{"ticker": {"uuid": "7bc06801-d549-45fe-9ee6-4c0163e990db", "symbol": "ELBM", "name": "Electra Battery Materials Corp", "sector": "Basic Materials", "industry": "Other Industrial Metals & Mining", "currency": "USD"}, "next_event": {"report_date": "2026-08-13", "fiscal_date_ending": "2026-06-30", "estimate": null, "session": "Time unconfirmed", "days": 0}, "profile": {"sample": 12, "measured": 11, "beats": 1, "misses": 9, "inline": 1, "beat_rate": 9.1, "beat_rate_label": "9.1%", "average_surprise": -314.2, "average_surprise_label": "-314.2%", "median_surprise": -100.0, "surprise_dispersion": 461.6, "average_reaction": -5.2, "average_reaction_label": "-5.2%", "average_abs_reaction": 8.7, "positive_response_rate": 18.2, "confirmation_rate": 66.7, "reaction_sample": 11, "streak": {"count": 1, "band": "miss", "label": "1 consecutive misses"}, "profile": "Delivery under pressure", "profile_tone": "negative", "profile_text": "Estimate misses and negative next-close reactions have appeared together often enough to warrant caution."}, "event_risk": {"score": 87, "band": "High", "tone": "negative", "days": 0, "proximity_component": 30, "reaction_component": 22, "variability_component": 25, "uncertainty_component": 10, "explanation": "Event risk combines report proximity, historical price movement, surprise variability, estimate availability and confirmed timing. It measures uncertainty, not direction."}, "evidence": {"score": 93, "band": "Deep", "exact": 11, "surprise": 11, "reaction": 11, "financial": 10, "total": 12}, "factor_context": {"available": true, "as_of": "2026-08-09", "eps_growth_1y": null, "revenue_growth_1y": null, "cash_conversion": 0.13, "net_margin": null, "earnings_yield": null, "eps_surprise_avg": -104.3, "sue_score": -0.64, "pe_ratio": null, "completeness": 42.9, "source": "alphavantage"}, "market_context": {"available": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.6, "currency": "USD", "return_13w": -6.8, "fair_value": 1.460075, "fair_value_gap": -58.9, "relative_strength": -38.9, "trend_signal": "Inactive", "expectation_direction": "negative", "expectation_probability": 41.6}, "records": [{"period_end": "2023-03-31", "reported_date": "2023-04-04", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": -1.74, "eps_estimate": -0.52, "eps_surprise": -1.22, "surprise_pct": -234.6154, "surprise_label": "-234.6%", "surprise_band": "miss", "eps_yoy": null, "eps_yoy_label": "-", "one_week_reaction": -7.317073170731704, "one_week_reaction_label": "-7.3%", "four_week_reaction": -9.268292682926816, "four_week_reaction_label": "-9.3%", "confirmation": "confirmed", "revenue": null, "revenue_yoy": null, "revenue_yoy_label": "-", "net_income": null, "operating_cash_flow": null, "free_cash_flow": null, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2023-06-30", "reported_date": "2023-08-17", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": -0.26, "eps_estimate": -0.24, "eps_surprise": -0.02, "surprise_pct": -8.3333, "surprise_label": "-8.3%", "surprise_band": "miss", "eps_yoy": null, "eps_yoy_label": "-", "one_week_reaction": -12.107725664726688, "one_week_reaction_label": "-12.1%", "four_week_reaction": -20.46102932785576, "four_week_reaction_label": "-20.5%", "confirmation": "confirmed", "revenue": null, "revenue_yoy": null, "revenue_yoy_label": "-", "net_income": null, "operating_cash_flow": null, "free_cash_flow": null, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2023-09-30", "reported_date": "2023-11-16", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": -0.39, "eps_estimate": -0.28, "eps_surprise": -0.11, "surprise_pct": -39.2857, "surprise_label": "-39.3%", "surprise_band": "miss", "eps_yoy": null, "eps_yoy_label": "-", "one_week_reaction": 0.9598080383923269, "one_week_reaction_label": "+1.0%", "four_week_reaction": -14.017396520695854, "four_week_reaction_label": "-14.0%", "confirmation": "contained", "revenue": 0.0, "revenue_yoy": null, "revenue_yoy_label": "-", "net_income": -9223000.0, "operating_cash_flow": -12043000.0, "free_cash_flow": -11520000.