{"ticker": {"uuid": "3a7ae75a-339e-46b3-9acf-f0ebc63b0ca8", "symbol": "XRTX", "name": "XORTX Therapeutics Inc", "sector": "Healthcare", "industry": "Biotechnology", "currency": "USD"}, "next_event": {"report_date": "2026-08-13", "fiscal_date_ending": "2026-06-30", "estimate": null, "session": "Time unconfirmed", "days": 0}, "profile": {"sample": 12, "measured": 8, "beats": 7, "misses": 1, "inline": 0, "beat_rate": 87.5, "beat_rate_label": "87.5%", "average_surprise": 7.5, "average_surprise_label": "+7.5%", "median_surprise": 32.6, "surprise_dispersion": 100.8, "average_reaction": -1.5, "average_reaction_label": "-1.5%", "average_abs_reaction": 8.3, "positive_response_rate": 41.7, "confirmation_rate": 33.3, "reaction_sample": 12, "streak": {"count": 6, "band": "beat", "label": "6 consecutive beats"}, "profile": "Delivery strong, expectations demanding", "profile_tone": "caution", "profile_text": "Results have usually cleared estimates, but price has not consistently rewarded the delivery."}, "event_risk": {"score": 86, "band": "High", "tone": "negative", "days": 0, "proximity_component": 30, "reaction_component": 21, "variability_component": 25, "uncertainty_component": 10, "explanation": "Event risk combines report proximity, historical price movement, surprise variability, estimate availability and confirmed timing. It measures uncertainty, not direction."}, "evidence": {"score": 93, "band": "Deep", "exact": 12, "surprise": 8, "reaction": 12, "financial": 11, "total": 12}, "factor_context": {"available": true, "as_of": "2026-08-09", "eps_growth_1y": null, "revenue_growth_1y": null, "cash_conversion": 0.93, "net_margin": null, "earnings_yield": null, "eps_surprise_avg": 49.7, "sue_score": -0.0, "pe_ratio": null, "completeness": 42.9, "source": "alphavantage"}, "market_context": {"available": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.13, "currency": "USD", "return_13w": -23.7, "fair_value": 8.070766, "fair_value_gap": -73.6, "relative_strength": -34.8, "trend_signal": "Inactive", "expectation_direction": "negative", "expectation_probability": 42.8}, "records": [{"period_end": "2023-06-30", "reported_date": "2023-08-14", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": -4.23, "eps_estimate": -11.25, "eps_surprise": 7.02, "surprise_pct": 62.4, "surprise_label": "+62.4%", "surprise_band": "beat", "eps_yoy": null, "eps_yoy_label": "-", "one_week_reaction": -3.524590163934418, "one_week_reaction_label": "-3.5%", "four_week_reaction": -6.557377049180331, "four_week_reaction_label": "-6.6%", "confirmation": "diverged", "revenue": null, "revenue_yoy": null, "revenue_yoy_label": "-", "net_income": null, "operating_cash_flow": null, "free_cash_flow": null, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2023-09-30", "reported_date": "2023-11-14", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": -0.67, "eps_estimate": -0.19, "eps_surprise": -0.48, "surprise_pct": -252.6316, "surprise_label": "-252.6%", "surprise_band": "miss", "eps_yoy": null, "eps_yoy_label": "-", "one_week_reaction": 7.526881720430113, "one_week_reaction_label": "+7.5%", "four_week_reaction": -13.620071684587803, "four_week_reaction_label": "-13.6%", "confirmation": "diverged", "revenue": 0.0, "revenue_yoy": null, "revenue_yoy_label": "-", "net_income": -1333366.0, "operating_cash_flow": -1070722.0, "free_cash_flow": -1063423.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2023-12-31", "reported_date": "2023-12-31", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": -0.636, "eps_estimate": -0.815, "eps_surprise": 0.179, "surprise_pct": 21.9632, "surprise_label": "+22.0%", "surprise_band": "beat", "eps_yoy": null, "eps_yoy_label": "-", "one_week_reaction": 19.48051948051948, "one_week_reaction_label": "+19.5%", "four_week_reaction": -0.43290043290043906, "four_week_reaction_label": "-0.4%", "confirmation": "confirmed", "revenue": 0.0, "revenue_yoy": null, "revenue_yoy_label": "-", "net_income": 2699224.0, "operating_cash_flow": -1298067.0, "free_cash_flow": -1298065.67, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2024-03-31", "reported_date": "2024-04-02", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": -2.96, "eps_estimate": -4.21, "eps_surprise": 1.25, "surprise_pct": 29.6912, "surprise_label": "+29.7%", "surprise_band": "beat", "eps_yoy": null, "eps_yoy_label": "-", "one_week_reaction": 0.0, "one_week_reaction_label": "0.0%", "four_week_reaction": -20.81081081081081, "four_week_reaction_label": "-20.8%", "confirmation": "contained", "revenue": 0.0, "revenue_yoy": null, "revenue_yoy_label": "-", "net_income": -3018936.0, "operating_cash_flow": -1303852.0, "free_cash_flow": -1301229.