{"ticker": {"uuid": "6d4d30c2-ccb5-4ebd-a2a1-3adb2a98fd43", "symbol": "USAU", "name": "US Gold Corp", "sector": "Basic Materials", "industry": "Gold", "currency": "USD"}, "next_event": {"report_date": "2026-09-21", "fiscal_date_ending": "2026-07-31", "estimate": -0.23, "session": "Time unconfirmed", "days": 39}, "profile": {"sample": 12, "measured": 10, "beats": 5, "misses": 5, "inline": 0, "beat_rate": 50.0, "beat_rate_label": "50.0%", "average_surprise": -47.1, "average_surprise_label": "-47.1%", "median_surprise": -26.8, "surprise_dispersion": 91.9, "average_reaction": 0.8, "average_reaction_label": "+0.8%", "average_abs_reaction": 7.6, "positive_response_rate": 58.3, "confirmation_rate": 44.4, "reaction_sample": 12, "streak": {"count": 3, "band": "miss", "label": "3 consecutive misses"}, "profile": "Mixed earnings transmission", "profile_tone": "neutral", "profile_text": "Delivery and market response do not currently form a persistent directional pattern."}, "event_risk": {"score": 57, "band": "Elevated", "tone": "caution", "days": 39, "proximity_component": 8, "reaction_component": 19, "variability_component": 25, "uncertainty_component": 5, "explanation": "Event risk combines report proximity, historical price movement, surprise variability, estimate availability and confirmed timing. It measures uncertainty, not direction."}, "evidence": {"score": 96, "band": "Deep", "exact": 12, "surprise": 10, "reaction": 12, "financial": 11, "total": 12}, "factor_context": {"available": true, "as_of": "2026-08-09", "eps_growth_1y": null, "revenue_growth_1y": null, "cash_conversion": 0.82, "net_margin": null, "earnings_yield": null, "eps_surprise_avg": -100.7, "sue_score": -0.85, "pe_ratio": null, "completeness": 42.9, "source": "alphavantage"}, "market_context": {"available": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "close": 15.62, "currency": "USD", "return_13w": -8.1, "fair_value": 9.688957, "fair_value_gap": 61.2, "relative_strength": -16.3, "trend_signal": "Inactive", "expectation_direction": "undecided", "expectation_probability": 51.7}, "records": [{"period_end": "2023-07-31", "reported_date": "2023-09-14", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": -0.3114, "eps_estimate": null, "eps_surprise": 0.0, "surprise_pct": null, "surprise_label": "-", "surprise_band": "unavailable", "eps_yoy": null, "eps_yoy_label": "-", "one_week_reaction": 7.843137254901968, "one_week_reaction_label": "+7.8%", "four_week_reaction": -12.885154061624648, "four_week_reaction_label": "-12.9%", "confirmation": "unavailable", "revenue": 0.0, "revenue_yoy": null, "revenue_yoy_label": "-", "net_income": -2894683.0, "operating_cash_flow": -1808742.0, "free_cash_flow": -1808742.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2023-10-31", "reported_date": "2023-12-15", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": -0.0278, "eps_estimate": -0.3, "eps_surprise": 0.2722, "surprise_pct": 90.7333, "surprise_label": "+90.7%", "surprise_band": "beat", "eps_yoy": null, "eps_yoy_label": "-", "one_week_reaction": 8.092596135450545, "one_week_reaction_label": "+8.1%", "four_week_reaction": 12.328842001694506, "four_week_reaction_label": "+12.3%", "confirmation": "confirmed", "revenue": 0.0, "revenue_yoy": null, "revenue_yoy_label": "-", "net_income": -258430.0, "operating_cash_flow": -2050637.0, "free_cash_flow": -2050637.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2024-01-31", "reported_date": "2024-03-18", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": -0.18, "eps_estimate": -0.27, "eps_surprise": 0.09, "surprise_pct": 33.3333, "surprise_label": "+33.3%", "surprise_band": "beat", "eps_yoy": null, "eps_yoy_label": "-", "one_week_reaction": 3.089887640449435, "one_week_reaction_label": "+3.1%", "four_week_reaction": 24.438202247191, "four_week_reaction_label": "+24.4%", "confirmation": "confirmed", "revenue": 0.0, "revenue_yoy": null, "revenue_yoy_label": "-", "net_income": -1685654.0, "operating_cash_flow": -1263009.0, "free_cash_flow": -1263009.