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"resisted_deterioration", "status": "Price resisted deterioration", "tone": "caution"}, {"date": "2025-05-02", "periodEnd": "2025-03-31", "earningsChangePct": 14.245810055865915, "surprisePct": 39.2123287671233, "immediateReturnPct": -0.8423406634364472, "forward4WeekPct": 15.154677599701817, "forward13WeekPct": 15.065225493850164, "toDateReturnPct": 39.493104733507266, "weeksSince": 66, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 278.7895639039876, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive four-week response", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2025-07-25", "periodEnd": "2025-06-30", "earningsChangePct": -9.413202933985321, "surprisePct": -88.42592592592592, "immediateReturnPct": -3.4589477516839495, "forward4WeekPct": 4.502700406578075, "forward13WeekPct": -14.315189028460463, "toDateReturnPct": 13.556647854845561, "weeksSince": 54, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 223.81342463223626, "key": "resisted_deterioration", "status": "Price resisted deterioration", "tone": "caution"}, {"date": "2025-10-24", "periodEnd": "2025-09-30", "earningsChangePct": -29.487179487179493, "surprisePct": -134.23423423423424, "immediateReturnPct": -18.602640225975676, "forward4WeekPct": -18.781345477604205, "forward13WeekPct": -19.82475355969331, "toDateReturnPct": 7.8745604427278515, "weeksSince": 41, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 136.2095686051176, "key": "accepted_deterioration", "status": "Negative four-week response", "tone": "negative"}, {"date": "2026-01-30", "periodEnd": "2025-12-31", "earningsChangePct": -25.263157894736842, "surprisePct": -120.43010752688173, "immediateReturnPct": -12.819959735404096, "forward4WeekPct": -3.019844693701479, "forward13WeekPct": 9.303997699165944, "toDateReturnPct": 34.548461317227485, "weeksSince": 27, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 90.09328837168432, "key": "accepted_deterioration", "status": "Negative four-week response", "tone": "negative"}, {"date": "2026-05-01", "periodEnd": "2026-03-31", "earningsChangePct": -5.5057618437900135, "surprisePct": -0.5167958656330753, "immediateReturnPct": 0.46259582342058625, "forward4WeekPct": 9.099920697858854, "forward13WeekPct": 18.827650013217024, "toDateReturnPct": 23.665080623843515, "weeksSince": 14, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 57.25288589029927, "key": "resisted_deterioration", "status": "Price resisted deterioration", "tone": "caution"}, {"date": "2026-07-31", "periodEnd": "2026-06-30", "earningsChangePct": 25.338753387533885, "surprisePct": 265.51724137931035, "immediateReturnPct": -12.146381980749489, "forward4WeekPct": null, "forward13WeekPct": null, "toDateReturnPct": -8.569892998485361, "weeksSince": 1, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 79.74901399213806, "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "status": "Non-positive initial response", "tone": "opportunity"}], "latestEvent": {"date": "2026-07-31", "periodEnd": "2026-06-30", "earningsChangePct": 25.338753387533885, "surprisePct": 265.51724137931035, "immediateReturnPct": -12.146381980749489, "forward4WeekPct": null, "forward13WeekPct": null, "toDateReturnPct": -8.569892998485361, "weeksSince": 1, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 79.74901399213806, "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "status": "Non-positive initial response", "tone": "opportunity"}, "freshImprovementAwaitingConfirmation": true, "improvementConfirmationReversed": false, "summary": "Across completed four-week windows, 2 improving updates had a non-positive price response; 2 had a meaningful positive price response."}, "professional": {"peerContext": {"available": true, "cohort": "Credit Services", "population": 24, "spreadPercentile": 4.3, "qualityPercentile": 30.4, "rarityPercentile": 95.7, "currentOneYearSpread": -67.85718399999999, "lead": "price", "relatedSignals": [{"tickerId": 4396, "symbol": "WU", "name": "Western Union Co", "spread": -54.184585, "lead": "price", "quality": 75}, {"tickerId": 4895, "symbol": "ATLC", "name": "Atlanticus Holdings Corporation", "spread": -52.619879000000005, "lead": "price", "quality": 87.5}, {"tickerId": 1286, "symbol": "ENVA", "name": "Enova International Inc", "spread": -106.30522500000001, "lead": "price", "quality": 62.5}, {"tickerId": 119, "symbol": "AGM", "name": "Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation", "spread": -28.776058999999997, "lead": "price", "quality": 75}, {"tickerId": 120, "symbol": "AGM-A", "name": "Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation", "spread": -25.158867, "lead": "price", "quality": 75}, {"tickerId": 5951, "symbol": "EZPW", "name": "EZCORP Inc", "spread": -21.223701000000005, "lead": "price", "quality": 100}, {"tickerId": 5985, "symbol": "FCFS", "name": "FirstCash Inc", "spread": -19.109717, "lead": "price", "quality": 100}, {"tickerId": 2872, "symbol": "NNI", "name": "Nelnet Inc", "spread": -16.399603, "lead": "price", "quality": 62.5}]}, "historicalOutcomes": {"available": false, "sampleSize": 0, "historyWeeks": 156, "horizons": []}, "transitions": [{"date": "2023-08-18", "key": "balanced", "label": "Broadly aligned", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2023-10-27", "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "label": "Earnings ahead", "tone": "positive"}], "dataIntegrity": {"asOf": "2026-08-07", "exactReportDates": 13, "estimatedReportDates": 0, "coverage": 100}}, "alerts": [{"key": "persistent_earnings_lead", "label": "Persistent earnings lead", "tone": "positive", "explanation": "Earnings power has led market price across several updates."}, {"key": "improvement_awaiting_confirmation", "label": "Fresh improvement awaiting confirmation", "tone": "opportunity", "explanation": "Earnings improved at the latest reported update, but market price remains below its pre-update level."}]}, "disclaimer": "Earnings intelligence is descriptive market research. It is not a forecast, recommendation or trading instruction."}