{"ticker": {"uuid": "98deef21-dc8f-4b7c-8220-164fd740591c", "symbol": "TRV", "name": "The Travelers Companies Inc", "sector": "Financial Services", "industry": "Insurance - Property & Casualty", "currency": "USD"}, "next_event": {"report_date": "2026-10-15", "fiscal_date_ending": "2026-09-30", "estimate": 6.81, "session": "Time unconfirmed", "days": 63}, "profile": {"sample": 12, "measured": 12, "beats": 10, "misses": 2, "inline": 0, "beat_rate": 83.3, "beat_rate_label": "83.3%", "average_surprise": 40.9, "average_surprise_label": "+40.9%", "median_surprise": 32.7, "surprise_dispersion": 45.8, "average_reaction": 3.5, "average_reaction_label": "+3.5%", "average_abs_reaction": 4.8, "positive_response_rate": 66.7, "confirmation_rate": 90.9, "reaction_sample": 12, "streak": {"count": 9, "band": "beat", "label": "9 consecutive beats"}, "profile": "Delivery and acceptance aligned", "profile_tone": "positive", "profile_text": "Results have usually cleared estimates and the next completed weekly close has, on average, confirmed the delivery."}, "event_risk": {"score": 45, "band": "Elevated", "tone": "caution", "days": 63, "proximity_component": 3, "reaction_component": 12, "variability_component": 25, "uncertainty_component": 5, "explanation": "Event risk combines report proximity, historical price movement, surprise variability, estimate availability and confirmed timing. It measures uncertainty, not direction."}, "evidence": {"score": 100, "band": "Deep", "exact": 12, "surprise": 12, "reaction": 12, "financial": 12, "total": 12}, "factor_context": {"available": true, "as_of": "2026-08-09", "eps_growth_1y": 58.3, "revenue_growth_1y": 2.4, "cash_conversion": 1.65, "net_margin": 17.0, "earnings_yield": 12.2, "eps_surprise_avg": 37.4, "sue_score": 1.28, "pe_ratio": 9.7, "completeness": 100.0, "source": "alphavantage"}, "market_context": {"available": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "close": 384.31, "currency": "USD", "return_13w": 29.5, "fair_value": 243.871473, "fair_value_gap": 57.6, "relative_strength": 15.9, "trend_signal": "Active", "expectation_direction": "positive", "expectation_probability": 62.3}, "records": [{"period_end": "2023-09-30", "reported_date": "2023-10-18", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": 1.95, "eps_estimate": 3.07, "eps_surprise": -1.12, "surprise_pct": -36.4821, "surprise_label": "-36.5%", "surprise_band": "miss", "eps_yoy": null, "eps_yoy_label": "-", "one_week_reaction": -1.5955179754599251, "one_week_reaction_label": "-1.6%", "four_week_reaction": 3.5016137628780393, "four_week_reaction_label": "+3.5%", "confirmation": "confirmed", "revenue": 10635000000.0, "revenue_yoy": null, "revenue_yoy_label": "-", "net_income": 404000000.0, "operating_cash_flow": 3046000000.0, "free_cash_flow": 3046000000.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2023-12-31", "reported_date": "2024-01-19", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": 7.01, "eps_estimate": 5.09, "eps_surprise": 1.92, "surprise_pct": 37.721, "surprise_label": "+37.7%", "surprise_band": "beat", "eps_yoy": null, "eps_yoy_label": "-", "one_week_reaction": 8.115156393157202, "one_week_reaction_label": "+8.1%", "four_week_reaction": 9.68500671429761, "four_week_reaction_label": "+9.7%", "confirmation": "confirmed", "revenue": 10936000000.0, "revenue_yoy": null, "revenue_yoy_label": "-", "net_income": 1626000000.0, "operating_cash_flow": 2104000000.0, "free_cash_flow": 2104000000.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2024-03-31", "reported_date": "2024-04-17", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": 4.69, "eps_estimate": 4.86, "eps_surprise": -0.17, "surprise_pct": -3.4979, "surprise_label": "-3.5%", "surprise_band": "miss", "eps_yoy": null, "eps_yoy_label": "-", "one_week_reaction": -3.1795568161854004, "one_week_reaction_label": "-3.2%", "four_week_reaction": -1.1759384313917058, "four_week_reaction_label": "-1.2%", "confirmation": "confirmed", "revenue": 11228000000.0, "revenue_yoy": null, "revenue_yoy_label": "-", "net_income": 1123000000.0, "operating_cash_flow": 1458000000.0, "free_cash_flow": 1458000000.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2024-06-30", "reported_date": "2024-07-19", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": 2.51, "eps_estimate": 2.0, "eps_surprise": 0.51, "surprise_pct": 25.5, "surprise_label": "+25.5%", "surprise_band": "beat", "eps_yoy": null, "eps_yoy_label": "-", "one_week_reaction": 1.063326753286548, "one_week_reaction_label": "+1.1%", "four_week_reaction": 0.4158789361618657, "four_week_reaction_label": "+0.4%", "confirmation": "confirmed", "revenue": 11283000000.0, "revenue_yoy": null, "revenue_yoy_label": "-", "net_income": 534000000.0, "operating_cash_flow": 1677000000.0, "free_cash_flow": 1677000000.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2024-09-30", "reported_date": "2024-10-17", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": 5.42, "eps_estimate": 3.6, "eps_surprise": 1.82, "surprise_pct": 50.5556, "surprise_label": "+50.6%", "surprise_band": "beat", "eps_yoy": 177.94871794871793, "eps_yoy_label": "+177.9%", "one_week_reaction": 12.203060541318521, "one_week_reaction_label": "+12.2%", "four_week_reaction": 8.584833846276888, "four_week_reaction_label": "+8.6%", "confirmation": "confirmed", "revenue": 11904000000.0, "revenue_yoy": 11.932299012693935, "revenue_yoy_label": "+11.9%", "net_income": 1260000000.0, "operating_cash_flow": 3875000000.0, "free_cash_flow": 3875000000.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2024-12-31", "reported_date": "2025-01-22", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": 9.15, "eps_estimate": 6.6, "eps_surprise": 2.55, "surprise_pct": 38.6364, "surprise_label": "+38.6%", "surprise_band": "beat", "eps_yoy": 30.527817403708994, "eps_yoy_label": "+30.5%", "one_week_reaction": 0.9769539897641923, "one_week_reaction_label": "+1.0%", "four_week_reaction": -0.5093518608348924, "four_week_reaction_label": "-0.5%", "confirmation": "contained", "revenue": 12013000000.0, "revenue_yoy": 9.84820775420629, "revenue_yoy_label": "+9.8%", "net_income": 2082000000.0, "operating_cash_flow": 2064000000.0, "free_cash_flow": 2064000000.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2025-03-31", "reported_date": "2025-04-16", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": 1.91, "eps_estimate": 0.77, "eps_surprise": 1.14, "surprise_pct": 148.0519, "surprise_label": "+148.1%", "surprise_band": "beat", "eps_yoy": -59.27505330490405, "eps_yoy_label": "-59.3%", "one_week_reaction": 4.377269106566319, "one_week_reaction_label": "+4.4%", "four_week_reaction": 10.043650124552773, "four_week_reaction_label": "+10.0%", "confirmation": "confirmed", "revenue": 11810000000.0, "revenue_yoy": 5.183469896686854, "revenue_yoy_label": "+5.2%", "net_income": 395000000.0, "operating_cash_flow": 1360000000.0, "free_cash_flow": 1360000000.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2025-06-30", "reported_date": "2025-07-17", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": 6.51, "eps_estimate": 3.61, "eps_surprise": 2.9, "surprise_pct": 80.3324, "surprise_label": "+80.3%", "surprise_band": "beat", "eps_yoy": 159.3625498007968, "eps_yoy_label": "+159.4%", "one_week_reaction": 4.51508975446677, "one_week_reaction_label": "+4.5%", "four_week_reaction": 4.082835628834683, "four_week_reaction_label": "+4.1%", "confirmation": "confirmed", "revenue": 12116000000.0, "revenue_yoy": 7.382788265532217, "revenue_yoy_label": "+7.4%", "net_income": 1509000000.0, "operating_cash_flow": 2334000000.0, "free_cash_flow": 2334000000.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2025-09-30", "reported_date": "2025-10-16", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": 8.14, "eps_estimate": 6.38, "eps_surprise": 1.76, "surprise_pct": 27.5862, "surprise_label": "+27.6%", "surprise_band": "beat", "eps_yoy": 50.18450184501846, "eps_yoy_label": "+50.2%", "one_week_reaction": -3.0023695866248143, "one_week_reaction_label": "-3.0%", "four_week_reaction": 3.587294566545176, "four_week_reaction_label": "+3.6%", "confirmation": "diverged", "revenue": 12470000000.0, "revenue_yoy": 4.754704301075269, "revenue_yoy_label": "+4.8%", "net_income": 1888000000.0, "operating_cash_flow": 4227000000.0, "free_cash_flow": 4227000000.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2025-12-31", "reported_date": "2026-01-21", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": 11.06, "eps_estimate": 8.92, "eps_surprise": 2.14, "surprise_pct": 23.991, "surprise_label": "+24.0%", "surprise_band": "beat", "eps_yoy": 20.87431693989071, "eps_yoy_label": "+20.9%", "one_week_reaction": 3.080691829785396, "one_week_reaction_label": "+3.1%", "four_week_reaction": 9.201247271005531, "four_week_reaction_label": "+9.2%", "confirmation": "confirmed", "revenue": 12432000000.0, "revenue_yoy": 3.487888121202031, "revenue_yoy_label": "+3.5%", "net_income": 2496000000.0, "operating_cash_flow": 2685000000.0, "free_cash_flow": 5370000000.