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"negative"}, {"date": "2025-03-14", "periodEnd": "2024-12-31", "earningsChangePct": 2.857142857142869, "surprisePct": 27.27272727272728, "immediateReturnPct": 2.6054559457419746, "forward4WeekPct": -9.748316781871525, "forward13WeekPct": -5.498241097486922, "toDateReturnPct": 6.513975952143158, "weeksSince": 73, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 4.57046352391032, "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "status": "Non-positive four-week response", "tone": "opportunity"}, {"date": "2025-05-16", "periodEnd": "2025-03-31", "earningsChangePct": -9.722222222222221, "surprisePct": -46.15384615384615, "immediateReturnPct": -5.6109688547273056, "forward4WeekPct": -5.7356665070822155, "forward13WeekPct": -7.509658555882304, "toDateReturnPct": 6.246371151325136, "weeksSince": 64, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 2.4413638923969927, "key": "accepted_deterioration", "status": "Negative four-week response", "tone": "negative"}, {"date": "2025-08-15", "periodEnd": "2025-06-30", "earningsChangePct": -3.076923076923077, "surprisePct": 57.14285714285713, "immediateReturnPct": 7.445255015247687, "forward4WeekPct": -0.8759167602718554, "forward13WeekPct": 7.338171394008852, "toDateReturnPct": 23.425519514338554, "weeksSince": 51, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 1.515687895796745, "key": "mixed", "status": "Mixed response", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2025-11-14", "periodEnd": "2025-09-30", "earningsChangePct": 85.7142857142857, "surprisePct": 446.1538461538461, "immediateReturnPct": 3.2577962871543242, "forward4WeekPct": 5.949014295006316, "forward13WeekPct": 19.40867786970024, "toDateReturnPct": 18.73359667983976, "weeksSince": 38, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 69.94808611667197, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive four-week response", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2026-03-20", "periodEnd": "2025-12-31", "earningsChangePct": -12.803418803418797, "surprisePct": -44.595744680851055, "immediateReturnPct": -0.38909854149217216, "forward4WeekPct": 17.238555730904558, "forward13WeekPct": 10.938226403091033, "toDateReturnPct": 7.81760035967114, "weeksSince": 20, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 46.11314161946207, "key": "resisted_deterioration", "status": "Price resisted deterioration", "tone": "caution"}, {"date": "2026-05-22", "periodEnd": "2026-03-31", "earningsChangePct": 9.801999607920031, "surprisePct": 70.0, "immediateReturnPct": 7.626078717123419, "forward4WeekPct": 5.166058526121353, "forward13WeekPct": null, "toDateReturnPct": 2.20780011726609, "weeksSince": 11, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 47.16701945314003, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive four-week response", "tone": "positive"}], "latestEvent": {"date": "2026-05-22", "periodEnd": "2026-03-31", "earningsChangePct": 9.801999607920031, "surprisePct": 70.0, "immediateReturnPct": 7.626078717123419, "forward4WeekPct": 5.166058526121353, "forward13WeekPct": null, "toDateReturnPct": 2.20780011726609, "weeksSince": 11, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 47.16701945314003, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive four-week response", "tone": "positive"}, "freshImprovementAwaitingConfirmation": false, "improvementConfirmationReversed": false, "summary": "Across completed four-week windows, 1 improving update had a non-positive price response; 3 had a meaningful positive price response."}, "professional": {"peerContext": {"available": true, "cohort": "Restaurants", "population": 23, "spreadPercentile": 90.9, "qualityPercentile": 34.1, "rarityPercentile": 90.9, "currentOneYearSpread": 51.210789, "lead": "earnings", "relatedSignals": [{"tickerId": 4520, "symbol": "YUM", "name": "Yum! Brands Inc", "spread": 46.042901, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 100}, {"tickerId": 8938, "symbol": "WING", "name": "Wingstop Inc", "spread": 30.616937, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 87.5}, {"tickerId": 3292, "symbol": "QSR", "name": "Restaurant Brands International Inc", "spread": 30.465496, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 100}, {"tickerId": 556, "symbol": "BROS", "name": "Dutch Bros Inc", "spread": 81.175453, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 87.5}, {"tickerId": 763, "symbol": "CMG", "name": "Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc", "spread": 12.930511, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 87.5}, {"tickerId": 2585, "symbol": "MCD", "name": "McDonald\u2019s Corporation", "spread": 12.664175, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 100}, {"tickerId": 6194, "symbol": "FWRG", "name": "First Watch Restaurant Group Inc", "spread": 596.176065, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 100}]}, "historicalOutcomes": {"available": false, "sampleSize": 0, "historyWeeks": 156, "horizons": []}, "transitions": [{"date": "2023-08-18", "key": "balanced", "label": "Broadly aligned", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2023-11-17", "key": "confirmed_compounding", "label": "Confirmed compounding", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2024-08-16", "key": "balanced", "label": "Broadly aligned", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2024-11-15", "key": "shared_contraction", "label": "Shared contraction", "tone": "negative"}, {"date": "2025-11-14", "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "label": "Earnings ahead", "tone": "positive"}], "dataIntegrity": {"asOf": "2026-08-07", "exactReportDates": 12, "estimatedReportDates": 0, "coverage": 100}}, "alerts": [{"key": "persistent_earnings_lead", "label": "Persistent earnings lead", "tone": "positive", "explanation": "Earnings power has led market price across several updates."}, {"key": "quality_confirmed", "label": "Business quality supportive", "tone": "positive", "explanation": "Cash generation and operating evidence are broadly supportive."}]}, "disclaimer": "Earnings intelligence is descriptive market research. It is not a forecast, recommendation or trading instruction."}