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"status": "Positive four-week response", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2024-08-02", "periodEnd": "2024-06-30", "earningsChangePct": 5.212355212355213, "surprisePct": 7.662082514734786, "immediateReturnPct": -6.891416117263594, "forward4WeekPct": 0.06948152189711898, "forward13WeekPct": -2.496170204046022, "toDateReturnPct": 15.193049460990494, "weeksSince": 105, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -29.360614560763025, "key": "mixed", "status": "Mixed response", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2024-11-01", "periodEnd": "2024-09-30", "earningsChangePct": 2.5688073394495303, "surprisePct": 14.794007490636703, "immediateReturnPct": 2.2192654206542928, "forward4WeekPct": 8.961750396110757, "forward13WeekPct": 8.704135315880857, "toDateReturnPct": 20.763963037236067, "weeksSince": 92, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -33.38931486203924, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive four-week response", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2025-02-07", "periodEnd": "2024-12-31", "earningsChangePct": 1.1627906976744207, "surprisePct": -5.133079847908737, "immediateReturnPct": -8.509611357729485, "forward4WeekPct": -15.986007194057061, "forward13WeekPct": -9.700055828059185, "toDateReturnPct": 11.094175659749128, "weeksSince": 78, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -27.613185992089655, "key": "mixed", "status": "Mixed response", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2025-05-02", "periodEnd": "2025-03-31", "earningsChangePct": -1.591511936339518, "surprisePct": 5.992509363295886, "immediateReturnPct": 5.197084825103904, "forward4WeekPct": 8.605004438140384, "forward13WeekPct": -5.2637837381502965, "toDateReturnPct": 34.061794710220795, "weeksSince": 66, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -22.327339897057954, "key": "mixed", "status": "Mixed response", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2025-08-01", "periodEnd": "2025-06-30", "earningsChangePct": -3.4141958670260597, "surprisePct": -14.954954954954957, "immediateReturnPct": -9.778682401730364, "forward4WeekPct": -0.4006953279040659, "forward13WeekPct": -6.705225528963721, "toDateReturnPct": 27.672734204560022, "weeksSince": 53, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -11.918084085000842, "key": "mixed", "status": "Mixed response", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2025-10-31", "periodEnd": "2025-09-30", "earningsChangePct": -6.837209302325576, "surprisePct": -19.2374350086655, "immediateReturnPct": -3.6743743642131843, "forward4WeekPct": 0.7370100713998129, "forward13WeekPct": 7.570594253103979, "toDateReturnPct": 31.82041618744438, "weeksSince": 40, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -24.732046676038763, "key": "resisted_deterioration", "status": "Price resisted deterioration", "tone": "caution"}, {"date": "2026-02-06", "periodEnd": "2025-12-31", "earningsChangePct": 13.779331003494754, "surprisePct": 34.78260869565217, "immediateReturnPct": 11.151664771077275, "forward4WeekPct": 2.6083079672586384, "forward13WeekPct": 4.092195167148693, "toDateReturnPct": 22.543170001722522, "weeksSince": 26, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -42.37654893566872, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive four-week response", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2026-05-08", "periodEnd": "2026-03-31", "earningsChangePct": 5.748135146994304, "surprisePct": 15.973377703826955, "immediateReturnPct": 0.9200688121382639, "forward4WeekPct": -1.3483330994746523, "forward13WeekPct": 18.80876495276771, "toDateReturnPct": 18.80876495276771, "weeksSince": 13, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -24.150257092658535, "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "status": "Non-positive four-week response", "tone": "opportunity"}, {"date": "2026-08-07", "periodEnd": "2026-06-30", "earningsChangePct": 17.302904564315334, "surprisePct": 36.55913978494625, "immediateReturnPct": 4.002533248891704, "forward4WeekPct": null, "forward13WeekPct": null, "toDateReturnPct": 4.002533248891704, "weeksSince": 0, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -29.00496165139856, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive initial response", "tone": "positive"}], "latestEvent": {"date": "2026-08-07", "periodEnd": "2026-06-30", "earningsChangePct": 17.302904564315334, "surprisePct": 36.55913978494625, "immediateReturnPct": 4.002533248891704, "forward4WeekPct": null, "forward13WeekPct": null, "toDateReturnPct": 4.002533248891704, "weeksSince": 0, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -29.00496165139856, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive initial response", "tone": "positive"}, "freshImprovementAwaitingConfirmation": false, "improvementConfirmationReversed": false, "summary": "Across completed four-week windows, 1 improving update had a non-positive price response; 5 had a meaningful positive price response."}, "professional": {"peerContext": {"available": true, "cohort": "Insurance - Reinsurance", "population": 6, "spreadPercentile": 0.0, "qualityPercentile": 90.0, "rarityPercentile": 100.0, "currentOneYearSpread": -41.498509000000006, "lead": "price", "relatedSignals": [{"tickerId": 1919, "symbol": "HG", "name": "Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd.", "spread": -17.728694, "lead": "price", "quality": 100}]}, "historicalOutcomes": {"available": false, "sampleSize": 0, "historyWeeks": 156, "horizons": []}, "transitions": [{"date": "2023-08-18", "key": "balanced", "label": "Broadly aligned", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2023-11-03", "key": "confirmed_compounding", "label": "Confirmed compounding", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2024-02-02", "key": "expectations_ahead", "label": "Expectations ahead", "tone": "caution"}], "dataIntegrity": {"asOf": "2026-08-07", "exactReportDates": 13, "estimatedReportDates": 0, "coverage": 100}}, "alerts": [{"key": "quality_confirmed", "label": "Business quality supportive", "tone": "positive", "explanation": "Cash generation and operating evidence are broadly supportive."}, {"key": "expectations_elevated", "label": "Expectations elevated", "tone": "caution", "explanation": "Price is leading delivered earnings power by a meaningful margin."}]}, "disclaimer": "Earnings intelligence is descriptive market research. It is not a forecast, recommendation or trading instruction."}