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"2024-08-16", "periodEnd": "2024-06-30", "earningsChangePct": 0.4968944099378758, "surprisePct": 3.5714285714285636, "immediateReturnPct": 10.46511704046138, "forward4WeekPct": 6.64452064559391, "forward13WeekPct": -7.9180527772164115, "toDateReturnPct": -3.328183257381878, "weeksSince": 103, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 29.224064119345968, "key": "mixed", "status": "Mixed response", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2024-11-22", "periodEnd": "2024-09-30", "earningsChangePct": 0.6180469715698411, "surprisePct": 0.46082949308756826, "immediateReturnPct": -4.509920296428794, "forward4WeekPct": -23.076987225306855, "forward13WeekPct": -7.477653773758163, "toDateReturnPct": 4.984548718034576, "weeksSince": 89, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 47.21193748034975, "key": "mixed", "status": "Mixed response", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2025-02-21", "periodEnd": "2024-12-31", "earningsChangePct": 1.842751842751822, "surprisePct": -0.8888888888888897, "immediateReturnPct": -0.6105837479238096, "forward4WeekPct": 2.6458605928797674, "forward13WeekPct": 26.458612873167887, "toDateReturnPct": 12.77657169499713, "weeksSince": 76, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 51.42045350820739, "key": "mixed", "status": "Mixed response", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2025-05-23", "periodEnd": "2025-03-31", "earningsChangePct": 5.30759951749098, "surprisePct": 5.529953917050697, "immediateReturnPct": -0.6925961259814484, "forward4WeekPct": 4.049012179478728, "forward13WeekPct": -12.306875222975233, "toDateReturnPct": -11.437044117549222, "weeksSince": 63, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 39.82193613819932, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive four-week response", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2025-08-22", "periodEnd": "2025-06-30", "earningsChangePct": 4.9255441008018375, "surprisePct": 5.579399141630897, "immediateReturnPct": -6.264240633242412, "forward4WeekPct": 12.528469608168669, "forward13WeekPct": -1.0820083268357705, "toDateReturnPct": -5.334472428548509, "weeksSince": 50, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 55.60124009422849, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive four-week response", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2025-11-21", "periodEnd": "2025-09-30", "earningsChangePct": 3.1659388646288145, "surprisePct": 2.06611570247935, "immediateReturnPct": -6.9131849906641785, "forward4WeekPct": -13.336791778109802, "forward13WeekPct": 24.229899942807865, "toDateReturnPct": -10.914968007831582, "weeksSince": 37, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 55.62707820808785, "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "status": "Non-positive four-week response", "tone": "opportunity"}, {"date": "2026-02-13", "periodEnd": "2025-12-31", "earningsChangePct": 3.492063492063502, "surprisePct": 2.400000000000002, "immediateReturnPct": 2.475507159899859, "forward4WeekPct": -6.137183945714653, "forward13WeekPct": -9.902007734248242, "toDateReturnPct": -15.124274211937516, "weeksSince": 25, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 48.23160910008494, "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "status": "Non-positive four-week response", "tone": "opportunity"}, {"date": "2026-05-22", "periodEnd": "2026-03-31", "earningsChangePct": 2.0449897750511425, "surprisePct": -1.5810276679841737, "immediateReturnPct": -3.72066696053146, "forward4WeekPct": -11.248889958542785, "forward13WeekPct": null, "toDateReturnPct": -5.796207380832364, "weeksSince": 11, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 64.78884278543543, "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "status": "Non-positive four-week response", "tone": "opportunity"}], "latestEvent": {"date": "2026-05-22", "periodEnd": "2026-03-31", "earningsChangePct": 2.0449897750511425, "surprisePct": -1.5810276679841737, "immediateReturnPct": -3.72066696053146, "forward4WeekPct": -11.248889958542785, "forward13WeekPct": null, "toDateReturnPct": -5.796207380832364, "weeksSince": 11, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 64.78884278543543, "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "status": "Non-positive four-week response", "tone": "opportunity"}, "freshImprovementAwaitingConfirmation": true, "improvementConfirmationReversed": false, "summary": "Across completed four-week windows, 4 improving updates had a non-positive price response; 3 had a meaningful positive price response."}, "professional": {"peerContext": {"available": true, "cohort": "Capital Markets", "population": 20, "spreadPercentile": 36.8, "qualityPercentile": 86.8, "rarityPercentile": 36.8, "currentOneYearSpread": 12.661928999999999, "lead": "earnings", "relatedSignals": [{"tickerId": 8299, "symbol": "SNEX", "name": "Stonex Group Inc", "spread": 11.632613999999997, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 87.5}, {"tickerId": 2583, "symbol": "MC", "name": "Moelis & Co", "spread": 17.108963, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 75}, {"tickerId": 3156, "symbol": "PJT", "name": "PJT Partners Inc", "spread": 26.772942999999998, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 75}, {"tickerId": 5034, "symbol": "BGC", "name": "BGC Group Inc.", "spread": 27.661483999999998, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 100}, {"tickerId": 1942, "symbol": "HLI", "name": "Houlihan Lokey Inc", "spread": 30.140625999999997, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 62.5}, {"tickerId": 4238, "symbol": "VIRT", "name": "Virtu Financial, Inc.", "spread": 34.482701999999996, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 62.5}, {"tickerId": 6453, "symbol": "HOOD", "name": "Robinhood Markets Inc", "spread": 34.500087, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 50}, {"tickerId": 2268, "symbol": "JEF", "name": "Jefferies Financial Group Inc", "spread": 35.75486, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 100}]}, "historicalOutcomes": {"available": false, "sampleSize": 0, "historyWeeks": 156, "horizons": []}, "transitions": [{"date": "2023-08-18", "key": "balanced", "label": "Broadly aligned", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2024-03-01", "key": "confirmed_compounding", "label": "Confirmed compounding", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2024-05-24", "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "label": "Earnings ahead", "tone": "positive"}], "dataIntegrity": {"asOf": "2026-08-07", "exactReportDates": 12, "estimatedReportDates": 0, "coverage": 100}}, "alerts": [{"key": "persistent_earnings_lead", "label": "Persistent earnings lead", "tone": "positive", "explanation": "Earnings power has led market price across several updates."}, {"key": "quality_confirmed", "label": "Business quality supportive", "tone": "positive", "explanation": "Cash generation and operating evidence are broadly supportive."}, {"key": "improvement_awaiting_confirmation", "label": "Fresh improvement awaiting confirmation", "tone": "opportunity", "explanation": "Earnings improved at the latest reported update, but market price remains below its pre-update level."}]}, "disclaimer": "Earnings intelligence is descriptive market research. It is not a forecast, recommendation or trading instruction."}