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2026-03-31", "reported_date": "2026-04-16", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": 7.71, "eps_estimate": 7.08, "eps_surprise": 0.63, "surprise_pct": 8.8983, "surprise_label": "+8.9%", "surprise_band": "beat", "eps_yoy": 303.6649214659686, "eps_yoy_label": "+303.7%", "one_week_reaction": 1.19424066522434, "one_week_reaction_label": "+1.2%", "four_week_reaction": 0.2623964920002924, "four_week_reaction_label": "+0.3%", "confirmation": "confirmed", "revenue": 11924000000.0, "revenue_yoy": 0.9652836579170194, "revenue_yoy_label": "+1.0%", "net_income": 1711000000.0, "operating_cash_flow": 2198000000.0, "free_cash_flow": 2198000000.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2026-06-30", "reported_date": "2026-07-17", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": 10.04, "eps_estimate": 5.31, "eps_surprise": 4.73, "surprise_pct": 89.0772, "surprise_label": "+89.1%", "surprise_band": "beat", "eps_yoy": 54.22427035330261, "eps_yoy_label": "+54.2%", "one_week_reaction": 14.262952909241111, "one_week_reaction_label": "+14.3%", "four_week_reaction": 13.392541012628346, "four_week_reaction_label": "+13.4%", "confirmation": "confirmed", "revenue": 12153000000.0, "revenue_yoy": 0.30538131396500495, "revenue_yoy_label": "+0.3%", "net_income": 2208000000.0, "operating_cash_flow": 1916000000.0, "free_cash_flow": 1916000000.0, "currency": "USD"}], "charts": {"quarters": ["2023-09-30", "2023-12-31", "2024-03-31", "2024-06-30", "2024-09-30", "2024-12-31", "2025-03-31", "2025-06-30", "2025-09-30", "2025-12-31", "2026-03-31", "2026-06-30"], "eps_actual": [1.95, 7.01, 4.69, 2.51, 5.42, 9.15, 1.91, 6.51, 8.14, 11.06, 7.71, 10.04], "eps_estimate": [3.07, 5.09, 4.86, 2.0, 3.6, 6.6, 0.77, 3.61, 6.38, 8.92, 7.08, 5.31], "surprise": [-36.4821, 37.721, -3.4979, 25.5, 50.5556, 38.6364, 148.0519, 80.3324, 27.5862, 23.991, 8.8983, 89.0772], "reaction_1w": [-1.5955179754599251, 8.115156393157202, -3.1795568161854004, 1.063326753286548, 12.203060541318521, 0.9769539897641923, 4.377269106566319, 4.51508975446677, -3.0023695866248143, 3.080691829785396, 1.19424066522434, 14.262952909241111], "reaction_4w": [3.5016137628780393, 9.68500671429761, -1.1759384313917058, 0.4158789361618657, 8.584833846276888, -0.5093518608348924, 10.043650124552773, 4.082835628834683, 3.587294566545176, 9.201247271005531, 0.2623964920002924, 13.392541012628346], "revenue": [10.63, 10.94, 11.23, 11.28, 11.9, 12.01, 11.81, 12.12, 12.47, 12.43, 11.92, 12.15], "net_income": [0.4, 1.63, 1.12, 0.53, 1.26, 2.08, 0.4, 1.51, 1.89, 2.5, 1.71, 2.21], "financial_unit": "billions", "scatter": [{"x": -36.4821, "y": -1.5955179754599251, "label": "2023-09-30"}, {"x": 37.721, "y": 8.115156393157202, "label": "2023-12-31"}, {"x": -3.4979, "y": -3.1795568161854004, "label": "2024-03-31"}, {"x": 25.5, "y": 1.063326753286548, "label": "2024-06-30"}, {"x": 50.5556, "y": 12.203060541318521, "label": "2024-09-30"}, {"x": 38.6364, "y": 0.9769539897641923, "label": "2024-12-31"}, {"x": 148.0519, "y": 4.377269106566319, "label": "2025-03-31"}, {"x": 80.3324, "y": 4.51508975446677, "label": "2025-06-30"}, {"x": 27.5862, "y": -3.0023695866248143, "label": "2025-09-30"}, {"x": 23.991, "y": 3.080691829785396, "label": "2025-12-31"}, {"x": 8.8983, "y": 1.19424066522434, "label": "2026-03-31"}, {"x": 89.0772, "y": 14.262952909241111, "label": "2026-06-30"}], "earnings_price": {"available": true, "dates": ["2023-08-18", "2023-08-25", "2023-09-01", "2023-09-08", "2023-09-15", "2023-09-22", "2023-09-29", "2023-10-06", "2023-10-13", "2023-10-20", "2023-10-27", "2023-11-03", "2023-11-10", "2023-11-17", "2023-11-24", "2023-12-01", "2023-12-08", "2023-12-15", "2023-12-22", "2023-12-29", "2024-01-05", "2024-01-12", "2024-01-19", "2024-01-26", "2024-02-02", "2024-02-09", "2024-02-16", "2024-02-23", "2024-03-01", "2024-03-08", "2024-03-15", "2024-03-22", "2024-03-29", "2024-04-05", "2024-04-12", "2024-04-19", "2024-04-26", "2024-05-03", "2024-05-10", "2024-05-17", "2024-05-24", "2024-05-31", "2024-06-07", "2024-06-14", "2024-06-21", "2024-06-28", "2024-07-05", "2024-07-12", "2024-07-19", "2024-07-26", "2024-08-02", "2024-08-09", "2024-08-16", "2024-08-23", "2024-08-30", "2024-09-06", "2024-09-13", "2024-09-20", "2024-09-27", "2024-10-04", "2024-10-11", "2024-10-18", "2024-10-25", "2024-11-01", "2024-11-08", "2024-11-15", "2024-11-22", "2024-11-29", "2024-12-06", "2024-12-13", "2024-12-20", "2024-12-27", "2025-01-03", "2025-01-10", "2025-01-17", "2025-01-24", "2025-01-31", "2025-02-07", "2025-02-14", "2025-02-21", "2025-02-28", "2025-03-07", "2025-03-14", "2025-03-21", "2025-03-28", "2025-04-04", "2025-04-11", "2025-04-18", "2025-04-25", "2025-05-02", "2025-05-09", "2025-05-16", "2025-05-23", "2025-05-30", "2025-06-06", "2025-06-13", "2025-06-20", "2025-06-27", "2025-07-04", "2025-07-11", "2025-07-18", "2025-07-25", "2025-08-01", "2025-08-08", "2025-08-15", "2025-08-22", "2025-08-29", "2025-09-05", "2025-09-12", "2025-09-19", "2025-09-26", "2025-10-03", "2025-10-10", "2025-10-17", "2025-10-24", "2025-10-31", "2025-11-07", "2025-11-14", "2025-11-21", "2025-11-28", "2025-12-05", "2025-12-12", "2025-12-19", "2025-12-26", "2026-01-02", "2026-01-09", "2026-01-16", "2026-01-23", "2026-01-30", "2026-02-06", "2026-02-13", "2026-02-20", "2026-02-27", "2026-03-06", "2026-03-13", "2026-03-20", "2026-03-27", "2026-04-03", "2026-04-10", "2026-04-17", "2026-04-24", "2026-05-01", "2026-05-08", "2026-05-15", "2026-05-22", "2026-05-29", "2026-06-05", "2026-06-12", "2026-06-19", "2026-06-26", "2026-07-03", "2026-07-10", "2026-07-17", "2026-07-24", "2026-07-31", "2026-08-07"], "price_index": [100.0, 99.48913705463485, 99.89536574165763, 99.02452507017124, 102.06543092497382, 103.94819094814297, 101.14263033979252, 100.9196720270919, 101.70002677102674, 100.07738456284744, 99.51379466473746, 104.30120881782116, 105.26116890529167, 106.41312062056667, 109.95568300368699, 112.7055043586036, 112.87670344775869, 113.84194058203767, 115.70391391190155, 118.62453492412253, 120.23118816758418, 121.78179495230242, 131.81403377893193, 131.6645780710758, 133.77564489684926, 133.57636997022507, 135.46325290947297, 137.59922934463046, 136.2665798559451, 136.65620516763107, 138.20762380570443, 140.40963769173516, 143.96914248015344, 144.43832097736907, 138.31397139936755, 133.91620009400222, 133.5283452721132, 133.77857406375463, 136.68748425369824, 137.4444257963533, 133.4532767645173, 134.93588206272557, 133.21555960730277, 129.40879935897098, 131.8919898865414, 127.83087338411063, 126.9067491532191, 133.02357057742898, 127.91888543211833, 134.43804579155582, 134.8655320468298, 133.57678758759096, 136.1479895136864, 139.4484325459592, 143.37753195060245, 147.39464210428807, 150.17048238501317, 150.61247548551964, 149.0844408220053, 149.14758287907267, 149.3812076458946, 167.61028685227586, 158.17056653198972, 155.10186801416833, 162.20533611985653, 164.6868146110716, 165.7286569289771, 167.98282427454262, 164.8951829447562, 156.17798093538403, 152.66508627179164, 153.0772486326165, 153.63525362912577, 147.3830618280302, 151.87880629732956, 153.36259235505753, 155.467793053228, 155.4741339526731, 151.10520877124029, 152.2021954164409, 163.90761789476255, 163.4066816427415, 166.1190895476394, 163.43861995373305, 166.679378125266, 154.2447996229987, 156.07210356718426, 162.9037995405988, 165.00488057010395, 170.25758216964275, 171.7474395915019, 174.2178015370956, 172.56877149694324, 175.53575193367394, 174.25600280961012, 168.45063106432943, 169.41605589910412, 168.3483342941672, 168.8726045105806, 162.70283725796128, 170.04901639322222, 166.9033937957764, 165.15795714392405, 169.34572666665423, 169.80606180764292, 176.64715059963524, 173.59103840674933, 175.96304204517733, 179.05537978425264, 177.81644220361085, 178.30431411144082, 182.6694826850287, 173.39991838470695, 168.19381197189225, 173.25227278509144, 172.43701354274663, 179.6202842353153, 184.42197012089983, 186.2065536920548, 187.99755675005954, 180.31357582544396, 183.87472185660496, 188.77916499557477, 188.26358615644025, 183.7973853554761, 181.71573619839717, 173.63403870681685, 178.98316835098416, 183.35914301747042, 194.30230274150603, 189.61053595486453, 196.5192911003018, 198.91028756086146, 197.40866476017953, 195.65581426348794, 191.84605925049974, 184.51761748734202, 190.1578654044949, 192.27295902290996, 194.56916088779167, 195.81105036723275, 197.0982172330319, 192.7774765224512, 193.89000204086943, 198.22367914755242, 188.79954900961587, 196.14739536692696, 197.74149800700067, 199.91726499880076, 212.62114630017678, 222.32441760092095, 220.12267130175616, 239.64612078638612, 251.5186642520892, 243.14033762694862, 