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"unrecognised_improvement", "status": "Non-positive four-week response", "tone": "opportunity"}, {"date": "2026-05-08", "periodEnd": "2026-03-31", "earningsChangePct": 24.17218543046358, "surprisePct": 4.9180327868852505, "immediateReturnPct": 10.338524855172103, "forward4WeekPct": -7.49497547614042, "forward13WeekPct": 6.806971445426768, "toDateReturnPct": 6.806971445426768, "weeksSince": 13, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 34.98967104317262, "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "status": "Non-positive four-week response", "tone": "opportunity"}, {"date": "2026-08-07", "periodEnd": "2026-06-30", "earningsChangePct": 14.933333333333332, "surprisePct": 3.478260869565221, "immediateReturnPct": 23.085389342382822, "forward4WeekPct": null, "forward13WeekPct": null, "toDateReturnPct": 23.085389342382822, "weeksSince": 0, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 103.26002724087056, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive initial response", "tone": "positive"}], "latestEvent": {"date": "2026-08-07", "periodEnd": "2026-06-30", "earningsChangePct": 14.933333333333332, "surprisePct": 3.478260869565221, "immediateReturnPct": 23.085389342382822, "forward4WeekPct": null, "forward13WeekPct": null, "toDateReturnPct": 23.085389342382822, "weeksSince": 0, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 103.26002724087056, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive initial response", "tone": "positive"}, "freshImprovementAwaitingConfirmation": false, "improvementConfirmationReversed": false, "summary": "Across completed four-week windows, 3 improving updates had a non-positive price response; 6 had a meaningful positive price response."}, "professional": {"peerContext": {"available": true, "cohort": "Gold", "population": 19, "spreadPercentile": 66.7, "qualityPercentile": 0.0, "rarityPercentile": 66.7, "currentOneYearSpread": 125.831864, "lead": "earnings", "relatedSignals": [{"tickerId": 1093, "symbol": "DRD", "name": "DRDGOLD Limited ADR", "spread": 125.97888199999998, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 87.5}, {"tickerId": 1615, "symbol": "FSM", "name": "Fortuna Silver Mines Inc", "spread": 82.84197300000001, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 87.5}, {"tickerId": 1587, "symbol": "FNV", "name": "Franco-Nevada Corporation", "spread": 81.91070799999999, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 100}, {"tickerId": 1951, "symbol": "HMY", "name": "Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited", "spread": 76.222856, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 75}, {"tickerId": 345, "symbol": "B", "name": "Barrick Mining Corporation", "spread": 72.884943, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 100}, {"tickerId": 96, "symbol": "AEM", "name": "Agnico Eagle Mines Limited", "spread": 63.980228000000004, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 100}, {"tickerId": 2376, "symbol": "KGC", "name": "Kinross Gold Corporation", "spread": 59.707838, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 87.5}, {"tickerId": 117, "symbol": "AGI", "name": "Alamos Gold Inc", "spread": 209.573212, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 100}]}, "historicalOutcomes": {"available": false, "sampleSize": 0, "historyWeeks": 156, "horizons": []}, "transitions": [{"date": "2023-08-18", "key": "balanced", "label": "Broadly aligned", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2023-11-10", "key": "confirmed_compounding", "label": "Confirmed compounding", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2024-03-15", "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "label": "Earnings ahead", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2024-05-10", "key": "confirmed_compounding", "label": "Confirmed compounding", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2025-03-14", "key": "expectations_ahead", "label": "Expectations ahead", "tone": "caution"}, {"date": "2026-05-08", "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "label": "Earnings ahead", "tone": "positive"}], "dataIntegrity": {"asOf": "2026-08-07", "exactReportDates": 13, "estimatedReportDates": 0, "coverage": 100}}, "alerts": []}, "disclaimer": "Earnings intelligence is descriptive market research. It is not a forecast, recommendation or trading instruction."}