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2.029360367245059, "forward4WeekPct": 14.256407104774226, "forward13WeekPct": -0.38405220095873993, "toDateReturnPct": 96.61755458530841, "weeksSince": 67, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 1761.1995988568742, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive four-week response", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2025-07-25", "periodEnd": "2025-06-30", "earningsChangePct": 2.3364485981308247, "surprisePct": 12.844036697247695, "immediateReturnPct": -9.116132351094297, "forward4WeekPct": -1.8586593000228468, "forward13WeekPct": 27.915006226789195, "toDateReturnPct": 79.38256075654829, "weeksSince": 54, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 1811.0125290182523, "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "status": "Non-positive four-week response", "tone": "opportunity"}, {"date": "2025-10-24", "periodEnd": "2025-09-30", "earningsChangePct": 95.43378995433791, "surprisePct": 334.48275862068965, "immediateReturnPct": 14.097542492523862, "forward4WeekPct": 18.761122242237537, "forward13WeekPct": 3.662369107587704, "toDateReturnPct": 60.005537677498786, "weeksSince": 41, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 3637.7126718995, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive four-week response", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2026-02-27", "periodEnd": "2025-12-31", "earningsChangePct": 44.88084112149531, "surprisePct": 131.66150891046846, "immediateReturnPct": 13.014137773920464, "forward4WeekPct": 8.686158635568653, "forward13WeekPct": 19.98468396481514, "toDateReturnPct": 43.093565560415655, "weeksSince": 23, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 5356.7489248373695, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive four-week response", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2026-04-24", "periodEnd": "2026-03-31", "earningsChangePct": 9.030947120579281, "surprisePct": 43.88489208633094, "immediateReturnPct": 10.96121592125936, "forward4WeekPct": 10.000377579541308, "forward13WeekPct": 16.99390415044575, "toDateReturnPct": 24.589960752610285, "weeksSince": 15, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 5830.041728041742, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive four-week response", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2026-07-24", "periodEnd": "2026-06-30", "earningsChangePct": 9.022467422976232, "surprisePct": 28.671328671328684, "immediateReturnPct": 6.939090886344945, "forward4WeekPct": null, "forward13WeekPct": null, "toDateReturnPct": 13.88231919601919, "weeksSince": 2, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 6367.39448141746, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive initial response", "tone": "positive"}], "latestEvent": {"date": "2026-07-24", "periodEnd": "2026-06-30", "earningsChangePct": 9.022467422976232, "surprisePct": 28.671328671328684, "immediateReturnPct": 6.939090886344945, "forward4WeekPct": null, "forward13WeekPct": null, "toDateReturnPct": 13.88231919601919, "weeksSince": 2, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 6367.39448141746, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive initial response", "tone": "positive"}, "freshImprovementAwaitingConfirmation": false, "improvementConfirmationReversed": false, "summary": "Across completed four-week windows, 1 improving update had a non-positive price response; 6 had a meaningful positive price response."}, "professional": {"peerContext": {"available": true, "cohort": "Insurance - Property & Casualty", "population": 29, "spreadPercentile": 96.4, "qualityPercentile": 71.4, "rarityPercentile": 96.4, "currentOneYearSpread": 139.729864, "lead": "earnings", "relatedSignals": [{"tickerId": 166, "symbol": "ALL", "name": "The Allstate Corporation", "spread": 96.89107899999999, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 100}, {"tickerId": 8252, "symbol": "SLDE", "name": "Slide Insurance Holdings, Inc. Common Stock", "spread": 94.38544699999998, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 87.5}, {"tickerId": 1889, "symbol": "HCI", "name": "HCI Group Inc", "spread": 85.87456300000001, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 50}, {"tickerId": 2593, "symbol": "MCY", "name": "Mercury General Corporation", "spread": 83.35442499999999, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 100}, {"tickerId": 5351, "symbol": "CINF", "name": "Cincinnati Financial Corporation", "spread": 63.010498000000005, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 100}, {"tickerId": 3800, "symbol": "STC", "name": "Stewart Information Services Corp", "spread": 49.119778, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 100}, {"tickerId": 268, "symbol": "ASIC", "name": "Ategrity Specialty Insurance Company Holdings", "spread": 46.865667, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 100}, {"tickerId": 2400, "symbol": "KNSL", "name": "Kinsale Capital Group Inc", "spread": 41.959921, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 100}]}, "historicalOutcomes": {"available": false, "sampleSize": 0, "historyWeeks": 156, "horizons": []}, "transitions": [{"date": "2023-08-18", "key": "balanced", "label": "Broadly aligned", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2023-10-27", "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "label": "Earnings ahead", "tone": "positive"}], "dataIntegrity": {"asOf": "2026-08-07", "exactReportDates": 13, "estimatedReportDates": 0, "coverage": 100}}, "alerts": [{"key": "persistent_earnings_lead", "label": "Persistent earnings lead", "tone": "positive", "explanation": "Earnings power has led market price across several updates."}, {"key": "quality_confirmed", "label": "Business quality supportive", "tone": "positive", "explanation": "Cash generation and operating evidence are broadly supportive."}, {"key": "base_sensitive", "label": "Starting-base sensitivity", "tone": "caution", "explanation": "The three-year earnings move begins from an unusually depressed level; compare the shorter horizons before relying on its scale."}]}, "disclaimer": "Earnings intelligence is descriptive market research. It is not a forecast, recommendation or trading instruction."}