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2024-04-30", "reported_date": "2024-07-29", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": -0.22, "eps_estimate": -0.32, "eps_surprise": 0.1, "surprise_pct": 31.25, "surprise_label": "+31.2%", "surprise_band": "beat", "eps_yoy": null, "eps_yoy_label": "-", "one_week_reaction": -8.390410958904114, "one_week_reaction_label": "-8.4%", "four_week_reaction": -3.424657534246579, "four_week_reaction_label": "-3.4%", "confirmation": "diverged", "revenue": 174296.0, "revenue_yoy": null, "revenue_yoy_label": "-", "net_income": -2058716.0, "operating_cash_flow": -1889961.0, "free_cash_flow": -1889961.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2024-07-31", "reported_date": "2024-09-16", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": -0.403, "eps_estimate": null, "eps_surprise": 0.0, "surprise_pct": null, "surprise_label": "-", "surprise_band": "unavailable", "eps_yoy": -29.415542710340404, "eps_yoy_label": "-29.4%", "one_week_reaction": 1.883561643835622, "one_week_reaction_label": "+1.9%", "four_week_reaction": 1.3698630136986314, "four_week_reaction_label": "+1.4%", "confirmation": "unavailable", "revenue": 0.0, "revenue_yoy": null, "revenue_yoy_label": "-", "net_income": -4325305.0, "operating_cash_flow": -2193611.0, "free_cash_flow": -2193611.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2024-10-31", "reported_date": "2024-12-16", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": -0.2, "eps_estimate": -0.23, "eps_surprise": 0.03, "surprise_pct": 13.0435, "surprise_label": "+13.0%", "surprise_band": "beat", "eps_yoy": -619.4244604316548, "eps_yoy_label": "-619.4%", "one_week_reaction": -6.74318507890961, "one_week_reaction_label": "-6.7%", "four_week_reaction": -9.612625538020085, "four_week_reaction_label": "-9.6%", "confirmation": "diverged", "revenue": 0.0, "revenue_yoy": null, "revenue_yoy_label": "-", "net_income": -2102527.0, "operating_cash_flow": -1817996.0, "free_cash_flow": -1817996.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2025-01-31", "reported_date": "2025-03-17", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": -0.54, "eps_estimate": -0.2, "eps_surprise": -0.34, "surprise_pct": -170.0, "surprise_label": "-170.0%", "surprise_band": "miss", "eps_yoy": -200.00000000000006, "eps_yoy_label": "-200.0%", "one_week_reaction": 15.239154616240258, "one_week_reaction_label": "+15.2%", "four_week_reaction": 19.24360400444939, "four_week_reaction_label": "+19.2%", "confirmation": "diverged", "revenue": 0.0, "revenue_yoy": null, "revenue_yoy_label": "-", "net_income": -6362017.0, "operating_cash_flow": -3141219.0, "free_cash_flow": -3135061.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2025-04-30", "reported_date": "2025-07-29", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": -0.25, "eps_estimate": -0.15, "eps_surprise": -0.1, "surprise_pct": -66.6667, "surprise_label": "-66.7%", "surprise_band": "miss", "eps_yoy": -13.636363636363635, "eps_yoy_label": "-13.6%", "one_week_reaction": -9.904430929626416, "one_week_reaction_label": "-9.9%", "four_week_reaction": 6.255430060816687, "four_week_reaction_label": "+6.3%", "confirmation": "confirmed", "revenue": 0.0, "revenue_yoy": -100.0, "revenue_yoy_label": "-100.0%", "net_income": -7769273.0, "operating_cash_flow": -2719598.0, "free_cash_flow": -2719598.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2025-07-31", "reported_date": "2025-09-15", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": -0.15, "eps_estimate": -0.2, "eps_surprise": 0.05, "surprise_pct": 25.0, "surprise_label": "+25.0%", "surprise_band": "beat", "eps_yoy": 62.77915632754342, "eps_yoy_label": "+62.8%", "one_week_reaction": 0.6953223767383023, "one_week_reaction_label": "+0.7%", "four_week_reaction": 11.251580278128957, "four_week_reaction_label": "+11.3%", "confirmation": "contained", "revenue": 0.0, "revenue_yoy": null, "revenue_yoy_label": "-", "net_income": -2077499.0, "operating_cash_flow": -3315172.0, "free_cash_flow": -3315172.