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"availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 415.0630284824517, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive four-week response", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2026-04-17", "periodEnd": "2026-03-31", "earningsChangePct": 1.698630136986301, "surprisePct": 1.6393442622950833, "immediateReturnPct": 4.352753309637891, "forward4WeekPct": 2.840379127388859, "forward13WeekPct": 7.1189409158811, "toDateReturnPct": 10.92051717920981, "weeksSince": 16, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 429.34068485708826, "key": "mixed", "status": "Mixed response", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2026-07-17", "periodEnd": "2026-06-30", "earningsChangePct": -0.1616379310344751, "surprisePct": 3.1914893617021165, "immediateReturnPct": -9.869105409153956, "forward4WeekPct": null, "forward13WeekPct": null, "toDateReturnPct": -6.670423023578353, "weeksSince": 3, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 423.99124008308576, "key": "mixed", "status": "Mixed response", "tone": "neutral"}], "latestEvent": {"date": "2026-07-17", "periodEnd": "2026-06-30", "earningsChangePct": -0.1616379310344751, "surprisePct": 3.1914893617021165, "immediateReturnPct": -9.869105409153956, "forward4WeekPct": null, "forward13WeekPct": null, "toDateReturnPct": -6.670423023578353, "weeksSince": 3, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 423.99124008308576, "key": "mixed", "status": "Mixed response", "tone": "neutral"}, "freshImprovementAwaitingConfirmation": false, "improvementConfirmationReversed": false, "summary": "Across completed four-week windows, 2 improving updates had a non-positive price response; 5 had a meaningful positive price response."}, "professional": {"peerContext": {"available": true, "cohort": "Insurance - Property & Casualty", "population": 29, "spreadPercentile": 53.6, "qualityPercentile": 14.3, "rarityPercentile": 53.6, "currentOneYearSpread": 19.070321, "lead": "earnings", "relatedSignals": [{"tickerId": 2445, "symbol": "L", "name": "Loews Corp", "spread": 18.976836000000002, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 75}, {"tickerId": 7700, "symbol": "PLMR", "name": "Palomar Holdings Inc", "spread": 22.322716, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 100}, {"tickerId": 8241, "symbol": "SKWD", "name": "Skyward Specialty Insurance Group, Inc. Common Stock", "spread": 11.694215000000002, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 100}, {"tickerId": 4032, "symbol": "TRV", "name": "The Travelers Companies Inc", "spread": 10.880593999999999, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 87.5}, {"tickerId": 3391, "symbol": "RLI", "name": "RLI Corp", "spread": 30.861813000000005, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 75}, {"tickerId": 771, "symbol": "CNA", "name": "CNA Financial Corporation", "spread": 33.679355, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 87.5}, {"tickerId": 2400, "symbol": "KNSL", "name": "Kinsale Capital Group Inc", "spread": 41.959921, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 100}, {"tickerId": 268, "symbol": "ASIC", "name": "Ategrity Specialty Insurance Company Holdings", "spread": 46.865667, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 100}]}, "historicalOutcomes": {"available": false, "sampleSize": 0, "historyWeeks": 156, "horizons": []}, "transitions": [{"date": "2023-08-18", "key": "balanced", "label": "Broadly aligned", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2023-10-20", "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "label": "Earnings ahead", "tone": "positive"}], "dataIntegrity": {"asOf": "2026-08-07", "exactReportDates": 13, "estimatedReportDates": 0, "coverage": 100}}, "alerts": [{"key": "persistent_earnings_lead", "label": "Persistent earnings lead", "tone": "positive", "explanation": "Earnings power has led market price across several updates."}, {"key": "quality_confirmed", "label": "Business quality supportive", "tone": "positive", "explanation": "Cash generation and operating evidence are broadly supportive."}, {"key": "base_sensitive", "label": "Starting-base sensitivity", "tone": "caution", "explanation": "The three-year earnings move begins from an unusually depressed level; compare the shorter horizons before relying on its scale."}]}, "disclaimer": "Earnings intelligence is descriptive market research. It is not a forecast, recommendation or trading instruction."}