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111.50682885563049, "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "status": "Non-positive four-week response", "tone": "opportunity"}, {"date": "2025-05-09", "periodEnd": "2025-03-31", "earningsChangePct": -3.2558139534883623, "surprisePct": -25.0, "immediateReturnPct": -15.937586521734836, "forward4WeekPct": -7.383672706524658, "forward13WeekPct": -4.660991518040348, "toDateReturnPct": -44.10369432208461, "weeksSince": 74, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 137.62911819979925, "key": "accepted_deterioration", "status": "Negative four-week response", "tone": "negative"}, {"date": "2025-08-08", "periodEnd": "2025-06-30", "earningsChangePct": -7.932692307692313, "surprisePct": 35.08771929824563, "immediateReturnPct": 8.285531501215072, "forward4WeekPct": 9.942640438497442, "forward13WeekPct": -1.1724244003669115, "toDateReturnPct": -36.51327755907199, "weeksSince": 61, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 104.17415240678491, "key": "resisted_deterioration", "status": "Price resisted deterioration", "tone": "caution"}, {"date": "2025-11-07", "periodEnd": "2025-09-30", "earningsChangePct": 0.0, "surprisePct": 25.773195876288664, "immediateReturnPct": 3.9123099289834595, "forward4WeekPct": 13.726811381904213, "forward13WeekPct": -3.5544250112061193, "toDateReturnPct": -33.24684999475437, "weeksSince": 48, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 114.6323096994913, "key": "mixed", "status": "Mixed response", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2026-02-20", "periodEnd": "2025-12-31", "earningsChangePct": -5.483028720626626, "surprisePct": -24.35577722360765, "immediateReturnPct": -10.40787734026769, "forward4WeekPct": -16.212536253590038, "forward13WeekPct": -2.8777847582174165, "toDateReturnPct": -30.932735477146313, "weeksSince": 33, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 120.57177824233604, "key": "accepted_deterioration", "status": "Negative four-week response", "tone": "negative"}, {"date": "2026-05-08", "periodEnd": "2026-03-31", "earningsChangePct": 2.7624309392265234, "surprisePct": -18.811881188118818, "immediateReturnPct": -1.0143407990705455, "forward4WeekPct": -2.7282288331825555, "forward13WeekPct": -0.6927532842632811, "toDateReturnPct": -30.876126789118562, "weeksSince": 22, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 116.9527402524036, "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "status": "Non-positive four-week response", "tone": "opportunity"}, {"date": "2026-08-07", "periodEnd": "2026-06-30", "earningsChangePct": -3.2258064516129115, "surprisePct": -16.666666666666664, "immediateReturnPct": -3.150157507875384, "forward4WeekPct": -13.296009800490028, "forward13WeekPct": null, "toDateReturnPct": -32.58662933146657, "weeksSince": 9, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 109.61065092075708, "key": "accepted_deterioration", "status": "Negative four-week response", "tone": "negative"}], "latestEvent": {"date": "2026-08-07", "periodEnd": "2026-06-30", "earningsChangePct": -3.2258064516129115, "surprisePct": -16.666666666666664, "immediateReturnPct": -3.150157507875384, "forward4WeekPct": -13.296009800490028, "forward13WeekPct": null, "toDateReturnPct": -32.58662933146657, "weeksSince": 9, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 109.61065092075708, "key": "accepted_deterioration", "status": "Negative four-week response", "tone": "negative"}, "freshImprovementAwaitingConfirmation": false, "improvementConfirmationReversed": false, "summary": "Across completed four-week windows, 3 improving updates had a non-positive price response; 3 had a meaningful positive price response."}, "professional": {"peerContext": {"available": true, "cohort": "Insurance - Life", "population": 17, "spreadPercentile": 68.8, "qualityPercentile": 46.9, "rarityPercentile": 68.8, "currentOneYearSpread": 55.089584, "lead": "earnings", "relatedSignals": [{"tickerId": 8300, "symbol": "SNFCA", "name": "Security National Financial", "spread": 43.202129, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 100}, {"tickerId": 721, "symbol": "CIA", "name": "Citizens Inc", "spread": 37.895268, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 75}, {"tickerId": 5045, "symbol": "BHFAP", "name": "Brighthouse Financial, Inc.", "spread": 29.473090000000003, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 37.5}, {"tickerId": 5043, "symbol": "BHF", "name": "Brighthouse Financial, Inc.", "spread": 22.506778, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 37.5}, {"tickerId": 3240, "symbol": "PUK", "name": "Prudential PLC ADR", "spread": 92.257919, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 62.5}, {"tickerId": 108, "symbol": "AFL", "name": "Aflac Incorporated", "spread": 94.624418, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 75}, {"tickerId": 3206, "symbol": "PRI", "name": "Primerica Inc", "spread": 12.552734999999998, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 100}, {"tickerId": 2500, "symbol": "LNC", "name": "Lincoln National Corporation", "spread": 99.358502, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 50}]}, "historicalOutcomes": {"available": true, "sampleSize": 7, "historyWeeks": 156, "horizons": [{"weeks": 13, "observations": 7, "medianReturn": -1.5155451632458683, "positiveRate": 42.857142857142854, "downsideDecile": -30.888030888030883, "bestReturn": 26.212155095906287, "worstReturn": -30.888030888030883}], "note": "Comparable outcomes use the available three-year peer history, are descriptive, include overlapping periods and are not a forecast."}, "transitions": [{"date": "2023-10-20", "key": "balanced", "label": "Broadly aligned", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2023-11-10", "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "label": "Earnings ahead", "tone": "positive"}], "dataIntegrity": {"asOf": "2026-10-09", "exactReportDates": 13, "estimatedReportDates": 0, "coverage": 100}}, "alerts": [{"key": "persistent_earnings_lead", "label": "Persistent earnings lead", "tone": "positive", "explanation": "Earnings power has led market price across several updates."}, {"key": "quality_confirmed", "label": "Business quality supportive", "tone": "positive", "explanation": "Cash generation and operating evidence are broadly supportive."}]}, "disclaimer": "Earnings intelligence is descriptive market research. It is not a forecast, recommendation or trading instruction."}