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"2025-10-24", "periodEnd": "2025-09-30", "earningsChangePct": 2.473498233215543, "surprisePct": 1.3888888888888902, "immediateReturnPct": 0.721153624515769, "forward4WeekPct": 5.721151063364416, "forward13WeekPct": 18.40185181485745, "toDateReturnPct": 18.017853273689255, "weeksSince": 41, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -65.06915270249876, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive four-week response", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2026-01-30", "periodEnd": "2025-12-31", "earningsChangePct": 0.6896551724137945, "surprisePct": 1.3698630136986314, "immediateReturnPct": -3.6432153956012736, "forward4WeekPct": -2.6800688350569035, "forward13WeekPct": -4.480015242073021, "toDateReturnPct": -0.3243180197626039, "weeksSince": 27, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -84.21967894049864, "key": "mixed", "status": "Mixed response", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2026-04-24", "periodEnd": "2026-03-31", "earningsChangePct": 1.3698630136986356, "surprisePct": 2.7027027027027053, "immediateReturnPct": -0.21929824561404132, "forward4WeekPct": -8.974241228070179, "forward13WeekPct": -1.535087719298256, "toDateReturnPct": 1.0526315789473717, "weeksSince": 15, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -86.67400482285363, "key": "mixed", "status": "Mixed response", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2026-07-24", "periodEnd": "2026-06-30", "earningsChangePct": 2.0270270270270396, "surprisePct": 5.3333333333333375, "immediateReturnPct": -2.4337244676227776, "forward4WeekPct": null, "forward13WeekPct": null, "toDateReturnPct": 0.13037809647977738, "weeksSince": 2, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -82.67707491791533, "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "status": "Non-positive initial response", "tone": "opportunity"}], "latestEvent": {"date": "2026-07-24", "periodEnd": "2026-06-30", "earningsChangePct": 2.0270270270270396, "surprisePct": 5.3333333333333375, "immediateReturnPct": -2.4337244676227776, "forward4WeekPct": null, "forward13WeekPct": null, "toDateReturnPct": 0.13037809647977738, "weeksSince": 2, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -82.67707491791533, "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "status": "Non-positive initial response", "tone": "opportunity"}, "freshImprovementAwaitingConfirmation": false, "improvementConfirmationReversed": false, "summary": "Across completed four-week windows, 1 improving update had a non-positive price response; 1 had a meaningful positive price response."}, "professional": {"peerContext": {"available": true, "cohort": "Reit - Mortgage", "population": 20, "spreadPercentile": 89.5, "qualityPercentile": 60.5, "rarityPercentile": 89.5, "currentOneYearSpread": 281.09140199999996, "lead": "earnings", "relatedSignals": [{"tickerId": 4663, "symbol": "AGNCP", "name": "AGNC Investment Corp.", "spread": 206.42584, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 87.5}, {"tickerId": 4661, "symbol": "AGNCM", "name": "AGNC Investment Corp.", "spread": 206.214334, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 87.5}, {"tickerId": 4662, "symbol": "AGNCN", "name": "AGNC Investment Corp.", "spread": 205.699803, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 87.5}, {"tickerId": 2208, "symbol": "IVR", "name": "Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc", "spread": 179.20505200000002, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 75}, {"tickerId": 4612, "symbol": "ADAM", "name": "New York Mortgage Trust, Inc.", "spread": 115.52714400000002, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 87.5}, {"tickerId": 4660, "symbol": "AGNC", "name": "AGNC Investment Corp.", "spread": 459.25207500000005, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 83.33333333333333}, {"tickerId": 3176, "symbol": "PMT", "name": "PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust", "spread": 64.474388, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 33.333333333333336}, {"tickerId": 1209, "symbol": "EFC", "name": "Ellington Financial Inc.", "spread": 38.079235000000004, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 100}]}, "historicalOutcomes": {"available": false, "sampleSize": 0, "historyWeeks": 156, "horizons": []}, "transitions": [{"date": "2023-08-18", "key": "balanced", "label": "Broadly aligned", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2023-10-27", "key": "shared_contraction", "label": "Shared contraction", "tone": "negative"}, {"date": "2024-02-09", "key": "fundamental_fracture", "label": "Fundamental fracture", "tone": "negative"}], "dataIntegrity": {"asOf": "2026-08-07", "exactReportDates": 13, "estimatedReportDates": 0, "coverage": 100}}, "alerts": [{"key": "fundamental_fracture", "label": "Fundamental fracture", "tone": "negative", "explanation": "Earnings have weakened while price has not adjusted to the same degree."}]}, "disclaimer": "Earnings intelligence is descriptive market research. It is not a forecast, recommendation or trading instruction."}