{"ticker": {"uuid": "a4fd8a11-892b-4fb4-bf8b-13f6e0320b43", "symbol": "SGA", "name": "Saga Communications Inc", "sector": "Communication Services", "industry": "Broadcasting", "currency": "USD"}, "next_event": {"report_date": "2026-08-13", "fiscal_date_ending": "2026-06-30", "estimate": -0.18, "session": "Before the open", "days": 0}, "profile": {"sample": 12, "measured": 10, "beats": 6, "misses": 4, "inline": 0, "beat_rate": 60.0, "beat_rate_label": "60.0%", "average_surprise": 22.2, "average_surprise_label": "+22.2%", "median_surprise": 12.8, "surprise_dispersion": 95.7, "average_reaction": 1.1, "average_reaction_label": "+1.1%", "average_abs_reaction": 3.7, "positive_response_rate": 50.0, "confirmation_rate": 57.1, "reaction_sample": 12, "streak": {"count": 3, "band": "miss", "label": "3 consecutive misses"}, "profile": "Mixed earnings transmission", "profile_tone": "neutral", "profile_text": "Delivery and market response do not currently form a persistent directional pattern."}, "event_risk": {"score": 64, "band": "Elevated", "tone": "caution", "days": 0, "proximity_component": 30, "reaction_component": 9, "variability_component": 25, "uncertainty_component": 0, "explanation": "Event risk combines report proximity, historical price movement, surprise variability, estimate availability and confirmed timing. It measures uncertainty, not direction."}, "evidence": {"score": 96, "band": "Deep", "exact": 12, "surprise": 10, "reaction": 12, "financial": 11, "total": 12}, "factor_context": {"available": true, "as_of": "2026-08-09", "eps_growth_1y": null, "revenue_growth_1y": -6.0, "cash_conversion": -0.83, "net_margin": -8.2, "earnings_yield": null, "eps_surprise_avg": 36.9, "sue_score": 0.27, "pe_ratio": null, "completeness": 78.6, "source": "alphavantage"}, "market_context": {"available": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "close": 10.04, "currency": "USD", "return_13w": -5.1, "fair_value": 12.856901, "fair_value_gap": -21.9, "relative_strength": -19.1, "trend_signal": "Inactive", "expectation_direction": "negative", "expectation_probability": 42.1}, "records": [{"period_end": "2023-06-30", "reported_date": "2023-08-08", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": 0.51, "eps_estimate": 0.48, "eps_surprise": 0.03, "surprise_pct": 6.25, "surprise_label": "+6.2%", "surprise_band": "beat", "eps_yoy": null, "eps_yoy_label": "-", "one_week_reaction": -0.6080447335775548, "one_week_reaction_label": "-0.6%", "four_week_reaction": -0.7951388786321247, "four_week_reaction_label": "-0.8%", "confirmation": "contained", "revenue": null, "revenue_yoy": null, "revenue_yoy_label": "-", "net_income": null, "operating_cash_flow": null, "free_cash_flow": null, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2023-09-30", "reported_date": "2023-11-02", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": 0.4, "eps_estimate": 0.47, "eps_surprise": -0.07, "surprise_pct": -14.8936, "surprise_label": "-14.9%", "surprise_band": "miss", "eps_yoy": null, "eps_yoy_label": "-", "one_week_reaction": 4.334197208112177, "one_week_reaction_label": "+4.3%", "four_week_reaction": 12.532632600009027, "four_week_reaction_label": "+12.5%", "confirmation": "diverged", "revenue": 29149000.0, "revenue_yoy": null, "revenue_yoy_label": "-", "net_income": 2729000.0, "operating_cash_flow": 7883000.0, "free_cash_flow": 8643000.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2023-12-31", "reported_date": "2024-03-07", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": 0.37, "eps_estimate": 0.31, "eps_surprise": 0.06, "surprise_pct": 19.3548, "surprise_label": "+19.4%", "surprise_band": "beat", "eps_yoy": null, "eps_yoy_label": "-", "one_week_reaction": 8.311229101484303, "one_week_reaction_label": "+8.3%", "four_week_reaction": 1.2364824745773553, "four_week_reaction_label": "+1.2%", "confirmation": "confirmed", "revenue": 29145000.0, "revenue_yoy": null, "revenue_yoy_label": "-", "net_income": 2501000.0, "operating_cash_flow": 1458000.0, "free_cash_flow": 2417000.