{"ticker": {"uuid": "63e54161-a7f3-4e23-b24d-9703d379a01d", "symbol": "CYPH", "name": "Cypherpunk Technologies Inc.", "sector": "Financial Services", "industry": "Asset Management", "currency": "USD"}, "next_event": {"report_date": "2026-08-13", "fiscal_date_ending": "2026-06-30", "estimate": null, "session": "Time unconfirmed", "days": 0}, "profile": {"sample": 12, "measured": 10, "beats": 5, "misses": 5, "inline": 0, "beat_rate": 50.0, "beat_rate_label": "50.0%", "average_surprise": -25.1, "average_surprise_label": "-25.1%", "median_surprise": 1.8, "surprise_dispersion": 90.1, "average_reaction": 42.9, "average_reaction_label": "+42.9%", "average_abs_reaction": 55.3, "positive_response_rate": 50.0, "confirmation_rate": 70.0, "reaction_sample": 12, "streak": {"count": 1, "band": "miss", "label": "1 consecutive misses"}, "profile": "Mixed earnings transmission", "profile_tone": "neutral", "profile_text": "Delivery and market response do not currently form a persistent directional pattern."}, "event_risk": {"score": 100, "band": "High", "tone": "negative", "days": 0, "proximity_component": 30, "reaction_component": 35, "variability_component": 25, "uncertainty_component": 10, "explanation": "Event risk combines report proximity, historical price movement, surprise variability, estimate availability and confirmed timing. It measures uncertainty, not direction."}, "evidence": {"score": 93, "band": "Deep", "exact": 12, "surprise": 10, "reaction": 12, "financial": 8, "total": 12}, "factor_context": {"available": true, "as_of": "2026-08-09", "eps_growth_1y": null, "revenue_growth_1y": null, "cash_conversion": 0.61, "net_margin": -27229.2, "earnings_yield": null, "eps_surprise_avg": -61.8, "sue_score": -0.31, "pe_ratio": null, "completeness": 64.3, "source": "alphavantage"}, "market_context": {"available": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.6886, "currency": "USD", "return_13w": -42.1, "fair_value": 1.594436, "fair_value_gap": -56.8, "relative_strength": -26.2, "trend_signal": "Inactive", "expectation_direction": "undecided", "expectation_probability": 51.2}, "records": [{"period_end": "2023-06-30", "reported_date": "2023-08-14", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": -0.91, "eps_estimate": -0.88, "eps_surprise": -0.03, "surprise_pct": -3.4091, "surprise_label": "-3.4%", "surprise_band": "miss", "eps_yoy": null, "eps_yoy_label": "-", "one_week_reaction": -8.898305084745761, "one_week_reaction_label": "-8.9%", "four_week_reaction": -21.610169491525415, "four_week_reaction_label": "-21.6%", "confirmation": "confirmed", "revenue": null, "revenue_yoy": null, "revenue_yoy_label": "-", "net_income": null, "operating_cash_flow": null, "free_cash_flow": null, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2023-09-30", "reported_date": "2023-11-13", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": -0.51, "eps_estimate": -0.58, "eps_surprise": 0.07, "surprise_pct": 12.069, "surprise_label": "+12.1%", "surprise_band": "beat", "eps_yoy": null, "eps_yoy_label": "-", "one_week_reaction": 32.60869565217393, "one_week_reaction_label": "+32.6%", "four_week_reaction": 97.10144927536236, "four_week_reaction_label": "+97.1%", "confirmation": "confirmed", "revenue": null, "revenue_yoy": null, "revenue_yoy_label": "-", "net_income": -13696000.0, "operating_cash_flow": -10488000.0, "free_cash_flow": -10488000.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2023-12-31", "reported_date": "2024-03-18", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": -0.4619, "eps_estimate": null, "eps_surprise": 0.0, "surprise_pct": null, "surprise_label": "-", "surprise_band": "unavailable", "eps_yoy": null, "eps_yoy_label": "-", "one_week_reaction": 14.027149321266972, "one_week_reaction_label": "+14.0%", "four_week_reaction": 46.60633484162897, "four_week_reaction_label": "+46.6%", "confirmation": "unavailable", "revenue": 337000.0, "revenue_yoy": null, "revenue_yoy_label": "-", "net_income": -24675000.0, "operating_cash_flow": -10380000.0, "free_cash_flow": -10380000.