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-8.279582863700053, "forward13WeekPct": 5.934394189513137, "toDateReturnPct": 7.568832413919635, "weeksSince": 76, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 279.30955647300584, "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "status": "Non-positive four-week response", "tone": "opportunity"}, {"date": "2025-05-02", "periodEnd": "2025-03-31", "earningsChangePct": 0.13287478505550343, "surprisePct": 41.42857142857144, "immediateReturnPct": 7.530526585910069, "forward4WeekPct": 14.064244067917485, "forward13WeekPct": 11.513206845306057, "toDateReturnPct": 11.917861789050788, "weeksSince": 66, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 272.54870892827034, "key": "mixed", "status": "Mixed response", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2025-08-01", "periodEnd": "2025-06-30", "earningsChangePct": 0.42151276246975566, "surprisePct": 9.90099009900991, "immediateReturnPct": -4.367333494869163, "forward4WeekPct": -0.5898154120498211, "forward13WeekPct": -9.688391907662853, "toDateReturnPct": -4.020305260460322, "weeksSince": 53, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 268.05307699231753, "key": "mixed", "status": "Mixed response", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2025-10-31", "periodEnd": "2025-09-30", "earningsChangePct": -62.11426350563545, "surprisePct": 3.645833333333337, "immediateReturnPct": -1.3295350455662658, "forward4WeekPct": -4.497916757895792, "forward13WeekPct": -2.6248807476147995, "toDateReturnPct": 4.863165501961086, "weeksSince": 40, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 0.7031997384933675, "key": "accepted_deterioration", "status": "Negative four-week response", "tone": "negative"}, {"date": "2026-02-20", "periodEnd": "2025-12-31", "earningsChangePct": 14.874846122281493, "surprisePct": 1.1818370308936355, "immediateReturnPct": -1.5410809835920913, "forward4WeekPct": 4.671245903624355, "forward13WeekPct": -2.531250713444888, "toDateReturnPct": 30.089270227648377, "weeksSince": 24, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 58.808483616128626, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive four-week response", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2026-05-01", "periodEnd": "2026-03-31", "earningsChangePct": 0.2679049830326852, "surprisePct": 5.555555555555539, "immediateReturnPct": -5.891816842011977, "forward4WeekPct": -7.112344199279019, "forward13WeekPct": 7.289060238435674, "toDateReturnPct": 19.258270069079188, "weeksSince": 14, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 53.55562581912716, "key": "mixed", "status": "Mixed response", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2026-08-07", "periodEnd": "2026-06-30", "earningsChangePct": 0.5700035625222588, "surprisePct": 3.6734693877550963, "immediateReturnPct": 11.156039398652151, "forward4WeekPct": null, "forward13WeekPct": null, "toDateReturnPct": 11.156039398652151, "weeksSince": 0, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 16.92015582310941, "key": "mixed", "status": "Mixed response", "tone": "neutral"}], "latestEvent": {"date": "2026-08-07", "periodEnd": "2026-06-30", "earningsChangePct": 0.5700035625222588, "surprisePct": 3.6734693877550963, "immediateReturnPct": 11.156039398652151, "forward4WeekPct": null, "forward13WeekPct": null, "toDateReturnPct": 11.156039398652151, "weeksSince": 0, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 16.92015582310941, "key": "mixed", "status": "Mixed response", "tone": "neutral"}, "freshImprovementAwaitingConfirmation": false, "improvementConfirmationReversed": false, "summary": "Across completed four-week windows, 2 improving updates had a non-positive price response; 3 had a meaningful positive price response."}, "professional": {"peerContext": {"available": true, "cohort": "Travel Services", "population": 13, "spreadPercentile": 91.7, "qualityPercentile": 29.2, "rarityPercentile": 91.7, "currentOneYearSpread": 49.783218, "lead": "earnings", "relatedSignals": [{"tickerId": 4233, "symbol": "VIK", "name": "Viking Holdings Ltd", "spread": 39.636297, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 87.5}, {"tickerId": 2821, "symbol": "NCLH", "name": "Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd", "spread": 25.576569999999997, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 100}, {"tickerId": 5942, "symbol": "EXPE", "name": "Expedia Group Inc.", "spread": 22.613792, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 75}, {"tickerId": 659, "symbol": "CCL", "name": "Carnival Corporation", "spread": 18.258453, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 100}, {"tickerId": 3323, "symbol": "RCL", "name": "Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd", "spread": 14.179952000000002, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 100}, {"tickerId": 8491, "symbol": "TCOM", "name": "Trip.com Group Ltd ADR", "spread": 106.134881, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 66.66666666666667}]}, "historicalOutcomes": {"available": false, "sampleSize": 0, "historyWeeks": 156, "horizons": []}, "transitions": [{"date": "2023-08-18", "key": "balanced", "label": "Broadly aligned", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2024-02-23", "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "label": "Earnings ahead", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2025-10-31", "key": "confirmed_compounding", "label": "Confirmed compounding", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2026-02-20", "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "label": "Earnings ahead", "tone": "positive"}], "dataIntegrity": {"asOf": "2026-08-07", "exactReportDates": 13, "estimatedReportDates": 0, "coverage": 100}}, "alerts": [{"key": "persistent_earnings_lead", "label": "Persistent earnings lead", "tone": "positive", "explanation": "Earnings power has led market price across several updates."}, {"key": "repricing_started", "label": "Repricing may be starting", "tone": "positive", "explanation": "The longstanding earnings lead is beginning to close through price confirmation."}]}, "disclaimer": "Earnings intelligence is descriptive market research. It is not a forecast, recommendation or trading instruction."}