{"ticker": {"uuid": "26c91af8-760f-4eaf-8b0d-4c45c3acd2f8", "symbol": "MTRX", "name": "Matrix Service Co", "sector": "Industrials", "industry": "Engineering & Construction", "currency": "USD"}, "next_event": {"report_date": "2026-09-08", "fiscal_date_ending": "2026-06-30", "estimate": 0.17, "session": "Time unconfirmed", "days": 27}, "profile": {"sample": 12, "measured": 12, "beats": 5, "misses": 7, "inline": 0, "beat_rate": 41.7, "beat_rate_label": "41.7%", "average_surprise": -63.0, "average_surprise_label": "-63.0%", "median_surprise": -41.6, "surprise_dispersion": 116.4, "average_reaction": 1.4, "average_reaction_label": "+1.4%", "average_abs_reaction": 13.2, "positive_response_rate": 41.7, "confirmation_rate": 63.6, "reaction_sample": 12, "streak": {"count": 1, "band": "beat", "label": "1 consecutive beats"}, "profile": "Mixed earnings transmission", "profile_tone": "neutral", "profile_text": "Delivery and market response do not currently form a persistent directional pattern."}, "event_risk": {"score": 77, "band": "High", "tone": "negative", "days": 27, "proximity_component": 14, "reaction_component": 33, "variability_component": 25, "uncertainty_component": 5, "explanation": "Event risk combines report proximity, historical price movement, surprise variability, estimate availability and confirmed timing. It measures uncertainty, not direction."}, "evidence": {"score": 99, "band": "Deep", "exact": 12, "surprise": 12, "reaction": 12, "financial": 11, "total": 12}, "factor_context": {"available": true, "as_of": "2026-08-09", "eps_growth_1y": null, "revenue_growth_1y": 13.9, "cash_conversion": -4.19, "net_margin": -1.8, "earnings_yield": null, "eps_surprise_avg": -57.5, "sue_score": -0.56, "pe_ratio": null, "completeness": 78.6, "source": "alphavantage"}, "market_context": {"available": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "close": 11.91, "currency": "USD", "return_13w": -2.2, "fair_value": 11.901282, "fair_value_gap": 0.1, "relative_strength": -17.4, "trend_signal": "Inactive", "expectation_direction": "positive", "expectation_probability": 57.0}, "records": [{"period_end": "2023-06-30", "reported_date": "2023-09-11", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": -0.11, "eps_estimate": -0.21, "eps_surprise": 0.1, "surprise_pct": 47.619, "surprise_label": "+47.6%", "surprise_band": "beat", "eps_yoy": null, "eps_yoy_label": "-", "one_week_reaction": 14.12500000000001, "one_week_reaction_label": "+14.1%", "four_week_reaction": 48.875, "four_week_reaction_label": "+48.9%", "confirmation": "confirmed", "revenue": null, "revenue_yoy": null, "revenue_yoy_label": "-", "net_income": null, "operating_cash_flow": null, "free_cash_flow": null, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2023-09-30", "reported_date": "2023-11-08", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": -0.21, "eps_estimate": -0.09, "eps_surprise": -0.12, "surprise_pct": -133.3333, "surprise_label": "-133.3%", "surprise_band": "miss", "eps_yoy": null, "eps_yoy_label": "-", "one_week_reaction": -1.7021276595744619, "one_week_reaction_label": "-1.7%", "four_week_reaction": -13.702127659574465, "four_week_reaction_label": "-13.7%", "confirmation": "confirmed", "revenue": 197659000.0, "revenue_yoy": null, "revenue_yoy_label": "-", "net_income": -3167000.0, "operating_cash_flow": -28875000.0, "free_cash_flow": -28397000.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2023-12-31", "reported_date": "2024-02-07", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": -0.18, "eps_estimate": -0.1, "eps_surprise": -0.08, "surprise_pct": -80.0, "surprise_label": "-80.0%", "surprise_band": "miss", "eps_yoy": null, "eps_yoy_label": "-", "one_week_reaction": 36.655592469545965, "one_week_reaction_label": "+36.7%", "four_week_reaction": 32.77962347729791, "four_week_reaction_label": "+32.8%", "confirmation": "diverged", "revenue": 175042000.0, "revenue_yoy": null, "revenue_yoy_label": "-", "net_income": -2851000.0, "operating_cash_flow": 29604000.0, "free_cash_flow": 29985000.