{"ticker": {"uuid": "1ff60772-3a5a-48c2-9bda-c1ecf7adaf1c", "symbol": "MCHX", "name": "Marchex Inc", "sector": "Communication Services", "industry": "Advertising Agencies", "currency": "USD"}, "next_event": null, "profile": {"sample": 12, "measured": 12, "beats": 3, "misses": 5, "inline": 4, "beat_rate": 25.0, "beat_rate_label": "25.0%", "average_surprise": -63.8, "average_surprise_label": "-63.8%", "median_surprise": 0.0, "surprise_dispersion": 196.0, "average_reaction": 0.5, "average_reaction_label": "+0.5%", "average_abs_reaction": 7.0, "positive_response_rate": 41.7, "confirmation_rate": 12.5, "reaction_sample": 12, "streak": {"count": 3, "band": "miss", "label": "3 consecutive misses"}, "profile": "Results and price are diverging", "profile_tone": "caution", "profile_text": "The sign of the earnings surprise has often differed from the direction of the next completed weekly close."}, "event_risk": {"score": 0, "band": "Inactive", "tone": "neutral", "days": null, "proximity_component": 0, "reaction_component": 0, "variability_component": 0, "uncertainty_component": 0, "explanation": "Event risk is inactive until a forward report date is stored."}, "evidence": {"score": 99, "band": "Deep", "exact": 12, "surprise": 12, "reaction": 12, "financial": 11, "total": 12}, "factor_context": {"available": true, "as_of": "2026-08-09", "eps_growth_1y": null, "revenue_growth_1y": -6.9, "cash_conversion": -0.6, "net_margin": -11.1, "earnings_yield": null, "eps_surprise_avg": null, "sue_score": null, "pe_ratio": null, "completeness": 78.6, "source": "alphavantage"}, "market_context": {"available": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.8, "currency": "USD", "return_13w": 13.9, "fair_value": 1.660166, "fair_value_gap": 8.4, "relative_strength": -7.0, "trend_signal": "Active", "expectation_direction": "negative", "expectation_probability": 35.8}, "records": [{"period_end": "2023-06-30", "reported_date": "2023-08-03", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": -0.03, "eps_estimate": -0.06, "eps_surprise": 0.03, "surprise_pct": 50.0, "surprise_label": "+50.0%", "surprise_band": "beat", "eps_yoy": null, "eps_yoy_label": "-", "one_week_reaction": -3.55329949238579, "one_week_reaction_label": "-3.6%", "four_week_reaction": -17.309644670050762, "four_week_reaction_label": "-17.3%", "confirmation": "diverged", "revenue": null, "revenue_yoy": null, "revenue_yoy_label": "-", "net_income": null, "operating_cash_flow": null, "free_cash_flow": null, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2023-09-30", "reported_date": "2023-11-08", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": -0.01, "eps_estimate": -0.03, "eps_surprise": 0.02, "surprise_pct": 66.6667, "surprise_label": "+66.7%", "surprise_band": "beat", "eps_yoy": null, "eps_yoy_label": "-", "one_week_reaction": -3.424657534246579, "one_week_reaction_label": "-3.4%", "four_week_reaction": 8.219178082191789, "four_week_reaction_label": "+8.2%", "confirmation": "diverged", "revenue": 12778000.0, "revenue_yoy": null, "revenue_yoy_label": "-", "net_income": -1547000.0, "operating_cash_flow": -378000.0, "free_cash_flow": -376000.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2023-12-31", "reported_date": "2024-03-14", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": -0.02, "eps_estimate": -0.02, "eps_surprise": 0.0, "surprise_pct": 0.0, "surprise_label": "0.0%", "surprise_band": "in-line", "eps_yoy": null, "eps_yoy_label": "-", "one_week_reaction": -6.474820143884882, "one_week_reaction_label": "-6.5%", "four_week_reaction": 6.474820143884898, "four_week_reaction_label": "+6.5%", "confirmation": "contained", "revenue": 12522000.0, "revenue_yoy": null, "revenue_yoy_label": "-", "net_income": -2744000.0, "operating_cash_flow": -1390000.0, "free_cash_flow": -1260000.