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2024-06-30", "reported_date": "2024-08-14", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": -3.44, "eps_estimate": -4.61, "eps_surprise": 1.17, "surprise_pct": 25.3796, "surprise_label": "+25.4%", "surprise_band": "beat", "eps_yoy": 18.67612293144209, "eps_yoy_label": "+18.7%", "one_week_reaction": -10.365853658536581, "one_week_reaction_label": "-10.4%", "four_week_reaction": 21.951219512195134, "four_week_reaction_label": "+22.0%", "confirmation": "diverged", "revenue": 0.0, "revenue_yoy": null, "revenue_yoy_label": "-", "net_income": 170066.0, "operating_cash_flow": -736537.0, "free_cash_flow": -727453.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2024-09-30", "reported_date": "2024-11-14", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": -0.2022, "eps_estimate": null, "eps_surprise": 0.0, "surprise_pct": null, "surprise_label": "-", "surprise_band": "unavailable", "eps_yoy": 69.82089552238806, "eps_yoy_label": "+69.8%", "one_week_reaction": -16.38311688311688, "one_week_reaction_label": "-16.4%", "four_week_reaction": -25.324675324675326, "four_week_reaction_label": "-25.3%", "confirmation": "unavailable", "revenue": 0.0, "revenue_yoy": null, "revenue_yoy_label": "-", "net_income": -587011.0, "operating_cash_flow": -751851.0, "free_cash_flow": -728670.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2024-12-31", "reported_date": "2025-03-25", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": -1.17, "eps_estimate": -2.08, "eps_surprise": 0.91, "surprise_pct": 43.75, "surprise_label": "+43.8%", "surprise_band": "beat", "eps_yoy": -83.96226415094338, "eps_yoy_label": "-84.0%", "one_week_reaction": -5.825242718446615, "one_week_reaction_label": "-5.8%", "four_week_reaction": -7.961165048543692, "four_week_reaction_label": "-8.0%", "confirmation": "diverged", "revenue": 0.0, "revenue_yoy": null, "revenue_yoy_label": "-", "net_income": 122535.0, "operating_cash_flow": -886408.0, "free_cash_flow": -882372.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2025-03-31", "reported_date": "2025-05-15", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": -0.19, "eps_estimate": null, "eps_surprise": 0.0, "surprise_pct": null, "surprise_label": "-", "surprise_band": "unavailable", "eps_yoy": 93.58108108108108, "eps_yoy_label": "+93.6%", "one_week_reaction": 4.901960784313726, "one_week_reaction_label": "+4.9%", "four_week_reaction": -10.294117647058814, "four_week_reaction_label": "-10.3%", "confirmation": "unavailable", "revenue": 0.0, "revenue_yoy": null, "revenue_yoy_label": "-", "net_income": -698673.0, "operating_cash_flow": -643730.0, "free_cash_flow": -640345.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2025-06-30", "reported_date": "2025-08-14", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": -0.19, "eps_estimate": null, "eps_surprise": 0.0, "surprise_pct": null, "surprise_label": "-", "surprise_band": "unavailable", "eps_yoy": 94.47674418604652, "eps_yoy_label": "+94.5%", "one_week_reaction": 3.396226415094345, "one_week_reaction_label": "+3.4%", "four_week_reaction": 3.773584905660375, "four_week_reaction_label": "+3.8%", "confirmation": "unavailable", "revenue": 0.0, "revenue_yoy": null, "revenue_yoy_label": "-", "net_income": -717700.0, "operating_cash_flow": -793519.0, "free_cash_flow": -771694.