{"ticker": {"uuid": "0c30525e-bb29-4e07-ada3-96c6e14349f7", "symbol": "VCEL", "name": "Vericel Corp Ord", "sector": "Healthcare", "industry": "Biotechnology", "currency": "USD"}, "next_event": null, "profile": {"sample": 12, "measured": 12, "beats": 9, "misses": 2, "inline": 1, "beat_rate": 75.0, "beat_rate_label": "75.0%", "average_surprise": 37.3, "average_surprise_label": "+37.3%", "median_surprise": 22.5, "surprise_dispersion": 59.8, "average_reaction": -0.3, "average_reaction_label": "-0.3%", "average_abs_reaction": 7.6, "positive_response_rate": 33.3, "confirmation_rate": 40.0, "reaction_sample": 12, "streak": {"count": 2, "band": "beat", "label": "2 consecutive beats"}, "profile": "Delivery strong, expectations demanding", "profile_tone": "caution", "profile_text": "Results have usually cleared estimates, but price has not consistently rewarded the delivery."}, "event_risk": {"score": 0, "band": "Inactive", "tone": "neutral", "days": null, "proximity_component": 0, "reaction_component": 0, "variability_component": 0, "uncertainty_component": 0, "explanation": "Event risk is inactive until a forward report date is stored."}, "evidence": {"score": 100, "band": "Deep", "exact": 12, "surprise": 12, "reaction": 12, "financial": 12, "total": 12}, "factor_context": {"available": true, "as_of": "2026-08-09", "eps_growth_1y": 240.8, "revenue_growth_1y": 23.0, "cash_conversion": 3.7, "net_margin": 7.9, "earnings_yield": 1.1, "eps_surprise_avg": -4.1, "sue_score": 0.36, "pe_ratio": 95.3, "completeness": 100.0, "source": "alphavantage"}, "market_context": {"available": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "close": 45.09, "currency": "USD", "return_13w": 34.8, "fair_value": 41.868077, "fair_value_gap": 7.7, "relative_strength": 7.2, "trend_signal": "Active", "expectation_direction": "undecided", "expectation_probability": 50.0}, "records": [{"period_end": "2023-09-30", "reported_date": "2023-11-08", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": -0.05, "eps_estimate": -0.12, "eps_surprise": 0.07, "surprise_pct": 58.3333, "surprise_label": "+58.3%", "surprise_band": "beat", "eps_yoy": null, "eps_yoy_label": "-", "one_week_reaction": -8.003255561584382, "one_week_reaction_label": "-8.0%", "four_week_reaction": -3.36408030385242, "four_week_reaction_label": "-3.4%", "confirmation": "diverged", "revenue": 45581000.0, "revenue_yoy": null, "revenue_yoy_label": "-", "net_income": -3660000.0, "operating_cash_flow": 7169000.0, "free_cash_flow": 13738000.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2023-12-31", "reported_date": "2024-02-29", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": 0.26, "eps_estimate": 0.17, "eps_surprise": 0.09, "surprise_pct": 52.9412, "surprise_label": "+52.9%", "surprise_band": "beat", "eps_yoy": null, "eps_yoy_label": "-", "one_week_reaction": -5.515638207945899, "one_week_reaction_label": "-5.5%", "four_week_reaction": -0.8875739644970451, "four_week_reaction_label": "-0.9%", "confirmation": "diverged", "revenue": 64996000.0, "revenue_yoy": null, "revenue_yoy_label": "-", "net_income": 12993000.0, "operating_cash_flow": 10086000.0, "free_cash_flow": 17921000.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2024-03-31", "reported_date": "2024-05-08", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": -0.08, "eps_estimate": -0.1, "eps_surprise": 0.02, "surprise_pct": 20.0, "surprise_label": "+20.0%", "surprise_band": "beat", "eps_yoy": null, "eps_yoy_label": "-", "one_week_reaction": 0.5644992682416958, "one_week_reaction_label": "+0.6%", "four_week_reaction": -0.27179594396821133, "four_week_reaction_label": "-0.3%", "confirmation": "contained", "revenue": 51281000.0, "revenue_yoy": null, "revenue_yoy_label": "-", "net_income": -3862000.0, "operating_cash_flow": 7202000.0, "free_cash_flow": 21219000.