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2024-03-31", "reported_date": "2024-05-09", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": -0.25, "eps_estimate": null, "eps_surprise": 0.0, "surprise_pct": null, "surprise_label": "-", "surprise_band": "unavailable", "eps_yoy": null, "eps_yoy_label": "-", "one_week_reaction": -10.830481311903622, "one_week_reaction_label": "-10.8%", "four_week_reaction": -23.972605260368198, "four_week_reaction_label": "-24.0%", "confirmation": "unavailable", "revenue": 25294000.0, "revenue_yoy": null, "revenue_yoy_label": "-", "net_income": -1577000.0, "operating_cash_flow": 3803000.0, "free_cash_flow": 4853000.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2024-06-30", "reported_date": "2024-08-08", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": 0.4, "eps_estimate": 0.29, "eps_surprise": 0.11, "surprise_pct": 37.931, "surprise_label": "+37.9%", "surprise_band": "beat", "eps_yoy": -21.56862745098039, "eps_yoy_label": "-21.6%", "one_week_reaction": 4.457749007345703, "one_week_reaction_label": "+4.5%", "four_week_reaction": -2.062543974947634, "four_week_reaction_label": "-2.1%", "confirmation": "confirmed", "revenue": 28742000.0, "revenue_yoy": null, "revenue_yoy_label": "-", "net_income": 2501000.0, "operating_cash_flow": 1244000.0, "free_cash_flow": 8473000.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2024-09-30", "reported_date": "2024-11-07", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": 0.2, "eps_estimate": 0.13, "eps_surprise": 0.07, "surprise_pct": 53.8462, "surprise_label": "+53.8%", "surprise_band": "beat", "eps_yoy": -50.0, "eps_yoy_label": "-50.0%", "one_week_reaction": -1.5107962418812337, "one_week_reaction_label": "-1.5%", "four_week_reaction": -7.254703933517846, "four_week_reaction_label": "-7.3%", "confirmation": "diverged", "revenue": 28118000.0, "revenue_yoy": -3.5369995540155754, "revenue_yoy_label": "-3.5%", "net_income": 1267000.0, "operating_cash_flow": 5094000.0, "free_cash_flow": 5725000.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2024-12-31", "reported_date": "2025-03-11", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": 0.2, "eps_estimate": -0.12, "eps_surprise": 0.32, "surprise_pct": 266.6667, "surprise_label": "+266.7%", "surprise_band": "beat", "eps_yoy": -45.945945945945944, "eps_yoy_label": "-45.9%", "one_week_reaction": 8.214279966628963, "one_week_reaction_label": "+8.2%", "four_week_reaction": 5.089281829295497, "four_week_reaction_label": "+5.1%", "confirmation": "confirmed", "revenue": 31395000.0, "revenue_yoy": 7.720020586721564, "revenue_yoy_label": "+7.7%", "net_income": 1269000.0, "operating_cash_flow": 3631000.0, "free_cash_flow": 4199000.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2025-03-31", "reported_date": "2025-05-08", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": -0.25, "eps_estimate": -0.33, "eps_surprise": 0.08, "surprise_pct": 24.2424, "surprise_label": "+24.2%", "surprise_band": "beat", "eps_yoy": 0.0, "eps_yoy_label": "0.0%", "one_week_reaction": 1.4655197467877816, "one_week_reaction_label": "+1.5%", "four_week_reaction": 5.603449392133177, "four_week_reaction_label": "+5.6%", "confirmation": "confirmed", "revenue": 24212000.0, "revenue_yoy": -4.277694314857278, "revenue_yoy_label": "-4.3%", "net_income": -1575000.0, "operating_cash_flow": 1364000.0, "free_cash_flow": 2060000.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2025-06-30", "reported_date": "2025-08-07", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": 0.18, "eps_estimate": 0.19, "eps_surprise": -0.01, "surprise_pct": -5.2632, "surprise_label": "-5.3%", "surprise_band": "miss", "eps_yoy": -55.00000000000001, "eps_yoy_label": "-55.0%", "one_week_reaction": 0.9784747849580026, "one_week_reaction_label": "+1.0%", "four_week_reaction": -4.221814728483759, "four_week_reaction_label": "-4.2%", "confirmation": "contained", "revenue": 28229000.0, "revenue_yoy": -1.7848444784635726, "revenue_yoy_label": "-1.8%", "net_income": 1128000.0, "operating_cash_flow": 755000.0, "free_cash_flow": 1451000.