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"earningsChangePct": 7.751937984496116, "surprisePct": 3.1250000000000027, "immediateReturnPct": -7.523510773292729, "forward4WeekPct": -12.878788858163325, "forward13WeekPct": -1.4735768671050198, "toDateReturnPct": 0.9947961032999553, "weeksSince": 54, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -42.15891269927772, "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "status": "Non-positive four-week response", "tone": "opportunity"}, {"date": "2025-10-31", "periodEnd": "2025-09-30", "earningsChangePct": 3.237410071942448, "surprisePct": 1.7857142857142672, "immediateReturnPct": -5.502391870441459, "forward4WeekPct": 4.970759482261533, "forward13WeekPct": 0.8600724060096265, "toDateReturnPct": 2.5052903494482415, "weeksSince": 40, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -40.64997718314392, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive four-week response", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2026-02-27", "periodEnd": "2025-12-31", "earningsChangePct": 4.878048780487787, "surprisePct": 13.62061798531245, "immediateReturnPct": 3.953663253226969, "forward4WeekPct": 20.27075142354309, "forward13WeekPct": -1.6884422731118565, "toDateReturnPct": -3.1291756247295077, "weeksSince": 23, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -55.67292619628785, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive four-week response", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2026-04-24", "periodEnd": "2026-03-31", "earningsChangePct": 18.60465116279071, "surprisePct": 16.92307692307692, "immediateReturnPct": 1.5583793489353015, "forward4WeekPct": -1.582354046039014, "forward13WeekPct": -6.3270557317241405, "toDateReturnPct": -7.9856221044495745, "weeksSince": 15, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -45.28727538614402, "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "status": "Non-positive four-week response", "tone": "opportunity"}, {"date": "2026-07-24", "periodEnd": "2026-06-30", "earningsChangePct": 2.2408963585434094, "surprisePct": 42.3076923076923, "immediateReturnPct": 6.011969532100103, "forward4WeekPct": null, "forward13WeekPct": null, "toDateReturnPct": 4.134929270946697, "weeksSince": 2, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -32.75101553758377, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive initial response", "tone": "positive"}], "latestEvent": {"date": "2026-07-24", "periodEnd": "2026-06-30", "earningsChangePct": 2.2408963585434094, "surprisePct": 42.3076923076923, "immediateReturnPct": 6.011969532100103, "forward4WeekPct": null, "forward13WeekPct": null, "toDateReturnPct": 4.134929270946697, "weeksSince": 2, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -32.75101553758377, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive initial response", "tone": "positive"}, "freshImprovementAwaitingConfirmation": false, "improvementConfirmationReversed": false, "summary": "Across completed four-week windows, 3 improving updates had a non-positive price response; 4 had a meaningful positive price response."}, "professional": {"peerContext": {"available": true, "cohort": "Oil & Gas E&P", "population": 24, "spreadPercentile": 69.6, "qualityPercentile": 93.5, "rarityPercentile": 69.6, "currentOneYearSpread": 67.39010999999999, "lead": "earnings", "relatedSignals": [{"tickerId": 854, "symbol": "CRGY", "name": "Crescent Energy Co", "spread": 106.012521, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 50}, {"tickerId": 4331, "symbol": "WDS", "name": "Woodside Energy Group Ltd", "spread": 106.875704, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 87.5}, {"tickerId": 236, "symbol": "AR", "name": "Antero Resources Corp", "spread": 134.451823, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 100}, {"tickerId": 1321, "symbol": "EQT", "name": "EQT Corporation", "spread": 147.354342, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 87.5}, {"tickerId": 3049, "symbol": "OXY", "name": "Occidental Petroleum Corporation", "spread": 177.98183799999998, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 62.5}, {"tickerId": 5337, "symbol": "CHRD", "name": "Chord Energy Corp", "spread": 182.98642600000002, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 75}, {"tickerId": 788, "symbol": "CNX", "name": "CNX Resources Corp", "spread": 488.65792300000004, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 100}]}, "historicalOutcomes": {"available": false, "sampleSize": 0, "historyWeeks": 156, "horizons": []}, "transitions": [{"date": "2023-08-18", "key": "balanced", "label": "Broadly aligned", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2023-10-27", "key": "fundamental_fracture", "label": "Fundamental fracture", "tone": "negative"}], "dataIntegrity": {"asOf": "2026-08-07", "exactReportDates": 13, "estimatedReportDates": 0, "coverage": 100}}, "alerts": [{"key": "fundamental_fracture", "label": "Fundamental fracture", "tone": "negative", "explanation": "Earnings have weakened while price has not adjusted to the same degree."}]}, "disclaimer": "Earnings intelligence is descriptive market research. It is not a forecast, recommendation or trading instruction."}