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"2025-03-31", "earningsChangePct": -0.6153846153846176, "surprisePct": 2.6666666666666687, "immediateReturnPct": 1.8093060700691277, "forward4WeekPct": 21.470792036904072, "forward13WeekPct": 41.105955231197555, "toDateReturnPct": 117.89222925009035, "weeksSince": 68, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -69.42595055973092, "key": "mixed", "status": "Mixed response", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2025-07-18", "periodEnd": "2025-06-30", "earningsChangePct": 3.095975232198156, "surprisePct": 4.545454545454549, "immediateReturnPct": 1.9089590531875755, "forward4WeekPct": 2.171029428206417, "forward13WeekPct": 4.35073375785493, "toDateReturnPct": 57.36522411313372, "weeksSince": 55, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -120.31403398705304, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive four-week response", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2025-10-17", "periodEnd": "2025-09-30", "earningsChangePct": 7.8078078078078095, "surprisePct": 1.9417475728155356, "immediateReturnPct": 0.1218270681856426, "forward4WeekPct": 5.911659782282452, "forward13WeekPct": 24.61882682081238, "toDateReturnPct": 50.987857850261186, "weeksSince": 42, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -119.41083394499134, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive four-week response", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2026-01-23", "periodEnd": "2025-12-31", "earningsChangePct": 7.799442896935949, "surprisePct": 1.8018018018017834, "immediateReturnPct": 2.9924373941967453, "forward4WeekPct": 8.091010361767825, "forward13WeekPct": 5.6076823317091185, "toDateReturnPct": 21.159749054101162, "weeksSince": 28, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -168.45483747213876, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive four-week response", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2026-04-17", "periodEnd": "2026-03-31", "earningsChangePct": 9.302325581395365, "surprisePct": 3.6697247706421847, "immediateReturnPct": 0.43634114685526804, "forward4WeekPct": -4.487500817843426, "forward13WeekPct": 12.883542281442061, "toDateReturnPct": 14.046883265976318, "weeksSince": 16, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -169.88351542491534, "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "status": "Non-positive four-week response", "tone": "opportunity"}, {"date": "2026-07-17", "periodEnd": "2026-06-30", "earningsChangePct": 8.983451536643017, "surprisePct": 4.0000000000000036, "immediateReturnPct": 2.9144167838430324, "forward4WeekPct": null, "forward13WeekPct": null, "toDateReturnPct": 3.9750192111267735, "weeksSince": 3, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -193.96741635757581, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive initial response", "tone": "positive"}], "latestEvent": {"date": "2026-07-17", "periodEnd": "2026-06-30", "earningsChangePct": 8.983451536643017, "surprisePct": 4.0000000000000036, "immediateReturnPct": 2.9144167838430324, "forward4WeekPct": null, "forward13WeekPct": null, "toDateReturnPct": 3.9750192111267735, "weeksSince": 3, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -193.96741635757581, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive initial response", "tone": "positive"}, "freshImprovementAwaitingConfirmation": false, "improvementConfirmationReversed": false, "summary": "Across completed four-week windows, 1 improving update had a non-positive price response; 3 had a meaningful positive price response."}, "professional": {"peerContext": {"available": true, "cohort": "Banks - Regional", "population": 28, "spreadPercentile": 40.7, "qualityPercentile": 57.4, "rarityPercentile": 59.3, "currentOneYearSpread": -23.736304999999998, "lead": "price", "relatedSignals": [{"tickerId": 3352, "symbol": "RF", "name": "Regions Financial Corporation", "spread": -23.714964, "lead": "price", "quality": 62.5}, {"tickerId": 5988, "symbol": "FCNCA", "name": "First Citizens BancShares, Inc.", "spread": -23.664974, "lead": "price", "quality": 50}, {"tickerId": 2746, "symbol": "MTB", "name": "M&T Bank Corporation", "spread": -25.528777999999996, "lead": "price", "quality": 75}, {"tickerId": 4320, "symbol": "WBS", "name": "Webster Financial Corporation", "spread": -26.015060000000002, "lead": "price", "quality": 62.5}, {"tickerId": 2198, "symbol": "ITUB", "name": "Itau Unibanco Banco Holding SA", "spread": -20.875572999999996, "lead": "price", "quality": 66.66666666666667}, {"tickerId": 4154, "symbol": "USB", "name": "U.S. Bancorp", "spread": -28.477635, "lead": "price", "quality": 100}, {"tickerId": 4343, "symbol": "WF", "name": "Woori Financial Group Inc", "spread": -18.577050999999997, "lead": "price", "quality": 66.66666666666667}, {"tickerId": 2620, "symbol": "MFG", "name": "Mizuho Financial Group Inc.", "spread": -16.607556000000002, "lead": "price", "quality": 66.66666666666667}]}, "historicalOutcomes": {"available": false, "sampleSize": 0, "historyWeeks": 156, "horizons": []}, "transitions": [{"date": "2023-08-18", "key": "balanced", "label": "Broadly aligned", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2023-10-20", "key": "shared_contraction", "label": "Shared contraction", "tone": "negative"}, {"date": "2024-01-19", "key": "fundamental_fracture", "label": "Fundamental fracture", "tone": "negative"}, {"date": "2026-07-17", "key": "expectations_ahead", "label": "Expectations ahead", "tone": "caution"}], "dataIntegrity": {"asOf": "2026-08-07", "exactReportDates": 13, "estimatedReportDates": 0, "coverage": 100}}, "alerts": [{"key": "expectations_stretched", "label": "Expectations stretched", "tone": "caution", "explanation": "Price has moved materially faster than delivered earnings power."}]}, "disclaimer": "Earnings intelligence is descriptive market research. It is not a forecast, recommendation or trading instruction."}