{"ticker": {"uuid": "6461f7f7-b340-43b0-b70f-8b8708cab801", "symbol": "CHA", "name": "Chagee Holdings Limited American Depositary Shares", "sector": "Consumer Cyclical", "industry": "Restaurants", "currency": "USD"}, "next_event": {"report_date": "2026-09-04", "fiscal_date_ending": "2026-06-30", "estimate": 0.33, "session": "Time unconfirmed", "days": 21}, "profile": {"sample": 6, "measured": 4, "beats": 2, "misses": 2, "inline": 0, "beat_rate": 50.0, "beat_rate_label": "50.0%", "average_surprise": 95.7, "average_surprise_label": "+95.7%", "median_surprise": 17.6, "surprise_dispersion": 189.2, "average_reaction": 5.9, "average_reaction_label": "+5.9%", "average_abs_reaction": 16.7, "positive_response_rate": 80.0, "confirmation_rate": 25.0, "reaction_sample": 5, "streak": {"count": 1, "band": "beat", "label": "1 consecutive beats"}, "profile": "Results and price are diverging", "profile_tone": "caution", "profile_text": "The sign of the earnings surprise has often differed from the direction of the next completed weekly close."}, "event_risk": {"score": 79, "band": "High", "tone": "negative", "days": 21, "proximity_component": 14, "reaction_component": 35, "variability_component": 25, "uncertainty_component": 5, "explanation": "Event risk combines report proximity, historical price movement, surprise variability, estimate availability and confirmed timing. It measures uncertainty, not direction."}, "evidence": {"score": 84, "band": "Strong", "exact": 6, "surprise": 4, "reaction": 5, "financial": 6, "total": 6}, "factor_context": {"available": true, "as_of": "2026-08-09", "eps_growth_1y": -63.8, "revenue_growth_1y": -1.7, "cash_conversion": 2.08, "net_margin": 7.2, "earnings_yield": 55.3, "eps_surprise_avg": 95.7, "sue_score": 0.44, "pe_ratio": 2.1, "completeness": 100.0, "source": "alphavantage"}, "market_context": {"available": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "close": 10.18, "currency": "USD", "return_13w": -2.9, "fair_value": 16.118306, "fair_value_gap": -36.8, "relative_strength": -30.7, "trend_signal": "Inactive", "expectation_direction": "undecided", "expectation_probability": 47.9}, "records": [{"period_end": "2024-12-31", "reported_date": "2025-03-11", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": 14.64, "eps_estimate": 0.0, "eps_surprise": 14.64, "surprise_pct": null, "surprise_label": "-", "surprise_band": "unavailable", "eps_yoy": null, "eps_yoy_label": "-", "one_week_reaction": null, "one_week_reaction_label": "-", "four_week_reaction": null, "four_week_reaction_label": "-", "confirmation": "unavailable", "revenue": 3334426000.0, "revenue_yoy": 62.88948769154412, "revenue_yoy_label": "+62.9%", "net_income": 659022000.0, "operating_cash_flow": 572654000.0, "free_cash_flow": 617758000.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2025-03-31", "reported_date": "2025-05-30", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": 3.92, "eps_estimate": null, "eps_surprise": 0.0, "surprise_pct": null, "surprise_label": "-", "surprise_band": "unavailable", "eps_yoy": null, "eps_yoy_label": "-", "one_week_reaction": 9.99324781526623, "one_week_reaction_label": "+10.0%", "four_week_reaction": -3.8487489005725637, "four_week_reaction_label": "-3.8%", "confirmation": "unavailable", "revenue": 3392711000.0, "revenue_yoy": 35.35267901846786, "revenue_yoy_label": "+35.4%", "net_income": 678858000.0, "operating_cash_flow": 360032000.0, "free_cash_flow": 409510037.