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2023-12-31", "reported_date": "2024-03-04", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": -4.0, "eps_estimate": -0.24, "eps_surprise": -3.76, "surprise_pct": -1566.6666666666665, "surprise_label": "-1566.7%", "surprise_band": "miss", "eps_yoy": null, "eps_yoy_label": "-", "one_week_reaction": -8.22222222222223, "one_week_reaction_label": "-8.2%", "four_week_reaction": -15.92592592592593, "four_week_reaction_label": "-15.9%", "confirmation": "confirmed", "revenue": 0.0, "revenue_yoy": null, "revenue_yoy_label": "-", "net_income": -45467000.0, "operating_cash_flow": -6006000.0, "free_cash_flow": -6006000.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2024-03-31", "reported_date": "2024-05-10", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": -0.88, "eps_estimate": -0.2, "eps_surprise": -0.68, "surprise_pct": -340.0, "surprise_label": "-340.0%", "surprise_band": "miss", "eps_yoy": 49.42528735632184, "eps_yoy_label": "+49.4%", "one_week_reaction": 1.5548455804046921, "one_week_reaction_label": "+1.6%", "four_week_reaction": 0.10649627263045804, "four_week_reaction_label": "+0.1%", "confirmation": "diverged", "revenue": 0.0, "revenue_yoy": null, "revenue_yoy_label": "-", "net_income": -12169000.0, "operating_cash_flow": -4101000.0, "free_cash_flow": -3536000.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2024-06-30", "reported_date": "2024-08-14", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": -0.4, "eps_estimate": -0.2, "eps_surprise": -0.2, "surprise_pct": -100.0, "surprise_label": "-100.0%", "surprise_band": "miss", "eps_yoy": -53.846153846153854, "eps_yoy_label": "-53.8%", "one_week_reaction": 16.645962732919248, "one_week_reaction_label": "+16.6%", "four_week_reaction": 65.21739130434783, "four_week_reaction_label": "+65.2%", "confirmation": "diverged", "revenue": 0.0, "revenue_yoy": null, "revenue_yoy_label": "-", "net_income": -5772000.0, "operating_cash_flow": -3850000.0, "free_cash_flow": -3550000.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2024-09-30", "reported_date": "2024-11-14", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": -0.2, "eps_estimate": -0.2, "eps_surprise": 0.0, "surprise_pct": 0.0, "surprise_label": "0.0%", "surprise_band": "in-line", "eps_yoy": 48.717948717948715, "eps_yoy_label": "+48.7%", "one_week_reaction": -8.482142857142874, "one_week_reaction_label": "-8.5%", "four_week_reaction": -18.750000000000007, "four_week_reaction_label": "-18.8%", "confirmation": "contained", "revenue": 0.0, "revenue_yoy": null, "revenue_yoy_label": "-", "net_income": -2941000.0, "operating_cash_flow": -2940000.0, "free_cash_flow": -2879000.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2024-12-31", "reported_date": "2025-03-28", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": -1.7, "eps_estimate": -0.2, "eps_surprise": -1.5, "surprise_pct": -750.0, "surprise_label": "-750.0%", "surprise_band": "miss", "eps_yoy": 57.49999999999999, "eps_yoy_label": "+57.5%", "one_week_reaction": -14.634146341463412, "one_week_reaction_label": "-14.6%", "four_week_reaction": -12.414634146341468, "four_week_reaction_label": "-12.4%", "confirmation": "confirmed", "revenue": 0.0, "revenue_yoy": null, "revenue_yoy_label": "-", "net_income": -8666000.0, "operating_cash_flow": -6121000.0, "free_cash_flow": -5892000.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2025-03-31", "reported_date": "2025-05-13", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": -0.86, "eps_estimate": -0.15, "eps_surprise": -0.71, "surprise_pct": -473.3333, "surprise_label": "-473.3%", "surprise_band": "miss", "eps_yoy": 2.2727272727272747, "eps_yoy_label": "+2.3%", "one_week_reaction": -1.435406698564584, "one_week_reaction_label": "-1.4%", "four_week_reaction": 5.263157894736858, "four_week_reaction_label": "+5.3%", "confirmation": "confirmed", "revenue": 0.0, "revenue_yoy": null, "revenue_yoy_label": "-", "net_income": -12680000.0, "operating_cash_flow": -173000.0, "free_cash_flow": 162000.