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"immediateReturnPct": -6.415829013562413, "forward4WeekPct": -20.806475923861278, "forward13WeekPct": -4.146909539630683, "toDateReturnPct": -13.155429372395222, "weeksSince": 44, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -58.48683066721941, "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "status": "Non-positive four-week response", "tone": "opportunity"}, {"date": "2026-01-09", "periodEnd": "2025-11-30", "earningsChangePct": -3.60655737704918, "surprisePct": 19.99999999999999, "immediateReturnPct": -1.9067122402074643, "forward4WeekPct": -7.122596335519537, "forward13WeekPct": -27.336691678476342, "toDateReturnPct": -9.398257050970237, "weeksSince": 30, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": -64.24198093522122, "key": "accepted_deterioration", "status": "Negative four-week response", "tone": "negative"}, {"date": "2026-03-27", "periodEnd": "2026-02-28", "earningsChangePct": 4.421768707482987, "surprisePct": -21.348314606741578, "immediateReturnPct": 4.510882365751168, "forward4WeekPct": 24.468921480615723, "forward13WeekPct": 29.76340035714271, "toDateReturnPct": 49.63755047294134, "weeksSince": 19, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 10.251941209881409, "key": "accepted_improvement", "status": "Positive four-week response", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2026-06-26", "periodEnd": "2026-05-31", "earningsChangePct": 20.52117263843649, "surprisePct": -5.504587155963307, "immediateReturnPct": -20.93397745571659, "forward4WeekPct": -10.048309178743963, "forward13WeekPct": null, "toDateReturnPct": -8.824476650563618, "weeksSince": 6, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 7.804361027107603, "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "status": "Non-positive four-week response", "tone": "opportunity"}], "latestEvent": {"date": "2026-06-26", "periodEnd": "2026-05-31", "earningsChangePct": 20.52117263843649, "surprisePct": -5.504587155963307, "immediateReturnPct": -20.93397745571659, "forward4WeekPct": -10.048309178743963, "forward13WeekPct": null, "toDateReturnPct": -8.824476650563618, "weeksSince": 6, "availabilitySource": "reported", "spread": 7.804361027107603, "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "status": "Non-positive four-week response", "tone": "opportunity"}, "freshImprovementAwaitingConfirmation": true, "improvementConfirmationReversed": false, "summary": "Across completed four-week windows, 4 improving updates had a non-positive price response; 3 had a meaningful positive price response."}, "professional": {"peerContext": {"available": true, "cohort": "Capital Markets", "population": 20, "spreadPercentile": 73.7, "qualityPercentile": 86.8, "rarityPercentile": 73.7, "currentOneYearSpread": 35.75486, "lead": "earnings", "relatedSignals": [{"tickerId": 6453, "symbol": "HOOD", "name": "Robinhood Markets Inc", "spread": 34.500087, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 50}, {"tickerId": 4238, "symbol": "VIRT", "name": "Virtu Financial, Inc.", "spread": 34.482701999999996, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 62.5}, {"tickerId": 1942, "symbol": "HLI", "name": "Houlihan Lokey Inc", "spread": 30.140625999999997, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 62.5}, {"tickerId": 5034, "symbol": "BGC", "name": "BGC Group Inc.", "spread": 27.661483999999998, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 100}, {"tickerId": 3156, "symbol": "PJT", "name": "PJT Partners Inc", "spread": 26.772942999999998, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 75}, {"tickerId": 7149, "symbol": "MKTX", "name": "MarketAxess Holdings Inc", "spread": 48.954176, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 62.5}, {"tickerId": 3151, "symbol": "PIPR", "name": "Piper Sandler Companies", "spread": 50.660657, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 100}, {"tickerId": 2583, "symbol": "MC", "name": "Moelis & Co", "spread": 17.108963, "lead": "earnings", "quality": 75}]}, "historicalOutcomes": {"available": false, "sampleSize": 0, "historyWeeks": 156, "horizons": []}, "transitions": [{"date": "2023-08-18", "key": "balanced", "label": "Broadly aligned", "tone": "neutral"}, {"date": "2023-09-29", "key": "fundamental_fracture", "label": "Fundamental fracture", "tone": "negative"}, {"date": "2024-09-27", "key": "expectations_ahead", "label": "Expectations ahead", "tone": "caution"}, {"date": "2026-03-27", "key": "unrecognised_improvement", "label": "Earnings ahead", "tone": "positive"}, {"date": "2026-06-26", "key": "confirmed_compounding", "label": "Confirmed compounding", "tone": "positive"}], "dataIntegrity": {"asOf": "2026-08-07", "exactReportDates": 13, "estimatedReportDates": 0, "coverage": 100}}, "alerts": [{"key": "quality_confirmed", "label": "Business quality supportive", "tone": "positive", "explanation": "Cash generation and operating evidence are broadly supportive."}]}, "disclaimer": "Earnings intelligence is descriptive market research. It is not a forecast, recommendation or trading instruction."}