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2024-03-31", "reported_date": "2024-05-07", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": -0.02, "eps_estimate": -0.02, "eps_surprise": 0.0, "surprise_pct": 0.0, "surprise_label": "0.0%", "surprise_band": "in-line", "eps_yoy": null, "eps_yoy_label": "-", "one_week_reaction": -7.352941176470594, "one_week_reaction_label": "-7.4%", "four_week_reaction": 1.4705882352941024, "four_week_reaction_label": "+1.5%", "confirmation": "contained", "revenue": 11573000.0, "revenue_yoy": null, "revenue_yoy_label": "-", "net_income": -1450000.0, "operating_cash_flow": -2478000.0, "free_cash_flow": -2474000.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2024-06-30", "reported_date": "2024-08-08", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": -0.01, "eps_estimate": -0.01, "eps_surprise": 0.0, "surprise_pct": 0.0, "surprise_label": "0.0%", "surprise_band": "in-line", "eps_yoy": 66.66666666666666, "eps_yoy_label": "+66.7%", "one_week_reaction": -3.7037037037036953, "one_week_reaction_label": "-3.7%", "four_week_reaction": 4.232804232804237, "four_week_reaction_label": "+4.2%", "confirmation": "contained", "revenue": 12074000.0, "revenue_yoy": null, "revenue_yoy_label": "-", "net_income": -756000.0, "operating_cash_flow": 117000.0, "free_cash_flow": 194000.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2024-09-30", "reported_date": "2024-10-31", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": -0.01, "eps_estimate": -0.01, "eps_surprise": 0.0, "surprise_pct": 0.0, "surprise_label": "0.0%", "surprise_band": "in-line", "eps_yoy": 0.0, "eps_yoy_label": "0.0%", "one_week_reaction": 5.389221556886232, "one_week_reaction_label": "+5.4%", "four_week_reaction": -1.1976047904191627, "four_week_reaction_label": "-1.2%", "confirmation": "contained", "revenue": 12553000.0, "revenue_yoy": -1.7608389419314445, "revenue_yoy_label": "-1.8%", "net_income": -831000.0, "operating_cash_flow": 382000.0, "free_cash_flow": 565000.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2024-12-31", "reported_date": "2025-03-06", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": -0.03, "eps_estimate": -0.02, "eps_surprise": -0.01, "surprise_pct": -50.0, "surprise_label": "-50.0%", "surprise_band": "miss", "eps_yoy": -49.999999999999986, "eps_yoy_label": "-50.0%", "one_week_reaction": 5.527638190954779, "one_week_reaction_label": "+5.5%", "four_week_reaction": -15.577889447236185, "four_week_reaction_label": "-15.6%", "confirmation": "diverged", "revenue": 11922000.0, "revenue_yoy": -4.791566842357451, "revenue_yoy_label": "-4.8%", "net_income": -1910000.0, "operating_cash_flow": 875000.0, "free_cash_flow": 1040000.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2025-03-31", "reported_date": "2025-05-13", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": -0.04, "eps_estimate": -0.02, "eps_surprise": -0.02, "surprise_pct": -100.0, "surprise_label": "-100.0%", "surprise_band": "miss", "eps_yoy": -100.0, "eps_yoy_label": "-100.0%", "one_week_reaction": 16.546762589928075, "one_week_reaction_label": "+16.5%", "four_week_reaction": 37.41007194244605, "four_week_reaction_label": "+37.4%", "confirmation": "diverged", "revenue": 11402000.0, "revenue_yoy": -1.4775771191566578, "revenue_yoy_label": "-1.5%", "net_income": -1982000.0, "operating_cash_flow": -2622000.0, "free_cash_flow": -2333000.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2025-06-30", "reported_date": "2025-08-12", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": 0.02, "eps_estimate": -0.01, "eps_surprise": 0.03, "surprise_pct": 300.0, "surprise_label": "+300.0%", "surprise_band": "beat", "eps_yoy": 300.0, "eps_yoy_label": "+300.0%", "one_week_reaction": -8.920187793427228, "one_week_reaction_label": "-8.9%", "four_week_reaction": -6.103286384976521, "four_week_reaction_label": "-6.1%", "confirmation": "diverged", "revenue": 11655000.0, "revenue_yoy": -3.470266688752692, "revenue_yoy_label": "-3.5%", "net_income": 85000.0, "operating_cash_flow": 803000.0, "free_cash_flow": 1152000.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2025-09-30", "reported_date": "2025-11-13", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": -0.0232, "eps_estimate": 0.01, "eps_surprise": -0.0332, "surprise_pct": -332.0, "surprise_label": "-332.0%", "surprise_band": "miss", "eps_yoy": -131.99999999999997, "eps_yoy_label": "-132.0%", "one_week_reaction": -5.389221556886219, "one_week_reaction_label": "-5.4%", "four_week_reaction": 0.0, "four_week_reaction_label": "0.0%", "confirmation": "confirmed", "revenue": 11514000.0, "revenue_yoy": -8.276905918903847, "revenue_yoy_label": "-8.3%", "net_income": -1020000.0, "operating_cash_flow": 290000.0, "free_cash_flow": 897000.