{"ticker": {"uuid": "04123e67-2ca1-45ff-8e35-85f8b2c22708", "symbol": "SKYW", "name": "SkyWest Inc", "sector": "Industrials", "industry": "Airlines", "currency": "USD"}, "next_event": {"report_date": "2026-10-29", "fiscal_date_ending": "2026-09-30", "estimate": 3.13, "session": "Time unconfirmed", "days": 78}, "profile": {"sample": 12, "measured": 12, "beats": 10, "misses": 2, "inline": 0, "beat_rate": 83.3, "beat_rate_label": "83.3%", "average_surprise": 23.9, "average_surprise_label": "+23.9%", "median_surprise": 16.6, "surprise_dispersion": 34.7, "average_reaction": 2.1, "average_reaction_label": "+2.1%", "average_abs_reaction": 6.5, "positive_response_rate": 58.3, "confirmation_rate": 70.0, "reaction_sample": 12, "streak": {"count": 1, "band": "miss", "label": "1 consecutive misses"}, "profile": "Delivery and acceptance aligned", "profile_tone": "positive", "profile_text": "Results have usually cleared estimates and the next completed weekly close has, on average, confirmed the delivery."}, "event_risk": {"score": 49, "band": "Elevated", "tone": "caution", "days": 78, "proximity_component": 3, "reaction_component": 16, "variability_component": 25, "uncertainty_component": 5, "explanation": "Event risk combines report proximity, historical price movement, surprise variability, estimate availability and confirmed timing. It measures uncertainty, not direction."}, "evidence": {"score": 100, "band": "Deep", "exact": 12, "surprise": 12, "reaction": 12, "financial": 12, "total": 12}, "factor_context": {"available": true, "as_of": "2026-08-09", "eps_growth_1y": 0.5, "revenue_growth_1y": 9.1, "cash_conversion": 3.86, "net_margin": 9.8, "earnings_yield": 9.2, "eps_surprise_avg": 4.4, "sue_score": 1.05, "pe_ratio": 10.8, "completeness": 100.0, "source": "alphavantage"}, "market_context": {"available": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "close": 111.84, "currency": "USD", "return_13w": 26.8, "fair_value": 85.747917, "fair_value_gap": 30.4, "relative_strength": -1.8, "trend_signal": "Inactive", "expectation_direction": "undecided", "expectation_probability": 52.7}, "records": [{"period_end": "2023-09-30", "reported_date": "2023-10-26", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": 0.55, "eps_estimate": 0.42, "eps_surprise": 0.13, "surprise_pct": 30.9524, "surprise_label": "+31.0%", "surprise_band": "beat", "eps_yoy": null, "eps_yoy_label": "-", "one_week_reaction": 13.50698174006445, "one_week_reaction_label": "+13.5%", "four_week_reaction": 24.999999999999986, "four_week_reaction_label": "+25.0%", "confirmation": "confirmed", "revenue": 766171000.0, "revenue_yoy": null, "revenue_yoy_label": "-", "net_income": 23478000.0, "operating_cash_flow": 178884000.0, "free_cash_flow": 266123000.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2023-12-31", "reported_date": "2024-02-01", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": 0.42, "eps_estimate": 0.18, "eps_surprise": 0.24, "surprise_pct": 133.3333, "surprise_label": "+133.3%", "surprise_band": "beat", "eps_yoy": null, "eps_yoy_label": "-", "one_week_reaction": 8.191568047337277, "one_week_reaction_label": "+8.2%", "four_week_reaction": 11.852810650887582, "four_week_reaction_label": "+11.9%", "confirmation": "confirmed", "revenue": 751787000.0, "revenue_yoy": null, "revenue_yoy_label": "-", "net_income": 17516000.0, "operating_cash_flow": 224427000.0, "free_cash_flow": 319647000.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2024-03-31", "reported_date": "2024-04-25", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": 1.45, "eps_estimate": 1.19, "eps_surprise": 0.26, "surprise_pct": 21.8487, "surprise_label": "+21.8%", "surprise_band": "beat", "eps_yoy": null, "eps_yoy_label": "-", "one_week_reaction": 6.5528714017069305, "one_week_reaction_label": "+6.6%", "four_week_reaction": 10.328366845074498, "four_week_reaction_label": "+10.3%", "confirmation": "confirmed", "revenue": 803614000.0, "revenue_yoy": null, "revenue_yoy_label": "-", "net_income": 60298000.0, "operating_cash_flow": 157648000.0, "free_cash_flow": 206002000.