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2024-06-30", "reported_date": "2024-08-01", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": -0.1, "eps_estimate": -0.09, "eps_surprise": -0.01, "surprise_pct": -11.1111, "surprise_label": "-11.1%", "surprise_band": "miss", "eps_yoy": null, "eps_yoy_label": "-", "one_week_reaction": -8.983180428134562, "one_week_reaction_label": "-9.0%", "four_week_reaction": -5.791284403669727, "four_week_reaction_label": "-5.8%", "confirmation": "confirmed", "revenue": 52662000.0, "revenue_yoy": null, "revenue_yoy_label": "-", "net_income": -4682000.0, "operating_cash_flow": 18535000.0, "free_cash_flow": 35296000.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2024-09-30", "reported_date": "2024-11-07", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": -0.02, "eps_estimate": -0.05, "eps_surprise": 0.03, "surprise_pct": 60.0, "surprise_label": "+60.0%", "surprise_band": "beat", "eps_yoy": 60.0, "eps_yoy_label": "+60.0%", "one_week_reaction": 22.755171629915885, "one_week_reaction_label": "+22.8%", "four_week_reaction": 32.1664014548761, "four_week_reaction_label": "+32.2%", "confirmation": "confirmed", "revenue": 57905000.0, "revenue_yoy": 27.03758144841052, "revenue_yoy_label": "+27.0%", "net_income": -901000.0, "operating_cash_flow": 10184000.0, "free_cash_flow": 40962000.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2024-12-31", "reported_date": "2025-02-27", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": 0.38, "eps_estimate": 0.34, "eps_surprise": 0.04, "surprise_pct": 11.7647, "surprise_label": "+11.8%", "surprise_band": "beat", "eps_yoy": 46.15384615384615, "eps_yoy_label": "+46.2%", "one_week_reaction": -1.3653846153846172, "one_week_reaction_label": "-1.4%", "four_week_reaction": -11.038461538461544, "four_week_reaction_label": "-11.0%", "confirmation": "diverged", "revenue": 75376000.0, "revenue_yoy": 15.970213551603177, "revenue_yoy_label": "+16.0%", "net_income": 19807000.0, "operating_cash_flow": 22242000.0, "free_cash_flow": 36029000.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2025-03-31", "reported_date": "2025-05-08", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": -0.23, "eps_estimate": -0.15, "eps_surprise": -0.08, "surprise_pct": -53.3333, "surprise_label": "-53.3%", "surprise_band": "miss", "eps_yoy": -187.50000000000003, "eps_yoy_label": "-187.5%", "one_week_reaction": 7.13735558408214, "one_week_reaction_label": "+7.1%", "four_week_reaction": 6.0205391527599454, "four_week_reaction_label": "+6.0%", "confirmation": "diverged", "revenue": 52598000.0, "revenue_yoy": 2.568202648154287, "revenue_yoy_label": "+2.6%", "net_income": -11246000.0, "operating_cash_flow": 6600000.0, "free_cash_flow": 20812000.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2025-06-30", "reported_date": "2025-07-31", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": -0.01, "eps_estimate": -0.04, "eps_surprise": 0.03, "surprise_pct": 75.0, "surprise_label": "+75.0%", "surprise_band": "beat", "eps_yoy": 90.0, "eps_yoy_label": "+90.0%", "one_week_reaction": -11.191425722831493, "one_week_reaction_label": "-11.2%", "four_week_reaction": -7.701894317048845, "four_week_reaction_label": "-7.7%", "confirmation": "diverged", "revenue": 63240000.0, "revenue_yoy": 20.086589951008317, "revenue_yoy_label": "+20.1%", "net_income": -553000.0, "operating_cash_flow": 8214000.0, "free_cash_flow": 22426000.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2025-09-30", "reported_date": "2025-11-06", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": 0.1, "eps_estimate": -0.01, "eps_surprise": 0.11, "surprise_pct": 8.5019, "surprise_label": "+8.5%", "surprise_band": "beat", "eps_yoy": 600.0, "eps_yoy_label": "+600.0%", "one_week_reaction": 11.066742726754123, "one_week_reaction_label": "+11.1%", "four_week_reaction": 14.803194523673696, "four_week_reaction_label": "+14.8%", "confirmation": "confirmed", "revenue": 67503000.0, "revenue_yoy": 16.575425265521112, "revenue_yoy_label": "+16.6%", "net_income": 5074000.0, "operating_cash_flow": 22082000.0, "free_cash_flow": 24712000.