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"earningsChangePct": -35.258724428399525, "surprisePct": 117.07317073170734, "immediateReturnPct": 3.4617480956818936, "forward4WeekPct": 17.79821793746692, "forward13WeekPct": 30.095783307912825, "toDateReturnPct": 221.31338942714473, "weeksSince": 68, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -71.15645983832492, "key": "resisted_deterioration", "status": "Price resisted deterioration", "tone": "caution"}, {"date": "2025-07-25", "periodEnd": "2025-06-30", "earningsChangePct": -7.99256505576208, "surprisePct": 28.81355932203389, "immediateReturnPct": -2.86007507482815, "forward4WeekPct": 0.2848656713848152, "forward13WeekPct": 18.000455189614527, "toDateReturnPct": 139.91829506519383, "weeksSince": 55, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -95.67707779720203, "key": "resisted_deterioration", "status": "Price resisted deterioration", "tone": "caution"}, {"date": "2025-10-24", "periodEnd": "2025-09-30", "earningsChangePct": 50.90909090909091, "surprisePct": 20.00000000000001, "immediateReturnPct": 8.417315938633685, "forward4WeekPct": 10.665777593478222, "forward13WeekPct": 19.36846594803732, "toDateReturnPct": 120.43387505365119, "weeksSince": 42, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -111.2439674363907, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive four-week response", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2026-01-30", "periodEnd": "2025-12-31", "earningsChangePct": 42.57028112449801, "surprisePct": 16.819571865443418, "immediateReturnPct": -3.025282190797296, "forward4WeekPct": 10.05660449303889, "forward13WeekPct": 32.768148311073666, "toDateReturnPct": 84.66675708943853, "weeksSince": 28, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -109.63554941688918, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive four-week response", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2026-05-01", "periodEnd": "2026-03-31", "earningsChangePct": 31.26760563380282, "surprisePct": 33.54430379746834, "immediateReturnPct": 4.6724609724475785, "forward4WeekPct": 4.319934418801519, "forward13WeekPct": 33.32941540577974, "toDateReturnPct": 45.58856299678098, "weeksSince": 15, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -152.15583244455604, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive four-week response", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2026-07-31", "periodEnd": "2026-06-30", "earningsChangePct": 73.39055793991413, "surprisePct": 27.0516717325228, "immediateReturnPct": 3.8347107770411393, "forward4WeekPct": null, "forward13WeekPct": null, "toDateReturnPct": 13.381929150500627, "weeksSince": 2, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -171.82840969974973, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive initial response", "tone": "positive"}], "latestEvent": {"date": "2026-07-31", "periodEnd": "2026-06-30", "earningsChangePct": 73.39055793991413, "surprisePct": 27.0516717325228, "immediateReturnPct": 3.8347107770411393, "forward4WeekPct": null, "forward13WeekPct": null, "toDateReturnPct": 13.381929150500627, "weeksSince": 2, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -171.82840969974973, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive initial response", "tone": "positive"}, "freshImprovementAwaitingConfirmation": false, "improvementConfirmationReversed": false, "summary": "Across completed four-week windows, 0 improving updates had a non-positive price response; 3 had a meaningful positive price response."}, "professional": {"peerContext": {"available": true, "cohort": "Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing", "population": 8, "spreadPercentile": 100.0, "qualityPercentile": 71.4, "rarityPercentile": 100.0, "currentOneYearSpread": 689.754991, "lead": "earnings", "relatedSignals": [{"tickerId": 3829, "symbol": "SUN", "name": "Sunoco LP", "spread": 247.34269700000002, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 100}, {"tickerId": 3236, "symbol": "PSX", "name": "Phillips 66", "spread": 217.39200299999996, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 100}, {"tickerId": 2713, "symbol": "MPC", "name": "Marathon Petroleum Corp", "spread": 177.42340299999998, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 87.5}, {"tickerId": 3592, "symbol": "SGU", "name": "Star Gas Partners LP", "spread": 23.107971000000003, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 75}]}, "historicalOutcomes": {"available": false, "sampleSize": 0, "historyWeeks": 156, "horizons": []}, "transitions": [{"date": "2023-08-25", "key": "balanced", "label": "Broadly aligned", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2024-01-26", "key": "fundamental_fracture", "label": "Fundamental fracture", "tone": "negative"}], "dataIntegrity": {"asOf": "2026-08-14", "exactReportDates": 13, "estimatedReportDates": 0, "coverage": 100}}, "alerts": [{"key": "fundamental_fracture", "label": "Fundamental fracture", "tone": "negative", "explanation": "Earnings have weakened while price has not adjusted to the same degree."}]}, "disclaimer": "Earnings intelligence is descriptive market research. It is not a forecast, recommendation or trading instruction."}