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response", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2025-01-17", "periodEnd": "2024-12-31", "earningsChangePct": 5.497699200775008, "surprisePct": 4.192139737991271, "immediateReturnPct": 5.16093928954906, "forward4WeekPct": 1.9128542040598218, "forward13WeekPct": -7.852477488669473, "toDateReturnPct": 22.787494185506098, "weeksSince": 81, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -33.58739663476392, "key": "mixed", "status": "Mixed response", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2025-04-18", "periodEnd": "2025-03-31", "earningsChangePct": 3.420569329660217, "surprisePct": 11.54985192497532, "immediateReturnPct": -0.3413823586022491, "forward4WeekPct": 12.623182119691045, "forward13WeekPct": 26.245993133876212, "toDateReturnPct": 32.79610347282047, "weeksSince": 68, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -10.152676019159045, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive four-week response", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2025-07-18", "periodEnd": "2025-06-30", "earningsChangePct": 3.751387347391799, "surprisePct": 11.470860314523591, "immediateReturnPct": 0.17700884825868624, "forward4WeekPct": 3.0291202071932144, "forward13WeekPct": 5.9024662482692225, "toDateReturnPct": 5.37456359905113, "weeksSince": 55, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -41.80112994829801, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive four-week response", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2025-10-17", "periodEnd": "2025-09-30", "earningsChangePct": 0.19255455712450242, "surprisePct": 2.3029229406554617, "immediateReturnPct": 2.5433607972398686, "forward4WeekPct": -6.572114874219393, "forward13WeekPct": 3.2200227888828925, "toDateReturnPct": 2.032202617998946, "weeksSince": 42, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -51.42290592862159, "key": "mixed", "status": "Mixed response", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2026-01-16", "periodEnd": "2025-12-31", "earningsChangePct": 2.6265214606021825, "surprisePct": 7.957342083675149, "immediateReturnPct": 7.194728587238686, "forward4WeekPct": -1.2524191684348485, "forward13WeekPct": -2.456007188780751, "toDateReturnPct": 5.961168882560264, "weeksSince": 29, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -49.18173968964652, "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "status": "Non-positive four-week response", "tone": "opportunity"}, {"date": "2026-04-17", "periodEnd": "2026-03-31", "earningsChangePct": 2.5593008739076106, "surprisePct": 9.33682373472948, "immediateReturnPct": 5.2866477703239045, "forward4WeekPct": 8.264702659375157, "forward13WeekPct": 7.911544767863732, "toDateReturnPct": 14.37194586714481, "weeksSince": 16, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -29.184172869626963, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive four-week response", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2026-07-17", "periodEnd": "2026-06-30", "earningsChangePct": 3.7735849056603765, "surprisePct": 9.786898184688242, "immediateReturnPct": 3.4832208935344777, "forward4WeekPct": null, "forward13WeekPct": null, "toDateReturnPct": 9.678509038615601, "weeksSince": 3, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -28.143331106395834, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive initial response", "tone": "positive"}], "latestEvent": {"date": "2026-07-17", "periodEnd": "2026-06-30", "earningsChangePct": 3.7735849056603765, "surprisePct": 9.786898184688242, "immediateReturnPct": 3.4832208935344777, "forward4WeekPct": null, "forward13WeekPct": null, "toDateReturnPct": 9.678509038615601, "weeksSince": 3, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -28.143331106395834, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive initial response", "tone": "positive"}, "freshImprovementAwaitingConfirmation": false, "improvementConfirmationReversed": false, "summary": "Across completed four-week windows, 1 improving update had a non-positive price response; 6 had a meaningful positive price response."}, "professional": {"peerContext": {"available": true, "cohort": "Asset Management", "population": 27, "spreadPercentile": 50.0, "qualityPercentile": 17.3, "rarityPercentile": 50.0, "currentOneYearSpread": -0.5034499999999997, "lead": "aligned", "relatedSignals": [{"tickerId": 3385, "symbol": "RJF", "name": "Raymond James Financial Inc.", "spread": -0.030115000000000003, "lead": "aligned", "quality": 100}, {"tickerId": 232, "symbol": "APO", "name": "Apollo Global Management LLC Class A", "spread": -3.3003290000000005, "lead": "aligned", "quality": 100}, {"tickerId": 8614, "symbol": "TROW", "name": "T. Rowe Price Group Inc", "spread": -5.226354999999999, "lead": "aligned", "quality": 100}, {"tickerId": 8787, "symbol": "VCTR", "name": "Victory Capital Holdings Inc", "spread": 7.0327119999999965, "lead": "aligned", "quality": 100}]}, "historicalOutcomes": {"available": false, "sampleSize": 0, "historyWeeks": 156, "horizons": []}, "transitions": [{"date": "2023-08-18", "key": "balanced", "label": "Broadly aligned", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2023-10-20", "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "label": "Earnings ahead", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2024-01-19", "key": "expectations_ahead", "label": "Expectations ahead", "tone": "caution"}, {"date": "2024-04-19", "key": "confirmed_compounding", "label": "Confirmed compounding", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2024-07-19", "key": "expectations_ahead", "label": "Expectations ahead", "tone": "caution"}], "dataIntegrity": {"asOf": "2026-08-07", "exactReportDates": 13, "estimatedReportDates": 0, "coverage": 100}}, "alerts": [{"key": "expectations_elevated", "label": "Expectations elevated", "tone": "caution", "explanation": "Price is leading delivered earnings power by a meaningful margin."}]}, "disclaimer": "Earnings intelligence is descriptive market research. It is not a forecast, recommendation or trading instruction."}