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-0.5110732538330498, "surprisePct": -0.7407407407407414, "immediateReturnPct": -6.318281785172186, "forward4WeekPct": 5.009301592233162, "forward13WeekPct": -2.9040203742466963, "toDateReturnPct": 3.0856475527472726, "weeksSince": 92, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -18.6211468544425, "key": "mixed", "status": "Mixed response", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2025-02-07", "periodEnd": "2024-12-31", "earningsChangePct": -6.164383561643827, "surprisePct": -52.20588235294118, "immediateReturnPct": 2.6601537266164765, "forward4WeekPct": 6.033664578673892, "forward13WeekPct": 0.17212355993347916, "toDateReturnPct": 6.168811468899693, "weeksSince": 78, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -32.917769638259855, "key": "resisted_deterioration", "status": "Price resisted deterioration", "tone": "caution"}, {"date": "2025-05-02", "periodEnd": "2025-03-31", "earningsChangePct": -11.31386861313869, "surprisePct": 2.1276595744680873, "immediateReturnPct": 6.286751503467247, "forward4WeekPct": 3.0490017932333746, "forward13WeekPct": -5.971668458973955, "toDateReturnPct": 8.752417183845251, "weeksSince": 66, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -45.392444682294865, "key": "resisted_deterioration", "status": "Price resisted deterioration", "tone": "caution"}, {"date": "2025-08-01", "periodEnd": "2025-06-30", "earningsChangePct": 1.0288065843621297, "surprisePct": 4.964539007092203, "immediateReturnPct": -10.569219204060943, "forward4WeekPct": -5.869853105781231, "forward13WeekPct": -11.451463839194487, "toDateReturnPct": 3.4349267162467223, "weeksSince": 53, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -29.255021687415123, "key": "mixed", "status": "Mixed response", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2025-10-31", "periodEnd": "2025-09-30", "earningsChangePct": 5.0916496945010215, "surprisePct": -4.790419161676638, "immediateReturnPct": -4.870399765292277, "forward4WeekPct": -0.39295701248267534, "forward13WeekPct": -3.880533955756438, "toDateReturnPct": 11.122370345611943, "weeksSince": 40, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -23.637173024496946, "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "status": "Non-positive four-week response", "tone": "opportunity"}, {"date": "2026-02-06", "periodEnd": "2025-12-31", "earningsChangePct": 11.627906976744185, "surprisePct": -14.96598639455782, "immediateReturnPct": 2.4576169577730234, "forward4WeekPct": 1.2943183476697095, "forward13WeekPct": 4.8260912971437975, "toDateReturnPct": 15.608601377854692, "weeksSince": 26, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -17.00266764616906, "key": "mixed", "status": "Mixed response", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2026-05-01", "periodEnd": "2026-03-31", "earningsChangePct": 3.645833333333326, "surprisePct": 15.384615384615383, "immediateReturnPct": 2.2169522653404883, "forward4WeekPct": 5.822783020715039, "forward13WeekPct": 11.266006187101052, "toDateReturnPct": 12.816697341112903, "weeksSince": 14, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -15.930361015996041, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive four-week response", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2026-07-31", "periodEnd": "2026-06-30", "earningsChangePct": 43.55108877721945, "surprisePct": 1.2406947890818814, "immediateReturnPct": -3.175901315341101, "forward4WeekPct": null, "forward13WeekPct": null, "toDateReturnPct": -1.826484018264829, "weeksSince": 1, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 19.650220373627974, "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "status": "Non-positive initial response", "tone": "opportunity"}], "latestEvent": {"date": "2026-07-31", "periodEnd": "2026-06-30", "earningsChangePct": 43.55108877721945, "surprisePct": 1.2406947890818814, "immediateReturnPct": -3.175901315341101, "forward4WeekPct": null, "forward13WeekPct": null, "toDateReturnPct": -1.826484018264829, "weeksSince": 1, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 19.650220373627974, "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "status": "Non-positive initial response", "tone": "opportunity"}, "freshImprovementAwaitingConfirmation": true, "improvementConfirmationReversed": false, "summary": "Across completed four-week windows, 1 improving update had a non-positive price response; 2 had a meaningful positive price response."}, "professional": {"peerContext": {"available": true, "cohort": "Reit - Residential", "population": 11, "spreadPercentile": 0.0, "qualityPercentile": 65.0, "rarityPercentile": 100.0, "currentOneYearSpread": -64.566562, "lead": "price", "relatedSignals": [{"tickerId": 2558, "symbol": "MAA", "name": "Mid-America Apartment Communities Inc", "spread": -28.944716000000003, "lead": "price", "quality": 75}, {"tickerId": 1319, "symbol": "EQR", "name": "Equity Residential", "spread": -23.235339, "lead": "price", "quality": 100}, {"tickerId": 293, "symbol": "AVB", "name": "AvalonBay Communities Inc", "spread": -14.720346000000001, "lead": "price", "quality": 100}]}, "historicalOutcomes": {"available": false, "sampleSize": 0, "historyWeeks": 156, "horizons": []}, "transitions": [{"date": "2023-08-18", "key": "balanced", "label": "Broadly aligned", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2023-10-27", "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "label": "Earnings ahead", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2024-02-09", "key": "shared_contraction", "label": "Shared contraction", "tone": "negative"}, {"date": "2024-05-03", "key": "confirmed_compounding", "label": "Confirmed compounding", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2024-08-02", "key": "expectations_ahead", "label": "Expectations ahead", "tone": "caution"}, {"date": "2025-05-02", "key": "fundamental_fracture", "label": "Fundamental fracture", "tone": "negative"}, {"date": "2026-02-06", "key": "expectations_ahead", "label": "Expectations ahead", "tone": "caution"}, {"date": "2026-07-31", "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "label": "Earnings ahead", "tone": "positive"}], "dataIntegrity": {"asOf": "2026-08-07", "exactReportDates": 13, "estimatedReportDates": 0, "coverage": 100}}, "alerts": [{"key": "quality_confirmed", "label": "Business quality supportive", "tone": "positive", "explanation": "Cash generation and operating evidence are broadly supportive."}, {"key": "improvement_awaiting_confirmation", "label": "Fresh improvement awaiting confirmation", "tone": "opportunity", "explanation": "Earnings improved at the latest reported update, but market price remains below its pre-update level."}]}, "disclaimer": "Earnings intelligence is descriptive market research. It is not a forecast, recommendation or trading instruction."}