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6.951305575158773, "surprisePct": 24.407252440725244, "immediateReturnPct": 20.393125819617918, "forward4WeekPct": 23.24324861247622, "forward13WeekPct": 54.120541655901214, "toDateReturnPct": -26.52849584519754, "weeksSince": 103, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -48.61671834474822, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive four-week response", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2024-11-22", "periodEnd": "2024-09-30", "earningsChangePct": 17.28802375453644, "surprisePct": 21.678321678321677, "immediateReturnPct": 12.329213593104814, "forward4WeekPct": 24.43070957664075, "forward13WeekPct": 36.434612298932855, "toDateReturnPct": -52.328545328604314, "weeksSince": 89, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -103.08490539784796, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive four-week response", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2025-03-21", "periodEnd": "2024-12-31", "earningsChangePct": 18.31223628691985, "surprisePct": 75.80437580437581, "immediateReturnPct": 3.9360953449118163, "forward4WeekPct": -18.198656725115658, "forward13WeekPct": 0.8892662605806567, "toDateReturnPct": -66.0703748603414, "weeksSince": 72, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -151.1728528084228, "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "status": "Non-positive four-week response", "tone": "opportunity"}, {"date": "2025-05-23", "periodEnd": "2025-03-31", "earningsChangePct": 12.648597242035198, "surprisePct": 1.121794871794862, "immediateReturnPct": -3.953015750964939, "forward4WeekPct": -3.2979444851603867, "forward13WeekPct": -28.958662175923767, "toDateReturnPct": -67.47855727904191, "weeksSince": 63, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -117.54935530147361, "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "status": "Non-positive four-week response", "tone": "opportunity"}, {"date": "2025-08-15", "periodEnd": "2025-06-30", "earningsChangePct": 8.104685521317002, "surprisePct": 0.7103393843725324, "immediateReturnPct": -4.312669815440772, "forward4WeekPct": -12.768017330741454, "forward13WeekPct": -30.977231582097787, "toDateReturnPct": -56.88157380952924, "weeksSince": 51, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -23.843406486468467, "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "status": "Non-positive four-week response", "tone": "opportunity"}, {"date": "2025-11-21", "periodEnd": "2025-09-30", "earningsChangePct": -2.694260054666142, "surprisePct": -8.47457627118644, "immediateReturnPct": -19.34046549764674, "forward4WeekPct": -15.374332465439512, "forward13WeekPct": -33.42245982996969, "toDateReturnPct": -37.53014088132798, "weeksSince": 37, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 68.86400084400975, "key": "accepted_deterioration", "status": "Negative four-week response", "tone": "negative"}, {"date": "2026-03-20", "periodEnd": "2025-12-31", "earningsChangePct": -11.71749598715891, "surprisePct": -14.72191930207197, "immediateReturnPct": -3.973987079527319, "forward4WeekPct": 2.0953807083998077, "forward13WeekPct": 16.358613421495583, "toDateReturnPct": 1.287839691032322, "weeksSince": 20, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 81.136649104317, "key": "resisted_deterioration", "status": "Price resisted deterioration", "tone": "caution"}, {"date": "2026-05-29", "periodEnd": "2026-03-31", "earningsChangePct": -12.409090909090914, "surprisePct": 12.050078247261354, "immediateReturnPct": 38.025751072961356, "forward4WeekPct": 35.708154506437765, "forward13WeekPct": null, "toDateReturnPct": 13.648068669527902, "weeksSince": 10, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 30.338832627554012, "key": "resisted_deterioration", "status": "Price resisted deterioration", "tone": "caution"}], "latestEvent": {"date": "2026-05-29", "periodEnd": "2026-03-31", "earningsChangePct": -12.409090909090914, "surprisePct": 12.050078247261354, "immediateReturnPct": 38.025751072961356, "forward4WeekPct": 35.708154506437765, "forward13WeekPct": null, "toDateReturnPct": 13.648068669527902, "weeksSince": 10, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 30.338832627554012, "key": "resisted_deterioration", "status": "Price resisted deterioration", "tone": "caution"}, "freshImprovementAwaitingConfirmation": false, "improvementConfirmationReversed": false, "summary": "Across completed four-week windows, 4 improving updates had a non-positive price response; 4 had a meaningful positive price response."}, "professional": {"peerContext": {"available": true, "cohort": "Credit Services", "population": 24, "spreadPercentile": 91.3, "qualityPercentile": 60.9, "rarityPercentile": 91.3, "currentOneYearSpread": 43.383712, "lead": "earnings", "relatedSignals": [{"tickerId": 8316, "symbol": "SOFI", "name": "SoFi Technologies Inc.", "spread": 30.128056000000004, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 50}, {"tickerId": 1511, "symbol": "FINV", "name": "FinVolution Group", "spread": 28.654401, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 50}, {"tickerId": 8185, "symbol": "SEZL", "name": "Sezzle Inc.", "spread": 25.388683, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 75}, {"tickerId": 2557, "symbol": "MA", "name": "Mastercard Inc", "spread": 21.189522, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 100}, {"tickerId": 7839, "symbol": "PYPL", "name": "PayPal Holdings Inc", "spread": 16.675401, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 100}, {"tickerId": 8259, "symbol": "SLMBP", "name": "SLM Corp Pb Pref", "spread": 13.260843999999999, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 83.33333333333333}, {"tickerId": 418, "symbol": "BFH", "name": "Bread Financial Holdings, Inc.", "spread": 10.785635000000005, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 75}, {"tickerId": 8258, "symbol": "SLM", "name": "SLM Corp", "spread": 78.702825, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 100}]}, "historicalOutcomes": {"available": false, "sampleSize": 0, "historyWeeks": 156, "horizons": []}, "transitions": [{"date": "2023-08-18", "key": "balanced", "label": "Broadly aligned", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2023-11-17", "key": "confirmed_compounding", "label": "Confirmed compounding", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2024-03-15", "key": "expectations_ahead", "label": "Expectations ahead", "tone": "caution"}, {"date": "2025-11-21", "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "label": "Earnings ahead", "tone": "positive"}], "dataIntegrity": {"asOf": "2026-08-07", "exactReportDates": 13, "estimatedReportDates": 0, "coverage": 100}}, "alerts": [{"key": "persistent_earnings_lead", "label": "Persistent earnings lead", "tone": "positive", "explanation": "Earnings power has led market price across several updates."}, {"key": "quality_confirmed", "label": "Business quality supportive", "tone": "positive", "explanation": "Cash generation and operating evidence are broadly supportive."}]}, "disclaimer": "Earnings intelligence is descriptive market research. It is not a forecast, recommendation or trading instruction."}