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2024-06-30", "reported_date": "2024-07-25", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": 1.82, "eps_estimate": 1.75, "eps_surprise": 0.07, "surprise_pct": 4.0, "surprise_label": "+4.0%", "surprise_band": "beat", "eps_yoy": null, "eps_yoy_label": "-", "one_week_reaction": -6.823700825643522, "one_week_reaction_label": "-6.8%", "four_week_reaction": -11.983972802331234, "four_week_reaction_label": "-12.0%", "confirmation": "diverged", "revenue": 867118000.0, "revenue_yoy": null, "revenue_yoy_label": "-", "net_income": 75578000.0, "operating_cash_flow": 165314000.0, "free_cash_flow": 189515000.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2024-09-30", "reported_date": "2024-10-31", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": 2.16, "eps_estimate": 1.95, "eps_surprise": 0.21, "surprise_pct": 10.7692, "surprise_label": "+10.8%", "surprise_band": "beat", "eps_yoy": 292.72727272727275, "eps_yoy_label": "+292.7%", "one_week_reaction": 7.786405701521107, "one_week_reaction_label": "+7.8%", "four_week_reaction": 19.029890437187532, "four_week_reaction_label": "+19.0%", "confirmation": "confirmed", "revenue": 912786000.0, "revenue_yoy": 19.136067535837302, "revenue_yoy_label": "+19.1%", "net_income": 89709000.0, "operating_cash_flow": 183603000.0, "free_cash_flow": 280155000.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2024-12-31", "reported_date": "2025-01-30", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": 2.34, "eps_estimate": 1.81, "eps_surprise": 0.53, "surprise_pct": 29.2818, "surprise_label": "+29.3%", "surprise_band": "beat", "eps_yoy": 457.1428571428571, "eps_yoy_label": "+457.1%", "one_week_reaction": 5.967925685741831, "one_week_reaction_label": "+6.0%", "four_week_reaction": -15.301025326439396, "four_week_reaction_label": "-15.3%", "confirmation": "confirmed", "revenue": 944402000.0, "revenue_yoy": 25.620953807394915, "revenue_yoy_label": "+25.6%", "net_income": 97377000.0, "operating_cash_flow": 185897000.0, "free_cash_flow": 360616000.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2025-03-31", "reported_date": "2025-04-24", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": 2.42, "eps_estimate": 2.05, "eps_surprise": 0.37, "surprise_pct": 18.0488, "surprise_label": "+18.0%", "surprise_band": "beat", "eps_yoy": 66.89655172413794, "eps_yoy_label": "+66.9%", "one_week_reaction": 2.974935582103545, "one_week_reaction_label": "+3.0%", "four_week_reaction": 20.250644178964635, "four_week_reaction_label": "+20.3%", "confirmation": "confirmed", "revenue": 948455000.0, "revenue_yoy": 18.02370292204964, "revenue_yoy_label": "+18.0%", "net_income": 100551000.0, "operating_cash_flow": 171023000.0, "free_cash_flow": 249473000.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2025-06-30", "reported_date": "2025-07-24", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": 2.91, "eps_estimate": 2.4, "eps_surprise": 0.51, "surprise_pct": 21.25, "surprise_label": "+21.2%", "surprise_band": "beat", "eps_yoy": 59.89010989010989, "eps_yoy_label": "+59.9%", "one_week_reaction": -0.7512152010605466, "one_week_reaction_label": "-0.8%", "four_week_reaction": 2.960671674768002, "four_week_reaction_label": "+3.0%", "confirmation": "contained", "revenue": 1035227000.0, "revenue_yoy": 19.387096104567085, "revenue_yoy_label": "+19.4%", "net_income": 120269000.0, "operating_cash_flow": 257060000.0, "free_cash_flow": 451506000.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2025-09-30", "reported_date": "2025-10-30", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": 2.81, "eps_estimate": 2.56, "eps_surprise": 0.25, "surprise_pct": 9.7656, "surprise_label": "+9.8%", "surprise_band": "beat", "eps_yoy": 30.092592592592588, "eps_yoy_label": "+30.1%", "one_week_reaction": 0.12954658694569973, "one_week_reaction_label": "+0.1%", "four_week_reaction": -4.942700548081708, "four_week_reaction_label": "-4.9%", "confirmation": "contained", "revenue": 1050029000.0, "revenue_yoy": 15.03561623425425, "revenue_yoy_label": "+15.0%", "net_income": 116358000.0, "operating_cash_flow": 280777000.0, "free_cash_flow": 403058000.