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"surprisePct": 12.121212121212114, "immediateReturnPct": 13.318565050301046, "forward4WeekPct": 21.694587069460948, "forward13WeekPct": 12.218485133862501, "toDateReturnPct": 94.39133700724018, "weeksSince": 93, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -124.6251481769898, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive four-week response", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2025-02-07", "periodEnd": "2024-12-31", "earningsChangePct": -1.1194029850746356, "surprisePct": 5.357142857142842, "immediateReturnPct": 1.9301581912378296, "forward4WeekPct": 4.203173888440204, "forward13WeekPct": -4.475115488905301, "toDateReturnPct": 77.845126161421, "weeksSince": 78, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -121.986407247952, "key": "mixed", "status": "Mixed response", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2025-04-25", "periodEnd": "2025-03-31", "earningsChangePct": 3.396226415094361, "surprisePct": 6.060606060606049, "immediateReturnPct": 2.903453428464675, "forward4WeekPct": 6.9203670135703055, 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"weeksSince": 41, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -166.96195058919525, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive four-week response", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2026-02-06", "periodEnd": "2025-12-31", "earningsChangePct": 2.2012578616352085, "surprisePct": -21.428571428571423, "immediateReturnPct": -13.427354444285744, "forward4WeekPct": -15.807257904667749, "forward13WeekPct": 3.7752367513363083, "toDateReturnPct": 1.73621833310591, "weeksSince": 26, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -205.8269971977545, "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "status": "Non-positive four-week response", "tone": "opportunity"}, {"date": "2026-04-24", "periodEnd": "2026-03-31", "earningsChangePct": 7.3846153846153895, "surprisePct": 27.027027027027025, "immediateReturnPct": 11.37312648441451, "forward4WeekPct": 9.21968405478979, "forward13WeekPct": 4.934802501569502, "toDateReturnPct": 13.045863749539354, "weeksSince": 15, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -248.145556561709, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive four-week response", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2026-07-24", "periodEnd": "2026-06-30", "earningsChangePct": 4.297994269340966, "surprisePct": -50.86956521739131, "immediateReturnPct": 8.083882969727707, "forward4WeekPct": null, "forward13WeekPct": null, "toDateReturnPct": 16.43835616438354, "weeksSince": 2, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -221.10198247982146, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive initial response", "tone": "positive"}], "latestEvent": {"date": "2026-07-24", "periodEnd": "2026-06-30", "earningsChangePct": 4.297994269340966, "surprisePct": -50.86956521739131, "immediateReturnPct": 8.083882969727707, "forward4WeekPct": null, "forward13WeekPct": null, "toDateReturnPct": 16.43835616438354, "weeksSince": 2, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -221.10198247982146, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive initial response", "tone": "positive"}, "freshImprovementAwaitingConfirmation": false, "improvementConfirmationReversed": false, "summary": "Across completed four-week windows, 1 improving update had a non-positive price response; 6 had a meaningful positive price response."}, "professional": {"peerContext": {"available": true, "cohort": "Metal Fabrication", "population": 7, "spreadPercentile": 33.3, "qualityPercentile": 8.3, "rarityPercentile": 66.7, "currentOneYearSpread": -36.384936, "lead": "price", "relatedSignals": [{"tickerId": 1330, "symbol": "ESAB", "name": "ESAB Corp", "spread": -15.559136000000004, "lead": "price", "quality": 100}, {"tickerId": 861, "symbol": "CRS", "name": "Carpenter Technology Corporation", "spread": -89.12922099999999, "lead": "price", "quality": 100}, {"tickerId": 279, "symbol": "ATI", "name": "Allegheny Technologies Incorporated", "spread": -197.974592, "lead": "price", "quality": 100}]}, "historicalOutcomes": {"available": false, "sampleSize": 0, "historyWeeks": 156, "horizons": []}, "transitions": [{"date": "2023-08-18", "key": "balanced", "label": "Broadly aligned", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2024-02-09", "key": "expectations_ahead", "label": "Expectations ahead", "tone": "caution"}, {"date": "2024-04-26", "key": "fundamental_fracture", "label": "Fundamental fracture", "tone": "negative"}, {"date": "2024-10-25", "key": "expectations_ahead", "label": "Expectations ahead", "tone": "caution"}], "dataIntegrity": {"asOf": "2026-08-07", "exactReportDates": 13, "estimatedReportDates": 0, "coverage": 100}}, "alerts": [{"key": "expectations_stretched", "label": "Expectations stretched", "tone": "caution", "explanation": "Price has moved materially faster than delivered earnings power."}]}, "disclaimer": "Earnings intelligence is descriptive market research. It is not a forecast, recommendation or trading instruction."}