249.60269033393692], "eps_index": [100.0, 100.0, 100.0, 100.0, 100.0, 100.0, 100.0, 100.0, 100.0, 97.44114636642784, 97.44114636642784, 97.44114636642784, 97.44114636642784, 97.44114636642784, 97.44114636642784, 97.44114636642784, 97.44114636642784, 97.44114636642784, 97.44114636642784, 97.44114636642784, 97.44114636642784, 97.44114636642784, 97.44114636642784, 134.39099283520983, 134.39099283520983, 134.39099283520983, 134.39099283520983, 134.39099283520983, 134.39099283520983, 134.39099283520983, 134.39099283520983, 134.39099283520983, 134.39099283520983, 134.39099283520983, 134.39099283520983, 140.32753326509726, 140.32753326509726, 140.32753326509726, 140.32753326509726, 140.32753326509726, 140.32753326509726, 140.32753326509726, 140.32753326509726, 140.32753326509726, 140.32753326509726, 140.32753326509726, 140.32753326509726, 140.32753326509726, 140.32753326509726, 165.40429887410443, 165.40429887410443, 165.40429887410443, 165.40429887410443, 165.40429887410443, 165.40429887410443, 165.40429887410443, 165.40429887410443, 165.40429887410443, 165.40429887410443, 165.40429887410443, 165.40429887410443, 200.92118730808596, 200.92118730808596, 200.92118730808596, 200.92118730808596, 200.92118730808596, 200.92118730808596, 200.92118730808596, 200.92118730808596, 200.92118730808596, 200.92118730808596, 200.92118730808596, 200.92118730808596, 200.92118730808596, 200.92118730808596, 222.82497441146364, 222.82497441146364, 222.82497441146364, 222.82497441146364, 222.82497441146364, 222.82497441146364, 222.82497441146364, 222.82497441146364, 222.82497441146364, 222.82497441146364, 222.82497441146364, 222.82497441146364, 194.37052200614124, 194.37052200614124, 194.37052200614124, 194.37052200614124, 194.37052200614124, 194.37052200614124, 194.37052200614124, 194.37052200614124, 194.37052200614124, 194.37052200614124, 194.37052200614124, 194.37052200614124, 194.37052200614124, 235.3121801432958, 235.3121801432958, 235.3121801432958, 235.3121801432958, 235.3121801432958, 235.3121801432958, 235.3121801432958, 235.3121801432958, 235.3121801432958, 235.3121801432958, 235.3121801432958, 235.3121801432958, 235.3121801432958, 263.15250767656096, 263.15250767656096, 263.15250767656096, 263.15250767656096, 263.15250767656096, 263.15250767656096, 263.15250767656096, 263.15250767656096, 263.15250767656096, 263.15250767656096, 263.15250767656096, 263.15250767656096, 263.15250767656096, 263.15250767656096, 282.7021494370522, 282.7021494370522, 282.7021494370522, 282.7021494370522, 282.7021494370522, 282.7021494370522, 282.7021494370522, 282.7021494370522, 282.7021494370522, 282.7021494370522, 282.7021494370522, 282.7021494370522, 342.06755373592637, 342.06755373592637, 342.06755373592637, 342.06755373592637, 342.06755373592637, 342.06755373592637, 342.06755373592637, 342.06755373592637, 342.06755373592637, 342.06755373592637, 342.06755373592637, 342.06755373592637, 342.06755373592637, 342.06755373592637, 378.19856704196525, 378.19856704196525, 378.19856704196525], "gap": [0.0, 0.5108629453651474, 0.10463425834237228, 0.9754749298287635, -2.0654309249738247, -3.9481909481429653, -1.1426303397925182, -0.9196720270919059, -1.7000267710267423, -2.6362381964195976, -2.072648298309616, -6.860062451393318, -7.8200225388638245, -8.971974254138829, -12.514536637259141, -15.26435799217576, -15.435557081330842, -16.40079421560982, -18.262767545473707, -21.183388557694684, -22.790041801156335, -24.340648585874575, -34.372887412504085, 2.7264147641340344, 0.6153479383605713, 0.8146228649847558, -1.0722600742631414, -3.2082365094206295, -1.8755870207352814, -2.2652123324212425, -3.8166309704946, -6.018644856525327, -9.578149644943608, -10.047328142159245, -3.9229785641577166, 6.411333171095038, 6.799187992984059, 6.548959201342626, 3.6400490113990145, 2.883107468743958, 6.874256500579946, 5.3916512023716905, 7.111973657794493, 10.918733906126278, 8.435543378555849, 12.496659880986627, 13.420784111878163, 7.303962687668275, 12.408647832978929, 30.966253082548604, 30.538766827274628, 31.82751128651347, 29.256309360418015, 25.95586632814522, 22.02676692350198, 18.00965676981636, 15.233816489091254, 14.791823388584788, 16.319858052099136, 16.256715995031755, 16.023091228209836, 33.3109004558101, 42.75062077609624, 45.81931929391763, 38.715851188229436, 36.23437269701435, 35.19253037910886, 32.93836303354334, 36.026004363329776, 44.743206372701934, 48.256101036294325, 47.843938675469474, 47.28593367896019, 53.538125480055754, 49.0423810107564, 69.46238205640611, 67.35718135823564, 67.35084045879054, 71.71976564022336, 70.62277899502274, 58.91735651670109, 59.418292768722154, 56.70588486382425, 59.38635445773059, 56.145596286197645, 68.58017478846494, 66.75287084427939, 31.466722465542432, 29.365641436037293, 24.112939836498498, 22.623082414639356, 20.152720469045647, 21.801750509198, 18.834770072467308, 20.11451919653112, 25.919890941811815, 24.95446610703712, 26.022187711974055, 25.497917495560642, 31.667684748179965, 65.26316375007357, 68.4087863475194, 70.15422299937174, 65.96645347664156, 65.50611833565287, 58.66502954366055, 61.72114173654646, 59.34913809811846, 56.256800359043154, 57.49573793968494, 57.007866031854974, 52.642697458267094, 61.91226175858884, 94.95869570466871, 89.90023489146952, 90.71549413381433, 83.53222344124566, 78.73053755566113, 76.94595398450616, 75.15495092650141, 82.838931851117, 79.277785819956, 74.37334268098618, 74.8889215201207, 79.35512232108485, 81.43677147816379, 89.5184689697441, 103.71898108606803, 99.34300641958177, 88.39984669554616, 93.09161348218765, 86.18285833675037, 83.79186187619072, 85.29348467687265, 87.04633517356424, 90.85609018655245, 98.18453194971016, 92.54428403255727, 90.42919041414223, 147.4983928481347, 146.25650336869361, 144.96933650289446, 149.29007721347517, 148.17755169505693, 143.84387458837395, 153.2680047263105, 145.9201583689994, 144.3260557289257, 142.1502887371256, 129.4464074357496, 119.74313613500541, 121.94488243417021, 102.42143294954025, 126.67990278987605, 135.05822941501663, 128.59587670802833], "quarter_markers": [100.0, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 97.44114636642784, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 134.39099283520983, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 140.32753326509726, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 165.40429887410443, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 200.92118730808596, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 222.82497441146364, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 194.37052200614124, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 235.3121801432958, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 263.15250767656096, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 282.7021494370522, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 342.06755373592637, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 378.19856704196525, null, null], "bridge_labels": ["Earnings contribution", "Relative valuation contribution", "Total market move"], "bridge_values": [278.2, -128.6, 149.6]}}, "earnings_price": {"available": true, "title": "Earnings and Price Index", "description": "A three-year index of the relationship between earnings power and market price.", "dates": ["2023-08-18", "2023-08-25", "2023-09-01", "2023-09-08", "2023-09-15", "2023-09-22", "2023-09-29", "2023-10-06", "2023-10-13", "2023-10-20", "2023-10-27", "2023-11-03", "2023-11-10", "2023-11-17", "2023-11-24", "2023-12-01", "2023-12-08", "2023-12-15", "2023-12-22", "2023-12-29", "2024-01-05", "2024-01-12", "2024-01-19", "2024-01-26", "2024-02-02", "2024-02-09", "2024-02-16", "2024-02-23", "2024-03-01", "2024-03-08", "2024-03-15", "2024-03-22", "2024-03-29", "2024-04-05", "2024-04-12", "2024-04-19", "2024-04-26", "2024-05-03", "2024-05-10", "2024-05-17", "2024-05-24", "2024-05-31", "2024-06-07", "2024-06-14", "2024-06-21", "2024-06-28", "2024-07-05", "2024-07-12", "2024-07-19", "2024-07-26", "2024-08-02", "2024-08-09", "2024-08-16", "2024-08-23", "2024-08-30", "2024-09-06", "2024-09-13", "2024-09-20", "2024-09-27", "2024-10-04", "2024-10-11", "2024-10-18", "2024-10-25", "2024-11-01", "2024-11-08", "2024-11-15", "2024-11-22", "2024-11-29", "2024-12-06", "2024-12-13", "2024-12-20", "2024-12-27", "2025-01-03", "2025-01-10", "2025-01-17", "2025-01-24", "2025-01-31", "2025-02-07", "2025-02-14", "2025-02-21", "2025-02-28", "2025-03-07", "2025-03-14", "2025-03-21", "2025-03-28", "2025-04-04", "2025-04-11", "2025-04-18", "2025-04-25", "2025-05-02", "2025-05-09", "2025-05-16", "2025-05-23", "2025-05-30", "2025-06-06", "2025-06-13", "2025-06-20", "2025-06-27", "2025-07-04", "2025-07-11", "2025-07-18", "2025-07-25", "2025-08-01", "2025-08-08", "2025-08-15", "2025-08-22", "2025-08-29", "2025-09-05", "2025-09-12", "2025-09-19", "2025-09-26", "2025-10-03", "2025-10-10", "2025-10-17", "2025-10-24", "2025-10-31", "2025-11-07", "2025-11-14", "2025-11-21", "2025-11-28", "2025-12-05", "2025-12-12", "2025-12-19", "2025-12-26", "2026-01-02", "2026-01-09", "2026-01-16", "2026-01-23", "2026-01-30", "2026-02-06", "2026-02-13", "2026-02-20", "2026-02-27", "2026-03-06", "2026-03-13", "2026-03-20", "2026-03-27", "2026-04-03", "2026-04-10", "2026-04-17", "2026-04-24", "2026-05-01", "2026-05-08", "2026-05-15", "2026-05-22", "2026-05-29", "2026-06-05", "2026-06-12", "2026-06-19", "2026-06-26", "2026-07-03", "2026-07-10", "2026-07-17", "2026-07-24", "2026-07-31", "2026-08-07"], "close": [153.968693, 