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{"date": "2025-02-07", "periodEnd": "2024-12-31", "earningsChangePct": -2.3474178403755763, "surprisePct": -22.368421052631586, "immediateReturnPct": -3.740720548405718, "forward4WeekPct": -8.298570932130488, "forward13WeekPct": 5.7008178131305876, "toDateReturnPct": 123.2785090002504, "weeksSince": 78, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -40.24919505949612, "key": "accepted_deterioration", "status": "Negative four-week response", "tone": "negative"}, {"date": "2025-04-18", "periodEnd": "2025-03-31", "earningsChangePct": 2.2435897435897356, "surprisePct": 3.6082474226804044, "immediateReturnPct": 2.7418377062738086, "forward4WeekPct": 16.114127446838754, "forward13WeekPct": 53.5622568268852, "toDateReturnPct": 138.23348597434526, "weeksSince": 68, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -38.08509158671686, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive four-week response", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2025-08-01", "periodEnd": "2025-06-30", "earningsChangePct": 38.08777429467085, "surprisePct": 123.73737373737373, "immediateReturnPct": -6.344529094962626, "forward4WeekPct": -6.423780604084728, "forward13WeekPct": 2.412762663029011, "toDateReturnPct": 50.201422663653126, "weeksSince": 53, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -61.60987356992209, "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "status": "Non-positive four-week response", "tone": "opportunity"}, {"date": "2025-11-21", "periodEnd": "2025-09-30", "earningsChangePct": 2.3836549375709337, "surprisePct": 1.0152284263959401, "immediateReturnPct": -4.00218300891394, "forward4WeekPct": -3.0198289976350656, "forward13WeekPct": 30.47116609059488, "toDateReturnPct": 37.9115881389849, "weeksSince": 37, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -81.65464259815874, "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "status": "Non-positive four-week response", "tone": "opportunity"}, {"date": "2026-02-06", "periodEnd": "2025-12-31", "earningsChangePct": 0.8869179600886845, "surprisePct": -33.66336633663366, "immediateReturnPct": 11.709240528030174, "forward4WeekPct": 2.4001371506943148, "forward13WeekPct": 17.50385736327791, "toDateReturnPct": 29.967426710097733, "weeksSince": 26, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -133.0197201993324, "key": "mixed", "status": "Mixed response", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2026-05-22", "periodEnd": "2026-03-31", "earningsChangePct": 2.5274725274725407, "surprisePct": 2.7522935779816535, "immediateReturnPct": 0.2806798690160761, "forward4WeekPct": 3.9295181662248657, "forward13WeekPct": null, "toDateReturnPct": 18.21300483393109, "weeksSince": 11, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -125.77569090861212, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive four-week response", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2026-07-24", "periodEnd": "2026-06-30", "earningsChangePct": -20.685959271168276, "surprisePct": 7.29613733905579, "immediateReturnPct": 1.0316563029960202, "forward4WeekPct": null, "forward13WeekPct": null, "toDateReturnPct": 7.136800452232905, "weeksSince": 2, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -186.76384904366705, "key": "resisted_deterioration", "status": "Price resisted deterioration", "tone": "caution"}], "latestEvent": {"date": "2026-07-24", "periodEnd": "2026-06-30", "earningsChangePct": -20.685959271168276, "surprisePct": 7.29613733905579, "immediateReturnPct": 1.0316563029960202, "forward4WeekPct": null, "forward13WeekPct": null, "toDateReturnPct": 7.136800452232905, "weeksSince": 2, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -186.76384904366705, "key": "resisted_deterioration", "status": "Price resisted deterioration", "tone": "caution"}, "freshImprovementAwaitingConfirmation": false, "improvementConfirmationReversed": false, "summary": "Across completed four-week windows, 2 improving updates had a non-positive price response; 3 had a meaningful positive price response."}, "professional": {"peerContext": {"available": true, "cohort": "Banks - Regional", "population": 28, "spreadPercentile": 25.9, "qualityPercentile": 68.5, "rarityPercentile": 74.1, "currentOneYearSpread": -35.85682200000001, "lead": "price", "relatedSignals": [{"tickerId": 2552, "symbol": "LYG", "name": "Lloyds Banking Group PLC ADR", "spread": -37.122503, "lead": "price", "quality": 100}, {"tickerId": 357, "symbol": "BAP", "name": "Credicorp Ltd", "spread": -37.781009, "lead": "price", "quality": 100}, {"tickerId": 6054, "symbol": "FITB", "name": "Fifth Third Bancorp", "spread": -40.289947999999995, "lead": "price", "quality": 75}, {"tickerId": 4154, "symbol": "USB", "name": "U.S. Bancorp", "spread": -28.477635, "lead": "price", "quality": 100}, {"tickerId": 4320, "symbol": "WBS", "name": "Webster Financial Corporation", "spread": -26.015060000000002, "lead": "price", "quality": 62.5}, {"tickerId": 2746, "symbol": "MTB", "name": "M&T Bank Corporation", "spread": -25.528777999999996, "lead": "price", "quality": 75}, {"tickerId": 2352, "symbol": "KB", "name": "KB Financial Group Inc", "spread": -46.728281, "lead": "price", "quality": 66.66666666666667}, {"tickerId": 562, "symbol": "BSAC", "name": "Banco Santander Chile", "spread": -47.351379, "lead": "price", "quality": 83.33333333333333}]}, "historicalOutcomes": {"available": false, "sampleSize": 0, "historyWeeks": 156, "horizons": []}, "transitions": [{"date": "2023-08-18", "key": "balanced", "label": "Broadly aligned", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2023-11-03", "key": "fundamental_fracture", "label": "Fundamental fracture", "tone": "negative"}, {"date": "2024-02-09", "key": "expectations_ahead", "label": "Expectations ahead", "tone": "caution"}], "dataIntegrity": {"asOf": "2026-08-07", "exactReportDates": 13, "estimatedReportDates": 0, "coverage": 100}}, "alerts": [{"key": "quality_confirmed", "label": "Business quality supportive", "tone": "positive", "explanation": "Cash generation and operating evidence are broadly supportive."}, {"key": "expectations_stretched", "label": "Expectations stretched", "tone": "caution", "explanation": "Price has moved materially faster than delivered earnings power."}]}, "disclaimer": "Earnings intelligence is descriptive market research. It is not a forecast, recommendation or trading instruction."}