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2024-03-31", "reported_date": "2024-05-08", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": -0.53, "eps_estimate": -0.13, "eps_surprise": -0.4, "surprise_pct": -307.6923, "surprise_label": "-307.7%", "surprise_band": "miss", "eps_yoy": null, "eps_yoy_label": "-", "one_week_reaction": -7.0698466780238505, "one_week_reaction_label": "-7.1%", "four_week_reaction": 2.896081771720612, "four_week_reaction_label": "+2.9%", "confirmation": "confirmed", "revenue": 166013000.0, "revenue_yoy": null, "revenue_yoy_label": "-", "net_income": -14581000.0, "operating_cash_flow": 24838000.0, "free_cash_flow": 29668000.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2024-06-30", "reported_date": "2024-09-09", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": -0.14, "eps_estimate": -0.21, "eps_surprise": 0.07, "surprise_pct": 33.3333, "surprise_label": "+33.3%", "surprise_band": "beat", "eps_yoy": -27.27272727272728, "eps_yoy_label": "-27.3%", "one_week_reaction": 16.9690501600854, "one_week_reaction_label": "+17.0%", "four_week_reaction": 23.47918890074708, "four_week_reaction_label": "+23.5%", "confirmation": "confirmed", "revenue": 189499000.0, "revenue_yoy": null, "revenue_yoy_label": "-", "net_income": -4377000.0, "operating_cash_flow": 46904000.0, "free_cash_flow": 48209000.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2024-09-30", "reported_date": "2024-11-06", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": -0.33, "eps_estimate": -0.32, "eps_surprise": -0.01, "surprise_pct": -3.125, "surprise_label": "-3.1%", "surprise_band": "miss", "eps_yoy": -57.14285714285715, "eps_yoy_label": "-57.1%", "one_week_reaction": 15.74733096085409, "one_week_reaction_label": "+15.7%", "four_week_reaction": 17.971530249110316, "four_week_reaction_label": "+18.0%", "confirmation": "diverged", "revenue": 165579000.0, "revenue_yoy": -16.229971820154912, "revenue_yoy_label": "-16.2%", "net_income": -9223000.0, "operating_cash_flow": 11918000.0, "free_cash_flow": 13862000.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2024-12-31", "reported_date": "2025-02-05", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": -0.2, "eps_estimate": -0.22, "eps_surprise": 0.02, "surprise_pct": 9.0909, "surprise_label": "+9.1%", "surprise_band": "beat", "eps_yoy": -11.111111111111121, "eps_yoy_label": "-11.1%", "one_week_reaction": 4.572271386430673, "one_week_reaction_label": "+4.6%", "four_week_reaction": -7.964601769911504, "four_week_reaction_label": "-8.0%", "confirmation": "confirmed", "revenue": 187169000.0, "revenue_yoy": 6.928051553341484, "revenue_yoy_label": "+6.9%", "net_income": -5533000.0, "operating_cash_flow": 33598000.0, "free_cash_flow": 34513000.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2025-03-31", "reported_date": "2025-05-07", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": -0.12, "eps_estimate": -0.05, "eps_surprise": -0.07, "surprise_pct": -140.0, "surprise_label": "-140.0%", "surprise_band": "miss", "eps_yoy": 77.35849056603774, "eps_yoy_label": "+77.4%", "one_week_reaction": -0.4803843074459607, "one_week_reaction_label": "-0.5%", "four_week_reaction": -2.161729383506802, "four_week_reaction_label": "-2.2%", "confirmation": "contained", "revenue": 200161000.0, "revenue_yoy": 20.569473474968827, "revenue_yoy_label": "+20.6%", "net_income": -3434000.0, "operating_cash_flow": 31247000.0, "free_cash_flow": 33813000.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2025-06-30", "reported_date": "2025-09-09", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": -0.28, "eps_estimate": 0.33, "eps_surprise": -0.61, "surprise_pct": -184.8485, "surprise_label": "-184.8%", "surprise_band": "miss", "eps_yoy": -100.0, "eps_yoy_label": "-100.0%", "one_week_reaction": -12.208504801097389, "one_week_reaction_label": "-12.2%", "four_week_reaction": -12.208504801097389, "four_week_reaction_label": "-12.2%", "confirmation": "confirmed", "revenue": 216377000.0, "revenue_yoy": 14.183716009055455, "revenue_yoy_label": "+14.2%", "net_income": -11272000.0, "operating_cash_flow": 40708000.0, "free_cash_flow": 42968000.