{"ticker": {"uuid": "662650f7-258a-458b-a56d-c5c29dcf26cd", "symbol": "MANU", "name": "Manchester United Ltd", "sector": "Communication Services", "industry": "Entertainment", "currency": "USD"}, "next_event": {"report_date": "2026-09-16", "fiscal_date_ending": "2026-06-30", "estimate": null, "session": "Time unconfirmed", "days": 34}, "profile": {"sample": 12, "measured": 12, "beats": 8, "misses": 4, "inline": 0, "beat_rate": 66.7, "beat_rate_label": "66.7%", "average_surprise": 35.5, "average_surprise_label": "+35.5%", "median_surprise": 29.2, "surprise_dispersion": 85.6, "average_reaction": 0.8, "average_reaction_label": "+0.8%", "average_abs_reaction": 4.7, "positive_response_rate": 33.3, "confirmation_rate": 50.0, "reaction_sample": 12, "streak": {"count": 1, "band": "beat", "label": "1 consecutive beats"}, "profile": "Mixed earnings transmission", "profile_tone": "neutral", "profile_text": "Delivery and market response do not currently form a persistent directional pattern."}, "event_risk": {"score": 55, "band": "Elevated", "tone": "caution", "days": 34, "proximity_component": 8, "reaction_component": 12, "variability_component": 25, "uncertainty_component": 10, "explanation": "Event risk combines report proximity, historical price movement, surprise variability, estimate availability and confirmed timing. It measures uncertainty, not direction."}, "evidence": {"score": 99, "band": "Deep", "exact": 12, "surprise": 12, "reaction": 12, "financial": 11, "total": 12}, "factor_context": {"available": true, "as_of": "2026-08-09", "eps_growth_1y": null, "revenue_growth_1y": 5.8, "cash_conversion": -22.24, "net_margin": -2.7, "earnings_yield": 1.1, "eps_surprise_avg": 39.0, "sue_score": 0.36, "pe_ratio": null, "completeness": 85.7, "source": "alphavantage"}, "market_context": {"available": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "close": 21.63, "currency": "USD", "return_13w": 9.9, "fair_value": 17.325192, "fair_value_gap": 24.8, "relative_strength": 7.2, "trend_signal": "Active", "expectation_direction": "undecided", "expectation_probability": 50.3}, "records": [{"period_end": "2023-06-30", "reported_date": "2023-09-22", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": -0.04, "eps_estimate": -0.06, "eps_surprise": 0.02, "surprise_pct": 33.3333, "surprise_label": "+33.3%", "surprise_band": "beat", "eps_yoy": null, "eps_yoy_label": "-", "one_week_reaction": 3.666841278156099, "one_week_reaction_label": "+3.7%", "four_week_reaction": 4.662126767941333, "four_week_reaction_label": "+4.7%", "confirmation": "confirmed", "revenue": null, "revenue_yoy": null, "revenue_yoy_label": "-", "net_income": null, "operating_cash_flow": null, "free_cash_flow": null, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2023-09-30", "reported_date": "2023-10-26", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": -0.06, "eps_estimate": -0.04, "eps_surprise": -0.02, "surprise_pct": -50.0, "surprise_label": "-50.0%", "surprise_band": "miss", "eps_yoy": null, "eps_yoy_label": "-", "one_week_reaction": -2.21116639027086, "one_week_reaction_label": "-2.2%", "four_week_reaction": 9.89496959646213, "four_week_reaction_label": "+9.9%", "confirmation": "confirmed", "revenue": 163415250.0, "revenue_yoy": null, "revenue_yoy_label": "-", "net_income": -26793085.0, "operating_cash_flow": 21463000.0, "free_cash_flow": 162705000.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2023-12-31", "reported_date": "2024-03-12", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": 0.12, "eps_estimate": -0.14, "eps_surprise": 0.26, "surprise_pct": 185.7143, "surprise_label": "+185.7%", "surprise_band": "beat", "eps_yoy": null, "eps_yoy_label": "-", "one_week_reaction": -0.13917884481558507, "one_week_reaction_label": "-0.1%", "four_week_reaction": 3.340292275574116, "four_week_reaction_label": "+3.3%", "confirmation": "contained", "revenue": 221582273.0, "revenue_yoy": null, "revenue_yoy_label": "-", "net_income": 19997329.0, "operating_cash_flow": -46532000.0, "free_cash_flow": -7992000.