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2024-03-31", "reported_date": "2024-05-13", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": -0.51, "eps_estimate": -0.59, "eps_surprise": 0.08, "surprise_pct": 13.5593, "surprise_label": "+13.6%", "surprise_band": "beat", "eps_yoy": null, "eps_yoy_label": "-", "one_week_reaction": -5.395683453237407, "one_week_reaction_label": "-5.4%", "four_week_reaction": -19.424460431654662, "four_week_reaction_label": "-19.4%", "confirmation": "diverged", "revenue": null, "revenue_yoy": null, "revenue_yoy_label": "-", "net_income": -13820000.0, "operating_cash_flow": -15516000.0, "free_cash_flow": -15516000.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2024-06-30", "reported_date": "2024-08-12", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": -0.52, "eps_estimate": -0.4, "eps_surprise": -0.12, "surprise_pct": -30.0, "surprise_label": "-30.0%", "surprise_band": "miss", "eps_yoy": 42.857142857142854, "eps_yoy_label": "+42.9%", "one_week_reaction": 1.014198782961475, "one_week_reaction_label": "+1.0%", "four_week_reaction": 13.995943204868164, "four_week_reaction_label": "+14.0%", "confirmation": "diverged", "revenue": null, "revenue_yoy": null, "revenue_yoy_label": "-", "net_income": -20128000.0, "operating_cash_flow": -13671000.0, "free_cash_flow": -13671000.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2024-09-30", "reported_date": "2024-11-13", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": -0.44, "eps_estimate": -0.47, "eps_surprise": 0.03, "surprise_pct": 6.383, "surprise_label": "+6.4%", "surprise_band": "beat", "eps_yoy": 13.725490196078432, "eps_yoy_label": "+13.7%", "one_week_reaction": -15.432098765432098, "one_week_reaction_label": "-15.4%", "four_week_reaction": 0.9259259259259198, "four_week_reaction_label": "+0.9%", "confirmation": "diverged", "revenue": 0.0, "revenue_yoy": null, "revenue_yoy_label": "-", "net_income": -18176000.0, "operating_cash_flow": -15600000.0, "free_cash_flow": -15600000.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2024-12-31", "reported_date": "2025-03-26", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": -0.37, "eps_estimate": -0.36, "eps_surprise": -0.01, "surprise_pct": -2.7778, "surprise_label": "-2.8%", "surprise_band": "miss", "eps_yoy": 19.896081402901057, "eps_yoy_label": "+19.9%", "one_week_reaction": -21.04738154613467, "one_week_reaction_label": "-21.0%", "four_week_reaction": -9.376558603491276, "four_week_reaction_label": "-9.4%", "confirmation": "confirmed", "revenue": 234000.0, "revenue_yoy": -30.56379821958457, "revenue_yoy_label": "-30.6%", "net_income": -40169000.0, "operating_cash_flow": -15512000.0, "free_cash_flow": -15512000.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2025-03-31", "reported_date": "2025-05-13", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": -0.37, "eps_estimate": -0.4, "eps_surprise": 0.03, "surprise_pct": 7.5, "surprise_label": "+7.5%", "surprise_band": "beat", "eps_yoy": 27.450980392156865, "eps_yoy_label": "+27.5%", "one_week_reaction": 19.701492537313435, "one_week_reaction_label": "+19.7%", "four_week_reaction": 17.313432835820894, "four_week_reaction_label": "+17.3%", "confirmation": "confirmed", "revenue": 0.0, "revenue_yoy": null, "revenue_yoy_label": "-", "net_income": -15435000.0, "operating_cash_flow": -14480000.0, "free_cash_flow": -14480000.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2025-06-30", "reported_date": "2025-08-14", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": -0.4, "eps_estimate": -0.29, "eps_surprise": -0.11, "surprise_pct": -37.931, "surprise_label": "-37.9%", "surprise_band": "miss", "eps_yoy": 23.076923076923077, "eps_yoy_label": "+23.1%", "one_week_reaction": -15.050697084917614, "one_week_reaction_label": "-15.1%", "four_week_reaction": -10.329531051964517, "four_week_reaction_label": "-10.3%", "confirmation": "confirmed", "revenue": 0.0, "revenue_yoy": null, "revenue_yoy_label": "-", "net_income": -16643000.0, "operating_cash_flow": -14486000.0, "free_cash_flow": -14486000.