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"Non-positive four-week response", "tone": "opportunity"}, {"date": "2026-05-08", "periodEnd": "2026-03-31", "earningsChangePct": 17.34693877551019, "surprisePct": -58.97435897435898, "immediateReturnPct": -10.786697799556123, "forward4WeekPct": -20.579406663937117, "forward13WeekPct": -17.63560060760174, "toDateReturnPct": -17.63560060760174, "weeksSince": 13, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 69.47782586130583, "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "status": "Non-positive four-week response", "tone": "opportunity"}, {"date": "2026-07-31", "periodEnd": "2026-06-30", "earningsChangePct": 23.478260869565215, "surprisePct": -23.33333333333333, "immediateReturnPct": 2.5924000681483372, "forward4WeekPct": null, "forward13WeekPct": null, "toDateReturnPct": 4.985860090947147, "weeksSince": 1, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 126.4300577551766, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive initial response", "tone": "positive"}], "latestEvent": {"date": "2026-07-31", "periodEnd": "2026-06-30", "earningsChangePct": 23.478260869565215, "surprisePct": -23.33333333333333, "immediateReturnPct": 2.5924000681483372, "forward4WeekPct": null, "forward13WeekPct": null, "toDateReturnPct": 4.985860090947147, "weeksSince": 1, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 126.4300577551766, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive initial response", "tone": "positive"}, "freshImprovementAwaitingConfirmation": false, "improvementConfirmationReversed": false, "summary": "Across completed four-week windows, 3 improving updates had a non-positive price response; 2 had a meaningful positive price response."}, "professional": {"peerContext": {"available": true, "cohort": "Reit - Mortgage", "population": 20, "spreadPercentile": 57.9, "qualityPercentile": 0.0, "rarityPercentile": 57.9, "currentOneYearSpread": 64.474388, "lead": "earnings", "relatedSignals": [{"tickerId": 1209, "symbol": "EFC", "name": "Ellington Financial Inc.", "spread": 38.079235000000004, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 100}, {"tickerId": 4612, "symbol": "ADAM", "name": "New York Mortgage Trust, Inc.", "spread": 115.52714400000002, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 87.5}, {"tickerId": 2208, "symbol": "IVR", "name": "Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc", "spread": 179.20505200000002, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 75}, {"tickerId": 4662, "symbol": "AGNCN", "name": "AGNC Investment Corp.", "spread": 205.699803, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 87.5}, {"tickerId": 4661, "symbol": "AGNCM", "name": "AGNC Investment Corp.", "spread": 206.214334, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 87.5}, {"tickerId": 4663, "symbol": "AGNCP", "name": "AGNC Investment Corp.", "spread": 206.42584, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 87.5}, {"tickerId": 2862, "symbol": "NLY", "name": "Annaly Capital Management, Inc.", "spread": 281.09140199999996, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 87.5}, {"tickerId": 4660, "symbol": "AGNC", "name": "AGNC Investment Corp.", "spread": 459.25207500000005, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 83.33333333333333}]}, "historicalOutcomes": {"available": false, "sampleSize": 0, "historyWeeks": 156, "horizons": []}, "transitions": [{"date": "2023-08-18", "key": "balanced", "label": "Broadly aligned", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2023-10-27", "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "label": "Earnings ahead", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2025-07-25", "key": "confirmed_compounding", "label": "Confirmed compounding", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2025-10-24", "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "label": "Earnings ahead", "tone": "positive"}], "dataIntegrity": {"asOf": "2026-08-07", "exactReportDates": 13, "estimatedReportDates": 0, "coverage": 100}}, "alerts": [{"key": "persistent_earnings_lead", "label": "Persistent earnings lead", "tone": "positive", "explanation": "Earnings power has led market price across several updates."}]}, "disclaimer": "Earnings intelligence is descriptive market research. It is not a forecast, recommendation or trading instruction."}