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"mixed", "status": "Mixed response", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2025-03-21", "periodEnd": "2024-12-31", "earningsChangePct": 0.41928721174004924, "surprisePct": 8.403361344537823, "immediateReturnPct": 0.6606893742425068, "forward4WeekPct": -3.0674837635229157, "forward13WeekPct": -0.2737694729098128, "toDateReturnPct": 50.57577465129983, "weeksSince": 72, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -27.30788631081886, "key": "mixed", "status": "Mixed response", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2025-04-18", "periodEnd": "2025-03-31", "earningsChangePct": 1.6701461377870652, "surprisePct": 0.8928571428571237, "immediateReturnPct": 2.7513766747648605, "forward4WeekPct": 13.420234574008827, "forward13WeekPct": 6.015050967491176, "toDateReturnPct": 59.614840716039666, "weeksSince": 68, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -21.096334138542787, "key": "mixed", "status": "Mixed response", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2025-07-18", "periodEnd": "2025-06-30", "earningsChangePct": -0.6160164271047264, "surprisePct": -6.722689075630239, "immediateReturnPct": -7.798466235545387, "forward4WeekPct": -8.60789210999533, "forward13WeekPct": -8.166491075234939, "toDateReturnPct": 38.817394240566514, "weeksSince": 55, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -25.497422900635584, "key": "mixed", "status": "Mixed response", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2025-10-17", "periodEnd": "2025-09-30", "earningsChangePct": -10.123966942148765, "surprisePct": 26.153846153846143, "immediateReturnPct": 1.4383236552431677, "forward4WeekPct": 3.5376495653123285, "forward13WeekPct": 11.39629659559005, "toDateReturnPct": 53.33622694836062, "weeksSince": 42, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -34.90435660364862, "key": "resisted_deterioration", "status": "Price resisted deterioration", "tone": "caution"}, {"date": "2026-01-23", "periodEnd": "2025-12-31", "earningsChangePct": 6.20689655172415, "surprisePct": 15.555555555555554, "immediateReturnPct": 9.832449426830747, "forward4WeekPct": 16.976966303562, "forward13WeekPct": 13.693714468366336, "toDateReturnPct": 37.64930400247335, "weeksSince": 28, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -54.760887075376516, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive four-week response", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2026-04-17", "periodEnd": "2026-03-31", "earningsChangePct": 5.4112554112554, "surprisePct": 7.812499999999989, "immediateReturnPct": 2.2104845144882868, "forward4WeekPct": 0.7251779671745284, "forward13WeekPct": 20.14201935081086, "toDateReturnPct": 21.378170869357117, "weeksSince": 16, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -57.90800700015468, "key": "mixed", "status": "Mixed response", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2026-07-17", "periodEnd": "2026-06-30", "earningsChangePct": 6.160164271047219, "surprisePct": 2.9197080291970665, "immediateReturnPct": 5.349016815803731, "forward4WeekPct": null, "forward13WeekPct": null, "toDateReturnPct": 6.432961865320075, "weeksSince": 3, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -79.26682550688795, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive initial response", "tone": "positive"}], "latestEvent": {"date": "2026-07-17", "periodEnd": "2026-06-30", "earningsChangePct": 6.160164271047219, "surprisePct": 2.9197080291970665, "immediateReturnPct": 5.349016815803731, "forward4WeekPct": null, "forward13WeekPct": null, "toDateReturnPct": 6.432961865320075, "weeksSince": 3, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -79.26682550688795, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive initial response", "tone": "positive"}, "freshImprovementAwaitingConfirmation": false, "improvementConfirmationReversed": false, "summary": "Across completed four-week windows, 1 improving update had a non-positive price response; 1 had a meaningful positive price response."}, "professional": {"peerContext": {"available": true, "cohort": "Banks - Regional", "population": 29, "spreadPercentile": 28.6, "qualityPercentile": 89.3, "rarityPercentile": 71.4, "currentOneYearSpread": -30.171685000000004, "lead": "price", "relatedSignals": [{"tickerId": 4154, "symbol": "USB", "name": "U.S. Bancorp", "spread": -28.477635, "lead": "price", "quality": 100}, {"tickerId": 4320, "symbol": "WBS", "name": "Webster Financial Corporation", "spread": -26.015060000000002, "lead": "price", "quality": 62.5}, {"tickerId": 2746, "symbol": "MTB", "name": "M&T Bank Corporation", "spread": -25.528777999999996, "lead": "price", "quality": 75}, {"tickerId": 3599, "symbol": "SHG", "name": "Shinhan Financial Group Co Ltd", "spread": -35.85682200000001, "lead": "price", "quality": 83.33333333333333}, {"tickerId": 679, "symbol": "CFG", "name": "Citizens Financial Group, Inc.", "spread": -23.736304999999998, "lead": "price", "quality": 75}, {"tickerId": 3352, "symbol": "RF", "name": "Regions Financial Corporation", "spread": -23.714964, "lead": "price", "quality": 62.5}, {"tickerId": 5988, "symbol": "FCNCA", "name": "First Citizens BancShares, Inc.", "spread": -23.664974, "lead": "price", "quality": 50}, {"tickerId": 2552, "symbol": "LYG", "name": "Lloyds Banking Group PLC ADR", "spread": -37.122503, "lead": "price", "quality": 100}]}, "historicalOutcomes": {"available": false, "sampleSize": 0, "historyWeeks": 156, "horizons": []}, "transitions": [{"date": "2023-08-18", "key": "balanced", "label": "Broadly aligned", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2024-07-19", "key": "expectations_ahead", "label": "Expectations ahead", "tone": "caution"}, {"date": "2025-10-17", "key": "fundamental_fracture", "label": "Fundamental fracture", "tone": "negative"}, {"date": "2026-04-17", "key": "expectations_ahead", "label": "Expectations ahead", "tone": "caution"}], "dataIntegrity": {"asOf": "2026-08-07", "exactReportDates": 13, "estimatedReportDates": 0, "coverage": 100}}, "alerts": [{"key": "quality_confirmed", "label": "Business quality supportive", "tone": "positive", "explanation": "Cash generation and operating evidence are broadly supportive."}, {"key": "expectations_stretched", "label": "Expectations stretched", "tone": "caution", "explanation": "Price has moved materially faster than delivered earnings power."}]}, "disclaimer": "Earnings intelligence is descriptive market research. It is not a forecast, recommendation or trading instruction."}