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163.53333333333333, "immediateReturnPct": 13.876651982378863, "forward4WeekPct": 34.58149779735684, "forward13WeekPct": 33.370044052863435, "toDateReturnPct": 11.45374449339207, "weeksSince": 100, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 948.510075432765, "key": "mixed", "status": "Mixed response", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2025-03-07", "periodEnd": "2024-12-31", "earningsChangePct": 0.05551518058548588, "surprisePct": 274.9090909090909, "immediateReturnPct": 3.127962085308056, "forward4WeekPct": -6.635071090047406, "forward13WeekPct": 14.502369668246429, "toDateReturnPct": -4.075829383886265, "weeksSince": 83, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 940.7148398609371, "key": "mixed", "status": "Mixed response", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2025-05-09", "periodEnd": "2025-03-31", "earningsChangePct": -63.079484564054425, "surprisePct": 39.88764044943821, "immediateReturnPct": 3.507194244604328, "forward4WeekPct": 8.63309352517987, "forward13WeekPct": 2.158273381294973, "toDateReturnPct": -8.992805755395683, "weeksSince": 74, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 230.6026255941484, "key": "resisted_deterioration", "status": "Price resisted deterioration", "tone": "caution"}, {"date": "2025-08-08", "periodEnd": "2025-06-30", "earningsChangePct": -98.44480783219818, "surprisePct": null, "immediateReturnPct": -2.3215821152192673, "forward4WeekPct": -22.61392949269132, "forward13WeekPct": -7.1367153912295755, "toDateReturnPct": -12.983662940670692, "weeksSince": 61, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -170.57252374586506, "key": "accepted_deterioration", "status": "Negative four-week response", "tone": "negative"}, {"date": "2025-11-07", "periodEnd": "2025-09-30", "earningsChangePct": -5.321810325221743, "surprisePct": -133.33333333333334, "immediateReturnPct": -1.5496809480401108, "forward4WeekPct": 11.3947128532361, "forward13WeekPct": 2.8258887876025485, "toDateReturnPct": -7.748404740200554, "weeksSince": 48, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -162.1890220035649, "key": "resisted_deterioration", "status": "Price resisted deterioration", "tone": "caution"}, {"date": "2026-03-06", "periodEnd": "2025-12-31", "earningsChangePct": -4.334481009955438, "surprisePct": -80.0, "immediateReturnPct": -5.288461538461542, "forward4WeekPct": 6.442307692307692, "forward13WeekPct": 7.115384615384612, "toDateReturnPct": -2.692307692307705, "weeksSince": 31, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -147.65311215354723, "key": "resisted_deterioration", "status": "Price resisted deterioration", "tone": "caution"}, {"date": "2026-05-08", "periodEnd": "2026-03-31", "earningsChangePct": 2.050609602990816, "surprisePct": -58.92590750870214, "immediateReturnPct": 3.8642789820923618, "forward4WeekPct": 4.995287464656006, "forward13WeekPct": -1.602262016965128, "toDateReturnPct": -4.618284637134784, "weeksSince": 22, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -165.75901560041106, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive four-week response", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2026-08-07", "periodEnd": "2026-06-30", "earningsChangePct": -91.58510580130132, "surprisePct": -66.66666666666666, "immediateReturnPct": -9.059233449477356, "forward4WeekPct": -10.540069686411158, "forward13WeekPct": null, "toDateReturnPct": -11.846689895470398, "weeksSince": 9, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -162.12101057423644, "key": "accepted_deterioration", "status": "Negative four-week response", "tone": "negative"}], "latestEvent": {"date": "2026-08-07", "periodEnd": "2026-06-30", "earningsChangePct": -91.58510580130132, "surprisePct": -66.66666666666666, "immediateReturnPct": -9.059233449477356, "forward4WeekPct": -10.540069686411158, "forward13WeekPct": null, "toDateReturnPct": -11.846689895470398, "weeksSince": 9, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -162.12101057423644, "key": "accepted_deterioration", "status": "Negative four-week response", "tone": "negative"}, "freshImprovementAwaitingConfirmation": false, "improvementConfirmationReversed": false, "summary": "Across completed four-week windows, 1 improving update had a non-positive price response; 2 had a meaningful positive price response."}, "professional": {"peerContext": {"available": true, "cohort": "Building Materials", "population": 13, "spreadPercentile": 25.0, "qualityPercentile": 50.0, "rarityPercentile": 75.0, "currentOneYearSpread": -69.66667600000001, "lead": "price", "relatedSignals": [{"tickerId": 918, "symbol": "CX", "name": "Cemex SAB de CV ADR", "spread": -72.950631, "lead": "price", "quality": 87.5}, {"tickerId": 2297, "symbol": "JHX", "name": "James Hardie Industries PLC ADR", "spread": -74.0114, "lead": "price", "quality": 75}, {"tickerId": 813, "symbol": "CPAC", "name": "Cementos Pacasmayo SAA ADR", "spread": -88.17034500000001, "lead": "price", "quality": 87.5}]}, "historicalOutcomes": {"available": true, "sampleSize": 7, "historyWeeks": 156, "horizons": [{"weeks": 13, "observations": 7, "medianReturn": -17.75943664069931, "positiveRate": 28.57142857142857, "downsideDecile": -36.71150278293135, "bestReturn": 25.639894086496028, "worstReturn": -36.71150278293135}], "note": "Comparable outcomes use the available three-year peer history, are descriptive, include overlapping periods and are not a forecast."}, "transitions": [{"date": "2023-10-20", "key": "balanced", "label": "Broadly aligned", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2024-03-08", "key": "fundamental_fracture", "label": "Fundamental fracture", "tone": "negative"}, {"date": "2024-05-10", "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "label": "Earnings ahead", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2025-08-08", "key": "fundamental_fracture", "label": "Fundamental fracture", "tone": "negative"}], "dataIntegrity": {"asOf": "2026-10-09", "exactReportDates": 13, "estimatedReportDates": 0, "coverage": 100}}, "alerts": [{"key": "fundamental_fracture", "label": "Fundamental fracture", "tone": "negative", "explanation": "Earnings have weakened while price has not adjusted to the same degree."}]}, "disclaimer": "Earnings intelligence is descriptive market research. It is not a forecast, recommendation or trading instruction."}