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"immediateReturnPct": -3.412074278504773, "forward4WeekPct": -11.46518005473357, "forward13WeekPct": -10.039754250025945, "toDateReturnPct": 138.34216003257342, "weeksSince": 91, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 61.64126315737394, "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "status": "Non-positive four-week response", "tone": "opportunity"}, {"date": "2025-02-14", "periodEnd": "2024-12-31", "earningsChangePct": 17.59259259259258, "surprisePct": 12.195121951219525, "immediateReturnPct": 5.281691870798011, "forward4WeekPct": 10.832176993638898, "forward13WeekPct": 5.2256525871327675, "toDateReturnPct": 164.94165066533535, "weeksSince": 77, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 96.20308007763299, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive four-week response", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2025-05-09", "periodEnd": "2025-03-31", "earningsChangePct": 12.598425196850393, "surprisePct": 16.666666666666664, "immediateReturnPct": 5.703421798508401, "forward4WeekPct": 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34.20942261987978, "weeksSince": 38, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 65.4470451191336, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive four-week response", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2026-02-06", "periodEnd": "2025-12-31", "earningsChangePct": 31.182795698924725, "surprisePct": 18.181818181818183, "immediateReturnPct": -1.3758468717359196, "forward4WeekPct": 0.013022885720692656, "forward13WeekPct": -5.029464997523325, "toDateReturnPct": -3.422810139304855, "weeksSince": 26, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 107.61688193766116, "key": "mixed", "status": "Mixed response", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2026-05-15", "periodEnd": "2026-03-31", "earningsChangePct": 25.81967213114753, "surprisePct": 20.987654320987644, "immediateReturnPct": -5.842800447117725, "forward4WeekPct": -6.410074131369658, "forward13WeekPct": null, "toDateReturnPct": 1.6917403468102776, "weeksSince": 12, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 242.94383735545324, "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "status": "Non-positive four-week response", "tone": "opportunity"}], "latestEvent": {"date": "2026-05-15", "periodEnd": "2026-03-31", "earningsChangePct": 25.81967213114753, "surprisePct": 20.987654320987644, "immediateReturnPct": -5.842800447117725, "forward4WeekPct": -6.410074131369658, "forward13WeekPct": null, "toDateReturnPct": 1.6917403468102776, "weeksSince": 12, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 242.94383735545324, "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "status": "Non-positive four-week response", "tone": "opportunity"}, "freshImprovementAwaitingConfirmation": false, "improvementConfirmationReversed": false, "summary": "Across completed four-week windows, 2 improving updates had a non-positive price response; 7 had a meaningful positive price response."}, "professional": {"peerContext": {"available": true, "cohort": "Gold", "population": 19, "spreadPercentile": 44.4, "qualityPercentile": 72.2, "rarityPercentile": 44.4, "currentOneYearSpread": 72.884943, "lead": "earnings", "relatedSignals": [{"tickerId": 1951, "symbol": "HMY", "name": "Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited", "spread": 76.222856, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 75}, {"tickerId": 96, "symbol": "AEM", "name": "Agnico Eagle Mines Limited", "spread": 63.980228000000004, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 100}, {"tickerId": 1587, "symbol": "FNV", "name": "Franco-Nevada Corporation", "spread": 81.91070799999999, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 100}, {"tickerId": 1615, "symbol": "FSM", "name": "Fortuna Silver Mines Inc", "spread": 82.84197300000001, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 87.5}, {"tickerId": 2376, "symbol": "KGC", "name": "Kinross Gold Corporation", "spread": 59.707838, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 87.5}, {"tickerId": 285, "symbol": "AU", "name": "AngloGold Ashanti plc", "spread": 33.852561, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 87.5}, {"tickerId": 8007, "symbol": "RGLD", "name": "Royal Gold Inc", "spread": 27.256676000000002, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 100}, {"tickerId": 4373, "symbol": "WPM", "name": "Wheaton Precious Metals Corp", "spread": 125.831864, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 50}]}, "historicalOutcomes": {"available": false, "sampleSize": 0, "historyWeeks": 156, "horizons": []}, "transitions": [{"date": "2023-08-18", "key": "balanced", "label": "Broadly aligned", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2023-11-03", "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "label": "Earnings ahead", "tone": "positive"}], "dataIntegrity": {"asOf": "2026-08-07", "exactReportDates": 12, "estimatedReportDates": 0, "coverage": 100}}, "alerts": [{"key": "persistent_earnings_lead", "label": "Persistent earnings lead", "tone": "positive", "explanation": "Earnings power has led market price across several updates."}, {"key": "quality_confirmed", "label": "Business quality supportive", "tone": "positive", "explanation": "Cash generation and operating evidence are broadly supportive."}]}, "disclaimer": "Earnings intelligence is descriptive market research. It is not a forecast, recommendation or trading instruction."}