153.182124, 153.807589, 152.466767, 157.14881, 160.047671, 155.727986, 155.3847, 156.586202, 154.087841, 153.220089, 160.591208, 162.069246, 163.842891, 169.297328, 173.531192, 173.794785, 175.280948, 178.147804, 182.644646, 185.118389, 187.505838, 202.952345, 202.72223, 205.972612, 205.665791, 208.571, 211.859735, 209.807872, 210.407773, 212.796472, 216.186884, 221.667407, 222.389795, 212.960214, 206.189023, 205.591848, 205.977122, 210.455933, 211.621386, 205.476266, 207.759014, 205.110256, 199.249037, 203.072373, 196.819525, 195.396663, 204.814653, 196.955036, 206.992502, 207.650697, 205.666434, 209.62528, 214.706929, 220.756512, 226.941604, 231.215529, 231.89606, 229.543365, 229.640584, 230.000293, 258.067368, 243.533154, 238.808319, 249.745436, 253.566136, 255.170247, 258.640959, 253.886958, 240.465196, 235.056438, 235.691039, 236.550192, 226.923774, 233.845813, 236.130379, 239.371729, 239.381492, 232.654715, 234.343731, 252.366417, 251.595132, 255.771391, 251.644307, 256.63406, 237.488702, 240.302178, 250.820851, 254.055858, 262.143374, 264.437288, 268.240872, 265.701882, 270.270103, 268.29969, 259.361235, 260.847687, 259.20373, 260.010942, 250.511432, 261.822248, 256.978974, 254.291548, 260.739402, 261.448174, 271.981309, 267.275853, 270.927996, 275.689228, 273.781652, 274.532822, 281.253815, 266.981588, 258.965814, 266.75426, 265.499016, 276.559004, 283.952097, 286.699797, 289.457381, 277.626456, 283.109506, 290.660813, 289.866983, 282.990432, 279.785344, 267.34206, 275.578045, 282.315676, 299.164716, 291.940864, 302.578184, 306.25957, 303.947541, 301.2487, 295.38287, 284.099364, 292.78358, 296.040162, 299.575594, 301.487715, 303.469549, 296.816961, 298.529902, 305.202408, 290.692198, 302.005581, 304.46, 307.81, 327.37, 342.31, 338.92, 368.98, 387.26, 374.36, 384.31], "ttmEps": [9.77, 9.77, 9.77, 9.77, 9.77, 9.77, 9.77, 9.77, 9.77, 9.52, 9.52, 9.52, 9.52, 9.52, 9.52, 9.52, 9.52, 9.52, 9.52, 9.52, 9.52, 9.52, 9.52, 13.13, 13.13, 13.13, 13.13, 13.13, 13.13, 13.13, 13.13, 13.13, 13.13, 13.13, 13.13, 13.71, 13.71, 13.71, 13.71, 13.71, 13.71, 13.71, 13.71, 13.71, 13.71, 13.71, 13.71, 13.71, 13.71, 16.16, 16.16, 16.16, 16.16, 16.16, 16.16, 16.16, 16.16, 16.16, 16.16, 16.16, 16.16, 19.63, 19.63, 19.63, 19.63, 19.63, 19.63, 19.63, 19.63, 19.63, 19.63, 19.63, 19.63, 19.63, 19.63, 21.77, 21.77, 21.77, 21.77, 21.77, 21.77, 21.77, 21.77, 21.77, 21.77, 21.77, 21.77, 18.99, 18.99, 18.99, 18.99, 18.99, 18.99, 18.99, 18.99, 18.99, 18.99, 18.99, 18.99, 18.99, 22.99, 22.99, 22.99, 22.99, 22.99, 22.99, 22.99, 22.99, 22.99, 22.99, 22.99, 22.99, 22.99, 25.71, 25.71, 25.71, 25.71, 25.71, 25.71, 25.71, 25.71, 25.71, 25.71, 25.71, 25.71, 25.71, 25.71, 27.62, 27.62, 27.62, 27.62, 27.62, 27.62, 27.62, 27.62, 27.62, 27.62, 27.62, 27.62, 33.42, 33.42, 33.42, 33.42, 33.42, 33.42, 33.42, 33.42, 33.42, 33.42, 33.42, 33.42, 33.42, 33.42, 36.95, 36.95, 36.95], "quarterlyEps": [0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 1.95, 1.95, 1.95, 1.95, 1.95, 1.95, 1.95, 1.95, 1.95, 1.95, 1.95, 1.95, 1.95, 1.95, 7.01, 7.01, 7.01, 7.01, 7.01, 7.01, 7.01, 7.01, 7.01, 7.01, 7.01, 7.01, 4.69, 4.69, 4.69, 4.69, 4.69, 4.69, 4.69, 4.69, 4.69, 4.69, 4.69, 4.69, 4.69, 4.69, 2.51, 2.51, 2.51, 2.51, 2.51, 2.51, 2.51, 2.51, 2.51, 2.51, 2.51, 2.51, 5.42, 5.42, 5.42, 5.42, 5.42, 5.42, 5.42, 5.42, 5.42, 5.42, 5.42, 5.42, 5.42, 5.42, 9.15, 9.15, 9.15, 9.15, 9.15, 9.15, 9.15, 9.15, 9.15, 9.15, 9.15, 9.15, 1.91, 1.91, 1.91, 1.91, 1.91, 1.91, 1.91, 1.91, 1.91, 1.91, 1.91, 1.91, 1.91, 6.51, 6.51, 6.51, 6.51, 6.51, 6.51, 6.51, 6.51, 6.51, 6.51, 6.51, 6.51, 6.51, 8.14, 8.14, 8.14, 8.14, 8.14, 8.14, 8.14, 8.14, 8.14, 8.14, 8.14, 8.14, 8.14, 8.14, 11.06, 11.06, 11.06, 11.06, 11.06, 11.06, 11.06, 11.06, 11.06, 11.06, 11.06, 11.06, 7.71, 7.71, 7.71, 7.71, 7.71, 7.71, 7.71, 7.71, 7.71, 7.71, 7.71, 7.71, 7.71, 7.71, 10.04, 10.04, 10.04], "priceIndex": [100.0, 99.48913705463485, 99.89536574165763, 99.02452507017124, 102.06543092497382, 103.94819094814297, 101.14263033979252, 100.9196720270919, 101.70002677102674, 100.07738456284744, 99.51379466473746, 104.30120881782116, 105.26116890529167, 106.41312062056667, 109.95568300368699, 112.7055043586036, 112.87670344775869, 113.84194058203767, 115.70391391190155, 118.62453492412253, 120.23118816758418, 121.78179495230242, 131.81403377893193, 131.6645780710758, 133.77564489684926, 133.57636997022507, 135.46325290947297, 137.59922934463046, 136.2665798559451, 136.65620516763107, 138.20762380570443, 140.40963769173516, 143.96914248015344, 144.43832097736907, 138.31397139936755, 133.91620009400222, 133.5283452721132, 133.77857406375463, 136.68748425369824, 137.4444257963533, 133.4532767645173, 134.93588206272557, 133.21555960730277, 129.40879935897098, 131.8919898865414, 127.83087338411063, 126.9067491532191, 133.02357057742898, 127.91888543211833, 134.43804579155582, 134.8655320468298, 133.57678758759096, 136.1479895136864, 139.4484325459592, 143.37753195060245, 147.39464210428807, 150.17048238501317, 150.61247548551964, 149.0844408220053, 149.14758287907267, 149.3812076458946, 167.61028685227586, 158.17056653198972, 155.10186801416833, 162.20533611985653, 164.6868146110716, 165.7286569289771, 167.98282427454262, 164.8951829447562, 156.17798093538403, 152.66508627179164, 153.0772486326165, 153.63525362912577, 147.3830618280302, 151.87880629732956, 153.36259235505753, 155.467793053228, 155.4741339526731, 151.10520877124029, 152.2021954164409, 163.90761789476255, 163.4066816427415, 166.1190895476394, 163.43861995373305, 166.679378125266, 154.2447996229987, 156.07210356718426, 162.9037995405988, 165.00488057010395, 170.25758216964275, 171.7474395915019, 174.2178015370956, 172.56877149694324, 175.53575193367394, 174.25600280961012, 168.45063106432943, 169.41605589910412, 168.3483342941672, 168.8726045105806, 162.70283725796128, 170.04901639322222, 166.9033937957764, 165.15795714392405, 169.34572666665423, 169.80606180764292, 176.64715059963524, 173.59103840674933, 175.96304204517733, 179.05537978425264, 177.81644220361085, 178.30431411144082, 182.6694826850287, 173.39991838470695, 168.19381197189225, 173.25227278509144, 172.43701354274663, 179.6202842353153, 184.42197012089983, 186.2065536920548, 187.99755675005954, 180.31357582544396, 183.87472185660496, 188.77916499557477, 188.26358615644025, 183.7973853554761, 181.71573619839717, 173.63403870681685, 178.98316835098416, 183.35914301747042, 194.30230274150603, 189.61053595486453, 196.5192911003018, 198.91028756086146, 197.40866476017953, 195.65581426348794, 191.84605925049974, 184.51761748734202, 190.1578654044949, 192.27295902290996, 194.56916088779167, 195.81105036723275, 197.0982172330319, 192.7774765224512, 193.89000204086943, 198.22367914755242, 188.79954900961587, 196.14739536692696, 197.74149800700067, 199.91726499880076, 212.62114630017678, 222.32441760092095, 220.12267130175616, 239.64612078638612, 251.5186642520892, 243.14033762694862, 249.60269033393692], "epsIndex": [100.0, 100.0, 100.0, 100.0, 100.0, 100.0, 100.0, 100.0, 100.0, 97.44114636642784, 97.44114636642784, 97.44114636642784, 97.44114636642784, 97.44114636642784, 97.44114636642784, 97.44114636642784, 97.44114636642784, 97.44114636642784, 97.44114636642784, 97.44114636642784, 97.44114636642784, 97.44114636642784, 97.44114636642784, 134.39099283520983, 134.39099283520983, 134.39099283520983, 134.39099283520983, 134.39099283520983, 134.39099283520983, 134.39099283520983, 134.39099283520983, 134.39099283520983, 134.39099283520983, 134.39099283520983, 134.39099283520983, 140.32753326509726, 140.32753326509726, 140.32753326509726, 140.32753326509726, 140.32753326509726, 140.32753326509726, 140.32753326509726, 140.32753326509726, 140.32753326509726, 140.32753326509726, 140.32753326509726, 140.32753326509726, 140.32753326509726, 140.32753326509726, 165.40429887410443, 165.40429887410443, 165.40429887410443, 165.40429887410443, 165.40429887410443, 165.40429887410443, 165.40429887410443, 165.40429887410443, 165.40429887410443, 165.40429887410443, 165.40429887410443, 165.40429887410443, 200.92118730808596, 200.92118730808596, 200.92118730808596, 200.92118730808596, 200.92118730808596, 200.92118730808596, 200.92118730808596, 200.92118730808596, 200.92118730808596, 200.92118730808596, 200.92118730808596, 200.92118730808596, 