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"tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2025-07-18", "periodEnd": "2025-06-30", "earningsChangePct": 8.914728682170537, "surprisePct": 16.083916083916083, "immediateReturnPct": 3.073369179472474, "forward4WeekPct": 4.866494399854782, "forward13WeekPct": 17.652486585425244, "toDateReturnPct": 45.44805765827, "weeksSince": 55, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -77.19687425111135, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive four-week response", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2025-10-24", "periodEnd": "2025-09-30", "earningsChangePct": 9.074733096085396, "surprisePct": 12.925170068027208, "immediateReturnPct": 1.242753399496066, "forward4WeekPct": -4.231358553695907, "forward13WeekPct": -1.9758984815212433, "toDateReturnPct": 23.625145442772187, "weeksSince": 41, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -103.5667769813507, "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "status": "Non-positive four-week response", "tone": "opportunity"}, {"date": "2026-01-23", "periodEnd": "2025-12-31", "earningsChangePct": 4.078303425774887, "surprisePct": 9.790209790209799, "immediateReturnPct": -9.611835548830893, "forward4WeekPct": 5.567175031107352, "forward13WeekPct": -12.335291573790496, "toDateReturnPct": 13.994923732858776, "weeksSince": 28, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -82.75922278902814, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive four-week response", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2026-04-24", "periodEnd": "2026-03-31", "earningsChangePct": 5.799373040752354, "surprisePct": 16.25, "immediateReturnPct": -6.421596028014331, "forward4WeekPct": -0.42416072074442646, "forward13WeekPct": 16.308815309242775, "toDateReturnPct": 21.684805839608057, "weeksSince": 15, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -58.13044765981914, "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "status": "Non-positive four-week response", "tone": "opportunity"}, {"date": "2026-07-17", "periodEnd": "2026-06-30", "earningsChangePct": 5.3333333333333455, "surprisePct": 8.602150537634405, "immediateReturnPct": -2.9058925042447226, "forward4WeekPct": null, "forward13WeekPct": null, "toDateReturnPct": 3.008879115985197, "weeksSince": 3, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -117.05178964429109, "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "status": "Non-positive initial response", "tone": "opportunity"}], "latestEvent": {"date": "2026-07-17", "periodEnd": "2026-06-30", "earningsChangePct": 5.3333333333333455, "surprisePct": 8.602150537634405, "immediateReturnPct": -2.9058925042447226, "forward4WeekPct": null, "forward13WeekPct": null, "toDateReturnPct": 3.008879115985197, "weeksSince": 3, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -117.05178964429109, "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "status": "Non-positive initial response", "tone": "opportunity"}, "freshImprovementAwaitingConfirmation": false, "improvementConfirmationReversed": false, "summary": "Across completed four-week windows, 3 improving updates had a non-positive price response; 7 had a meaningful positive price response."}, "professional": {"peerContext": {"available": true, "cohort": "Aerospace & Defense", "population": 25, "spreadPercentile": 33.3, "qualityPercentile": 4.2, "rarityPercentile": 66.7, "currentOneYearSpread": -19.436864, "lead": "price", "relatedSignals": [{"tickerId": 3457, "symbol": "RTX", "name": "RTX Corporation", "spread": -20.415551999999998, "lead": "price", "quality": 100}, {"tickerId": 1699, "symbol": "GD", "name": "General Dynamics Corporation", "spread": -16.662362999999996, "lead": "price", "quality": 100}, {"tickerId": 1993, "symbol": "HWM", "name": "Howmet Aerospace\u00a0Inc", "spread": -22.264065000000006, "lead": "price", "quality": 100}, {"tickerId": 5898, "symbol": "ESLT", "name": "Elbit Systems Ltd", "spread": -26.032745000000002, "lead": "price", "quality": 100}, {"tickerId": 909, "symbol": "CW", "name": "Curtiss-Wright Corporation", "spread": -26.719488000000002, "lead": "price", "quality": 100}, {"tickerId": 2703, "symbol": "MOG-B", "name": "Moog Inc", "spread": -33.231714999999994, "lead": "price", "quality": 100}, {"tickerId": 2702, "symbol": "MOG-A", "name": "Moog Inc", "spread": -34.739166, "lead": "price", "quality": 100}, {"tickerId": 6150, "symbol": "FTAI", "name": "FTAI Aviation Ltd.", "spread": -51.49695, "lead": "price", "quality": 25}]}, "historicalOutcomes": {"available": false, "sampleSize": 0, "historyWeeks": 156, "horizons": []}, "transitions": [{"date": "2023-08-18", "key": "balanced", "label": "Broadly aligned", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2023-10-27", "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "label": "Earnings ahead", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2024-01-26", "key": "confirmed_compounding", "label": "Confirmed compounding", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2024-04-26", "key": "expectations_ahead", "label": "Expectations ahead", "tone": "caution"}], "dataIntegrity": {"asOf": "2026-08-07", "exactReportDates": 13, "estimatedReportDates": 0, "coverage": 100}}, "alerts": [{"key": "expectations_stretched", "label": "Expectations stretched", "tone": "caution", "explanation": "Price has moved materially faster than delivered earnings power."}]}, "disclaimer": "Earnings intelligence is descriptive market research. It is not a forecast, recommendation or trading instruction."}