{"ticker": {"uuid": "9c01025f-f8de-4ca6-bfac-96cbb99b3a19", "symbol": "TLYS", "name": "Tillys Inc", "sector": "Consumer Cyclical", "industry": "Apparel Retail", "currency": "USD"}, "next_event": {"report_date": "2026-09-02", "fiscal_date_ending": "2026-08-31", "estimate": 0.17, "session": "Time unconfirmed", "days": 20}, "profile": {"sample": 12, "measured": 12, "beats": 8, "misses": 3, "inline": 1, "beat_rate": 66.7, "beat_rate_label": "66.7%", "average_surprise": 51.4, "average_surprise_label": "+51.4%", "median_surprise": 2.6, "surprise_dispersion": 108.1, "average_reaction": 7.0, "average_reaction_label": "+7.0%", "average_abs_reaction": 24.7, "positive_response_rate": 37.5, "confirmation_rate": 75.0, "reaction_sample": 8, "streak": {"count": 1, "band": "beat", "label": "1 consecutive beats"}, "profile": "Mixed earnings transmission", "profile_tone": "neutral", "profile_text": "Delivery and market response do not currently form a persistent directional pattern."}, "event_risk": {"score": 79, "band": "High", "tone": "negative", "days": 20, "proximity_component": 14, "reaction_component": 35, "variability_component": 25, "uncertainty_component": 5, "explanation": "Event risk combines report proximity, historical price movement, surprise variability, estimate availability and confirmed timing. It measures uncertainty, not direction."}, "evidence": {"score": 83, "band": "Strong", "exact": 8, "surprise": 12, "reaction": 8, "financial": 10, "total": 12}, "factor_context": {"available": true, "as_of": "2026-08-09", "eps_growth_1y": null, "revenue_growth_1y": -3.8, "cash_conversion": -0.94, "net_margin": -1.8, "earnings_yield": null, "eps_surprise_avg": 93.9, "sue_score": 0.72, "pe_ratio": null, "completeness": 78.6, "source": "alphavantage"}, "market_context": {"available": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "close": 4.19, "currency": "USD", "return_13w": -0.7, "fair_value": 4.306007, "fair_value_gap": -2.7, "relative_strength": 38.1, "trend_signal": "Active", "expectation_direction": "undecided", "expectation_probability": 45.2}, "records": [{"period_end": "2024-08-31", "reported_date": "2024-09-05", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": -0.0023, "eps_estimate": -0.06, "eps_surprise": 0.0577, "surprise_pct": 96.1667, "surprise_label": "+96.2%", "surprise_band": "beat", "eps_yoy": null, "eps_yoy_label": "-", "one_week_reaction": -15.298507462686572, "one_week_reaction_label": "-15.3%", "four_week_reaction": -7.089552238805968, "four_week_reaction_label": "-7.1%", "confirmation": "diverged", "revenue": null, "revenue_yoy": null, "revenue_yoy_label": "-", "net_income": null, "operating_cash_flow": null, "free_cash_flow": null, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2024-11-30", "reported_date": "2024-12-05", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": -0.43, "eps_estimate": -0.32, "eps_surprise": -0.11, "surprise_pct": -34.375, "surprise_label": "-34.4%", "surprise_band": "miss", "eps_yoy": null, "eps_yoy_label": "-", "one_week_reaction": -5.592841163310962, "one_week_reaction_label": "-5.6%", "four_week_reaction": -12.751677852348992, "four_week_reaction_label": "-12.8%", "confirmation": "confirmed", "revenue": null, "revenue_yoy": null, "revenue_yoy_label": "-", "net_income": null, "operating_cash_flow": null, "free_cash_flow": null, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2025-02-28", "reported_date": "2025-03-12", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": -0.45, "eps_estimate": -0.28, "eps_surprise": -0.17, "surprise_pct": -60.7143, "surprise_label": "-60.7%", "surprise_band": "miss", "eps_yoy": null, "eps_yoy_label": "-", "one_week_reaction": -40.92009685230024, "one_week_reaction_label": "-40.9%", "four_week_reaction": -49.39467312348669, "four_week_reaction_label": "-49.4%", "confirmation": "confirmed", "revenue": 147288000.0, "revenue_yoy": null, "revenue_yoy_label": "-", "net_income": -13664000.0, "operating_cash_flow": -3815000.0, "free_cash_flow": -2269000.