200.92118730808596, 200.92118730808596, 222.82497441146364, 222.82497441146364, 222.82497441146364, 222.82497441146364, 222.82497441146364, 222.82497441146364, 222.82497441146364, 222.82497441146364, 222.82497441146364, 222.82497441146364, 222.82497441146364, 222.82497441146364, 194.37052200614124, 194.37052200614124, 194.37052200614124, 194.37052200614124, 194.37052200614124, 194.37052200614124, 194.37052200614124, 194.37052200614124, 194.37052200614124, 194.37052200614124, 194.37052200614124, 194.37052200614124, 194.37052200614124, 235.3121801432958, 235.3121801432958, 235.3121801432958, 235.3121801432958, 235.3121801432958, 235.3121801432958, 235.3121801432958, 235.3121801432958, 235.3121801432958, 235.3121801432958, 235.3121801432958, 235.3121801432958, 235.3121801432958, 263.15250767656096, 263.15250767656096, 263.15250767656096, 263.15250767656096, 263.15250767656096, 263.15250767656096, 263.15250767656096, 263.15250767656096, 263.15250767656096, 263.15250767656096, 263.15250767656096, 263.15250767656096, 263.15250767656096, 263.15250767656096, 282.7021494370522, 282.7021494370522, 282.7021494370522, 282.7021494370522, 282.7021494370522, 282.7021494370522, 282.7021494370522, 282.7021494370522, 282.7021494370522, 282.7021494370522, 282.7021494370522, 282.7021494370522, 342.06755373592637, 342.06755373592637, 342.06755373592637, 342.06755373592637, 342.06755373592637, 342.06755373592637, 342.06755373592637, 342.06755373592637, 342.06755373592637, 342.06755373592637, 342.06755373592637, 342.06755373592637, 342.06755373592637, 342.06755373592637, 378.19856704196525, 378.19856704196525, 378.19856704196525], "valuationGap": [0.0, 0.5108629453651474, 0.10463425834237228, 0.9754749298287635, -2.0654309249738247, -3.9481909481429653, -1.1426303397925182, -0.9196720270919059, -1.7000267710267423, -2.6362381964195976, -2.072648298309616, -6.860062451393318, -7.8200225388638245, -8.971974254138829, -12.514536637259141, -15.26435799217576, -15.435557081330842, -16.40079421560982, -18.262767545473707, -21.183388557694684, -22.790041801156335, -24.340648585874575, -34.372887412504085, 2.7264147641340344, 0.6153479383605713, 0.8146228649847558, -1.0722600742631414, -3.2082365094206295, -1.8755870207352814, -2.2652123324212425, -3.8166309704946, -6.018644856525327, -9.578149644943608, -10.047328142159245, -3.9229785641577166, 6.411333171095038, 6.799187992984059, 6.548959201342626, 3.6400490113990145, 2.883107468743958, 6.874256500579946, 5.3916512023716905, 7.111973657794493, 10.918733906126278, 8.435543378555849, 12.496659880986627, 13.420784111878163, 7.303962687668275, 12.408647832978929, 30.966253082548604, 30.538766827274628, 31.82751128651347, 29.256309360418015, 25.95586632814522, 22.02676692350198, 18.00965676981636, 15.233816489091254, 14.791823388584788, 16.319858052099136, 16.256715995031755, 16.023091228209836, 33.3109004558101, 42.75062077609624, 45.81931929391763, 38.715851188229436, 36.23437269701435, 35.19253037910886, 32.93836303354334, 36.026004363329776, 44.743206372701934, 48.256101036294325, 47.843938675469474, 47.28593367896019, 53.538125480055754, 49.0423810107564, 69.46238205640611, 67.35718135823564, 67.35084045879054, 71.71976564022336, 70.62277899502274, 58.91735651670109, 59.418292768722154, 56.70588486382425, 59.38635445773059, 56.145596286197645, 68.58017478846494, 66.75287084427939, 31.466722465542432, 29.365641436037293, 24.112939836498498, 22.623082414639356, 20.152720469045647, 21.801750509198, 18.834770072467308, 20.11451919653112, 25.919890941811815, 24.95446610703712, 26.022187711974055, 25.497917495560642, 31.667684748179965, 65.26316375007357, 68.4087863475194, 70.15422299937174, 65.96645347664156, 65.50611833565287, 58.66502954366055, 61.72114173654646, 59.34913809811846, 56.256800359043154, 57.49573793968494, 57.007866031854974, 52.642697458267094, 61.91226175858884, 94.95869570466871, 89.90023489146952, 90.71549413381433, 83.53222344124566, 78.73053755566113, 76.94595398450616, 75.15495092650141, 82.838931851117, 79.277785819956, 74.37334268098618, 74.8889215201207, 79.35512232108485, 81.43677147816379, 89.5184689697441, 103.71898108606803, 99.34300641958177, 88.39984669554616, 93.09161348218765, 86.18285833675037, 83.79186187619072, 85.29348467687265, 87.04633517356424, 90.85609018655245, 98.18453194971016, 92.54428403255727, 90.42919041414223, 147.4983928481347, 146.25650336869361, 144.96933650289446, 149.29007721347517, 148.17755169505693, 143.84387458837395, 153.2680047263105, 145.9201583689994, 144.3260557289257, 142.1502887371256, 129.4464074357496, 119.74313613500541, 121.94488243417021, 102.42143294954025, 126.67990278987605, 135.05822941501663, 128.59587670802833], "quarterMarkers": [100.0, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 97.44114636642784, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 134.39099283520983, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 140.32753326509726, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 165.40429887410443, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 200.92118730808596, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 222.82497441146364, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 194.37052200614124, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 235.3121801432958, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 263.15250767656096, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 282.7021494370522, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 342.06755373592637, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 378.19856704196525, null, null], "quarterLabels": ["2023-07-20", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "2023-10-18", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "2024-01-19", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "2024-04-17", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "2024-07-19", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "2024-10-17", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "2025-01-22", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "2025-04-16", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "2025-07-17", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "2025-10-16", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "2026-01-21", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "2026-04-16", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "2026-07-17", "", ""], "quarterPeriods": ["2023-06-30", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "2023-09-30", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "2023-12-31", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "2024-03-31", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "2024-06-30", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "2024-09-30", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "2024-12-31", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "2025-03-31", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "2025-06-30", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "2025-09-30", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "2025-12-31", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "2026-03-31", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "", "2026-06-30", "", ""], "surprisePct": [-97.16981132075472, -97.16981132075472, -97.16981132075472, -97.16981132075472, -97.16981132075472, -97.16981132075472, -97.16981132075472, -97.16981132075472, -97.16981132075472, -36.48208469055375, -36.48208469055375, -36.48208469055375, -36.48208469055375, -36.48208469055375, -36.48208469055375, -36.48208469055375, -36.48208469055375, -36.48208469055375, -36.48208469055375, -36.48208469055375, -36.48208469055375, -36.48208469055375, -36.48208469055375, 37.721021611001966, 37.721021611001966, 37.721021611001966, 37.721021611001966, 37.721021611001966, 37.721021611001966, 37.721021611001966, 37.721021611001966, 37.721021611001966, 37.721021611001966, 37.721021611001966, 37.721021611001966, -3.4979423868312742, -3.4979423868312742, -3.4979423868312742, -3.4979423868312742, -3.4979423868312742, -3.4979423868312742, -3.4979423868312742, -3.4979423868312742, -3.4979423868312742, -3.4979423868312742, -3.4979423868312742, -3.4979423868312742, -3.4979423868312742, -3.4979423868312742, 25.49999999999999, 25.49999999999999, 25.49999999999999, 25.49999999999999, 25.49999999999999, 25.49999999999999, 25.49999999999999, 25.49999999999999, 25.49999999999999, 25.49999999999999, 25.49999999999999, 25.49999999999999, 50.55555555555556, 50.55555555555556, 50.55555555555556, 50.55555555555556, 50.55555555555556, 50.55555555555556, 50.55555555555556, 50.55555555555556, 50.55555555555556, 50.55555555555556, 50.55555555555556, 50.55555555555556, 50.55555555555556, 50.55555555555556, 38.63636363636365, 38.63636363636365, 38.63636363636365, 38.63636363636365, 38.63636363636365, 