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2025-06-30", "reported_date": "2025-08-29", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": 3.3, "eps_estimate": 0.64, "eps_surprise": 2.66, "surprise_pct": 415.625, "surprise_label": "+415.6%", "surprise_band": "beat", "eps_yoy": null, "eps_yoy_label": "-", "one_week_reaction": -27.05128361800217, "one_week_reaction_label": "-27.1%", "four_week_reaction": -25.76922964680441, "four_week_reaction_label": "-25.8%", "confirmation": "diverged", "revenue": 3331881000.0, "revenue_yoy": 10.205412099279703, "revenue_yoy_label": "+10.2%", "net_income": 69541000.0, "operating_cash_flow": 611127000.0, "free_cash_flow": 694971509.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2025-09-30", "reported_date": "2025-11-28", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": 2.57, "eps_estimate": 2.94, "eps_surprise": -0.37, "surprise_pct": -12.585, "surprise_label": "-12.6%", "surprise_band": "miss", "eps_yoy": null, "eps_yoy_label": "-", "one_week_reaction": 6.734990494971521, "one_week_reaction_label": "+6.7%", "four_week_reaction": -2.750869364266422, "four_week_reaction_label": "-2.8%", "confirmation": "diverged", "revenue": 3208330000.0, "revenue_yoy": -9.40114897346924, "revenue_yoy_label": "-9.4%", "net_income": 394212000.0, "operating_cash_flow": 456462000.0, "free_cash_flow": 522025398.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2025-12-31", "reported_date": "2026-03-31", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": 0.49, "eps_estimate": 1.54, "eps_surprise": -1.05, "surprise_pct": -68.1818, "surprise_label": "-68.2%", "surprise_band": "miss", "eps_yoy": -96.65300546448087, "eps_yoy_label": "-96.7%", "one_week_reaction": 5.87618048268626, "one_week_reaction_label": "+5.9%", "four_week_reaction": 12.696747114375665, "four_week_reaction_label": "+12.7%", "confirmation": "diverged", "revenue": 2974485000.0, "revenue_yoy": -10.794691500126259, "revenue_yoy_label": "-10.8%", "net_income": 28538000.0, "operating_cash_flow": 184040987.0, "free_cash_flow": 368081974.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2026-03-31", "reported_date": "2026-05-28", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": 0.34, "eps_estimate": 0.23, "eps_surprise": 0.11, "surprise_pct": 47.8261, "surprise_label": "+47.8%", "surprise_band": "beat", "eps_yoy": -91.32653061224491, "eps_yoy_label": "-91.3%", "one_week_reaction": 33.752620545073384, "one_week_reaction_label": "+33.8%", "four_week_reaction": 22.117400419287225, "four_week_reaction_label": "+22.1%", "confirmation": "confirmed", "revenue": 3546001000.0, "revenue_yoy": 4.518215668826493, "revenue_yoy_label": "+4.5%", "net_income": 450328000.0, "operating_cash_flow": 193320000.0, "free_cash_flow": 377360987.0, "currency": "USD"}], "charts": {"quarters": ["2024-12-31", "2025-03-31", "2025-06-30", "2025-09-30", "2025-12-31", "2026-03-31"], "eps_actual": [14.64, 3.92, 3.3, 2.57, 0.49, 0.34], "eps_estimate": [0.0, null, 0.64, 2.94, 1.54, 0.23], "surprise": [null, null, 415.625, -12.585, -68.1818, 47.8261], "reaction_1w": [null, 9.99324781526623, -27.05128361800217, 6.734990494971521, 5.87618048268626, 33.752620545073384], "reaction_4w": [null, -3.8487489005725637, -25.76922964680441, -2.750869364266422, 12.696747114375665, 22.117400419287225], "revenue": [3334.43, 3392.71, 3331.88, 3208.33, 2974.49, 3546.0], "net_income": [659.02, 678.86, 69.54, 394.21, 28.54, 450.33], "financial_unit": "millions", "scatter": [{"x": 415.625, "y": -27.05128361800217, "label": "2025-06-30"}, {"x": -12.585, "y": 6.734990494971521, "label": "2025-09-30"}, {"x": -68.1818, "y": 5.87618048268626, "label": "2025-12-31"}, {"x": 47.8261, "y": 33.752620545073384, "label": "2026-03-31"}], "earnings_price": {"available": false, "dates": [], "price_index": [], "eps_index": [], "gap": [], "quarter_markers": [], "bridge_labels": [], "bridge_values": []}}, "earnings_price": {"available": false, "reason": "A full 156-week price window is needed."}, "disclaimer": "Earnings intelligence is descriptive market research. It is not a forecast, recommendation or trading instruction."}