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2025-12-31", "reported_date": "2026-03-25", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": -0.04, "eps_estimate": 0.01, "eps_surprise": -0.05, "surprise_pct": -500.0, "surprise_label": "-500.0%", "surprise_band": "miss", "eps_yoy": -33.33333333333334, "eps_yoy_label": "-33.3%", "one_week_reaction": 14.925373134328353, "one_week_reaction_label": "+14.9%", "four_week_reaction": 25.373134328358198, "four_week_reaction_label": "+25.4%", "confirmation": "diverged", "revenue": 10848000.0, "revenue_yoy": -9.008555611474584, "revenue_yoy_label": "-9.0%", "net_income": -2317000.0, "operating_cash_flow": 121000.0, "free_cash_flow": 1022000.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2026-03-31", "reported_date": "2026-05-13", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": -0.03, "eps_estimate": -0.01, "eps_surprise": -0.02, "surprise_pct": -200.0, "surprise_label": "-200.0%", "surprise_band": "miss", "eps_yoy": 25.000000000000007, "eps_yoy_label": "+25.0%", "one_week_reaction": 2.531645569620255, "one_week_reaction_label": "+2.5%", "four_week_reaction": -3.7974683544303827, "four_week_reaction_label": "-3.8%", "confirmation": "diverged", "revenue": 10618000.0, "revenue_yoy": -6.875986669005438, "revenue_yoy_label": "-6.9%", "net_income": -1724000.0, "operating_cash_flow": -514000.0, "free_cash_flow": -71000.0, "currency": "USD"}], "charts": {"quarters": ["2023-06-30", "2023-09-30", "2023-12-31", "2024-03-31", "2024-06-30", "2024-09-30", "2024-12-31", "2025-03-31", "2025-06-30", "2025-09-30", "2025-12-31", "2026-03-31"], "eps_actual": [-0.03, -0.01, -0.02, -0.02, -0.01, -0.01, -0.03, -0.04, 0.02, -0.0232, -0.04, -0.03], "eps_estimate": [-0.06, -0.03, -0.02, -0.02, -0.01, -0.01, -0.02, -0.02, -0.01, 0.01, 0.01, -0.01], "surprise": [50.0, 66.6667, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, -50.0, -100.0, 300.0, -332.0, -500.0, -200.0], "reaction_1w": [-3.55329949238579, -3.424657534246579, -6.474820143884882, -7.352941176470594, -3.7037037037036953, 5.389221556886232, 5.527638190954779, 16.546762589928075, -8.920187793427228, -5.389221556886219, 14.925373134328353, 2.531645569620255], "reaction_4w": [-17.309644670050762, 8.219178082191789, 6.474820143884898, 1.4705882352941024, 4.232804232804237, -1.1976047904191627, -15.577889447236185, 37.41007194244605, -6.103286384976521, 0.0, 25.373134328358198, -3.7974683544303827], "revenue": [null, 12.78, 12.52, 11.57, 12.07, 12.55, 11.92, 11.4, 11.65, 11.51, 10.85, 10.62], "net_income": [null, -1.55, -2.74, -1.45, -0.76, -0.83, -1.91, -1.98, 0.09, -1.02, -2.32, -1.72], "financial_unit": "millions", "scatter": [{"x": 50.0, "y": -3.55329949238579, "label": "2023-06-30"}, {"x": 66.6667, "y": -3.424657534246579, "label": "2023-09-30"}, {"x": 0.0, "y": -6.474820143884882, "label": "2023-12-31"}, {"x": 0.0, "y": -7.352941176470594, "label": "2024-03-31"}, {"x": 0.0, "y": -3.7037037037036953, "label": "2024-06-30"}, {"x": 0.0, "y": 5.389221556886232, "label": "2024-09-30"}, {"x": -50.0, "y": 5.527638190954779, "label": "2024-12-31"}, {"x": -100.0, "y": 16.546762589928075, "label": "2025-03-31"}, {"x": 300.0, "y": -8.920187793427228, "label": "2025-06-30"}, {"x": -332.0, "y": -5.389221556886219, "label": "2025-09-30"}, {"x": -500.0, "y": 14.925373134328353, "label": "2025-12-31"}, {"x": -200.0, "y": 2.531645569620255, "label": "2026-03-31"}], "earnings_price": {"available": false, "dates": [], "price_index": [], "eps_index": [], "gap": [], "quarter_markers": [], "bridge_labels": [], "bridge_values": []}}, "earnings_price": {"available": false, "reason": "Earnings power must be positive at the start of the three-year window."}, "disclaimer": "Earnings intelligence is descriptive market research. It is not a forecast, recommendation or trading instruction."}