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2024-03-31", "reported_date": "2024-06-25", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": -0.55, "eps_estimate": -0.27, "eps_surprise": -0.28, "surprise_pct": -103.7037, "surprise_label": "-103.7%", "surprise_band": "miss", "eps_yoy": null, "eps_yoy_label": "-", "one_week_reaction": -0.12376237623762112, "one_week_reaction_label": "-0.1%", "four_week_reaction": 3.279702970297037, "four_week_reaction_label": "+3.3%", "confirmation": "contained", "revenue": 138074636.0, "revenue_yoy": null, "revenue_yoy_label": "-", "net_income": -72222692.0, "operating_cash_flow": -15117000.0, "free_cash_flow": 6445000.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2024-06-30", "reported_date": "2024-09-11", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": -0.16, "eps_estimate": -0.17, "eps_surprise": 0.01, "surprise_pct": 5.8824, "surprise_label": "+5.9%", "surprise_band": "beat", "eps_yoy": -300.0, "eps_yoy_label": "-300.0%", "one_week_reaction": -1.275820170109361, "one_week_reaction_label": "-1.3%", "four_week_reaction": 0.12150668286755513, "four_week_reaction_label": "+0.1%", "confirmation": "diverged", "revenue": 141755183.0, "revenue_yoy": null, "revenue_yoy_label": "-", "net_income": -36159981.0, "operating_cash_flow": 125857000.0, "free_cash_flow": 132745000.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2024-09-30", "reported_date": "2024-10-23", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": -0.21, "eps_estimate": -0.28, "eps_surprise": 0.07, "surprise_pct": 25.0, "surprise_label": "+25.0%", "surprise_band": "beat", "eps_yoy": -250.0, "eps_yoy_label": "-250.0%", "one_week_reaction": -3.15533980582524, "one_week_reaction_label": "-3.2%", "four_week_reaction": 2.9126213592233037, "four_week_reaction_label": "+2.9%", "confirmation": "diverged", "revenue": 138969425.0, "revenue_yoy": -14.959329071185218, "revenue_yoy_label": "-15.0%", "net_income": 1290953.0, "operating_cash_flow": 13317000.0, "free_cash_flow": 177356000.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2024-12-31", "reported_date": "2025-02-19", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": -0.04, "eps_estimate": -0.22, "eps_surprise": 0.18, "surprise_pct": 81.8182, "surprise_label": "+81.8%", "surprise_band": "beat", "eps_yoy": -133.33333333333334, "eps_yoy_label": "-133.3%", "one_week_reaction": -7.780612244897952, "one_week_reaction_label": "-7.8%", "four_week_reaction": -12.499999999999995, "four_week_reaction_label": "-12.5%", "confirmation": "diverged", "revenue": 203488704.0, "revenue_yoy": -8.165621173134188, "revenue_yoy_label": "-8.2%", "net_income": -28413658.0, "operating_cash_flow": -63230000.0, "free_cash_flow": -56294000.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2025-03-31", "reported_date": "2025-06-06", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": -0.03, "eps_estimate": -0.26, "eps_surprise": 0.23, "surprise_pct": 88.4615, "surprise_label": "+88.5%", "surprise_band": "beat", "eps_yoy": 94.54545454545455, "eps_yoy_label": "+94.5%", "one_week_reaction": 21.73606210303458, "one_week_reaction_label": "+21.7%", "four_week_reaction": 28.228652081863103, "four_week_reaction_label": "+28.2%", "confirmation": "confirmed", "revenue": 156280874.0, "revenue_yoy": 13.185794674121032, "revenue_yoy_label": "+13.2%", "net_income": -2637709.0, "operating_cash_flow": 22317000.0, "free_cash_flow": 75236000.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2025-06-30", "reported_date": "2025-09-17", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": -0.03, "eps_estimate": -0.07, "eps_surprise": 0.04, "surprise_pct": 57.1429, "surprise_label": "+57.1%", "surprise_band": "beat", "eps_yoy": 81.25, "eps_yoy_label": "+81.2%", "one_week_reaction": -7.251675807434488, "one_week_reaction_label": "-7.3%", "four_week_reaction": -2.742230347349173, "four_week_reaction_label": "-2.7%", "confirmation": "diverged", "revenue": 159761753.0, "revenue_yoy": 12.702583157047599, "revenue_yoy_label": "+12.7%", "net_income": -3792012.0, "operating_cash_flow": 100298000.0, "free_cash_flow": 110928000.