38.63636363636365, 38.63636363636365, 38.63636363636365, 38.63636363636365, 38.63636363636365, 38.63636363636365, 38.63636363636365, 148.05194805194805, 148.05194805194805, 148.05194805194805, 148.05194805194805, 148.05194805194805, 148.05194805194805, 148.05194805194805, 148.05194805194805, 148.05194805194805, 148.05194805194805, 148.05194805194805, 148.05194805194805, 148.05194805194805, 80.33240997229917, 80.33240997229917, 80.33240997229917, 80.33240997229917, 80.33240997229917, 80.33240997229917, 80.33240997229917, 80.33240997229917, 80.33240997229917, 80.33240997229917, 80.33240997229917, 80.33240997229917, 80.33240997229917, 27.586206896551737, 27.586206896551737, 27.586206896551737, 27.586206896551737, 27.586206896551737, 27.586206896551737, 27.586206896551737, 27.586206896551737, 27.586206896551737, 27.586206896551737, 27.586206896551737, 27.586206896551737, 27.586206896551737, 27.586206896551737, 23.991031390134534, 23.991031390134534, 23.991031390134534, 23.991031390134534, 23.991031390134534, 23.991031390134534, 23.991031390134534, 23.991031390134534, 23.991031390134534, 23.991031390134534, 23.991031390134534, 23.991031390134534, 8.898305084745761, 8.898305084745761, 8.898305084745761, 8.898305084745761, 8.898305084745761, 8.898305084745761, 8.898305084745761, 8.898305084745761, 8.898305084745761, 8.898305084745761, 8.898305084745761, 8.898305084745761, 8.898305084745761, 8.898305084745761, 89.07721280602637, 89.07721280602637, 89.07721280602637], "availabilitySources": ["reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported", "reported"], "earningsAgeDays": [29, 36, 43, 50, 57, 64, 71, 78, 85, 2, 9, 16, 23, 30, 37, 44, 51, 58, 65, 72, 79, 86, 93, 7, 14, 21, 28, 35, 42, 49, 56, 63, 70, 77, 84, 2, 9, 16, 23, 30, 37, 44, 51, 58, 65, 72, 79, 86, 93, 7, 14, 21, 28, 35, 42, 49, 56, 63, 70, 77, 84, 1, 8, 15, 22, 29, 36, 43, 50, 57, 64, 71, 78, 85, 92, 2, 9, 16, 23, 30, 37, 44, 51, 58, 65, 72, 79, 2, 9, 16, 23, 30, 37, 44, 51, 58, 65, 72, 79, 86, 1, 8, 15, 22, 29, 36, 43, 50, 57, 64, 71, 78, 85, 1, 8, 15, 22, 29, 36, 43, 50, 57, 64, 71, 78, 85, 92, 2, 9, 16, 23, 30, 37, 44, 51, 58, 65, 72, 79, 1, 8, 15, 22, 29, 36, 43, 50, 57, 64, 71, 78, 85, 92, 7, 14, 21], "startIndex": 0, "latestIndex": 155, "metrics": {"startDate": "2023-08-18", "latestDate": "2026-08-07", "startClose": 153.968693, "latestClose": 384.31, "startTtmEps": 9.77, "latestTtmEps": 36.95, "priceChangePct": 149.60269033393692, "epsChangePct": 278.19856704196525, "earningsGapPct": 128.59587670802833, "startMultiple": 15.759333981576255, "latestMultiple": 10.400811907983762, "multipleChangePct": -34.002211513868374, "latestQuarter": "2026-07-17", "tone": "positive", "read": "Earnings power is leading market price; the spread is closing and has persisted through 9 updates.", "horizons": [{"weeks": 52, "label": "1 year", "marketMovePct": 47.3923760859128, "earningsMovePct": 60.7220530665507, "spread": 13.329676980637899, "lead": "earnings"}, {"weeks": 104, "label": "2 years", "marketMovePct": 86.86082727529568, "earningsMovePct": 128.6509900990099, "spread": 41.790162823714226, "lead": "earnings"}, {"weeks": 155, "label": "3 years", "marketMovePct": 149.60269033393692, "earningsMovePct": 278.19856704196525, "spread": 128.59587670802833, "lead": "earnings"}]}, "state": {"key": "unrecognised_improvement", "label": "Earnings ahead", "tone": "positive", "lead": "earnings", "direction": "closing", "directionLabel": "Closing", "persistenceQuarters": 9, "persistenceLabel": "9 quarters", "summary": "Earnings power is leading market price; the spread is closing and has persisted through 9 updates.", "marketChangePct": 149.60269033393692, "earningsChangePct": 278.19856704196525, "recentMarketMovePoints": 56.825213811485725, "recentEarningsMovePoints": 36.13101330603888}, "pressure": {"score": 78, "band": "high", "label": "High \u2014 earnings-led", "direction": "earnings", "explanation": "The strength and persistence of the unresolved earnings-price relationship."}, "confidence": {"score": 98, "band": "high", "label": "High confidence", "anchorStability": 100, "availabilityCoverage": 100, "dataCompleteness": 100, "flags": [], "baseSensitive": false, "exceptionalMove": false, "exactReportDates": 13, "estimatedReportDates": 0}, "quality": {"available": true, "score": 90, "band": "high", "label": "Broad support", "tone": "positive", "summary": "4 of 5 available business-quality checks are supportive.", "checks": [{"label": "Cash conversion", "state": "supportive", "value": 1.65133084, "explanation": "Whether reported profit is supported by free cash generation."}, {"label": "Revenue direction", "state": "mixed", "value": 0.02374433, "explanation": "Whether top-line progress supports the earnings direction."}, {"label": "Free-cash-flow direction", "state": "supportive", "value": 0.42333645, "explanation": "Whether free cash flow is improving with earnings."}, {"label": "Accrual pressure", "state": "supportive", "value": -0.01896504, "explanation": "Lower accrual pressure is a cleaner confirmation of earnings."}, {"label": "Share count", "state": "supportive", "value": -10.255184102343161, "explanation": "A stable or falling share count makes per-share progress more durable."}], "counts": {"supportive": 4, "mixed": 1, "caution": 0}, "awaitingRefresh": false, "alignedThrough": "2026-08-09", "requiredThrough": "2026-07-17", "alignedPeriod": "2026-06-30", "requiredPeriod": "2026-06-30"}, "qualitySeries": {"available": true, "dates": ["2023-08-18", "2023-08-25", "2023-09-01", "2023-09-08", "2023-09-15", "2023-09-22", "2023-09-29", "2023-10-06", "2023-10-13", "2023-10-20", "2023-10-27", "2023-11-03", "2023-11-10", "2023-11-17", "2023-11-24", "2023-12-01", "2023-12-08", "2023-12-15", "2023-12-22", "2023-12-29", "2024-01-05", "2024-01-12", "2024-01-19", "2024-01-26", "2024-02-02", "2024-02-09", "2024-02-16", "2024-02-23", "2024-03-01", "2024-03-08", "2024-03-15", "2024-03-22", "2024-03-29", "2024-04-05", "2024-04-12", "2024-04-19", "2024-04-26", "2024-05-03", "2024-05-10", "2024-05-17", "2024-05-24", "2024-05-31", "2024-06-07", "2024-06-14", "2024-06-21", "2024-06-28", "2024-07-05", "2024-07-12", "2024-07-19", "2024-07-26", "2024-08-02", "2024-08-09", "2024-08-16", "2024-08-23", "2024-08-30", "2024-09-06", "2024-09-13", "2024-09-20", "2024-09-27", "2024-10-04", "2024-10-11", "2024-10-18", "2024-10-25", "2024-11-01", "2024-11-08", "2024-11-15", "2024-11-22", "2024-11-29", "2024-12-06", "2024-12-13", "2024-12-20", "2024-12-27", "2025-01-03", "2025-01-10", "2025-01-17", "2025-01-24", "2025-01-31", "2025-02-07", "2025-02-14", "2025-02-21", "2025-02-28", "2025-03-07", "2025-03-14", "2025-03-21", "2025-03-28", "2025-04-04", "2025-04-11", "2025-04-18", "2025-04-25", "2025-05-02", "2025-05-09", "2025-05-16", "2025-05-23", "2025-05-30", "2025-06-06", "2025-06-13", "2025-06-20", "2025-06-27", "2025-07-04", "2025-07-11", "2025-07-18", "2025-07-25", "2025-08-01", "2025-08-08", "2025-08-15", "2025-08-22", "2025-08-29", "2025-09-05", "2025-09-12", "2025-09-19", "2025-09-26", "2025-10-03", "2025-10-10", "2025-10-17", "2025-10-24", "2025-10-31", "2025-11-07", "2025-11-14", "2025-11-21", "2025-11-28", "2025-12-05", "2025-12-12", "2025-12-19", "2025-12-26", "2026-01-02", "2026-01-09", "2026-01-16", "2026-01-23", "2026-01-30", "2026-02-06", "2026-02-13", "2026-02-20", "2026-02-27", "2026-03-06", "2026-03-13", "2026-03-20", "2026-03-27", "2026-04-03", "2026-04-10", "2026-04-17", "2026-04-24", "2026-05-01", "2026-05-08", "2026-05-15", "2026-05-22", "2026-05-29", "2026-06-05", "2026-06-12", "2026-06-19", "2026-06-26", "2026-07-03", "2026-07-10", "2026-07-17", "2026-07-24", "2026-07-31", "2026-08-07"], "startDate": "2023-08-18", "earnings": [100.0, 100.0, 100.0, 100.0, 100.0, 100.0, 100.0, 100.0, 100.0, 97.44114636642784, 97.44114636642784, 97.44114636642784, 97.44114636642784, 97.44114636642784, 97.44114636642784, 97.44114636642784, 97.44114636642784, 97.44114636642784, 97.44114636642784, 97.44114636642784, 97.44114636642784, 97.44114636642784, 97.44114636642784, 134.39099283520983, 134.39099283520983, 134.39099283520983, 134.39099283520983, 134.39099283520983, 134.39099283520983, 134.39099283520983, 134.39099283520983, 134.39099283520983, 134.39099283520983, 134.39099283520983, 134.39099283520983, 140.32753326509726, 140.32753326509726, 140.32753326509726, 140.32753326509726, 140.32753326509726, 140.32753326509726, 140.32753326509726, 140.32753326509726, 140.32753326509726, 140.32753326509726, 140.32753326509726, 140.32753326509726, 140.32753326509726, 140.32753326509726, 165.40429887410443, 165.40429887410443, 165.40429887410443, 165.40429887410443, 165.40429887410443, 165.40429887410443, 165.40429887410443, 165.40429887410443, 165.40429887410443, 165.40429887410443, 165.40429887410443, 165.40429887410443, 200.92118730808596, 200.92118730808596, 200.92118730808596, 