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-0.5464480874316944, "immediateReturnPct": -4.506264477492062, "forward4WeekPct": 7.897750336628673, "forward13WeekPct": -1.7507628097660155, "toDateReturnPct": 46.77415931298279, "weeksSince": 93, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -30.646954013420924, "key": "resisted_deterioration", "status": "Price resisted deterioration", "tone": "caution"}, {"date": "2025-02-21", "periodEnd": "2024-12-31", "earningsChangePct": -13.70087336244541, "surprisePct": -18.532110091743114, "immediateReturnPct": 1.1320500463893657, "forward4WeekPct": -6.374826787397259, "forward13WeekPct": -1.1059655252096512, "toDateReturnPct": 45.89186585629108, "weeksSince": 76, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -47.36522965259282, "key": "accepted_deterioration", "status": "Negative four-week response", "tone": "negative"}, {"date": "2025-04-25", "periodEnd": "2025-03-31", "earningsChangePct": -9.677419354838712, "surprisePct": 2.168021680216804, "immediateReturnPct": 2.3881568246465923, "forward4WeekPct": 5.604783588686457, "forward13WeekPct": 10.726243244729794, "toDateReturnPct": 55.79179272972983, "weeksSince": 67, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -47.71956194507816, "key": "resisted_deterioration", "status": "Price resisted deterioration", "tone": "caution"}, {"date": "2025-07-25", "periodEnd": "2025-06-30", "earningsChangePct": -1.540616246498594, "surprisePct": -5.944798301486205, "immediateReturnPct": -8.943814929369498, "forward4WeekPct": -12.026539264504898, "forward13WeekPct": -17.226572863377143, "toDateReturnPct": 28.11602647738871, "weeksSince": 54, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -57.09120249482777, "key": "mixed", "status": "Mixed response", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2025-10-24", "periodEnd": "2025-09-30", "earningsChangePct": 0.0, "surprisePct": -2.412868632707771, "immediateReturnPct": 1.9985278469595524, "forward4WeekPct": 1.7077658335494128, "forward13WeekPct": 21.924374337844267, "toDateReturnPct": 57.87247847943699, "weeksSince": 41, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -46.82485317254449, "key": "mixed", "status": "Mixed response", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2026-02-20", "periodEnd": "2025-12-31", "earningsChangePct": 1.2802275960170695, "surprisePct": -14.285714285714283, "immediateReturnPct": -7.110619288717002, "forward4WeekPct": -15.045961930271101, "forward13WeekPct": 7.66906823452389, "toDateReturnPct": 24.356306929836478, "weeksSince": 24, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -62.13034336322967, "key": "mixed", "status": "Mixed response", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2026-04-24", "periodEnd": "2026-03-31", "earningsChangePct": 9.76123595505618, "surprisePct": 10.72961373390558, "immediateReturnPct": 8.029735363674217, "forward4WeekPct": 13.119739593057922, "forward13WeekPct": 25.70469590800222, "toDateReturnPct": 30.65175808911551, "weeksSince": 15, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -69.30316871987952, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive four-week response", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2026-07-24", "periodEnd": "2026-06-30", "earningsChangePct": 11.77223288547664, "surprisePct": 16.542750929368026, "immediateReturnPct": 3.0055817947616914, "forward4WeekPct": null, "forward13WeekPct": null, "toDateReturnPct": 7.059328669209197, "weeksSince": 2, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -83.48712133596997, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive initial response", "tone": "positive"}], "latestEvent": {"date": "2026-07-24", "periodEnd": "2026-06-30", "earningsChangePct": 11.77223288547664, "surprisePct": 16.542750929368026, "immediateReturnPct": 3.0055817947616914, "forward4WeekPct": null, "forward13WeekPct": null, "toDateReturnPct": 7.059328669209197, "weeksSince": 2, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -83.48712133596997, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive initial response", "tone": "positive"}, "freshImprovementAwaitingConfirmation": false, "improvementConfirmationReversed": false, "summary": "Across completed four-week windows, 0 improving updates had a non-positive price response; 1 had a meaningful positive price response."}, "professional": {"peerContext": {"available": true, "cohort": "Steel", "population": 10, "spreadPercentile": 77.8, "qualityPercentile": 50.0, "rarityPercentile": 22.2, "currentOneYearSpread": -29.803294, "lead": "price", "relatedSignals": [{"tickerId": 4073, "symbol": "TX", "name": "Ternium SA ADR", "spread": -60.353246999999996, "lead": "price", "quality": 50}, {"tickerId": 8402, "symbol": "STLD", "name": "Steel Dynamics Inc", "spread": -60.970276, "lead": "price", "quality": 75}, {"tickerId": 2727, "symbol": "MSB", "name": "Mesabi Trust", "spread": -69.106545, "lead": "price", "quality": 50}, {"tickerId": 7430, "symbol": "NWPX", "name": "Northwest Pipe Company", "spread": -101.28634000000001, "lead": "price", "quality": 100}, {"tickerId": 1732, "symbol": "GGB", "name": "Gerdau SA ADR", "spread": -102.663582, "lead": "price", "quality": 50}, {"tickerId": 4378, "symbol": "WS", "name": "Worthington Steel Inc", "spread": -114.915574, "lead": "price", "quality": 87.5}, {"tickerId": 2744, "symbol": "MT", "name": "ArcelorMittal SA ADR", "spread": -148.020575, "lead": "price", "quality": 100}]}, "historicalOutcomes": {"available": false, "sampleSize": 0, "historyWeeks": 156, "horizons": []}, "transitions": [{"date": "2023-08-18", "key": "balanced", "label": "Broadly aligned", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2023-10-27", "key": "shared_contraction", "label": "Shared contraction", "tone": "negative"}, {"date": "2024-02-16", "key": "fundamental_fracture", "label": "Fundamental fracture", "tone": "negative"}], "dataIntegrity": {"asOf": "2026-08-07", "exactReportDates": 13, "estimatedReportDates": 0, "coverage": 100}}, "alerts": [{"key": "fundamental_fracture", "label": "Fundamental fracture", "tone": "negative", "explanation": "Earnings have weakened while price has not adjusted to the same degree."}]}, "disclaimer": "Earnings intelligence is descriptive market research. It is not a forecast, recommendation or trading instruction."}