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2025-05-31", "reported_date": "2025-06-04", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": -0.74, "eps_estimate": -0.66, "eps_surprise": -0.08, "surprise_pct": -12.1212, "surprise_label": "-12.1%", "surprise_band": "miss", "eps_yoy": null, "eps_yoy_label": "-", "one_week_reaction": -5.594405594405584, "one_week_reaction_label": "-5.6%", "four_week_reaction": -12.587412587412583, "four_week_reaction_label": "-12.6%", "confirmation": "confirmed", "revenue": 107611000.0, "revenue_yoy": null, "revenue_yoy_label": "-", "net_income": -22152000.0, "operating_cash_flow": -8119000.0, "free_cash_flow": -6597000.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2025-07-31", "reported_date": null, "date_source": "period only", "eps_actual": 0.1, "eps_estimate": -0.04, "eps_surprise": 0.14, "surprise_pct": 3.5, "surprise_label": "+3.5%", "surprise_band": "beat", "eps_yoy": 4447.826086956522, "eps_yoy_label": "+4447.8%", "one_week_reaction": null, "one_week_reaction_label": "-", "four_week_reaction": null, "four_week_reaction_label": "-", "confirmation": "unavailable", "revenue": 151256000.0, "revenue_yoy": null, "revenue_yoy_label": "-", "net_income": 3165000.0, "operating_cash_flow": 13969000.0, "free_cash_flow": 13440000.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2025-08-31", "reported_date": "2025-09-03", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": 0.1, "eps_estimate": -0.04, "eps_surprise": 0.14, "surprise_pct": 350.0, "surprise_label": "+350.0%", "surprise_band": "beat", "eps_yoy": 4447.826086956522, "eps_yoy_label": "+4447.8%", "one_week_reaction": -3.55329949238579, "one_week_reaction_label": "-3.6%", "four_week_reaction": 5.58375634517767, "four_week_reaction_label": "+5.6%", "confirmation": "diverged", "revenue": 151256000.0, "revenue_yoy": null, "revenue_yoy_label": "-", "net_income": 3165000.0, "operating_cash_flow": 13969000.0, "free_cash_flow": 14498000.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2025-10-31", "reported_date": null, "date_source": "period only", "eps_actual": -0.05, "eps_estimate": -0.3, "eps_surprise": 0.25, "surprise_pct": 0.8333, "surprise_label": "+0.8%", "surprise_band": "beat", "eps_yoy": 88.37209302325581, "eps_yoy_label": "+88.4%", "one_week_reaction": null, "one_week_reaction_label": "-", "four_week_reaction": null, "four_week_reaction_label": "-", "confirmation": "unavailable", "revenue": 139587000.0, "revenue_yoy": null, "revenue_yoy_label": "-", "net_income": -1407000.0, "operating_cash_flow": -10358000.0, "free_cash_flow": -11660000.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2025-11-30", "reported_date": "2025-12-03", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": -0.05, "eps_estimate": -0.3, "eps_surprise": 0.25, "surprise_pct": 83.3333, "surprise_label": "+83.3%", "surprise_band": "beat", "eps_yoy": 88.37209302325581, "eps_yoy_label": "+88.4%", "one_week_reaction": 31.386861313868607, "one_week_reaction_label": "+31.4%", "four_week_reaction": 33.576642335766415, "four_week_reaction_label": "+33.6%", "confirmation": "confirmed", "revenue": 139587000.0, "revenue_yoy": null, "revenue_yoy_label": "-", "net_income": -1407000.0, "operating_cash_flow": -10358000.0, "free_cash_flow": -9056000.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2026-01-31", "reported_date": null, "date_source": "period only", "eps_actual": 0.1, "eps_estimate": -0.15, "eps_surprise": 0.25, "surprise_pct": 1.6667, "surprise_label": "+1.7%", "surprise_band": "beat", "eps_yoy": 122.22222222222223, "eps_yoy_label": "+122.2%", "one_week_reaction": null, "one_week_reaction_label": "-", "four_week_reaction": null, "four_week_reaction_label": "-", "confirmation": "unavailable", "revenue": 155131000.0, "revenue_yoy": 5.324941610993427, "revenue_yoy_label": "+5.3%", "net_income": 2942000.0, "operating_cash_flow": 8606000.0, "free_cash_flow": 7272000.