200.92118730808596, 200.92118730808596, 200.92118730808596, 200.92118730808596, 200.92118730808596, 200.92118730808596, 200.92118730808596, 200.92118730808596, 200.92118730808596, 200.92118730808596, 200.92118730808596, 222.82497441146364, 222.82497441146364, 222.82497441146364, 222.82497441146364, 222.82497441146364, 222.82497441146364, 222.82497441146364, 222.82497441146364, 222.82497441146364, 222.82497441146364, 222.82497441146364, 222.82497441146364, 194.37052200614124, 194.37052200614124, 194.37052200614124, 194.37052200614124, 194.37052200614124, 194.37052200614124, 194.37052200614124, 194.37052200614124, 194.37052200614124, 194.37052200614124, 194.37052200614124, 194.37052200614124, 194.37052200614124, 235.3121801432958, 235.3121801432958, 235.3121801432958, 235.3121801432958, 235.3121801432958, 235.3121801432958, 235.3121801432958, 235.3121801432958, 235.3121801432958, 235.3121801432958, 235.3121801432958, 235.3121801432958, 235.3121801432958, 263.15250767656096, 263.15250767656096, 263.15250767656096, 263.15250767656096, 263.15250767656096, 263.15250767656096, 263.15250767656096, 263.15250767656096, 263.15250767656096, 263.15250767656096, 263.15250767656096, 263.15250767656096, 263.15250767656096, 263.15250767656096, 282.7021494370522, 282.7021494370522, 282.7021494370522, 282.7021494370522, 282.7021494370522, 282.7021494370522, 282.7021494370522, 282.7021494370522, 282.7021494370522, 282.7021494370522, 282.7021494370522, 282.7021494370522, 342.06755373592637, 342.06755373592637, 342.06755373592637, 342.06755373592637, 342.06755373592637, 342.06755373592637, 342.06755373592637, 342.06755373592637, 342.06755373592637, 342.06755373592637, 342.06755373592637, 342.06755373592637, 342.06755373592637, 342.06755373592637, 378.19856704196525, 378.19856704196525, 378.19856704196525], "revenue": [100.0, 100.0, 100.0, 100.0, 100.0, 100.0, 100.0, 100.0, 100.0, 103.43795168284122, 103.43795168284122, 103.43795168284122, 103.43795168284122, 103.43795168284122, 103.43795168284122, 103.43795168284122, 103.43795168284122, 103.43795168284122, 103.43795168284122, 103.43795168284122, 103.43795168284122, 103.43795168284122, 103.43795168284122, 106.7855667974396, 106.7855667974396, 106.7855667974396, 106.7855667974396, 106.7855667974396, 106.7855667974396, 106.7855667974396, 106.7855667974396, 106.7855667974396, 106.7855667974396, 106.7855667974396, 106.7855667974396, 110.71907908321288, 110.71907908321288, 110.71907908321288, 110.71907908321288, 110.71907908321288, 110.71907908321288, 110.71907908321288, 110.71907908321288, 110.71907908321288, 110.71907908321288, 110.71907908321288, 110.71907908321288, 110.71907908321288, 110.71907908321288, 113.77761717943424, 113.77761717943424, 113.77761717943424, 113.77761717943424, 113.77761717943424, 113.77761717943424, 113.77761717943424, 113.77761717943424, 113.77761717943424, 113.77761717943424, 113.77761717943424, 113.77761717943424, 117.05296303943837, 117.05296303943837, 117.05296303943837, 117.05296303943837, 117.05296303943837, 117.05296303943837, 117.05296303943837, 117.05296303943837, 117.05296303943837, 117.05296303943837, 117.05296303943837, 117.05296303943837, 117.05296303943837, 117.05296303943837, 119.83274829651043, 119.83274829651043, 119.83274829651043, 119.83274829651043, 119.83274829651043, 119.83274829651043, 119.83274829651043, 119.83274829651043, 119.83274829651043, 119.83274829651043, 119.83274829651043, 119.83274829651043, 121.33491637414826, 121.33491637414826, 121.33491637414826, 121.33491637414826, 121.33491637414826, 121.33491637414826, 121.33491637414826, 121.33491637414826, 121.33491637414826, 121.33491637414826, 121.33491637414826, 121.33491637414826, 121.33491637414826, 123.48492669832748, 123.48492669832748, 123.48492669832748, 123.48492669832748, 123.48492669832748, 123.48492669832748, 123.48492669832748, 123.48492669832748, 123.48492669832748, 123.48492669832748, 123.48492669832748, 123.48492669832748, 123.48492669832748, 124.9457980590543, 124.9457980590543, 124.9457980590543, 124.9457980590543, 124.9457980590543, 124.9457980590543, 124.9457980590543, 124.9457980590543, 124.9457980590543, 124.9457980590543, 124.9457980590543, 124.9457980590543, 124.9457980590543, 124.9457980590543, 126.02725583316126, 126.02725583316126, 126.02725583316126, 126.02725583316126, 126.02725583316126, 126.02725583316126, 126.02725583316126, 126.02725583316126, 126.02725583316126, 126.02725583316126, 126.02725583316126, 126.02725583316126, 126.32149494115217, 126.32149494115217, 126.32149494115217, 126.32149494115217, 126.32149494115217, 126.32149494115217, 126.32149494115217, 126.32149494115217, 126.32149494115217, 126.32149494115217, 126.32149494115217, 126.32149494115217, 126.32149494115217, 126.32149494115217, 126.41699359900889, 126.41699359900889, 126.41699359900889], "cashGeneration": [100.0, 100.0, 100.0, 100.0, 100.0, 100.0, 100.0, 100.0, 100.0, 108.34199198456287, 108.34199198456287, 108.34199198456287, 108.34199198456287, 108.34199198456287, 108.34199198456287, 108.34199198456287, 108.34199198456287, 108.34199198456287, 108.34199198456287, 108.34199198456287, 108.34199198456287, 108.34199198456287, 108.34199198456287, 114.45747365296126, 114.45747365296126, 114.45747365296126, 114.45747365296126, 114.45747365296126, 114.45747365296126, 114.45747365296126, 114.45747365296126, 114.45747365296126, 114.45747365296126, 114.45747365296126, 114.45747365296126, 121.0776309930236, 121.0776309930236, 121.0776309930236, 121.0776309930236, 121.0776309930236, 121.0776309930236, 121.0776309930236, 121.0776309930236, 121.0776309930236, 121.0776309930236, 121.0776309930236, 121.0776309930236, 121.0776309930236, 121.0776309930236, 122.97758646281727, 122.97758646281727, 122.97758646281727, 122.97758646281727, 122.97758646281727, 122.97758646281727, 122.97758646281727, 122.97758646281727, 122.97758646281727, 122.97758646281727, 122.97758646281727, 122.97758646281727, 135.28276681015288, 135.28276681015288, 135.28276681015288, 135.28276681015288, 135.28276681015288, 135.28276681015288, 135.28276681015288, 135.28276681015288, 135.28276681015288, 135.28276681015288, 135.28276681015288, 135.28276681015288, 135.28276681015288, 135.28276681015288, 134.68903072584237, 134.68903072584237, 134.68903072584237, 134.68903072584237, 134.68903072584237, 134.68903072584237, 134.68903072584237, 134.68903072584237, 134.68903072584237, 134.68903072584237, 134.68903072584237, 134.68903072584237, 133.23437731928158, 133.23437731928158, 133.23437731928158, 133.23437731928158, 133.23437731928158, 133.23437731928158, 133.23437731928158, 133.23437731928158, 133.23437731928158, 133.23437731928158, 133.23437731928158, 133.23437731928158, 133.23437731928158, 142.98649250408192, 142.98649250408192, 142.98649250408192, 142.98649250408192, 142.98649250408192, 142.98649250408192, 142.98649250408192, 142.98649250408192, 142.98649250408192, 142.98649250408192, 142.98649250408192, 142.98649250408192, 142.98649250408192, 148.21137004601454, 148.21137004601454, 148.21137004601454, 148.21137004601454, 148.21137004601454, 148.21137004601454, 148.21137004601454, 148.21137004601454, 148.21137004601454, 148.21137004601454, 148.21137004601454, 148.21137004601454, 148.21137004601454, 148.21137004601454, 197.28365741427936, 197.28365741427936, 197.28365741427936, 197.28365741427936, 197.28365741427936, 197.28365741427936, 197.28365741427936, 197.28365741427936, 197.28365741427936, 197.28365741427936, 197.28365741427936, 197.28365741427936, 209.72242838058483, 209.72242838058483, 209.72242838058483, 209.72242838058483, 209.72242838058483, 209.72242838058483, 209.72242838058483, 209.72242838058483, 209.72242838058483, 209.72242838058483, 209.72242838058483, 209.72242838058483, 209.72242838058483, 209.72242838058483, 203.51788629953984, 203.51788629953984, 203.51788629953984], "revenueAvailable": true, "cashGenerationAvailable": true, "observationCount": 12, "displayedObservationCount": 12, "coverageWeeks": 143, "exactReportDates": 12, "estimatedReportDates": 0, "source": "financial-statements"}, "valuationBridge": {"available": true, "earningsContribution": 278.19856704196525, "valuationContribution": -128.59587670802833, "marketMove": 149.60269033393692, "items": [{"key": "earnings", "label": "Earnings contribution", "value": 278.19856704196525}, {"key": "valuation", "label": "Relative valuation contribution", "value": -128.59587670802833}, {"key": "market", "label": "Total market move", "value": 149.60269033393692}]}, "acceptance": {"available": true, "events": [{"date": "2023-10-20", "periodEnd": "2023-09-30", "earningsChangePct": -2.5588536335721557, "surprisePct": -36.48208469055375, "immediateReturnPct": -1.5955179754599258, "forward4WeekPct": 4.634309349938781, "forward13WeekPct": 29.610618565229665, "toDateReturnPct": 145.4303093704259, "weeksSince": 146, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -2.6362381964195976, "key": "resisted_deterioration", "status": "Price