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"status": "Mixed response", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2026-02-13", "periodEnd": "2025-12-31", "earningsChangePct": 2.2900763358778553, "surprisePct": 2.020202020202022, "immediateReturnPct": -6.5917217949311935, "forward4WeekPct": -21.762637808571572, "forward13WeekPct": -17.68277663449317, "toDateReturnPct": -33.6447023723107, "weeksSince": 34, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -109.8144509551082, "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "status": "Non-positive four-week response", "tone": "opportunity"}, {"date": "2026-05-08", "periodEnd": "2026-03-31", "earningsChangePct": -6.218905472636804, "surprisePct": -3.260869565217394, "immediateReturnPct": 2.4069581983719335, "forward4WeekPct": -11.39448572915268, "forward13WeekPct": -3.308570252210663, "toDateReturnPct": -21.705983020102238, "weeksSince": 22, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -101.15281641138586, "key": "accepted_deterioration", "status": "Negative four-week response", "tone": "negative"}, {"date": "2026-08-07", "periodEnd": "2026-06-30", "earningsChangePct": 4.244031830238737, "surprisePct": 21.590909090909097, "immediateReturnPct": 3.8461545195805025, "forward4WeekPct": 2.8002598174248217, "forward13WeekPct": null, "toDateReturnPct": -15.912582878742565, "weeksSince": 9, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -86.1059916373721, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive four-week response", "tone": "positive"}], "latestEvent": {"date": "2026-08-07", "periodEnd": "2026-06-30", "earningsChangePct": 4.244031830238737, "surprisePct": 21.590909090909097, "immediateReturnPct": 3.8461545195805025, "forward4WeekPct": 2.8002598174248217, "forward13WeekPct": null, "toDateReturnPct": -15.912582878742565, "weeksSince": 9, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -86.1059916373721, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive four-week response", "tone": "positive"}, "freshImprovementAwaitingConfirmation": false, "improvementConfirmationReversed": true, "summary": "Across completed four-week windows, 2 improving updates had a non-positive price response; 4 had a meaningful positive price response."}, "professional": {"peerContext": {"available": true, "cohort": "Asset Management", "population": 28, "spreadPercentile": 14.8, "qualityPercentile": 0.0, "rarityPercentile": 85.2, "currentOneYearSpread": -40.901990999999995, "lead": "price", "relatedSignals": [{"tickerId": 3817, "symbol": "STT", "name": "State Street Corp", "spread": -38.423374, "lead": "price", "quality": 50}, {"tickerId": 232, "symbol": "APO", "name": "Apollo Global Management LLC Class A", "spread": -44.704815, "lead": "price", "quality": 100}, {"tickerId": 2968, "symbol": "OBDC", "name": "Blue Owl Capital Corporation", "spread": -45.645638, "lead": "price", "quality": 100}, {"tickerId": 4837, "symbol": "ARCC", "name": "Ares Capital Corporation", "spread": -34.931042, "lead": "price", "quality": 75}, {"tickerId": 8171, "symbol": "SEIC", "name": "SEI Investments Company", "spread": -27.920276, "lead": "price", "quality": 100}, {"tickerId": 612, "symbol": "BXSL", "name": "Blackstone Secured Lending Fund", "spread": -53.954658, "lead": "price", "quality": 100}, {"tickerId": 2562, "symbol": "MAIN", "name": "Main Street Capital Corporation", "spread": -18.107018, "lead": "price", "quality": 37.5}, {"tickerId": 1880, "symbol": "HASI", "name": "Hannon Armstrong Sustainable Infrastructure Capital Inc", "spread": -84.861607, "lead": "price", "quality": 87.5}]}, "historicalOutcomes": {"available": true, "sampleSize": 12, "historyWeeks": 156, "horizons": [{"weeks": 13, "observations": 12, "medianReturn": 2.0956208759801975, "positiveRate": 83.33333333333334, "downsideDecile": -1.420601598895721, "bestReturn": 29.254206508365254, "worstReturn": -2.6218951241950172}], "note": "Comparable outcomes use the available three-year peer history, are descriptive, include overlapping periods and are not a forecast."}, "transitions": [{"date": "2023-10-20", "key": "balanced", "label": "Broadly aligned", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2023-11-10", "key": "fundamental_fracture", "label": "Fundamental fracture", "tone": "negative"}, {"date": "2025-05-16", "key": "expectations_ahead", "label": "Expectations ahead", "tone": "caution"}], "dataIntegrity": {"asOf": "2026-10-09", "exactReportDates": 13, "estimatedReportDates": 0, "coverage": 100}}, "alerts": [{"key": "expectations_elevated", "label": "Expectations elevated", "tone": "caution", "explanation": "Price is leading delivered earnings power by a meaningful margin."}]}, "disclaimer": "Earnings intelligence is descriptive market research. It is not a forecast, recommendation or trading instruction."}