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2025-09-30", "reported_date": "2025-11-05", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": -0.01, "eps_estimate": -0.03, "eps_surprise": 0.02, "surprise_pct": 66.6667, "surprise_label": "+66.7%", "surprise_band": "beat", "eps_yoy": 96.96969696969697, "eps_yoy_label": "+97.0%", "one_week_reaction": -16.577896138482025, "one_week_reaction_label": "-16.6%", "four_week_reaction": -22.170439414114515, "four_week_reaction_label": "-22.2%", "confirmation": "diverged", "revenue": 211884000.0, "revenue_yoy": 27.965502871740984, "revenue_yoy_label": "+28.0%", "net_income": -3663000.0, "operating_cash_flow": -25899000.0, "free_cash_flow": -23888000.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2025-12-31", "reported_date": "2026-02-04", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": -0.02, "eps_estimate": 0.04, "eps_surprise": -0.06, "surprise_pct": -150.0, "surprise_label": "-150.0%", "surprise_band": "miss", "eps_yoy": 90.0, "eps_yoy_label": "+90.0%", "one_week_reaction": -22.765363128491618, "one_week_reaction_label": "-22.8%", "four_week_reaction": -23.25418994413408, "four_week_reaction_label": "-23.3%", "confirmation": "confirmed", "revenue": 210508000.0, "revenue_yoy": 12.46947945439683, "revenue_yoy_label": "+12.5%", "net_income": -894000.0, "operating_cash_flow": 7454000.0, "free_cash_flow": 8630000.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2026-03-31", "reported_date": "2026-05-06", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": 0.13, "eps_estimate": 0.07, "eps_surprise": 0.06, "surprise_pct": 85.7143, "surprise_label": "+85.7%", "surprise_band": "beat", "eps_yoy": 208.33333333333334, "eps_yoy_label": "+208.3%", "one_week_reaction": -9.911242603550296, "one_week_reaction_label": "-9.9%", "four_week_reaction": -2.8846153846153757, "four_week_reaction_label": "-2.9%", "confirmation": "diverged", "revenue": 206709000.0, "revenue_yoy": 3.2713665499273086, "revenue_yoy_label": "+3.3%", "net_income": 835000.0, "operating_cash_flow": 34162000.0, "free_cash_flow": 35079000.0, "currency": "USD"}], "charts": {"quarters": ["2023-06-30", "2023-09-30", "2023-12-31", "2024-03-31", "2024-06-30", "2024-09-30", "2024-12-31", "2025-03-31", "2025-06-30", "2025-09-30", "2025-12-31", "2026-03-31"], "eps_actual": [-0.11, -0.21, -0.18, -0.53, -0.14, -0.33, -0.2, -0.12, -0.28, -0.01, -0.02, 0.13], "eps_estimate": [-0.21, -0.09, -0.1, -0.13, -0.21, -0.32, -0.22, -0.05, 0.33, -0.03, 0.04, 0.07], "surprise": [47.619, -133.3333, -80.0, -307.6923, 33.3333, -3.125, 9.0909, -140.0, -184.8485, 66.6667, -150.0, 85.7143], "reaction_1w": [14.12500000000001, -1.7021276595744619, 36.655592469545965, -7.0698466780238505, 16.9690501600854, 15.74733096085409, 4.572271386430673, -0.4803843074459607, -12.208504801097389, -16.577896138482025, -22.765363128491618, -9.911242603550296], "reaction_4w": [48.875, -13.702127659574465, 32.77962347729791, 2.896081771720612, 23.47918890074708, 17.971530249110316, -7.964601769911504, -2.161729383506802, -12.208504801097389, -22.170439414114515, -23.25418994413408, -2.8846153846153757], "revenue": [null, 197.66, 175.04, 166.01, 189.5, 165.58, 187.17, 200.16, 216.38, 211.88, 210.51, 206.71], "net_income": [null, -3.17, -2.85, -14.58, -4.38, -9.22, -5.53, -3.43, -11.27, -3.66, -0.89, 0.83], "financial_unit": "millions", "scatter": [{"x": 47.619, "y": 14.12500000000001, "label": "2023-06-30"}, {"x": -133.3333, "y": -1.7021276595744619, "label": "2023-09-30"}, {"x": -80.0, "y": 36.655592469545965, "label": "2023-12-31"}, {"x": -307.6923, "y": -7.0698466780238505, "label": "2024-03-31"}, {"x": 33.3333, "y": 16.9690501600854, "label": "2024-06-30"}, {"x": -3.125, "y": 15.74733096085409, "label": "2024-09-30"}, {"x": 9.0909, "y": 4.572271386430673, "label": "2024-12-31"}, {"x": -140.0, "y": -0.4803843074459607, "label": "2025-03-31"}, {"x": -184.8485, "y": -12.208504801097389, "label": "2025-06-30"}, {"x": 66.6667, "y": -16.577896138482025, "label": "2025-09-30"}, {"x": -150.0, "y": -22.765363128491618, "label": "2025-12-31"}, {"x": 85.7143, "y": -9.911242603550296, "label": "2026-03-31"}], "earnings_price": {"available": false, "dates": [], "price_index": [], "eps_index": [], "gap": [], "quarter_markers": [], "bridge_labels": [], "bridge_values": []}}, "earnings_price": {"available": false, "reason": "Earnings power must be positive at the start of the three-year window."}, "disclaimer": "Earnings intelligence is descriptive market research. It is not a forecast, recommendation or trading instruction."}