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2025-06-30", "reported_date": "2025-08-14", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": -0.04, "eps_estimate": -0.19, "eps_surprise": 0.15, "surprise_pct": 78.9474, "surprise_label": "+78.9%", "surprise_band": "beat", "eps_yoy": 90.0, "eps_yoy_label": "+90.0%", "one_week_reaction": -14.112903225806456, "one_week_reaction_label": "-14.1%", "four_week_reaction": -30.774193548387093, "four_week_reaction_label": "-30.8%", "confirmation": "diverged", "revenue": 0.0, "revenue_yoy": null, "revenue_yoy_label": "-", "net_income": -700000.0, "operating_cash_flow": -4543000.0, "free_cash_flow": -4176000.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2025-09-30", "reported_date": "2025-11-13", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": -0.27, "eps_estimate": -0.22, "eps_surprise": -0.05, "surprise_pct": -22.7273, "surprise_label": "-22.7%", "surprise_band": "miss", "eps_yoy": -35.0, "eps_yoy_label": "-35.0%", "one_week_reaction": -9.721153846153854, "one_week_reaction_label": "-9.7%", "four_week_reaction": -1.9230769230769247, "four_week_reaction_label": "-1.9%", "confirmation": "confirmed", "revenue": 0.0, "revenue_yoy": null, "revenue_yoy_label": "-", "net_income": -4735000.0, "operating_cash_flow": -1580318.0, "free_cash_flow": -1285220.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2026-03-31", "reported_date": null, "date_source": "period only", "eps_actual": 0.16, "eps_estimate": null, "eps_surprise": null, "surprise_pct": null, "surprise_label": "-", "surprise_band": "unavailable", "eps_yoy": 118.6046511627907, "eps_yoy_label": "+118.6%", "one_week_reaction": null, "one_week_reaction_label": "-", "four_week_reaction": null, "four_week_reaction_label": "-", "confirmation": "unavailable", "revenue": 0.0, "revenue_yoy": null, "revenue_yoy_label": "-", "net_income": 28142000.0, "operating_cash_flow": -4086532.0, "free_cash_flow": -560443.0, "currency": "USD"}], "charts": {"quarters": ["2023-03-31", "2023-06-30", "2023-09-30", "2023-12-31", "2024-03-31", "2024-06-30", "2024-09-30", "2024-12-31", "2025-03-31", "2025-06-30", "2025-09-30", "2026-03-31"], "eps_actual": [-1.74, -0.26, -0.39, -4.0, -0.88, -0.4, -0.2, -1.7, -0.86, -0.04, -0.27, 0.16], "eps_estimate": [-0.52, -0.24, -0.28, -0.24, -0.2, -0.2, -0.2, -0.2, -0.15, -0.19, -0.22, null], "surprise": [-234.6154, -8.3333, -39.2857, -1566.6666666666665, -340.0, -100.0, 0.0, -750.0, -473.3333, 78.9474, -22.7273, null], "reaction_1w": [-7.317073170731704, -12.107725664726688, 0.9598080383923269, -8.22222222222223, 1.5548455804046921, 16.645962732919248, -8.482142857142874, -14.634146341463412, -1.435406698564584, -14.112903225806456, -9.721153846153854, null], "reaction_4w": [-9.268292682926816, -20.46102932785576, -14.017396520695854, -15.92592592592593, 0.10649627263045804, 65.21739130434783, -18.750000000000007, -12.414634146341468, 5.263157894736858, -30.774193548387093, -1.9230769230769247, null], "revenue": [null, null, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0], "net_income": [null, null, -9.22, -45.47, -12.17, -5.77, -2.94, -8.67, -12.68, -0.7, -4.74, 28.14], "financial_unit": "millions", "scatter": [{"x": -234.6154, "y": -7.317073170731704, "label": "2023-03-31"}, {"x": -8.3333, "y": -12.107725664726688, "label": "2023-06-30"}, {"x": -39.2857, "y": 0.9598080383923269, "label": "2023-09-30"}, {"x": -1566.6666666666665, "y": -8.22222222222223, "label": "2023-12-31"}, {"x": -340.0, "y": 1.5548455804046921, "label": "2024-03-31"}, {"x": -100.0, "y": 16.645962732919248, "label": "2024-06-30"}, {"x": 0.0, "y": -8.482142857142874, "label": "2024-09-30"}, {"x": -750.0, "y": -14.634146341463412, "label": "2024-12-31"}, {"x": -473.3333, "y": -1.435406698564584, "label": "2025-03-31"}, {"x": 78.9474, "y": -14.112903225806456, "label": "2025-06-30"}, {"x": -22.7273, "y": -9.721153846153854, "label": "2025-09-30"}], "earnings_price": {"available": false, "dates": [], "price_index": [], "eps_index": [], "gap": [], "quarter_markers": [], "bridge_labels": [], "bridge_values": []}}, "earnings_price": {"available": false, "reason": "Earnings power is too stale at the start of the three-year window."}, "disclaimer": "Earnings intelligence is descriptive market research. It is not a forecast, recommendation or trading instruction."}