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"Negative four-week response", "tone": "negative"}, {"date": "2024-11-01", "periodEnd": "2024-09-30", "earningsChangePct": -16.55992680695334, "surprisePct": 22.71386430678466, "immediateReturnPct": -0.007670925261993311, "forward4WeekPct": 13.673148496516486, "forward13WeekPct": 12.857306326231344, "toDateReturnPct": 51.03335511234312, "weeksSince": 92, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 14.235013542230476, "key": "resisted_deterioration", "status": "Price resisted deterioration", "tone": "caution"}, {"date": "2025-02-14", "periodEnd": "2024-12-31", "earningsChangePct": -11.239035087719284, "surprisePct": -1.8867924528301903, "immediateReturnPct": -7.47275199095202, "forward4WeekPct": -7.81905019866792, "forward13WeekPct": -12.967609363957989, "toDateReturnPct": 43.046845798472624, "weeksSince": 77, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 7.827903791265371, "key": "accepted_deterioration", "status": "Negative four-week response", "tone": "negative"}, {"date": "2025-05-02", "periodEnd": "2025-03-31", "earningsChangePct": 26.868437306979608, "surprisePct": 14.995034756703078, "immediateReturnPct": -2.2390316961078627, "forward4WeekPct": -11.826777704603641, "forward13WeekPct": -6.1404368951264665, "toDateReturnPct": 47.92442210077854, "weeksSince": 66, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 22.905737176739827, "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "status": "Non-positive four-week response", "tone": "opportunity"}, {"date": "2025-08-01", "periodEnd": "2025-06-30", "earningsChangePct": -3.3592989289191744, "surprisePct": 6.8143100511073165, "immediateReturnPct": 3.899487512762212, "forward4WeekPct": 27.598958055325816, "forward13WeekPct": 17.302156512441293, "toDateReturnPct": 63.747530230026996, "weeksSince": 53, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 22.47522612683344, "key": "resisted_deterioration", "status": "Price resisted deterioration", "tone": "caution"}, {"date": "2025-11-07", "periodEnd": "2025-09-30", "earningsChangePct": -4.6347607052896755, "surprisePct": 11.34020618556701, "immediateReturnPct": -9.400050383877478, "forward4WeekPct": -7.311549503000814, "forward13WeekPct": -30.046685199493595, "toDateReturnPct": 39.59464608194105, "weeksSince": 39, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 17.866292913494654, "key": "accepted_deterioration", "status": "Negative four-week response", "tone": "negative"}, {"date": "2026-02-13", "periodEnd": "2025-12-31", "earningsChangePct": -9.508716323296362, "surprisePct": 0.7518796992481265, "immediateReturnPct": -5.0737343521341405, "forward4WeekPct": -14.700423064353163, "forward13WeekPct": 57.78664133923692, "toDateReturnPct": 99.55401181493475, "weeksSince": 25, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 25.233198148881172, "key": "accepted_deterioration", "status": "Negative four-week response", "tone": "negative"}, {"date": "2026-05-01", "periodEnd": "2026-03-31", "earningsChangePct": -7.413893753648571, "surprisePct": 1.0784313725490315, "immediateReturnPct": 8.548994251269736, "forward4WeekPct": 41.9040096682562, "forward13WeekPct": 69.44614270124899, "toDateReturnPct": 79.29083971852047, "weeksSince": 14, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 9.959822429820953, "key": "resisted_deterioration", "status": "Price resisted deterioration", "tone": "caution"}, {"date": "2026-07-31", "periodEnd": "2026-06-30", "earningsChangePct": 8.448928121059263, "surprisePct": 22.34726688102895, "immediateReturnPct": -6.539607520805502, "forward4WeekPct": null, "forward13WeekPct": null, "toDateReturnPct": -1.1096270420219878, "weeksSince": 1, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -12.631692823867397, "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "status": "Non-positive initial response", "tone": "opportunity"}], "latestEvent": {"date": "2026-07-31", "periodEnd": "2026-06-30", "earningsChangePct": 8.448928121059263, "surprisePct": 22.34726688102895, "immediateReturnPct": -6.539607520805502, "forward4WeekPct": null, "forward13WeekPct": null, "toDateReturnPct": -1.1096270420219878, "weeksSince": 1, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -12.631692823867397, "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "status": "Non-positive initial response", "tone": "opportunity"}, "freshImprovementAwaitingConfirmation": true, "improvementConfirmationReversed": false, "summary": "Across completed four-week windows, 2 improving updates had a non-positive price response; 0 had a meaningful positive price response."}, "professional": {"peerContext": {"available": true, "cohort": "Healthcare Plans", "population": 6, "spreadPercentile": 20.0, "qualityPercentile": 0.0, "rarityPercentile": 80.0, "currentOneYearSpread": -65.033713, "lead": "price", "relatedSignals": [{"tickerId": 1251, "symbol": "ELV", "name": "Elevance Health Inc", "spread": -44.341854000000005, "lead": "price", "quality": 100}, {"tickerId": 903, "symbol": "CVS", "name": "CVS Health Corp", "spread": -41.374598, "lead": "price", "quality": 100}, {"tickerId": 4132, "symbol": "UNH", "name": "UnitedHealth Group Incorporated", "spread": -100.339213, "lead": "price", "quality": 75}]}, "historicalOutcomes": {"available": false, "sampleSize": 0, "historyWeeks": 156, "horizons": []}, "transitions": [{"date": "2023-08-18", "key": "balanced", "label": "Broadly aligned", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2024-01-26", "key": "relative_earnings_resilience", "label": "Relative earnings resilience", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2024-08-02", "key": "shared_contraction", "label": "Shared contraction", "tone": "negative"}, {"date": "2024-11-01", "key": "relative_earnings_resilience", "label": "Relative earnings resilience", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2025-02-14", "key": "shared_contraction", "label": "Shared contraction", "tone": "negative"}, {"date": "2025-05-02", "key": "relative_earnings_resilience", "label": "Relative earnings resilience", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2026-05-01", "key": "shared_contraction", "label": "Shared contraction", "tone": "negative"}, {"date": "2026-07-31", "key": "fundamental_fracture", "label": "Fundamental fracture", "tone": "negative"}], "dataIntegrity": {"asOf": "2026-08-07", "exactReportDates": 13, "estimatedReportDates": 0, "coverage": 100}}, "alerts": [{"key": "fundamental_fracture", "label": "Fundamental fracture", "tone": "negative", "explanation": "Earnings have weakened while price has not adjusted to the same degree."}]}, "disclaimer": "Earnings intelligence is descriptive market research. It is not a forecast, recommendation or trading instruction."}