateReturnPct": 80.68409661692169, "weeksSince": 48, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -47.2035243178994, "key": "resisted_deterioration", "status": "Price resisted deterioration", "tone": "caution"}, {"date": "2025-12-05", "periodEnd": "2025-10-31", "earningsChangePct": -28.000000000000004, "surprisePct": 100.0, "immediateReturnPct": 25.832374571549032, "forward4WeekPct": 16.029914306290173, "forward13WeekPct": 62.65116190664808, "toDateReturnPct": 67.19178575610461, "weeksSince": 35, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -74.66341859938014, "key": "resisted_deterioration", "status": "Price resisted deterioration", "tone": "caution"}, {"date": "2026-03-06", "periodEnd": "2026-01-31", "earningsChangePct": 33.33333333333333, "surprisePct": 60.0, "immediateReturnPct": 17.563029550026798, "forward4WeekPct": 26.01797036610256, "forward13WeekPct": 24.59890286346582, "toDateReturnPct": 20.844958123617864, "weeksSince": 22, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -95.73010973579807, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive four-week response", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2026-06-19", "periodEnd": "2026-04-30", "earningsChangePct": 66.66666666666667, "surprisePct": 56.52173913043477, "immediateReturnPct": 8.94308748632131, "forward4WeekPct": 1.5500459606214045, "forward13WeekPct": null, "toDateReturnPct": -2.618562924706924, "weeksSince": 7, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -96.89281505439844, "key": "mixed", "status": "Mixed response", "tone": "neutral"}], "latestEvent": {"date": "2026-06-19", "periodEnd": "2026-04-30", "earningsChangePct": 66.66666666666667, "surprisePct": 56.52173913043477, "immediateReturnPct": 8.94308748632131, "forward4WeekPct": 1.5500459606214045, "forward13WeekPct": null, "toDateReturnPct": -2.618562924706924, "weeksSince": 7, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -96.89281505439844, "key": "mixed", "status": "Mixed response", "tone": "neutral"}, "freshImprovementAwaitingConfirmation": false, "improvementConfirmationReversed": true, "summary": "Across completed four-week windows, 1 improving update had a non-positive price response; 2 had a meaningful positive price response."}, "professional": {"peerContext": {"available": true, "cohort": "Aerospace & Defense", "population": 26, "spreadPercentile": 8.0, "qualityPercentile": 18.0, "rarityPercentile": 92.0, "currentOneYearSpread": -45.954777, "lead": "price", "relatedSignals": [{"tickerId": 6150, "symbol": "FTAI", "name": "FTAI Aviation Ltd.", "spread": -51.49695, "lead": "price", "quality": 25}, {"tickerId": 2702, "symbol": "MOG-A", "name": "Moog Inc", "spread": -34.739166, "lead": "price", "quality": 100}, {"tickerId": 2703, "symbol": "MOG-B", "name": "Moog Inc", "spread": -33.231714999999994, "lead": "price", "quality": 100}, {"tickerId": 909, "symbol": "CW", "name": "Curtiss-Wright Corporation", "spread": -26.719488000000002, "lead": "price", "quality": 100}, {"tickerId": 5898, "symbol": "ESLT", "name": "Elbit Systems Ltd", "spread": -26.032745000000002, "lead": "price", "quality": 100}, {"tickerId": 1253, "symbol": "EMBJ", "name": "Embraer S.A.", "spread": -69.10851600000001, "lead": "price", "quality": 75}, {"tickerId": 1993, "symbol": "HWM", "name": "Howmet Aerospace\u00a0Inc", "spread": -22.264065000000006, "lead": "price", "quality": 100}, {"tickerId": 3457, "symbol": "RTX", "name": "RTX Corporation", "spread": -20.415551999999998, "lead": "price", "quality": 100}]}, "historicalOutcomes": {"available": false, "sampleSize": 0, "historyWeeks": 156, "horizons": []}, "transitions": [{"date": "2023-08-18", "key": "balanced", "label": "Broadly aligned", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2023-09-08", "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "label": "Earnings ahead", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2023-12-08", "key": "shared_contraction", "label": "Shared contraction", "tone": "negative"}, {"date": "2024-03-08", "key": "fundamental_fracture", "label": "Fundamental fracture", "tone": "negative"}, {"date": "2024-06-21", "key": "expectations_ahead", "label": "Expectations ahead", "tone": "caution"}, {"date": "2024-09-06", "key": "fundamental_fracture", "label": "Fundamental fracture", "tone": "negative"}], "dataIntegrity": {"asOf": "2026-08-07", "exactReportDates": 13, "estimatedReportDates": 0, "coverage": 100}}, "alerts": [{"key": "fundamental_fracture", "label": "Fundamental fracture", "tone": "negative", "explanation": "Earnings have weakened while price has not adjusted to the same degree."}]}, "disclaimer": "Earnings intelligence is descriptive market research. It is not a forecast, recommendation or trading instruction."}