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2025-12-31", "reported_date": "2026-02-26", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": 0.45, "eps_estimate": 0.45, "eps_surprise": 0.0, "surprise_pct": 0.0, "surprise_label": "0.0%", "surprise_band": "in-line", "eps_yoy": 18.42105263157895, "eps_yoy_label": "+18.4%", "one_week_reaction": -6.327119978997121, "one_week_reaction_label": "-6.3%", "four_week_reaction": -17.53741139406669, "four_week_reaction_label": "-17.5%", "confirmation": "contained", "revenue": 92918000.0, "revenue_yoy": 23.272659732540863, "revenue_yoy_label": "+23.3%", "net_income": 23243000.0, "operating_cash_flow": 15014000.0, "free_cash_flow": 29226000.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2026-03-31", "reported_date": "2026-05-07", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": -0.12, "eps_estimate": -0.16, "eps_surprise": 0.04, "surprise_pct": 25.0, "surprise_label": "+25.0%", "surprise_band": "beat", "eps_yoy": 47.82608695652174, "eps_yoy_label": "+47.8%", "one_week_reaction": -5.931965139162214, "one_week_reaction_label": "-5.9%", "four_week_reaction": -6.297441664323874, "four_week_reaction_label": "-6.3%", "confirmation": "diverged", "revenue": 68425000.0, "revenue_yoy": 30.09049773755656, "revenue_yoy_label": "+30.1%", "net_income": -6302000.0, "operating_cash_flow": 16383000.0, "free_cash_flow": 17640000.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2026-06-30", "reported_date": "2026-07-30", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": 0.04, "eps_estimate": -0.04, "eps_surprise": 0.08, "surprise_pct": 200.0, "surprise_label": "+200.0%", "surprise_band": "beat", "eps_yoy": 500.0, "eps_yoy_label": "+500.0%", "one_week_reaction": 2.0199778024417396, "one_week_reaction_label": "+2.0%", "four_week_reaction": null, "four_week_reaction_label": "-", "confirmation": "confirmed", "revenue": 77457000.0, "revenue_yoy": 22.48102466793169, "revenue_yoy_label": "+22.5%", "net_income": 2206000.0, "operating_cash_flow": 16191000.0, "free_cash_flow": 18123000.0, "currency": "USD"}], "charts": {"quarters": ["2023-09-30", "2023-12-31", "2024-03-31", "2024-06-30", "2024-09-30", "2024-12-31", "2025-03-31", "2025-06-30", "2025-09-30", "2025-12-31", "2026-03-31", "2026-06-30"], "eps_actual": [-0.05, 0.26, -0.08, -0.1, -0.02, 0.38, -0.23, -0.01, 0.1, 0.45, -0.12, 0.04], "eps_estimate": [-0.12, 0.17, -0.1, -0.09, -0.05, 0.34, -0.15, -0.04, -0.01, 0.45, -0.16, -0.04], "surprise": [58.3333, 52.9412, 20.0, -11.1111, 60.0, 11.7647, -53.3333, 75.0, 8.5019, 0.0, 25.0, 200.0], "reaction_1w": [-8.003255561584382, -5.515638207945899, 0.5644992682416958, -8.983180428134562, 22.755171629915885, -1.3653846153846172, 7.13735558408214, -11.191425722831493, 11.066742726754123, -6.327119978997121, -5.931965139162214, 2.0199778024417396], "reaction_4w": [-3.36408030385242, -0.8875739644970451, -0.27179594396821133, -5.791284403669727, 32.1664014548761, -11.038461538461544, 6.0205391527599454, -7.701894317048845, 14.803194523673696, -17.53741139406669, -6.297441664323874, null], "revenue": [45.58, 65.0, 51.28, 52.66, 57.91, 75.38, 52.6, 63.24, 67.5, 92.92, 68.42, 77.46], "net_income": [-3.66, 12.99, -3.86, -4.68, -0.9, 19.81, -11.25, -0.55, 5.07, 23.24, -6.3, 2.21], "financial_unit": "millions", "scatter": [{"x": 58.3333, "y": -8.003255561584382, "label": "2023-09-30"}, {"x": 52.9412, "y": -5.515638207945899, "label": "2023-12-31"}, {"x": 20.0, "y": 0.5644992682416958, "label": "2024-03-31"}, {"x": -11.1111, "y": -8.983180428134562, "label": "2024-06-30"}, {"x": 60.0, "y": 22.755171629915885, "label": "2024-09-30"}, {"x": 11.7647, "y": -1.3653846153846172, "label": "2024-12-31"}, {"x": -53.3333, "y": 7.13735558408214, "label": "2025-03-31"}, {"x": 75.0, "y": -11.191425722831493, "label": "2025-06-30"}, {"x": 8.5019, "y": 11.066742726754123, "label": "2025-09-30"}, {"x": 0.0, "y": -6.327119978997121, "label": "2025-12-31"}, {"x": 25.0, "y": -5.931965139162214, "label": "2026-03-31"}, {"x": 200.0, "y": 2.0199778024417396, "label": "2026-06-30"}], "earnings_price": {"available": false, "dates": [], "price_index": [], "eps_index": [], "gap": [], "quarter_markers": [], "bridge_labels": [], "bridge_values": []}}, "earnings_price": {"available": false, "reason": "Earnings power must be positive at the start of the three-year window."}, "disclaimer": "Earnings intelligence is descriptive market research. It is not a forecast, recommendation or trading instruction."}