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"immediateReturnPct": -8.433026430498348, "forward4WeekPct": -11.48264361222373, "forward13WeekPct": -12.848255497668848, "toDateReturnPct": 9.98979653803913, "weeksSince": 92, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 2598.366345319133, "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "status": "Non-positive four-week response", "tone": "opportunity"}, {"date": "2025-02-07", "periodEnd": "2024-12-31", "earningsChangePct": 15.03957783641161, "surprisePct": 17.32283464566929, "immediateReturnPct": -1.8280909574915905, "forward4WeekPct": 2.0389560805513796, "forward13WeekPct": -28.1242962927275, "toDateReturnPct": 26.204928158491537, "weeksSince": 78, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 3012.6469002753724, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive four-week response", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2025-05-02", "periodEnd": "2025-03-31", "earningsChangePct": 4.357798165137594, "surprisePct": 13.63636363636363, "immediateReturnPct": -0.3085404234843381, "forward4WeekPct": 6.252030838733913, "forward13WeekPct": 10.155967898751106, "toDateReturnPct": 78.69574808526447, "weeksSince": 66, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 3177.105896019485, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive four-week response", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2025-08-01", "periodEnd": "2025-06-30", "earningsChangePct": -0.219780219780219, "surprisePct": 157.1428571428572, "immediateReturnPct": -9.3640054981328, "forward4WeekPct": 0.5277396277499236, "forward13WeekPct": -7.3021533296790615, "toDateReturnPct": 47.03031664929613, "weeksSince": 53, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 3162.3114209648597, "key": "mixed", "status": "Mixed response", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2025-11-07", "periodEnd": "2025-09-30", "earningsChangePct": 4.625550660792954, "surprisePct": 20.168067226890756, "immediateReturnPct": 0.8121677558695417, "forward4WeekPct": 8.272987628138084, "forward13WeekPct": 33.55212353797621, "toDateReturnPct": 58.61244023521728, "weeksSince": 39, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 3309.810061680843, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive four-week response", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2026-02-06", "periodEnd": "2025-12-31", "earningsChangePct": -1.684210526315788, "surprisePct": 10.156249999999991, "immediateReturnPct": 13.64098600668353, "forward4WeekPct": -3.279938742037025, "forward13WeekPct": 4.217777867965267, "toDateReturnPct": 34.96508796530511, "weeksSince": 26, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 3225.696672844536, "key": "mixed", "status": "Mixed response", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2026-05-01", "periodEnd": "2026-03-31", "earningsChangePct": 1.070663811563155, "surprisePct": 35.593220338983066, "immediateReturnPct": 2.4660749914080515, "forward4WeekPct": 3.6273474372787717, "forward13WeekPct": 24.71246774459308, "toDateReturnPct": 36.98856284611731, "weeksSince": 14, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 3273.694845102817, "key": "mixed", "status": "Mixed response", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2026-07-31", "periodEnd": "2026-06-30", "earningsChangePct": 10.381355932203395, "surprisePct": 30.833333333333346, "immediateReturnPct": 3.6379574841113316, "forward4WeekPct": null, "forward13WeekPct": null, "toDateReturnPct": 13.839579224194608, "weeksSince": 1, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 3602.475891793077, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive initial response", "tone": "positive"}], "latestEvent": {"date": "2026-07-31", "periodEnd": "2026-06-30", "earningsChangePct": 10.381355932203395, "surprisePct": 30.833333333333346, "immediateReturnPct": 3.6379574841113316, "forward4WeekPct": null, "forward13WeekPct": null, "toDateReturnPct": 13.839579224194608, "weeksSince": 1, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 3602.475891793077, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive initial response", "tone": "positive"}, "freshImprovementAwaitingConfirmation": false, "improvementConfirmationReversed": false, "summary": "Across completed four-week windows, 3 improving updates had a non-positive price response; 5 had a meaningful positive price response."}, "professional": {"peerContext": {"available": true, "cohort": "Tools & Accessories", "population": 8, "spreadPercentile": 42.9, "qualityPercentile": 57.1, "rarityPercentile": 57.1, "currentOneYearSpread": -27.014374000000004, "lead": "price", "relatedSignals": [{"tickerId": 3681, "symbol": "SNA", "name": "Snap-On Inc", "spread": -29.523749, "lead": "price", "quality": 75}, {"tickerId": 3316, "symbol": "RBC", "name": "RBC Bearings Incorporated", "spread": -15.930778, "lead": "price", "quality": 100}, {"tickerId": 4054, "symbol": "TTC", "name": "Toro Co", "spread": -52.37423, "lead": "price", "quality": 75}, {"tickerId": 3972, "symbol": "TKR", "name": "Timken Company", "spread": -94.397385, "lead": "price", "quality": 100}]}, "historicalOutcomes": {"available": false, "sampleSize": 0, "historyWeeks": 156, "horizons": []}, "transitions": [{"date": "2023-08-18", "key": "balanced", "label": "Broadly aligned", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2023-11-03", "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "label": "Earnings ahead", "tone": "positive"}], "dataIntegrity": {"asOf": "2026-08-07", "exactReportDates": 13, "estimatedReportDates": 0, "coverage": 100}}, "alerts": [{"key": "persistent_earnings_lead", "label": "Persistent earnings lead", "tone": "positive", "explanation": "Earnings power has led market price across several updates."}, {"key": "quality_confirmed", "label": "Business quality supportive", "tone": "positive", "explanation": "Cash generation and operating evidence are broadly supportive."}, {"key": "base_sensitive", "label": "Starting-base sensitivity", "tone": "caution", "explanation": "The three-year earnings move begins from an unusually depressed level; compare the shorter horizons before relying on its scale."}]}, "disclaimer": "Earnings intelligence is descriptive market research. It is not a forecast, recommendation or trading instruction."}