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2025-09-30", "reported_date": "2025-11-14", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": -1.02, "eps_estimate": -1.58, "eps_surprise": 0.56, "surprise_pct": 35.443, "surprise_label": "+35.4%", "surprise_band": "beat", "eps_yoy": -404.4510385756677, "eps_yoy_label": "-404.5%", "one_week_reaction": -0.9138147285432746, "one_week_reaction_label": "-0.9%", "four_week_reaction": 13.044257301558856, "four_week_reaction_label": "+13.0%", "confirmation": "contained", "revenue": 0.0, "revenue_yoy": null, "revenue_yoy_label": "-", "net_income": -649469.0, "operating_cash_flow": -629617.0, "free_cash_flow": -624131.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2025-12-31", "reported_date": "2026-02-26", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": -0.09, "eps_estimate": -1.58, "eps_surprise": 1.49, "surprise_pct": 94.3038, "surprise_label": "+94.3%", "surprise_band": "beat", "eps_yoy": 92.3076923076923, "eps_yoy_label": "+92.3%", "one_week_reaction": 5.1282051282051215, "one_week_reaction_label": "+5.1%", "four_week_reaction": 1.282051282051289, "four_week_reaction_label": "+1.3%", "confirmation": "confirmed", "revenue": 0.0, "revenue_yoy": null, "revenue_yoy_label": "-", "net_income": -590462.0, "operating_cash_flow": -701857.0, "free_cash_flow": -677330.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2026-03-31", "reported_date": "2026-05-15", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": -0.5806, "eps_estimate": null, "eps_surprise": 0.0, "surprise_pct": null, "surprise_label": "-", "surprise_band": "unavailable", "eps_yoy": -205.57894736842104, "eps_yoy_label": "-205.6%", "one_week_reaction": -21.863799283154115, "one_week_reaction_label": "-21.9%", "four_week_reaction": -20.788530465949822, "four_week_reaction_label": "-20.8%", "confirmation": "unavailable", "revenue": 0.0, "revenue_yoy": null, "revenue_yoy_label": "-", "net_income": -808472.0, "operating_cash_flow": -501362.0, "free_cash_flow": -497574.0, "currency": "USD"}], "charts": {"quarters": ["2023-06-30", "2023-09-30", "2023-12-31", "2024-03-31", "2024-06-30", "2024-09-30", "2024-12-31", "2025-03-31", "2025-06-30", "2025-09-30", "2025-12-31", "2026-03-31"], "eps_actual": [-4.23, -0.67, -0.636, -2.96, -3.44, -0.2022, -1.17, -0.19, -0.19, -1.02, -0.09, -0.5806], "eps_estimate": [-11.25, -0.19, -0.815, -4.21, -4.61, null, -2.08, null, null, -1.58, -1.58, null], "surprise": [62.4, -252.6316, 21.9632, 29.6912, 25.3796, null, 43.75, null, null, 35.443, 94.3038, null], "reaction_1w": [-3.524590163934418, 7.526881720430113, 19.48051948051948, 0.0, -10.365853658536581, -16.38311688311688, -5.825242718446615, 4.901960784313726, 3.396226415094345, -0.9138147285432746, 5.1282051282051215, -21.863799283154115], "reaction_4w": [-6.557377049180331, -13.620071684587803, -0.43290043290043906, -20.81081081081081, 21.951219512195134, -25.324675324675326, -7.961165048543692, -10.294117647058814, 3.773584905660375, 13.044257301558856, 1.282051282051289, -20.788530465949822], "revenue": [null, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0], "net_income": [null, -1.33, 2.7, -3.02, 0.17, -0.59, 0.12, -0.7, -0.72, -0.65, -0.59, -0.81], "financial_unit": "millions", "scatter": [{"x": 62.4, "y": -3.524590163934418, "label": "2023-06-30"}, {"x": -252.6316, "y": 7.526881720430113, "label": "2023-09-30"}, {"x": 21.9632, "y": 19.48051948051948, "label": "2023-12-31"}, {"x": 29.6912, "y": 0.0, "label": "2024-03-31"}, {"x": 25.3796, "y": -10.365853658536581, "label": "2024-06-30"}, {"x": 43.75, "y": -5.825242718446615, "label": "2024-12-31"}, {"x": 35.443, "y": -0.9138147285432746, "label": "2025-09-30"}, {"x": 94.3038, "y": 5.1282051282051215, "label": "2025-12-31"}], "earnings_price": {"available": false, "dates": [], "price_index": [], "eps_index": [], "gap": [], "quarter_markers": [], "bridge_labels": [], "bridge_values": []}}, "earnings_price": {"available": false, "reason": "Earnings power must be positive at the start of the three-year window."}, "disclaimer": "Earnings intelligence is descriptive market research. It is not a forecast, recommendation or trading instruction."}