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2025-12-31", "reported_date": "2026-01-29", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": 2.21, "eps_estimate": 2.24, "eps_surprise": -0.03, "surprise_pct": -1.3393, "surprise_label": "-1.3%", "surprise_band": "miss", "eps_yoy": -5.555555555555551, "eps_yoy_label": "-5.6%", "one_week_reaction": -5.056069250442652, "one_week_reaction_label": "-5.1%", "four_week_reaction": 1.5443635648239302, "four_week_reaction_label": "+1.5%", "confirmation": "confirmed", "revenue": 1024491000.0, "revenue_yoy": 8.480392883539, "revenue_yoy_label": "+8.5%", "net_income": 91156000.0, "operating_cash_flow": 231504000.0, "free_cash_flow": 489693000.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2026-03-31", "reported_date": "2026-04-23", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": 2.5, "eps_estimate": 2.17, "eps_surprise": 0.33, "surprise_pct": 15.2074, "surprise_label": "+15.2%", "surprise_band": "beat", "eps_yoy": 3.305785123966945, "eps_yoy_label": "+3.3%", "one_week_reaction": -13.30312185297079, "one_week_reaction_label": "-13.3%", "four_week_reaction": -18.177240684793553, "four_week_reaction_label": "-18.2%", "confirmation": "diverged", "revenue": 1013177000.0, "revenue_yoy": 6.823939986609802, "revenue_yoy_label": "+6.8%", "net_income": 101692000.0, "operating_cash_flow": 144477000.0, "free_cash_flow": 253089000.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2026-06-30", "reported_date": "2026-07-23", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": 2.54, "eps_estimate": 2.7, "eps_surprise": -0.16, "surprise_pct": -5.9259, "surprise_label": "-5.9%", "surprise_band": "miss", "eps_yoy": -12.714776632302408, "eps_yoy_label": "-12.7%", "one_week_reaction": 6.602900339401422, "one_week_reaction_label": "+6.6%", "four_week_reaction": null, "four_week_reaction_label": "-", "confirmation": "diverged", "revenue": 1102751000.0, "revenue_yoy": 6.522627404424345, "revenue_yoy_label": "+6.5%", "net_income": 100700000.0, "operating_cash_flow": 291862000.0, "free_cash_flow": 436233000.0, "currency": "USD"}], "charts": {"quarters": ["2023-09-30", "2023-12-31", "2024-03-31", "2024-06-30", "2024-09-30", "2024-12-31", "2025-03-31", "2025-06-30", "2025-09-30", "2025-12-31", "2026-03-31", "2026-06-30"], "eps_actual": [0.55, 0.42, 1.45, 1.82, 2.16, 2.34, 2.42, 2.91, 2.81, 2.21, 2.5, 2.54], "eps_estimate": [0.42, 0.18, 1.19, 1.75, 1.95, 1.81, 2.05, 2.4, 2.56, 2.24, 2.17, 2.7], "surprise": [30.9524, 133.3333, 21.8487, 4.0, 10.7692, 29.2818, 18.0488, 21.25, 9.7656, -1.3393, 15.2074, -5.9259], "reaction_1w": [13.50698174006445, 8.191568047337277, 6.5528714017069305, -6.823700825643522, 7.786405701521107, 5.967925685741831, 2.974935582103545, -0.7512152010605466, 0.12954658694569973, -5.056069250442652, -13.30312185297079, 6.602900339401422], "reaction_4w": [24.999999999999986, 11.852810650887582, 10.328366845074498, -11.983972802331234, 19.029890437187532, -15.301025326439396, 20.250644178964635, 2.960671674768002, -4.942700548081708, 1.5443635648239302, -18.177240684793553, null], "revenue": [766.17, 751.79, 803.61, 867.12, 912.79, 944.4, 948.46, 1035.23, 1050.03, 1024.49, 1013.18, 1102.75], "net_income": [23.48, 17.52, 60.3, 75.58, 89.71, 97.38, 100.55, 120.27, 116.36, 91.16, 101.69, 100.7], "financial_unit": "millions", "scatter": [{"x": 30.9524, "y": 13.50698174006445, "label": "2023-09-30"}, {"x": 133.3333, "y": 8.191568047337277, "label": "2023-12-31"}, {"x": 21.8487, "y": 6.5528714017069305, "label": "2024-03-31"}, {"x": 4.0, "y": -6.823700825643522, "label": "2024-06-30"}, {"x": 10.7692, "y": 7.786405701521107, "label": "2024-09-30"}, {"x": 29.2818, "y": 5.967925685741831, "label": "2024-12-31"}, {"x": 18.0488, "y": 2.974935582103545, "label": "2025-03-31"}, {"x": 21.25, "y": -0.7512152010605466, "label": "2025-06-30"}, {"x": 9.7656, "y": 0.12954658694569973, "label": "2025-09-30"}, {"x": -1.3393, "y": -5.056069250442652, "label": "2025-12-31"}, {"x": 15.2074, "y": -13.30312185297079, "label": "2026-03-31"}, {"x": -5.9259, "y": 6.602900339401422, "label": "2026-06-30"}], "earnings_price": {"available": false, "dates": [], "price_index": [], "eps_index": [], "gap": [], "quarter_markers": [], "bridge_labels": [], "bridge_values": []}}, "earnings_price": {"available": false, "reason": "Earnings power must be positive at the start of the three-year window."}, "disclaimer": "Earnings intelligence is descriptive market research. It is not a forecast, recommendation or trading instruction."}