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2026-02-28", "reported_date": "2026-03-11", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": 0.1, "eps_estimate": -0.15, "eps_surprise": 0.25, "surprise_pct": 166.6667, "surprise_label": "+166.7%", "surprise_band": "beat", "eps_yoy": 122.22222222222223, "eps_yoy_label": "+122.2%", "one_week_reaction": 80.53691275167785, "one_week_reaction_label": "+80.5%", "four_week_reaction": 181.87919463087246, "four_week_reaction_label": "+181.9%", "confirmation": "confirmed", "revenue": 155131000.0, "revenue_yoy": 5.324941610993427, "revenue_yoy_label": "+5.3%", "net_income": 2942000.0, "operating_cash_flow": 8606000.0, "free_cash_flow": 9940000.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2026-04-30", "reported_date": null, "date_source": "period only", "eps_actual": -0.26, "eps_estimate": -0.33, "eps_surprise": 0.07, "surprise_pct": 0.2121, "surprise_label": "+0.2%", "surprise_band": "in-line", "eps_yoy": 64.86486486486487, "eps_yoy_label": "+64.9%", "one_week_reaction": null, "one_week_reaction_label": "-", "four_week_reaction": null, "four_week_reaction_label": "-", "confirmation": "unavailable", "revenue": 124718000.0, "revenue_yoy": 15.897073719229446, "revenue_yoy_label": "+15.9%", "net_income": -7953000.0, "operating_cash_flow": -3879000.0, "free_cash_flow": -5268000.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2026-05-31", "reported_date": "2026-06-03", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": -0.26, "eps_estimate": -0.33, "eps_surprise": 0.07, "surprise_pct": 21.2121, "surprise_label": "+21.2%", "surprise_band": "beat", "eps_yoy": 64.86486486486487, "eps_yoy_label": "+64.9%", "one_week_reaction": 15.022421524663676, "one_week_reaction_label": "+15.0%", "four_week_reaction": -8.071748878923774, "four_week_reaction_label": "-8.1%", "confirmation": "confirmed", "revenue": 124718000.0, "revenue_yoy": 15.897073719229446, "revenue_yoy_label": "+15.9%", "net_income": -7953000.0, "operating_cash_flow": -3879000.0, "free_cash_flow": -2490000.0, "currency": "USD"}], "charts": {"quarters": ["2024-08-31", "2024-11-30", "2025-02-28", "2025-05-31", "2025-07-31", "2025-08-31", "2025-10-31", "2025-11-30", "2026-01-31", "2026-02-28", "2026-04-30", "2026-05-31"], "eps_actual": [-0.0023, -0.43, -0.45, -0.74, 0.1, 0.1, -0.05, -0.05, 0.1, 0.1, -0.26, -0.26], "eps_estimate": [-0.06, -0.32, -0.28, -0.66, -0.04, -0.04, -0.3, -0.3, -0.15, -0.15, -0.33, -0.33], "surprise": [96.1667, -34.375, -60.7143, -12.1212, 3.5, 350.0, 0.8333, 83.3333, 1.6667, 166.6667, 0.2121, 21.2121], "reaction_1w": [-15.298507462686572, -5.592841163310962, -40.92009685230024, -5.594405594405584, null, -3.55329949238579, null, 31.386861313868607, null, 80.53691275167785, null, 15.022421524663676], "reaction_4w": [-7.089552238805968, -12.751677852348992, -49.39467312348669, -12.587412587412583, null, 5.58375634517767, null, 33.576642335766415, null, 181.87919463087246, null, -8.071748878923774], "revenue": [null, null, 147.29, 107.61, 151.26, 151.26, 139.59, 139.59, 155.13, 155.13, 124.72, 124.72], "net_income": [null, null, -13.66, -22.15, 3.17, 3.17, -1.41, -1.41, 2.94, 2.94, -7.95, -7.95], "financial_unit": "millions", "scatter": [{"x": 96.1667, "y": -15.298507462686572, "label": "2024-08-31"}, {"x": -34.375, "y": -5.592841163310962, "label": "2024-11-30"}, {"x": -60.7143, "y": -40.92009685230024, "label": "2025-02-28"}, {"x": -12.1212, "y": -5.594405594405584, "label": "2025-05-31"}, {"x": 350.0, "y": -3.55329949238579, "label": "2025-08-31"}, {"x": 83.3333, "y": 31.386861313868607, "label": "2025-11-30"}, {"x": 166.6667, "y": 80.53691275167785, "label": "2026-02-28"}, {"x": 21.2121, "y": 15.022421524663676, "label": "2026-05-31"}], "earnings_price": {"available": false, "dates": [], "price_index": [], "eps_index": [], "gap": [], "quarter_markers": [], "bridge_labels": [], "bridge_values": []}}, "earnings_price": {"available": false, "reason": "Earnings power must be positive through the latest visible week."}, "disclaimer": "Earnings intelligence is descriptive market research. It is not a forecast, recommendation or trading instruction."}