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2025-09-30", "reported_date": "2025-11-12", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": -0.08, "eps_estimate": -0.24, "eps_surprise": 0.16, "surprise_pct": 66.6667, "surprise_label": "+66.7%", "surprise_band": "beat", "eps_yoy": 81.81818181818181, "eps_yoy_label": "+81.8%", "one_week_reaction": 500.043639537421, "one_week_reaction_label": "+500.0%", "four_week_reaction": 142.19943268601355, "four_week_reaction_label": "+142.2%", "confirmation": "confirmed", "revenue": 209000.0, "revenue_yoy": null, "revenue_yoy_label": "-", "net_income": -3303000.0, "operating_cash_flow": -16292000.0, "free_cash_flow": -14300000.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2025-12-31", "reported_date": "2026-03-16", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": 0.9231, "eps_estimate": null, "eps_surprise": 0.0, "surprise_pct": null, "surprise_label": "-", "surprise_band": "unavailable", "eps_yoy": 349.48648648648646, "eps_yoy_label": "+349.5%", "one_week_reaction": 21.500000000000007, "one_week_reaction_label": "+21.5%", "four_week_reaction": 82.75862068965519, "four_week_reaction_label": "+82.8%", "confirmation": "unavailable", "revenue": 0.0, "revenue_yoy": -100.0, "revenue_yoy_label": "-100.0%", "net_income": 40203000.0, "operating_cash_flow": -6619000.0, "free_cash_flow": -6619000.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2026-03-31", "reported_date": "2026-05-14", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": -0.46, "eps_estimate": -0.12, "eps_surprise": -0.34, "surprise_pct": -283.3333, "surprise_label": "-283.3%", "surprise_band": "miss", "eps_yoy": -24.32432432432433, "eps_yoy_label": "-24.3%", "one_week_reaction": -8.823529411764705, "one_week_reaction_label": "-8.8%", "four_week_reaction": -56.40336134453781, "four_week_reaction_label": "-56.4%", "confirmation": "confirmed", "revenue": 0.0, "revenue_yoy": null, "revenue_yoy_label": "-", "net_income": -77166000.0, "operating_cash_flow": -3430000.0, "free_cash_flow": 570000.0, "currency": "USD"}], "charts": {"quarters": ["2023-06-30", "2023-09-30", "2023-12-31", "2024-03-31", "2024-06-30", "2024-09-30", "2024-12-31", "2025-03-31", "2025-06-30", "2025-09-30", "2025-12-31", "2026-03-31"], "eps_actual": [-0.91, -0.51, -0.4619, -0.51, -0.52, -0.44, -0.37, -0.37, -0.4, -0.08, 0.9231, -0.46], "eps_estimate": [-0.88, -0.58, null, -0.59, -0.4, -0.47, -0.36, -0.4, -0.29, -0.24, null, -0.12], "surprise": [-3.4091, 12.069, null, 13.5593, -30.0, 6.383, -2.7778, 7.5, -37.931, 66.6667, null, -283.3333], "reaction_1w": [-8.898305084745761, 32.60869565217393, 14.027149321266972, -5.395683453237407, 1.014198782961475, -15.432098765432098, -21.04738154613467, 19.701492537313435, -15.050697084917614, 500.043639537421, 21.500000000000007, -8.823529411764705], "reaction_4w": [-21.610169491525415, 97.10144927536236, 46.60633484162897, -19.424460431654662, 13.995943204868164, 0.9259259259259198, -9.376558603491276, 17.313432835820894, -10.329531051964517, 142.19943268601355, 82.75862068965519, -56.40336134453781], "revenue": [null, null, 0.34, null, null, 0.0, 0.23, 0.0, 0.0, 0.21, 0.0, 0.0], "net_income": [null, -13.7, -24.68, -13.82, -20.13, -18.18, -40.17, -15.44, -16.64, -3.3, 40.2, -77.17], "financial_unit": "millions", "scatter": [{"x": -3.4091, "y": -8.898305084745761, "label": "2023-06-30"}, {"x": 12.069, "y": 32.60869565217393, "label": "2023-09-30"}, {"x": 13.5593, "y": -5.395683453237407, "label": "2024-03-31"}, {"x": -30.0, "y": 1.014198782961475, "label": "2024-06-30"}, {"x": 6.383, "y": -15.432098765432098, "label": "2024-09-30"}, {"x": -2.7778, "y": -21.04738154613467, "label": "2024-12-31"}, {"x": 7.5, "y": 19.701492537313435, "label": "2025-03-31"}, {"x": -37.931, "y": -15.050697084917614, "label": "2025-06-30"}, {"x": 66.6667, "y": 500.043639537421, "label": "2025-09-30"}, {"x": -283.3333, "y": -8.823529411764705, "label": "2026-03-31"}], "earnings_price": {"available": false, "dates": [], "price_index": [], "eps_index": [], "gap": [], "quarter_markers": [], "bridge_labels": [], "bridge_values": []}}, "earnings_price": {"available": false, "reason": "Earnings power must be positive at the start of the three-year window."}, "disclaimer": "Earnings intelligence is descriptive market research. It is not a forecast, recommendation or trading instruction."}