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"2025-04-25", "periodEnd": "2025-03-31", "earningsChangePct": 19.491525423728806, "surprisePct": 30.0, "immediateReturnPct": 8.306961892431385, "forward4WeekPct": 16.693036107964843, "forward13WeekPct": 26.89873374692069, "toDateReturnPct": 69.80635117345146, "weeksSince": 76, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -8.592370094606068, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive four-week response", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2025-08-01", "periodEnd": "2025-06-30", "earningsChangePct": 28.368794326241154, "surprisePct": 4.878048780487809, "immediateReturnPct": -8.977557257152869, "forward4WeekPct": 4.987531109197096, "forward13WeekPct": 15.274314021916124, "toDateReturnPct": 33.81248666523589, "weeksSince": 62, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 9.492425664704157, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive four-week response", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2025-10-31", "periodEnd": "2025-09-30", "earningsChangePct": 8.287292817679548, "surprisePct": 23.076923076923066, "immediateReturnPct": 6.570606352737385, "forward4WeekPct": 11.873197681844761, "forward13WeekPct": 4.233344086252089, "toDateReturnPct": 23.70906704134064, "weeksSince": 49, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -8.216805797908307, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive four-week response", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2026-01-30", "periodEnd": "2025-12-31", "earningsChangePct": -1.5306122448979553, "surprisePct": 16.27906976744186, "immediateReturnPct": -2.1750952615226526, "forward4WeekPct": -0.4350179585388414, "forward13WeekPct": 2.5279112597271336, "toDateReturnPct": 16.10322785567455, "weeksSince": 36, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -7.245594646910774, "key": "mixed", "status": "Mixed response", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2026-05-01", "periodEnd": "2026-03-31", "earningsChangePct": -5.181347150259064, "surprisePct": 2.4390243902439046, "immediateReturnPct": 2.0032476391502296, "forward4WeekPct": 2.7612332323422084, "forward13WeekPct": 15.889954598886092, "toDateReturnPct": 15.509095593162048, "weeksSince": 23, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -19.3370163743637, "key": "resisted_deterioration", "status": "Price resisted deterioration", "tone": "caution"}, {"date": "2026-07-31", "periodEnd": "2026-06-30", "earningsChangePct": 0.5464480874316946, "surprisePct": 7.317073170731714, "immediateReturnPct": 1.3320647002854402, "forward4WeekPct": 0.6279590865842177, "forward13WeekPct": null, "toDateReturnPct": 0.9990485252140857, "weeksSince": 10, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -36.53591464216309, "key": "mixed", "status": "Mixed response", "tone": "neutral"}], "latestEvent": {"date": "2026-07-31", "periodEnd": "2026-06-30", "earningsChangePct": 0.5464480874316946, "surprisePct": 7.317073170731714, "immediateReturnPct": 1.3320647002854402, "forward4WeekPct": 0.6279590865842177, "forward13WeekPct": null, "toDateReturnPct": 0.9990485252140857, "weeksSince": 10, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -36.53591464216309, "key": "mixed", "status": "Mixed response", "tone": "neutral"}, "freshImprovementAwaitingConfirmation": false, "improvementConfirmationReversed": false, "summary": "Across completed four-week windows, 0 improving updates had a non-positive price response; 4 had a meaningful positive price response."}, "professional": {"peerContext": {"available": true, "cohort": "Banks - Regional", "population": 27, "spreadPercentile": 92.3, "qualityPercentile": 40.4, "rarityPercentile": 92.3, "currentOneYearSpread": 60.566789, "lead": "earnings", "relatedSignals": [{"tickerId": 8722, "symbol": "UMBF", "name": "UMB Financial Corporation", "spread": 61.885795, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 100}, {"tickerId": 1893, "symbol": "HDB", "name": "HDFC Bank Limited ADR", "spread": 52.865564, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 100}, {"tickerId": 2916, "symbol": "NU", "name": "Nu Holdings Ltd", "spread": 48.783232000000005, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 37.5}, {"tickerId": 940, "symbol": "DB", "name": "Deutsche Bank AG", "spread": 28.598163999999997, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 0}, {"tickerId": 1498, "symbol": "FHN", "name": "First Horizon Corporation", "spread": 19.515474, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 75}, {"tickerId": 2035, "symbol": "IBN", "name": "ICICI Bank Limited", "spread": 15.395313999999999, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 75}, {"tickerId": 6386, "symbol": "HBAN", "name": "Huntington Bancshares Incorporated", "spread": 12.641839, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 100}, {"tickerId": 563, "symbol": "BSBR", "name": "Banco Santander Brasil SA ADR", "spread": 134.865662, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 100}]}, "historicalOutcomes": {"available": true, "sampleSize": 5, "historyWeeks": 156, "horizons": [{"weeks": 13, "observations": 5, "medianReturn": 13.25626204238921, "positiveRate": 100.0, "downsideDecile": 1.3873737012620735, "bestReturn": 28.46715328467151, "worstReturn": 1.3873737012620735}], "note": "Comparable outcomes use the available three-year peer history, are descriptive, include overlapping periods and are not a forecast."}, "transitions": [{"date": "2023-10-20", "key": "balanced", "label": "Broadly aligned", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2023-10-27", "key": "shared_contraction", "label": "Shared contraction", "tone": "negative"}, {"date": "2024-03-22", "key": "fundamental_fracture", "label": "Fundamental fracture", "tone": "negative"}, {"date": "2025-04-25", "key": "shared_contraction", "label": "Shared contraction", "tone": "negative"}, {"date": "2025-08-01", "key": "confirmed_compounding", "label": "Confirmed compounding", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2026-05-01", "key": "expectations_ahead", "label": "Expectations ahead", "tone": "caution"}], "dataIntegrity": {"asOf": "2026-10-09", "exactReportDates": 13, "estimatedReportDates": 0, "coverage": 100}}, "alerts": [{"key": "expectations_elevated", "label": "Expectations elevated", "tone": "caution", "explanation": "Price is leading delivered earnings power by a meaningful margin."}]}, "disclaimer": "Earnings intelligence is descriptive market research. It is not a forecast, recommendation or trading instruction."}