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-48.86479995156116, "key": "accepted_deterioration", "status": "Negative four-week response", "tone": "negative"}, {"date": "2026-01-09", "periodEnd": "2025-11-30", "earningsChangePct": -10.74074074074074, "surprisePct": 3.3898305084745797, "immediateReturnPct": 1.2961753697597667, "forward4WeekPct": 3.480196891204934, "forward13WeekPct": 0.45762720761006737, "toDateReturnPct": -5.376233034930344, "weeksSince": 30, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -68.96321273234224, "key": "resisted_deterioration", "status": "Price resisted deterioration", "tone": "caution"}, {"date": "2026-05-08", "periodEnd": "2026-02-28", "earningsChangePct": -1.2448132780083054, "surprisePct": -6.111603188662529, "immediateReturnPct": -4.851340043024299, "forward4WeekPct": -1.442261599464978, "forward13WeekPct": -10.771116811176428, "toDateReturnPct": -10.771116811176428, "weeksSince": 13, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -69.15865653432597, "key": "mixed", "status": "Mixed response", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2026-07-10", "periodEnd": "2026-05-31", "earningsChangePct": -7.983193277310918, "surprisePct": -12.962962962962973, "immediateReturnPct": -17.790393400615034, "forward4WeekPct": -8.279740466043418, "forward13WeekPct": null, "toDateReturnPct": -8.279740466043418, "weeksSince": 4, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -53.86266745017301, "key": "accepted_deterioration", "status": "Negative four-week response", "tone": "negative"}], "latestEvent": {"date": "2026-07-10", "periodEnd": "2026-05-31", "earningsChangePct": -7.983193277310918, "surprisePct": -12.962962962962973, "immediateReturnPct": -17.790393400615034, "forward4WeekPct": -8.279740466043418, "forward13WeekPct": null, "toDateReturnPct": -8.279740466043418, "weeksSince": 4, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -53.86266745017301, "key": "accepted_deterioration", "status": "Negative four-week response", "tone": "negative"}, "freshImprovementAwaitingConfirmation": false, "improvementConfirmationReversed": false, "summary": "Across completed four-week windows, 2 improving updates had a non-positive price response; 2 had a meaningful positive price response."}, "professional": {"peerContext": {"available": true, "cohort": "Asset Management", "population": 28, "spreadPercentile": 14.8, "qualityPercentile": 1.9, "rarityPercentile": 85.2, "currentOneYearSpread": -44.961220000000004, "lead": "price", "relatedSignals": [{"tickerId": 2968, "symbol": "OBDC", "name": "Blue Owl Capital Corporation", "spread": -47.025168, "lead": "price", "quality": 100}, {"tickerId": 3817, "symbol": "STT", "name": "State Street Corp", "spread": -48.421352, "lead": "price", "quality": 50}, {"tickerId": 612, "symbol": "BXSL", "name": "Blackstone Secured Lending Fund", "spread": -40.525597999999995, "lead": "price", "quality": 66.66666666666667}, {"tickerId": 5310, "symbol": "CG", "name": "Carlyle Group Inc", "spread": -49.855052, "lead": "price", "quality": 66.66666666666667}, {"tickerId": 4837, "symbol": "ARCC", "name": "Ares Capital Corporation", "spread": -26.837341999999996, "lead": "price", "quality": 75}, {"tickerId": 7394, "symbol": "NTRS", "name": "Northern Trust Corporation", "spread": -21.734733000000002, "lead": "price", "quality": 62.5}, {"tickerId": 2562, "symbol": "MAIN", "name": "Main Street Capital Corporation", "spread": -19.773338000000003, "lead": "price", "quality": 25}, {"tickerId": 8171, "symbol": "SEIC", "name": "SEI Investments Company", "spread": -18.556211, "lead": "price", "quality": 100}]}, "historicalOutcomes": {"available": false, "sampleSize": 0, "historyWeeks": 156, "horizons": []}, "transitions": [{"date": "2023-08-18", "key": "balanced", "label": "Broadly aligned", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2023-10-13", "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "label": "Earnings ahead", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2024-05-10", "key": "shared_contraction", "label": "Shared contraction", "tone": "negative"}, {"date": "2024-07-12", "key": "fundamental_fracture", "label": "Fundamental fracture", "tone": "negative"}], "dataIntegrity": {"asOf": "2026-08-07", "exactReportDates": 13, "estimatedReportDates": 0, "coverage": 100}}, "alerts": [{"key": "fundamental_fracture", "label": "Fundamental fracture", "tone": "negative", "explanation": "Earnings have weakened while price has not adjusted to the same degree."}]}, "disclaimer": "Earnings intelligence is descriptive market research. It is not a forecast, recommendation or trading instruction."}