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"weeksSince": 90, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 4060.401573935316, "key": "resisted_deterioration", "status": "Price resisted deterioration", "tone": "caution"}, {"date": "2025-02-14", "periodEnd": "2024-12-31", "earningsChangePct": -19.641652044810364, "surprisePct": -71.46639042357275, "immediateReturnPct": 2.369349822083655, "forward4WeekPct": -15.157116291127704, "forward13WeekPct": 0.5825845896068493, "toDateReturnPct": 12.144601406463229, "weeksSince": 77, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 3215.9746885459185, "key": "accepted_deterioration", "status": "Negative four-week response", "tone": "negative"}, {"date": "2025-05-09", "periodEnd": "2025-03-31", "earningsChangePct": -31.433970186857017, "surprisePct": -97.52515323233492, "immediateReturnPct": 2.198991261621419, "forward4WeekPct": 6.164383375064908, "forward13WeekPct": 16.81827198431467, "toDateReturnPct": 20.07622770179276, "weeksSince": 65, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 2159.1327898517907, "key": "resisted_deterioration", "status": "Price resisted deterioration", "tone": "caution"}, {"date": "2025-08-08", "periodEnd": "2025-06-30", "earningsChangePct": -28.78314654908445, "surprisePct": -2.222222222222224, "immediateReturnPct": -0.9490289672787089, "forward4WeekPct": 1.806213366775311, "forward13WeekPct": 5.321007319917825, "toDateReturnPct": 1.813412831561978, "weeksSince": 52, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 1462.873869464268, "key": "resisted_deterioration", "status": "Price resisted deterioration", "tone": "caution"}, {"date": "2025-11-14", "periodEnd": "2025-09-30", "earningsChangePct": 46.985983317568135, "surprisePct": 43.5897435897436, "immediateReturnPct": -3.841954915773871, "forward4WeekPct": -0.327439812911845, "forward13WeekPct": 4.46132687951073, "toDateReturnPct": -3.3303844860706255, "weeksSince": 38, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 2238.991039517079, "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "status": "Non-positive four-week response", "tone": "opportunity"}, {"date": "2026-02-13", "periodEnd": "2025-12-31", "earningsChangePct": 2.8725209149944364, "surprisePct": -50.87661263645386, "immediateReturnPct": 5.7067010777940075, "forward4WeekPct": -15.129396909678317, "forward13WeekPct": 0.9074908092610467, "toDateReturnPct": -2.1779020457712073, "weeksSince": 25, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 2291.616335635599, "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "status": "Non-positive four-week response", "tone": "opportunity"}, {"date": "2026-05-15", "periodEnd": "2026-03-31", "earningsChangePct": 0.2161055505004672, "surprisePct": null, "immediateReturnPct": -3.271028643762819, "forward4WeekPct": -3.971963049240701, "forward13WeekPct": null, "toDateReturnPct": -6.228657207347732, "weeksSince": 12, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 2307.050588201227, "key": "mixed", "status": "Mixed response", "tone": "neutral"}], "latestEvent": {"date": "2026-05-15", "periodEnd": "2026-03-31", "earningsChangePct": 0.2161055505004672, "surprisePct": null, "immediateReturnPct": -3.271028643762819, "forward4WeekPct": -3.971963049240701, "forward13WeekPct": null, "toDateReturnPct": -6.228657207347732, "weeksSince": 12, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 2307.050588201227, "key": "mixed", "status": "Mixed response", "tone": "neutral"}, "freshImprovementAwaitingConfirmation": false, "improvementConfirmationReversed": false, "summary": "Across completed four-week windows, 3 improving updates had a non-positive price response; 2 had a meaningful positive price response."}, "professional": {"peerContext": {"available": true, "cohort": "Asset Management", "population": 27, "spreadPercentile": 92.3, "qualityPercentile": 36.5, "rarityPercentile": 92.3, "currentOneYearSpread": 115.28088199999999, "lead": "earnings", "relatedSignals": [{"tickerId": 406, "symbol": "BEN", "name": "Franklin Resources Inc", "spread": 135.416381, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 50}, {"tickerId": 2382, "symbol": "KKR", "name": "KKR & Co. Inc.", "spread": 80.969618, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 100}, {"tickerId": 242, "symbol": "ARES", "name": "Ares Management LP", "spread": 74.88357500000001, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 75}, {"tickerId": 6438, "symbol": "HLNE", "name": "Hamilton Lane Inc", "spread": 63.304230000000004, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 100}, {"tickerId": 3044, "symbol": "OWL", "name": "Blue Owl Capital Inc", "spread": 57.940234000000004, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 87.5}, {"tickerId": 607, "symbol": "BX", "name": "Blackstone Group Inc", "spread": 39.260011, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 100}, {"tickerId": 355, "symbol": "BAM", "name": "Brookfield Asset Management Ltd.", "spread": 25.740729, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 83.33333333333333}, {"tickerId": 184, "symbol": "AMG", "name": "Affiliated Managers Group, Inc.", "spread": 18.566616999999997, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 100}]}, "historicalOutcomes": {"available": false, "sampleSize": 0, "historyWeeks": 156, "horizons": []}, "transitions": [{"date": "2023-08-18", "key": "balanced", "label": "Broadly aligned", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2023-11-10", "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "label": "Earnings ahead", "tone": "positive"}], "dataIntegrity": {"asOf": "2026-08-07", "exactReportDates": 12, "estimatedReportDates": 0, "coverage": 100}}, "alerts": [{"key": "persistent_earnings_lead", "label": "Persistent earnings lead", "tone": "positive", "explanation": "Earnings power has led market price across several updates."}, {"key": "base_sensitive", "label": "Starting-base sensitivity", "tone": "caution", "explanation": "The three-year earnings move begins from an unusually depressed level; compare the shorter horizons before relying on its scale."}]}, "disclaimer": "Earnings intelligence is descriptive market research. It is not a forecast, recommendation or trading instruction."}