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2025-09-30", "reported_date": "2025-11-06", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": -0.08, "eps_estimate": 0.21, "eps_surprise": -0.29, "surprise_pct": -138.0952, "surprise_label": "-138.1%", "surprise_band": "miss", "eps_yoy": -140.0, "eps_yoy_label": "-140.0%", "one_week_reaction": 1.061221372725126, "one_week_reaction_label": "+1.1%", "four_week_reaction": -1.6028241916741355, "four_week_reaction_label": "-1.6%", "confirmation": "diverged", "revenue": 28166000.0, "revenue_yoy": 0.17070915427839817, "revenue_yoy_label": "+0.2%", "net_income": -532000.0, "operating_cash_flow": 3363000.0, "free_cash_flow": 3953000.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2025-12-31", "reported_date": "2026-03-12", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": -1.07, "eps_estimate": 0.04, "eps_surprise": -1.11, "surprise_pct": -27.75, "surprise_label": "-27.8%", "surprise_band": "miss", "eps_yoy": -635.0, "eps_yoy_label": "-635.0%", "one_week_reaction": -0.8703152106372434, "one_week_reaction_label": "-0.9%", "four_week_reaction": 2.7850336789910686, "four_week_reaction_label": "+2.8%", "confirmation": "contained", "revenue": 26505000.0, "revenue_yoy": -15.57572861920688, "revenue_yoy_label": "-15.6%", "net_income": -6920000.0, "operating_cash_flow": -18000.0, "free_cash_flow": 678000.0, "currency": "USD"}, {"period_end": "2026-03-31", "reported_date": "2026-05-07", "date_source": "exact", "eps_actual": -0.3762, "eps_estimate": null, "eps_surprise": 0.0, "surprise_pct": null, "surprise_label": "-", "surprise_band": "unavailable", "eps_yoy": -50.47999999999999, "eps_yoy_label": "-50.5%", "one_week_reaction": -1.3623964234822297, "one_week_reaction_label": "-1.4%", "four_week_reaction": -11.64949827539448, "four_week_reaction_label": "-11.6%", "confirmation": "unavailable", "revenue": 22867000.0, "revenue_yoy": -5.555096646291095, "revenue_yoy_label": "-5.6%", "net_income": -2394000.0, "operating_cash_flow": 407000.0, "free_cash_flow": 1186000.0, "currency": "USD"}], "charts": {"quarters": ["2023-06-30", "2023-09-30", "2023-12-31", "2024-03-31", "2024-06-30", "2024-09-30", "2024-12-31", "2025-03-31", "2025-06-30", "2025-09-30", "2025-12-31", "2026-03-31"], "eps_actual": [0.51, 0.4, 0.37, -0.25, 0.4, 0.2, 0.2, -0.25, 0.18, -0.08, -1.07, -0.3762], "eps_estimate": [0.48, 0.47, 0.31, null, 0.29, 0.13, -0.12, -0.33, 0.19, 0.21, 0.04, null], "surprise": [6.25, -14.8936, 19.3548, null, 37.931, 53.8462, 266.6667, 24.2424, -5.2632, -138.0952, -27.75, null], "reaction_1w": [-0.6080447335775548, 4.334197208112177, 8.311229101484303, -10.830481311903622, 4.457749007345703, -1.5107962418812337, 8.214279966628963, 1.4655197467877816, 0.9784747849580026, 1.061221372725126, -0.8703152106372434, -1.3623964234822297], "reaction_4w": [-0.7951388786321247, 12.532632600009027, 1.2364824745773553, -23.972605260368198, -2.062543974947634, -7.254703933517846, 5.089281829295497, 5.603449392133177, -4.221814728483759, -1.6028241916741355, 2.7850336789910686, -11.64949827539448], "revenue": [null, 29.15, 29.14, 25.29, 28.74, 28.12, 31.39, 24.21, 28.23, 28.17, 26.5, 22.87], "net_income": [null, 2.73, 2.5, -1.58, 2.5, 1.27, 1.27, -1.57, 1.13, -0.53, -6.92, -2.39], "financial_unit": "millions", "scatter": [{"x": 6.25, "y": -0.6080447335775548, "label": "2023-06-30"}, {"x": -14.8936, "y": 4.334197208112177, "label": "2023-09-30"}, {"x": 19.3548, "y": 8.311229101484303, "label": "2023-12-31"}, {"x": 37.931, "y": 4.457749007345703, "label": "2024-06-30"}, {"x": 53.8462, "y": -1.5107962418812337, "label": "2024-09-30"}, {"x": 266.6667, "y": 8.214279966628963, "label": "2024-12-31"}, {"x": 24.2424, "y": 1.4655197467877816, "label": "2025-03-31"}, {"x": -5.2632, "y": 0.9784747849580026, "label": "2025-06-30"}, {"x": -138.0952, "y": 1.061221372725126, "label": "2025-09-30"}, {"x": -27.75, "y": -0.8703152106372434, "label": "2025-12-31"}], "earnings_price": {"available": false, "dates": [], "price_index": [], "eps_index": [], "gap": [], "quarter_markers": [], "bridge_labels": [], "bridge_values": []}}, "earnings_price": {"available": false, "reason": "Earnings power must be positive through the latest visible week."}, "disclaimer": "Earnings intelligence is descriptive market research. It is not a forecast, recommendation or trading instruction."}