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"reported", "spread": -5.064957613151336, "key": "resisted_deterioration", "status": "Price resisted deterioration", "tone": "caution"}, {"date": "2025-03-21", "periodEnd": "2024-12-31", "earningsChangePct": -3.5502958579881727, "surprisePct": -7.142857142857137, "immediateReturnPct": -3.4639830569357266, "forward4WeekPct": -13.312190902586007, "forward13WeekPct": 0.7188273192543448, "toDateReturnPct": -26.49192934259418, "weeksSince": 81, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -14.341683512687936, "key": "accepted_deterioration", "status": "Negative four-week response", "tone": "negative"}, {"date": "2025-05-16", "periodEnd": "2025-03-31", "earningsChangePct": -2.4539877300613355, "surprisePct": 13.513513513513512, "immediateReturnPct": 10.96490894031219, "forward4WeekPct": 13.784304631770826, "forward13WeekPct": 23.550214139013924, "toDateReturnPct": -14.552834741441156, "weeksSince": 73, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -15.429736143834802, "key": "resisted_deterioration", "status": "Price resisted deterioration", "tone": "caution"}, {"date": "2025-08-08", "periodEnd": "2025-06-30", "earningsChangePct": 0.6289308176100628, "surprisePct": -2.5641025641025665, "immediateReturnPct": 3.584902016111946, "forward4WeekPct": 4.355565925747995, "forward13WeekPct": -3.5442525391492508, "toDateReturnPct": -29.0132700228645, "weeksSince": 61, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -28.00074368890577, "key": "mixed", "status": "Mixed response", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2025-11-07", "periodEnd": "2025-09-30", "earningsChangePct": 1.2499999999999956, "surprisePct": 10.25641025641025, "immediateReturnPct": 0.0, "forward4WeekPct": -4.098241611594034, "forward13WeekPct": -7.343826997247471, "toDateReturnPct": -26.404872860533846, "weeksSince": 48, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -18.638251933959552, "key": "mixed", "status": "Mixed response", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2026-03-13", "periodEnd": "2025-12-31", "earningsChangePct": -4.320987654320996, "surprisePct": -12.11205712716286, "immediateReturnPct": -12.10581129047692, "forward4WeekPct": -12.636092488071283, "forward13WeekPct": -15.885949717373993, "toDateReturnPct": -10.794469061792167, "weeksSince": 30, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 7.929662124154035, "key": "accepted_deterioration", "status": "Negative four-week response", "tone": "negative"}, {"date": "2026-05-08", "periodEnd": "2026-03-31", "earningsChangePct": -8.387096774193559, "surprisePct": -6.451612903225811, "immediateReturnPct": -4.525539260300371, "forward4WeekPct": -5.3774342077472115, "forward13WeekPct": -0.04600561437463346, "toDateReturnPct": -1.7676447659973227, "weeksSince": 22, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 1.5957647103305561, "key": "accepted_deterioration", "status": "Negative four-week response", "tone": "negative"}, {"date": "2026-08-07", "periodEnd": "2026-06-30", "earningsChangePct": 3.5211267605633756, "surprisePct": 48.27586206896552, "immediateReturnPct": 25.274726967214512, "forward4WeekPct": 28.02623209365438, "forward13WeekPct": null, "toDateReturnPct": 23.116955524649562, "weeksSince": 9, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 0.7206646804612262, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive four-week response", "tone": "positive"}], "latestEvent": {"date": "2026-08-07", "periodEnd": "2026-06-30", "earningsChangePct": 3.5211267605633756, "surprisePct": 48.27586206896552, "immediateReturnPct": 25.274726967214512, "forward4WeekPct": 28.02623209365438, "forward13WeekPct": null, "toDateReturnPct": 23.116955524649562, "weeksSince": 9, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 0.7206646804612262, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive four-week response", "tone": "positive"}, "freshImprovementAwaitingConfirmation": false, "improvementConfirmationReversed": false, "summary": "Across completed four-week windows, 0 improving updates had a non-positive price response; 2 had a meaningful positive price response."}, "professional": {"peerContext": {"available": true, "cohort": "Asset Management", "population": 29, "spreadPercentile": 3.6, "qualityPercentile": 1.8, "rarityPercentile": 96.4, "currentOneYearSpread": -65.027863, "lead": "price", "relatedSignals": [{"tickerId": 612, "symbol": "BXSL", "name": "Blackstone Secured Lending Fund", "spread": -53.954658, "lead": "price", "quality": 100}, {"tickerId": 2968, "symbol": "OBDC", "name": "Blue Owl Capital Corporation", "spread": -45.645638, "lead": "price", "quality": 100}, {"tickerId": 1880, "symbol": "HASI", "name": "Hannon Armstrong Sustainable Infrastructure Capital Inc", "spread": -84.861607, "lead": "price", "quality": 87.5}, {"tickerId": 232, "symbol": "APO", "name": "Apollo Global Management LLC Class A", "spread": -44.704815, "lead": "price", "quality": 100}, {"tickerId": 5310, "symbol": "CG", "name": "Carlyle Group Inc", "spread": -40.901990999999995, "lead": "price", "quality": 25}, {"tickerId": 3817, "symbol": "STT", "name": "State Street Corp", "spread": -38.423374, "lead": "price", "quality": 50}, {"tickerId": 4837, "symbol": "ARCC", "name": "Ares Capital Corporation", "spread": -34.931042, "lead": "price", "quality": 75}, {"tickerId": 8171, "symbol": "SEIC", "name": "SEI Investments Company", "spread": -27.920276, "lead": "price", "quality": 100}]}, "historicalOutcomes": {"available": true, "sampleSize": 10, "historyWeeks": 156, "horizons": [{"weeks": 13, "observations": 10, "medianReturn": 0.7349214665808734, "positiveRate": 70.0, "downsideDecile": -4.131957409344878, "bestReturn": 29.254206508365254, "worstReturn": -4.131957409344878}], "note": "Comparable outcomes use the available three-year peer history, are descriptive, include overlapping periods and are not a forecast."}, "transitions": [{"date": "2023-10-20", "key": "balanced", "label": "Broadly aligned", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2023-11-10", "key": "confirmed_compounding", "label": "Confirmed compounding", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2024-08-09", "key": "balanced", "label": "Broadly aligned", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2025-03-21", "key": "fundamental_fracture", "label": "Fundamental fracture", "tone": "negative"}, {"date": "2026-03-13", "key": "shared_contraction", "label": "Shared contraction", "tone": "negative"}], "dataIntegrity": {"asOf": "2026-10-09", "exactReportDates": 13, "estimatedReportDates": 0, "coverage": 100}}, "alerts": []}, "disclaimer": "Earnings intelligence is descriptive market research. It is not a forecast, recommendation or trading instruction."}