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2.907867236129791, "forward4WeekPct": 7.5604529611210225, "forward13WeekPct": 2.7089071756724037, "toDateReturnPct": -8.795111158563806, "weeksSince": 66, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -7.569155129304562, "key": "mixed", "status": "Mixed response", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2025-08-01", "periodEnd": "2025-06-30", "earningsChangePct": 4.276985743380846, "surprisePct": 7.692307692307682, "immediateReturnPct": -13.93947154027886, "forward4WeekPct": -9.98973986456818, "forward13WeekPct": -11.169529946435542, "toDateReturnPct": -23.578770842347474, "weeksSince": 53, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -2.8342436942357665, "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "status": "Non-positive four-week response", "tone": "opportunity"}, {"date": "2025-10-31", "periodEnd": "2025-09-30", "earningsChangePct": 2.734375, "surprisePct": 10.743801652892571, "immediateReturnPct": -0.716640932845225, "forward4WeekPct": -9.938356964920303, "forward13WeekPct": -24.304545891690754, "toDateReturnPct": -14.586106206154426, "weeksSince": 40, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -3.458631454301525, "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "status": "Non-positive four-week response", "tone": "opportunity"}, {"date": "2026-02-06", "periodEnd": "2025-12-31", "earningsChangePct": 0.7604562737642651, "surprisePct": -4.651162790697678, "immediateReturnPct": -23.287151538359385, "forward4WeekPct": -10.588994632426763, "forward13WeekPct": -13.614549111679963, "toDateReturnPct": 12.838868331023745, "weeksSince": 26, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 45.79582697991431, "key": "mixed", "status": "Mixed response", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2026-05-08", "periodEnd": "2026-03-31", "earningsChangePct": 0.18867924528300772, "surprisePct": 5.511811023622052, "immediateReturnPct": -10.051546924898958, "forward4WeekPct": -17.872287169881005, "forward13WeekPct": 17.492952213008685, "toDateReturnPct": 17.492952213008685, "weeksSince": 13, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 37.413835401751044, "key": "mixed", "status": "Mixed response", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2026-07-31", "periodEnd": "2026-06-30", "earningsChangePct": -0.37664783427494575, "surprisePct": 7.812499999999989, "immediateReturnPct": 1.8878005342831683, "forward4WeekPct": null, "forward13WeekPct": null, "toDateReturnPct": 5.200356188780053, "weeksSince": 1, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 16.629819888439755, "key": "mixed", "status": "Mixed response", "tone": "neutral"}], "latestEvent": {"date": "2026-07-31", "periodEnd": "2026-06-30", "earningsChangePct": -0.37664783427494575, "surprisePct": 7.812499999999989, "immediateReturnPct": 1.8878005342831683, "forward4WeekPct": null, "forward13WeekPct": null, "toDateReturnPct": 5.200356188780053, "weeksSince": 1, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 16.629819888439755, "key": "mixed", "status": "Mixed response", "tone": "neutral"}, "freshImprovementAwaitingConfirmation": false, "improvementConfirmationReversed": false, "summary": "Across completed four-week windows, 4 improving updates had a non-positive price response; 1 had a meaningful positive price response."}, "professional": {"peerContext": {"available": true, "cohort": "Credit Services", "population": 24, "spreadPercentile": 69.6, "qualityPercentile": 87.0, "rarityPercentile": 69.6, "currentOneYearSpread": 16.675401, "lead": "earnings", "relatedSignals": [{"tickerId": 8259, "symbol": "SLMBP", "name": "SLM Corp Pb Pref", "spread": 13.260843999999999, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 83.33333333333333}, {"tickerId": 2557, "symbol": "MA", "name": "Mastercard Inc", "spread": 21.189522, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 100}, {"tickerId": 418, "symbol": "BFH", "name": "Bread Financial Holdings, Inc.", "spread": 10.785635000000005, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 75}, {"tickerId": 8185, "symbol": "SEZL", "name": "Sezzle Inc.", "spread": 25.388683, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 75}, {"tickerId": 1511, "symbol": "FINV", "name": "FinVolution Group", "spread": 28.654401, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 50}, {"tickerId": 8316, "symbol": "SOFI", "name": "SoFi Technologies Inc.", "spread": 30.128056000000004, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 50}, {"tickerId": 7866, "symbol": "QFIN", "name": "360 Finance Inc", "spread": 43.383712, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 87.5}, {"tickerId": 8258, "symbol": "SLM", "name": "SLM Corp", "spread": 78.702825, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 100}]}, "historicalOutcomes": {"available": false, "sampleSize": 0, "historyWeeks": 156, "horizons": []}, "transitions": [{"date": "2023-08-18", "key": "balanced", "label": "Broadly aligned", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2023-11-03", "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "label": "Earnings ahead", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2024-05-03", "key": "confirmed_compounding", "label": "Confirmed compounding", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2024-08-02", "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "label": "Earnings ahead", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2024-11-01", "key": "expectations_ahead", "label": "Expectations ahead", "tone": "caution"}, {"date": "2025-05-02", "key": "confirmed_compounding", "label": "Confirmed compounding", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2026-02-06", "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "label": "Earnings ahead", "tone": "positive"}], "dataIntegrity": {"asOf": "2026-08-07", "exactReportDates": 13, "estimatedReportDates": 0, "coverage": 100}}, "alerts": [{"key": "persistent_earnings_lead", "label": "Persistent earnings lead", "tone": "positive", "explanation": "Earnings power has led market price across several updates."}, {"key": "quality_confirmed", "label": "Business quality supportive", "tone": "positive", "explanation": "Cash generation and operating evidence are broadly supportive."}]}, "disclaimer": "Earnings intelligence is descriptive market research. It is not a forecast, recommendation or trading instruction."}