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"toDateReturnPct": 21.674967718133175, "weeksSince": 75, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -148.67431886895724, "key": "accepted_deterioration", "status": "Negative four-week response", "tone": "negative"}, {"date": "2025-04-25", "periodEnd": "2025-03-31", "earningsChangePct": 52.406954120379076, "surprisePct": -2.8160200250312957, "immediateReturnPct": 0.4601547793348537, "forward4WeekPct": 4.120476887680402, "forward13WeekPct": -6.92323781635642, "toDateReturnPct": 37.96276929512652, "weeksSince": 67, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -109.42219846404379, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive four-week response", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2025-07-11", "periodEnd": "2025-06-30", "earningsChangePct": -5.147634147345881, "surprisePct": -57.749381698268756, "immediateReturnPct": -3.8646333820764434, "forward4WeekPct": -11.405890954668896, "forward13WeekPct": -22.373093795696686, "toDateReturnPct": 37.78984750365573, "weeksSince": 56, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -105.63475024006357, "key": "accepted_deterioration", "status": "Negative four-week response", "tone": "negative"}, {"date": "2025-10-24", "periodEnd": "2025-09-30", "earningsChangePct": 39.29145139582337, "surprisePct": 29.671897289586298, "immediateReturnPct": 13.015245623941274, "forward4WeekPct": 36.10954263128177, "forward13WeekPct": 49.35064935064935, "toDateReturnPct": 86.2224731789949, "weeksSince": 41, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -51.08301025797729, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive four-week response", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2026-02-27", "periodEnd": "2025-12-31", "earningsChangePct": -6.72630364990805, "surprisePct": -29.130434782608695, "immediateReturnPct": -2.1687563537783783, "forward4WeekPct": 25.737038292104366, "forward13WeekPct": 25.720094883090482, "toDateReturnPct": 11.75872585564215, "weeksSince": 23, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -129.06177385000365, "key": "resisted_deterioration", "status": "Price resisted deterioration", "tone": "caution"}, {"date": "2026-05-01", "periodEnd": "2026-03-31", "earningsChangePct": 0.0556947925369089, "surprisePct": -17.013333333333332, "immediateReturnPct": 1.0579771476936006, "forward4WeekPct": 4.669205811821131, "forward13WeekPct": -0.6206799266469165, "toDateReturnPct": -6.95443645083934, "weeksSince": 14, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -184.47220931288894, "key": "mixed", "status": "Mixed response", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2026-07-17", "periodEnd": "2026-06-30", "earningsChangePct": -14.602467761387894, "surprisePct": -24.444444444444446, "immediateReturnPct": -1.2189476932572219, "forward4WeekPct": null, "forward13WeekPct": null, "toDateReturnPct": 1.7744175281592112, "weeksSince": 3, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -168.87233574510546, "key": "mixed", "status": "Mixed response", "tone": "neutral"}], "latestEvent": {"date": "2026-07-17", "periodEnd": "2026-06-30", "earningsChangePct": -14.602467761387894, "surprisePct": -24.444444444444446, "immediateReturnPct": -1.2189476932572219, "forward4WeekPct": null, "forward13WeekPct": null, "toDateReturnPct": 1.7744175281592112, "weeksSince": 3, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -168.87233574510546, "key": "mixed", "status": "Mixed response", "tone": "neutral"}, "freshImprovementAwaitingConfirmation": false, "improvementConfirmationReversed": false, "summary": "Across completed four-week windows, 1 improving update had a non-positive price response; 3 had a meaningful positive price response."}, "professional": {"peerContext": {"available": true, "cohort": "Oil & Gas E&P", "population": 24, "spreadPercentile": 43.5, "qualityPercentile": 65.2, "rarityPercentile": 50.0, "currentOneYearSpread": -9.335427999999995, "lead": "aligned", "relatedSignals": [{"tickerId": 4010, "symbol": "TPL", "name": "Texas Pacific Land Corporation", "spread": -2.040137, "lead": "aligned", "quality": 87.5}, {"tickerId": 1289, "symbol": "EOG", "name": "EOG Resources Inc", "spread": 0.9382729999999978, "lead": "aligned", "quality": 87.5}, {"tickerId": 3043, "symbol": "OVV", "name": "Ovintiv Inc", "spread": 1.9492100000000012, "lead": "aligned", "quality": 75}, {"tickerId": 2639, "symbol": "MGY", "name": "Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp", "spread": 6.818705000000001, "lead": "aligned", "quality": 75}, {"tickerId": 3654, "symbol": "SM", "name": "SM Energy Co", "spread": 9.033566999999998, "lead": "aligned", "quality": 87.5}]}, "historicalOutcomes": {"available": false, "sampleSize": 0, "historyWeeks": 156, "horizons": []}, "transitions": [{"date": "2023-08-18", "key": "balanced", "label": "Broadly aligned", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2023-10-27", "key": "fundamental_fracture", "label": "Fundamental fracture", "tone": "negative"}, {"date": "2024-02-23", "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "label": "Earnings ahead", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2024-04-26", "key": "expectations_ahead", "label": "Expectations ahead", "tone": "caution"}, {"date": "2025-02-28", "key": "fundamental_fracture", "label": "Fundamental fracture", "tone": "negative"}, {"date": "2025-10-24", "key": "expectations_ahead", "label": "Expectations ahead", "tone": "caution"}, {"date": "2026-07-17", "key": "fundamental_fracture", "label": "Fundamental fracture", "tone": "negative"}], "dataIntegrity": {"asOf": "2026-08-07", "exactReportDates": 13, "estimatedReportDates": 0, "coverage": 100}}, "alerts": [{"key": "fundamental_fracture", "label": "Fundamental fracture", "tone": "negative", "explanation": "Earnings have weakened while price has not adjusted to the same degree."}]}, "disclaimer": "Earnings intelligence is descriptive market research. It is not a forecast, recommendation or trading instruction."}