resisted deterioration", "tone": "caution"}, {"date": "2024-01-26", "periodEnd": "2023-12-31", "earningsChangePct": 37.92016806722691, "surprisePct": 37.721021611001966, "immediateReturnPct": -0.11338376011373885, "forward4WeekPct": 4.388907159461497, "forward13WeekPct": 1.300553092894785, "toDateReturnPct": 89.35972383073474, "weeksSince": 132, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 2.7264147641340344, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive four-week response", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2024-04-19", "periodEnd": "2024-03-31", "earningsChangePct": 4.417364813404423, "surprisePct": -3.4979423868312742, "immediateReturnPct": -3.1795568161854026, "forward4WeekPct": -0.6286751759180698, "forward13WeekPct": -7.51557189926565, "toDateReturnPct": 80.46093811682589, "weeksSince": 120, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 6.411333171095038, "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "status": "Non-positive four-week response", "tone": "opportunity"}, {"date": "2024-07-26", "periodEnd": "2024-06-30", "earningsChangePct": 17.87016776075856, "surprisePct": 25.49999999999999, "immediateReturnPct": 5.096323609618181, "forward4WeekPct": 9.013170396922465, "forward13WeekPct": 23.64911248067807, "toDateReturnPct": 95.12575448946632, "weeksSince": 106, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 30.966253082548604, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive four-week response", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2024-10-18", "periodEnd": "2024-09-30", "earningsChangePct": 21.472772277227726, "surprisePct": 50.55555555555556, "immediateReturnPct": 12.203060541318521, "forward4WeekPct": 10.246005643131939, "forward13WeekPct": 1.671963087455719, "toDateReturnPct": 67.09109148830518, "weeksSince": 94, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 33.3109004558101, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive four-week response", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2025-01-24", "periodEnd": "2024-12-31", "earningsChangePct": 10.901681100356608, "surprisePct": 38.63636363636365, "immediateReturnPct": 0.9769539897641843, "forward4WeekPct": 0.21292577087963505, "forward13WeekPct": 8.642466050910214, "toDateReturnPct": 64.34333164648109, "weeksSince": 80, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 69.46238205640611, "key": "mixed", "status": "Mixed response", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2025-04-18", "periodEnd": "2025-03-31", "earningsChangePct": -12.769866789159401, "surprisePct": 148.05194805194805, "immediateReturnPct": 4.377269106566328, "forward4WeekPct": 11.626483884802763, "forward13WeekPct": 8.9554202875348, "toDateReturnPct": 59.92780556487507, "weeksSince": 68, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 31.466722465542432, "key": "resisted_deterioration", "status": "Price resisted deterioration", "tone": "caution"}, {"date": "2025-07-18", "periodEnd": "2025-06-30", "earningsChangePct": 21.06371774618221, "surprisePct": 80.33240997229917, "immediateReturnPct": 4.515089754466772, "forward4WeekPct": 4.365765631007212, "forward13WeekPct": 3.374848777360384, "toDateReturnPct": 53.41016453093446, "weeksSince": 55, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 65.26316375007357, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive four-week response", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2025-10-17", "periodEnd": "2025-09-30", "earningsChangePct": 11.831230969986972, "surprisePct": 27.586206896551737, "immediateReturnPct": -3.002369586624809, "forward4WeekPct": 6.356434212234885, "forward13WeekPct": 0.1350175503488371, "toDateReturnPct": 43.94625594930539, "weeksSince": 42, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 94.95869570466871, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive four-week response", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2026-01-23", "periodEnd": "2025-12-31", "earningsChangePct": 7.429015947102302, "surprisePct": 23.991031390134534, "immediateReturnPct": 3.080691829785387, "forward4WeekPct": 13.180164767190018, "forward13WeekPct": 12.77227197246853, "toDateReturnPct": 43.75216529714778, "weeksSince": 28, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 103.71898108606803, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive four-week response", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2026-04-17", "periodEnd": "2026-03-31", "earningsChangePct": 20.999275887038383, "surprisePct": 8.898305084745761, "immediateReturnPct": 1.1942406652243331, "forward4WeekPct": 0.8410142675168375, "forward13WeekPct": 24.638494151344247, "toDateReturnPct": 29.816845594078558, "weeksSince": 16, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 147.4983928481347, "key": "mixed", "status": "Mixed response", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2026-07-24", "periodEnd": "2026-06-30", "earningsChangePct": 10.562537402752836, "surprisePct": 89.07721280602637, "immediateReturnPct": 4.954198059515402, "forward4WeekPct": null, "forward13WeekPct": null, "toDateReturnPct": 4.15469673153015, "weeksSince": 2, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 126.67990278987605, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive initial response", "tone": "positive"}], "latestEvent": {"date": "2026-07-24", "periodEnd": "2026-06-30", "earningsChangePct": 10.562537402752836, "surprisePct": 89.07721280602637, "immediateReturnPct": 4.954198059515402, "forward4WeekPct": null, "forward13WeekPct": null, "toDateReturnPct": 4.15469673153015, "weeksSince": 2, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 126.67990278987605, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive initial response", "tone": "positive"}, "freshImprovementAwaitingConfirmation": false, "improvementConfirmationReversed": false, "summary": "Across completed four-week windows, 1 improving update had a non-positive price response; 6 had a meaningful positive price response."}, "professional": {"peerContext": {"available": true, "cohort": "Insurance - Property & Casualty", "population": 29, "spreadPercentile": 42.9, "qualityPercentile": 32.1, "rarityPercentile": 42.9, "currentOneYearSpread": 10.880593999999999, "lead": "earnings", "relatedSignals": [{"tickerId": 8241, "symbol": "SKWD", "name": "Skyward Specialty Insurance Group, Inc. Common Stock", "spread": 11.694215000000002, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 100}, {"tickerId": 2445, "symbol": "L", "name": "Loews Corp", "spread": 18.976836000000002, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 75}, {"tickerId": 3129, "symbol": "PGR", "name": "Progressive Corp", "spread": 19.070321, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 75}, {"tickerId": 7700, "symbol": "PLMR", "name": "Palomar Holdings Inc", "spread": 22.322716, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 100}, {"tickerId": 3391, "symbol": "RLI", "name": "RLI Corp", "spread": 30.861813000000005, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 75}, {"tickerId": 771, "symbol": "CNA", "name": "CNA Financial Corporation", "spread": 33.679355, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 87.5}, {"tickerId": 2400, "symbol": "KNSL", "name": "Kinsale Capital Group Inc", "spread": 41.959921, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 100}, {"tickerId": 268, "symbol": "ASIC", "name": "Ategrity Specialty Insurance Company Holdings", "spread": 46.865667, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 100}]}, "historicalOutcomes": {"available": false, "sampleSize": 0, "historyWeeks": 156, "horizons": []}, "transitions": [{"date": "2023-08-18", "key": "balanced", "label": "Broadly aligned", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2024-01-26", "key": "confirmed_compounding", "label": "Confirmed compounding", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2024-07-26", "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "label": "Earnings ahead", "tone": "positive"}], "dataIntegrity": {"asOf": "2026-08-07", "exactReportDates": 13, "estimatedReportDates": 0, "coverage": 100}}, "alerts": [{"key": "persistent_earnings_lead", "label": "Persistent earnings lead", "tone": "positive", "explanation": "Earnings power has led market price across several updates."}, {"key": "repricing_started", "label": "Repricing may be starting", "tone": "positive", "explanation": "The longstanding earnings lead is beginning to close through price confirmation."}, {"key": "quality_confirmed", "label": "Business quality supportive", "tone": "positive", "explanation": "Cash generation and operating evidence are broadly supportive."}]}, "disclaimer": "Earnings intelligence is descriptive market research. It is not a forecast, recommendation or trading instruction."}