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2025-10-31", "reported_date": "2025-12-10", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": -0.31, "eps_estimate": -0.13, "eps_surprise": -0.18, "surprise_pct": -138.4615, "surprise_label": "-138.5%", "surprise_band": "miss", "eps_yoy": -54.99999999999999, "eps_yoy_label": "-55.0%", "one_week_reaction": 4.5590881823635145, "one_week_reaction_label": "+4.6%", "four_week_reaction": 10.857828434313129, "four_week_reaction_label": "+10.9%", "confirmation": "diverged", "revenue": 0.0, "revenue_yoy": null, "revenue_yoy_label": "-", "net_income": -4482551.0, "operating_cash_flow": -3795207.0, "free_cash_flow": -2675884.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2026-01-31", "reported_date": "2026-03-16", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": -0.35, "eps_estimate": -0.13, "eps_surprise": -0.22, "surprise_pct": -169.2308, "surprise_label": "-169.2%", "surprise_band": "miss", "eps_yoy": 35.18518518518519, "eps_yoy_label": "+35.2%", "one_week_reaction": -15.610047846889948, "one_week_reaction_label": "-15.6%", "four_week_reaction": -10.586124401913874, "four_week_reaction_label": "-10.6%", "confirmation": "confirmed", "revenue": 0.0, "revenue_yoy": null, "revenue_yoy_label": "-", "net_income": -5283839.0, "operating_cash_flow": -5021760.0, "free_cash_flow": -3902437.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2026-04-30", "reported_date": "2026-07-01", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": -0.33, "eps_estimate": -0.15, "eps_surprise": -0.18, "surprise_pct": -120.0, "surprise_label": "-120.0%", "surprise_band": "miss", "eps_yoy": -32.00000000000001, "eps_yoy_label": "-32.0%", "one_week_reaction": 9.422694094226928, "one_week_reaction_label": "+9.4%", "four_week_reaction": -11.479761114797613, "four_week_reaction_label": "-11.5%", "confirmation": "diverged", "revenue": null, "revenue_yoy": null, "revenue_yoy_label": "-", "net_income": -5364191.0, "operating_cash_flow": -6081277.0, "free_cash_flow": -4154066.0, "currency": "USD"}], "charts": {"quarters": ["2023-07-31", "2023-10-31", "2024-01-31", "2024-04-30", "2024-07-31", "2024-10-31", "2025-01-31", "2025-04-30", "2025-07-31", "2025-10-31", "2026-01-31", "2026-04-30"], "eps_actual": [-0.3114, -0.0278, -0.18, -0.22, -0.403, -0.2, -0.54, -0.25, -0.15, -0.31, -0.35, -0.33], "eps_estimate": [null, -0.3, -0.27, -0.32, null, -0.23, -0.2, -0.15, -0.2, -0.13, -0.13, -0.15], "surprise": [null, 90.7333, 33.3333, 31.25, null, 13.0435, -170.0, -66.6667, 25.0, -138.4615, -169.2308, -120.0], "reaction_1w": [7.843137254901968, 8.092596135450545, 3.089887640449435, -8.390410958904114, 1.883561643835622, -6.74318507890961, 15.239154616240258, -9.904430929626416, 0.6953223767383023, 4.5590881823635145, -15.610047846889948, 9.422694094226928], "reaction_4w": [-12.885154061624648, 12.328842001694506, 24.438202247191, -3.424657534246579, 1.3698630136986314, -9.612625538020085, 19.24360400444939, 6.255430060816687, 11.251580278128957, 10.857828434313129, -10.586124401913874, -11.479761114797613], "revenue": [0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.17, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, null], "net_income": [-2.89, -0.26, -1.69, -2.06, -4.33, -2.1, -6.36, -7.77, -2.08, -4.48, -5.28, -5.36], "financial_unit": "millions", "scatter": [{"x": 90.7333, "y": 8.092596135450545, "label": "2023-10-31"}, {"x": 33.3333, "y": 3.089887640449435, "label": "2024-01-31"}, {"x": 31.25, "y": -8.390410958904114, "label": "2024-04-30"}, {"x": 13.0435, "y": -6.74318507890961, "label": "2024-10-31"}, {"x": -170.0, "y": 15.239154616240258, "label": "2025-01-31"}, {"x": -66.6667, "y": -9.904430929626416, "label": "2025-04-30"}, {"x": 25.0, "y": 0.6953223767383023, "label": "2025-07-31"}, {"x": -138.4615, "y": 4.5590881823635145, "label": "2025-10-31"}, {"x": -169.2308, "y": -15.610047846889948, "label": "2026-01-31"}, {"x": -120.0, "y": 9.422694094226928, "label": "2026-04-30"}], "earnings_price": {"available": false, "dates": [], "price_index": [], "eps_index": [], "gap": [], "quarter_markers": [], "bridge_labels": [], "bridge_values": []}}, "earnings_price": {"available": false, "reason": "Earnings power must be positive at the start of the three-year window."}, "disclaimer": "Earnings intelligence is descriptive market research. It is not a forecast, recommendation or trading instruction."}