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four-week response", "tone": "negative"}, {"date": "2024-07-26", "periodEnd": "2024-06-30", "earningsChangePct": -2.3446658851113633, "surprisePct": -4.508196721311471, "immediateReturnPct": 6.132465788592678, "forward4WeekPct": 2.6581368983890297, "forward13WeekPct": 0.20201815421019287, "toDateReturnPct": 10.682721267299456, "weeksSince": 106, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -23.92103118829789, "key": "resisted_deterioration", "status": "Price resisted deterioration", "tone": "caution"}, {"date": "2024-10-25", "periodEnd": "2024-09-30", "earningsChangePct": -2.7611044417767183, "surprisePct": -7.916666666666665, "immediateReturnPct": -4.550715434003838, "forward4WeekPct": -2.7935606287187165, "forward13WeekPct": -12.51961945225376, "toDateReturnPct": 5.432872045775339, "weeksSince": 93, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -19.677438675539833, "key": "accepted_deterioration", "status": "Negative four-week response", "tone": "negative"}, {"date": "2025-02-14", "periodEnd": "2024-12-31", "earningsChangePct": -5.185185185185182, "surprisePct": 5.55555555555556, "immediateReturnPct": 5.356063552700863, "forward4WeekPct": -4.406963913533213, "forward13WeekPct": -0.7156013037758924, "toDateReturnPct": 20.94431102760943, "weeksSince": 77, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -20.342024451783956, "key": "accepted_deterioration", "status": "Negative four-week response", "tone": "negative"}, {"date": "2025-05-02", "periodEnd": "2025-03-31", "earningsChangePct": 0.6510416666666741, "surprisePct": 20.779220779220783, "immediateReturnPct": 2.3186143160105255, "forward4WeekPct": 1.40679954260019, "forward13WeekPct": 16.90016596647681, "toDateReturnPct": 30.051344341579387, "weeksSince": 66, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -8.573196082170284, "key": "mixed", "status": "Mixed response", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2025-08-01", "periodEnd": "2025-06-30", "earningsChangePct": 1.8111254851228997, "surprisePct": 9.292035398230107, "immediateReturnPct": 8.155257918276803, "forward4WeekPct": 15.368828093703746, "forward13WeekPct": 6.726100553647374, "toDateReturnPct": 20.322640892706257, "weeksSince": 53, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -21.666723589275804, "key": "mixed", "status": "Mixed response", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2025-10-31", "periodEnd": "2025-09-30", "earningsChangePct": 1.5247776365946653, "surprisePct": -0.4273504273504183, "immediateReturnPct": 0.6730546110229385, "forward4WeekPct": -4.528861486090852, "forward13WeekPct": 1.0102850929686769, "toDateReturnPct": 13.498457590934132, "weeksSince": 40, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -18.615066083458615, "key": "mixed", "status": "Mixed response", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2026-02-13", "periodEnd": "2025-12-31", "earningsChangePct": 0.0, "surprisePct": 5.55555555555556, "immediateReturnPct": 7.581840648821037, "forward4WeekPct": -8.400247008126883, "forward13WeekPct": -8.03765214158555, "toDateReturnPct": 2.242014391565106, "weeksSince": 25, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -40.457412458770435, "key": "mixed", "status": "Mixed response", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2026-05-01", "periodEnd": "2026-03-31", "earningsChangePct": 3.504380475594493, "surprisePct": 16.30434782608696, "immediateReturnPct": 5.61402599548384, "forward4WeekPct": 4.3436878338932505, "forward13WeekPct": 3.398138458996547, "toDateReturnPct": 9.20856969763728, "weeksSince": 14, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -25.745285793793087, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive four-week response", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2026-07-31", "periodEnd": "2026-06-30", "earningsChangePct": 7.4969770253930035, "surprisePct": 13.602941176470576, "immediateReturnPct": -3.1669073653806445, "forward4WeekPct": null, "forward13WeekPct": null, "toDateReturnPct": 2.2746028471219315, "weeksSince": 1, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -15.408669182472167, "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "status": "Non-positive initial response", "tone": "opportunity"}], "latestEvent": {"date": "2026-07-31", "periodEnd": "2026-06-30", "earningsChangePct": 7.4969770253930035, "surprisePct": 13.602941176470576, "immediateReturnPct": -3.1669073653806445, "forward4WeekPct": null, "forward13WeekPct": null, "toDateReturnPct": 2.2746028471219315, "weeksSince": 1, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -15.408669182472167, "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "status": "Non-positive initial response", "tone": "opportunity"}, "freshImprovementAwaitingConfirmation": false, "improvementConfirmationReversed": false, "summary": "Across completed four-week windows, 0 improving updates had a non-positive price response; 3 had a meaningful positive price response."}, "professional": {"peerContext": {"available": true, "cohort": "Lumber & Wood Production", "population": 3, "spreadPercentile": 100.0, "qualityPercentile": 100.0, "rarityPercentile": 50.0, "currentOneYearSpread": 4.746484, "lead": "aligned", "relatedSignals": []}, "historicalOutcomes": {"available": false, "sampleSize": 0, "historyWeeks": 156, "horizons": []}, "transitions": [{"date": "2023-08-18", "key": "balanced", "label": "Broadly aligned", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2023-10-27", "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "label": "Earnings ahead", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2024-02-09", "key": "expectations_ahead", "label": "Expectations ahead", "tone": "caution"}, {"date": "2024-04-26", "key": "confirmed_compounding", "label": "Confirmed compounding", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2024-07-26", "key": "expectations_ahead", "label": "Expectations ahead", "tone": "caution"}, {"date": "2025-02-14", "key": "fundamental_fracture", "label": "Fundamental fracture", "tone": "negative"}, {"date": "2025-05-02", "key": "balanced", "label": "Broadly aligned", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2025-08-01", "key": "expectations_ahead", "label": "Expectations ahead", "tone": "caution"}], "dataIntegrity": {"asOf": "2026-08-07", "exactReportDates": 13, "estimatedReportDates": 0, "coverage": 100}}, "alerts": [{"key": "quality_confirmed", "label": "Business quality supportive", "tone": "positive", "explanation": "Cash generation and operating evidence are broadly supportive."}, {"key": "expectations_elevated", "label": "Expectations elevated", "tone": "caution", "explanation": "Price is leading delivered earnings power by a meaningful margin."}]}, "disclaimer": "Earnings intelligence is descriptive market research. It is not a forecast, recommendation or trading instruction."}