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2025-09-30", "reported_date": "2025-12-11", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": -1.48, "eps_estimate": 0.0027, "eps_surprise": -1.4827, "surprise_pct": -1.2467, "surprise_label": "-1.2%", "surprise_band": "miss", "eps_yoy": -604.7619047619048, "eps_yoy_label": "-604.8%", "one_week_reaction": -1.7230376515634944, "one_week_reaction_label": "-1.7%", "four_week_reaction": 0.7019783024888285, "four_week_reaction_label": "+0.7%", "confirmation": "confirmed", "revenue": 140697589.0, "revenue_yoy": 1.2435569910431736, "revenue_yoy_label": "+1.2%", "net_income": -6656681.0, "operating_cash_flow": -1756857.0, "free_cash_flow": 177794143.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2025-12-31", "reported_date": "2026-02-25", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": 0.02, "eps_estimate": 0.07, "eps_surprise": -0.05, "surprise_pct": -71.4286, "surprise_label": "-71.4%", "surprise_band": "miss", "eps_yoy": 150.0, "eps_yoy_label": "+150.0%", "one_week_reaction": 2.796803652968048, "one_week_reaction_label": "+2.8%", "four_week_reaction": -7.4771689497716824, "four_week_reaction_label": "-7.5%", "confirmation": "diverged", "revenue": 187831522.0, "revenue_yoy": -7.6943740326735774, "revenue_yoy_label": "-7.7%", "net_income": 4128587.0, "operating_cash_flow": -11428000.0, "free_cash_flow": 43949000.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2026-03-31", "reported_date": "2026-05-27", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": 0.03, "eps_estimate": -0.04, "eps_surprise": 0.07, "surprise_pct": 175.0, "surprise_label": "+175.0%", "surprise_band": "beat", "eps_yoy": 200.0, "eps_yoy_label": "+200.0%", "one_week_reaction": 5.050000000000008, "one_week_reaction_label": "+5.1%", "four_week_reaction": 11.850000000000005, "four_week_reaction_label": "+11.9%", "confirmation": "confirmed", "revenue": 189497000.0, "revenue_yoy": 21.254120961724336, "revenue_yoy_label": "+21.3%", "net_income": -11777000.0, "operating_cash_flow": 27369000.0, "free_cash_flow": 69849000.0, "currency": "USD"}], "charts": {"quarters": ["2023-06-30", "2023-09-30", "2023-12-31", "2024-03-31", "2024-06-30", "2024-09-30", "2024-12-31", "2025-03-31", "2025-06-30", "2025-09-30", "2025-12-31", "2026-03-31"], "eps_actual": [-0.04, -0.06, 0.12, -0.55, -0.16, -0.21, -0.04, -0.03, -0.03, -1.48, 0.02, 0.03], "eps_estimate": [-0.06, -0.04, -0.14, -0.27, -0.17, -0.28, -0.22, -0.26, -0.07, 0.0027, 0.07, -0.04], "surprise": [33.3333, -50.0, 185.7143, -103.7037, 5.8824, 25.0, 81.8182, 88.4615, 57.1429, -1.2467, -71.4286, 175.0], "reaction_1w": [3.666841278156099, -2.21116639027086, -0.13917884481558507, -0.12376237623762112, -1.275820170109361, -3.15533980582524, -7.780612244897952, 21.73606210303458, -7.251675807434488, -1.7230376515634944, 2.796803652968048, 5.050000000000008], "reaction_4w": [4.662126767941333, 9.89496959646213, 3.340292275574116, 3.279702970297037, 0.12150668286755513, 2.9126213592233037, -12.499999999999995, 28.228652081863103, -2.742230347349173, 0.7019783024888285, -7.4771689497716824, 11.850000000000005], "revenue": [null, 163.42, 221.58, 138.07, 141.76, 138.97, 203.49, 156.28, 159.76, 140.7, 187.83, 189.5], "net_income": [null, -26.79, 20.0, -72.22, -36.16, 1.29, -28.41, -2.64, -3.79, -6.66, 4.13, -11.78], "financial_unit": "millions", "scatter": [{"x": 33.3333, "y": 3.666841278156099, "label": "2023-06-30"}, {"x": -50.0, "y": -2.21116639027086, "label": "2023-09-30"}, {"x": 185.7143, "y": -0.13917884481558507, "label": "2023-12-31"}, {"x": -103.7037, "y": -0.12376237623762112, "label": "2024-03-31"}, {"x": 5.8824, "y": -1.275820170109361, "label": "2024-06-30"}, {"x": 25.0, "y": -3.15533980582524, "label": "2024-09-30"}, {"x": 81.8182, "y": -7.780612244897952, "label": "2024-12-31"}, {"x": 88.4615, "y": 21.73606210303458, "label": "2025-03-31"}, {"x": 57.1429, "y": -7.251675807434488, "label": "2025-06-30"}, {"x": -1.2467, "y": -1.7230376515634944, "label": "2025-09-30"}, {"x": -71.4286, "y": 2.796803652968048, "label": "2025-12-31"}, {"x": 175.0, "y": 5.050000000000008, "label": "2026-03-31"}], "earnings_price": {"available": false, "dates": [], "price_index": [], "eps_index": [], "gap": [], "quarter_markers": [], "bridge_labels": [], "bridge_values": []}}, "earnings_price": {"available": false, "reason": "Earnings power must be positive at the start of the three-year window."}, "disclaimer": "Earnings intelligence is descriptive market research. It is not a forecast, recommendation or trading instruction."}